智通财经APP获悉，金风科技(02208)跌超5%，截至发稿，跌5.24%，报11.57港元，成交额1.04亿港元。 长城证券指出，2025年前三季度金风科技实现风机对外销售18.45GW，同比增长90%，其中6MW及以 上机组占比约86%，单Q3风机销售7.8GW，环比Q2基本持平。在手订单方面，公司截至2025年9月30日 的在手外部订单共计49.87GW，其中包含7.16GW海外订单。此外，《风能北京宣言2.0》提出目 标，"十五五"期间国内风电年新增装机容量不低于120GW，意味着行业需求维持高位，公司出货有望 保持良好的增长趋势。 消息面上，华创证券认为，近年来，机组大型化开始面临资源和生产的限制，功率增长的幅度在减缓。 短期看，风机价格过低致产业亏损出清。金风科技23/24年毛利率仅6.4%/5.1%，风电主机业务呈现亏损 状态。25年行业面临周期性抢装潮，主机目前在手订单高企，预计整机价格仍有望维持高位。24年9月 陆风主机中标均价触底，目前价格已经连续4个季度回升，25年1-8月涨幅10%。主机从中标到交付约一 年，26年主机制造盈利有望迎来拐点。 ...

Core Insights - The report from Guosen Securities indicates that the domestic wind power installation is expected to maintain a growth rate of 10%-20% in 2026, supported by saturated orders and stable prices [1][2] - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers is improving quarterly, with export growth boosting performance, reflecting a synchronized recovery in both domestic and international markets [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of overseas expansion and AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) as key focus areas for 2026, with major domestic power equipment companies making breakthroughs in overseas markets and innovative products [1] Wind Power Sector - The wind turbine sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with significant growth in offshore wind installations and tenders, leading to increased orders and performance for related companies [2] - Key companies to watch in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Sany Renewable Energy, Times New Materials, Daikin Heavy Industries, Oriental Cable, and Haile Wind Power [2] Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery supply chain is expected to see a reversal in the downward price trend, with significant recovery in profitability anticipated for most products in 2026 [2] - New technologies such as steel-shell batteries, silicon anodes, and large energy storage cells are expected to achieve mass supply in 2026, while solid-state battery technology is accelerating towards industrialization [2] - Recommended companies in the lithium battery sector include CATL, EVE Energy, Zhongchuang Innovation, Zhuhai Guanyu, Tianci Materials, Enjie, Dingsheng Technology, and Xiamen Tungsten [2] Energy Storage Market - The electrification transition is driving explosive growth in the global energy storage market, with domestic market demand leading to a surge in storage orders [3] - The demand for large-scale energy storage in the U.S. is increasing due to power supply shortages, while unstable grid conditions in Europe are also boosting storage needs [3] - Companies to focus on in the energy storage sector include CATL, EVE Energy, Sungrow Power, and Deye [3] Photovoltaic Sector - The photovoltaic supply side is undergoing adjustments, with new technologies such as silver-free materials and perovskite layers gaining attention [3] - The profitability of silicon materials is expected to recover, with silver-free products nearing mass production by 2026 [3] - Key companies in the photovoltaic sector include GCL-Poly Energy, Xinte Energy, Tongwei Co., and Juhua Materials [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on new technology investment opportunities, such as solid-state batteries and flexible converters [3] - Emphasis is placed on overseas expansion and performance improvement for leading companies in lithium batteries and wind turbine components [3] - Long-term beneficiaries in green electricity alternatives include secondary distribution equipment and charging pile operations [3]

Core Viewpoint - Jinli Permanent Magnet (300748.SZ) has indirectly participated in investments in 71 high-tech enterprises through the Chengdu Jiaozi Venture Capital Fund, focusing on sectors such as GPUs, chips, semiconductors, new energy vehicles, and robotics, indicating potential for future collaborations with downstream companies [1] Group 1: Investment Activities - Jinli Permanent Magnet acquired a 1% stake in the Chengdu Jiaozi Venture Capital Fund through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Jinli Permanent Magnet (Ningbo) Investment Co., Ltd, becoming a limited partner in the fund, which holds a 0.71% stake in the leading domestic GPU company, Muxi Integrated [1] - Jinli Permanent Magnet has a direct 2.84% shareholding from Goldwind Technology (002202.SZ), which previously facilitated Jinli's wind power supply chain and accounted for over 40% of its revenue from related transactions between 2015 and 2017 [1] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - The ongoing strategic partnership between Jinli Permanent Magnet and Goldwind Technology is expected to provide critical support for Jinli's wind power business in the long term [1]

Core Insights - China's manufacturing value added accounts for nearly 30% of the global total, maintaining the largest scale in the world for 15 consecutive years [1] - By 2024, China's manufacturing value added is projected to reach 33.6 trillion yuan, representing approximately 24.9% of the national GDP [3] - The contribution of Chinese manufacturing to global industrial growth exceeds 30%, solidifying its role as a key engine for global industrial expansion [5] Manufacturing Scale and System Advantages - The manufacturing value added in China increased from 26.6 trillion yuan at the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan in 2020 to 33.6 trillion yuan, with an expected increment of 8 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan [4] - China leads in the production of most of the 504 major industrial products globally, showcasing a comprehensive industrial system [5] - Over 570 industrial enterprises are among the top 2500 global R&D investors, indicating a significant scale of innovation investment [6] Innovation and Technological Advancements - R&D expenditure in large-scale manufacturing enterprises accounts for over 1.6% of their operating income, with industrial enterprises filing 124.4 million invention patent applications by 2024, up from 90.7 million at the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [6] - The establishment of 16 new national manufacturing innovation centers during the 14th Five-Year Plan has led to breakthroughs in nearly 700 key common technologies [6] Smart Manufacturing and Digital Transformation - The installation of industrial robots in China accounts for over 50% of the global total, reflecting a significant shift towards smart manufacturing [8] - China has built the world's largest and most extensive network infrastructure, with 4.598 million 5G base stations and over 1 million connected devices on key industrial internet platforms [9][10] Emerging Industries and Future Trends - The production of new energy vehicles is expected to exceed 13 million units in 2024, with a production and sales volume that is 9.5 times that of 2020 [13] - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors are projected to grow at annual rates of 7.9% and 8.7%, respectively, during the 14th Five-Year Plan [12] - China is developing new competitive advantages in industries such as superconducting quantum computers and laser manufacturing technology, indicating a shift from quantity to quality in manufacturing [16][17]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of resilient and competitive industrial and supply chains for national economic security and development, highlighting the need for self-sufficiency and stability in key sectors [1][2][4]. Group 1: Importance of Industrial and Supply Chains - Industrial and supply chains are critical for maintaining smooth economic circulation and ensuring economic security, as stated by President Xi Jinping [1]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests enhancing the self-controllability of industrial chains and guiding their cross-border layout to improve competitiveness and resilience [1][2]. Group 2: Current Challenges - The article outlines the complex internal and external challenges facing China's development, including geopolitical tensions and reliance on foreign technology in key industries [2][3]. - The shift of labor-intensive industries to Southeast Asia and the impact of trade wars are noted as factors that threaten the stability of China's industrial chains [3]. Group 3: Modern Industrial System - A modern industrial system must meet the criteria of completeness, advancement, and security, with a focus on enhancing the stability and competitiveness of industrial chains [4]. - Despite having a complete industrial chain in several manufacturing sectors, China still faces challenges in high-tech segments, indicating a need for further development and self-sufficiency [4]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - The article suggests several strategic initiatives, including accelerating the development of core technologies, enhancing innovation capabilities, and optimizing industrial layouts to build a resilient development network [5][6][7]. - It emphasizes the importance of a coordinated approach to innovation and industrial chain deployment, with a focus on protecting intellectual property to encourage research and development [6].

Sales Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved external sales capacity of 18,449.70 MW, a year-on-year increase of 90.01% [2] - Sales capacity breakdown: - Units below 4 MW: 22.50 MW (0.12%) - Units between 4 MW and 6 MW: 2,550.05 MW (13.82%) - Units above 6 MW: 15,877.15 MW (86.06%) [2] Order Status - As of September 30, 2025, the total external pending orders amounted to 38,861.14 MW, with the following breakdown: - Units below 4 MW: 605.12 MW - Units between 4 MW and 6 MW: 6,596.23 MW - Units above 6 MW: 31,659.79 MW [3] - The company has an additional 11,012.73 MW in external bids not yet signed, including: - Units between 4 MW and 6 MW: 1,119.80 MW - Units above 6 MW: 9,892.93 MW [3] - Total external orders on hand: 49,873.87 MW, with overseas orders accounting for 7,161.72 MW; internal orders total 2,586.97 MW. Overall, total orders on hand reached 52,460.84 MW, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18.48% [3] Wind Farm Operations - As of September 30, 2025, the total equity installed capacity of the company's self-operated wind farms reached 8,688 MW, with 4,062 MW under construction domestically [4] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company added 745 MW of new equity grid-connected capacity and sold wind farm capacity of 100 MW [4] - The average utilization hours for self-operated wind farms in the first three quarters of 2025 were 1,730 hours [4] Risk Management - The company incorporates extreme weather risks into product design and planning, using advanced simulation models to enhance the stability and load resistance of key components [4] - A meteorological forecasting and warning information system is in place to monitor and provide risk alerts for wind farms [4] - Emergency response plans have been established for various extreme weather scenarios, including typhoons and floods, to ensure safety and minimize losses [4]

Core Insights - The global energy transition and the competitiveness of China's wind power industry have made "going global" a central theme for development [1] - The shift from product export to localized operations signifies an evolution in the globalization strategy of Chinese wind power companies [2] Group 1: Trends in Globalization - The pace of Chinese wind power companies "going global" has accelerated, with competition now focusing on technology, service, and localization rather than just product pricing [2] - By the third quarter of 2025, domestic companies secured a total of 23.043 GW of international wind turbine orders, with export orders doubling year-on-year in the first half of the year [2] - Companies are moving from a simple product supply model to a "full-chain cooperation" model, which includes equipment supply, technology licensing, and localized production [2] Group 2: Localization Practices - The complex environment of overseas markets demands higher localization capabilities from companies, as different regions have distinct policies, market demands, and cultural backgrounds [3] - Electric Power Equipment (688660.SH) has established overseas operations in regions like the Middle East and East Asia, targeting high-growth markets while diversifying regional risks [3] - A partnership with Oman’s Mawarid Group includes not only equipment supply but also technology licensing and local factory design, exemplifying the shift from "selling equipment" to "providing comprehensive solutions" [3] Group 3: Value Reconstruction - The overseas market offers wind power companies opportunities beyond short-term order growth, including business model restructuring, brand value enhancement, and technological advancement [4] - Participation in various wind power projects allows companies to accumulate operational experience under extreme conditions, which can inform domestic product development [4] - The profitability potential of the overseas wind power market is becoming evident, with data indicating that the gross margin for overseas wind turbines is higher than that for domestic ones [4]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement details the establishment of a joint venture between Dongfang Electric Wind Power Co., Ltd. and Anhui Wan Energy Trading Co., Ltd., aimed at enhancing operational capabilities in the wind power sector through strategic collaboration [2][5]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Overview - Dongfang Electric's subsidiary, Dongfang Electric Wind Power, will hold a 49% stake in the joint venture, while Anhui Wan Energy will hold 51%. The registered capital of the joint venture is approximately 1.85683 billion yuan [2][5]. - Dongfang Electric Wind Power is contributing 100% equity of Muli Dongji New Energy Co., Ltd., valued at approximately 909.85 million yuan based on an asset appraisal report dated June 30, 2025 [2][5][9]. - Anhui Wan Energy will contribute approximately 946.98 million yuan in cash [2][5]. 2. Approval Process - The investment was approved during the 15th meeting of the 11th Board of Directors on November 19, 2025, with unanimous support (7 votes in favor) [6][21]. 3. Joint Venture Details - The joint venture will not be classified as a related party transaction or a major asset restructuring [3][6]. - After the investment, Muli Dongji will no longer be included in Dongfang Electric's consolidated financial statements [4][16]. 4. Strategic Implications - The partnership aims to respond to national "dual carbon" strategies, optimize state capital layout, and enhance resource sharing and risk management [16]. - The investment aligns with the company's operational status and long-term development goals, ensuring no harm to the interests of all shareholders, particularly minority shareholders [16].

Core Viewpoint - The current A-share market is in a "mid-game break" of a bull market, with significant long-term allocation value despite reduced valuation advantages compared to lower points [2][11]. Investment Direction - The company identifies five key investment directions: AI infrastructure, new energy, overseas consumption, global infrastructure, and "anti-involution" sectors [2][11]. Investment Philosophy Evolution - The investment strategy has evolved to focus on "growth while maintaining high positions," emphasizing a core strategy of "AI+" that integrates technology with consumption and "anti-involution" [5][6]. - The company has established a clear capability circle, focusing on TMT (Technology, Media, Telecommunications), manufacturing, cyclical industries, and consumption [6]. Market Analysis - The company notes that while the Shanghai Composite Index has reached around 4000 points, the opportunity cost of investing in stocks has decreased due to lower long-term bond yields [11]. - The company emphasizes the importance of understanding industry progress, highlighting significant advancements in Chinese enterprises over the past decade [11]. AI and Storage Industry Insights - The company views the current phase of AI as a "big era of AI infrastructure," indicating that the industry is still in its early stages of development and not yet at risk of a bubble [12][13]. - The storage industry is entering a "10-50" growth phase, driven by the expansion of lithium battery production and the increasing demand for renewable energy solutions [13]. Investment Mindset - The company has shifted from a competitive public fund mindset to a more thoughtful private fund approach, focusing on sustainable and stable absolute returns for clients [14]. - The emphasis is on maintaining discipline within the capability circle and avoiding participation in opportunities that exceed understanding [14].

Core Viewpoint - The current A-share market is in a "mid-game break" of a bull market, with significant long-term allocation value despite reduced valuation advantages compared to below 3000 points [3][14]. Investment Directions - The company is optimistic about five key investment directions: AI infrastructure, new energy, overseas consumption, global infrastructure, and "anti-involution" sectors [3][15]. Investment Philosophy Iteration - The investment philosophy has evolved to focus on "growth" while integrating core principles of "value investing," applicable to both technology and growth stocks [6][7][9]. Investment Strategy - The core strategy since 2025 has been to maintain a high position while focusing on "AI+" and quality companies in sectors like domestic computing power, internet, overseas computing power, new energy, and overseas consumption [7][8]. Ability Circle - The company has defined a clear ability circle, focusing on TMT, manufacturing, cyclical, and consumer sectors, adhering to the principle of operating within understood domains [8][12]. Stock Selection Criteria - Emphasis is placed on identifying leading stocks with competitive advantages, applying qualitative and quantitative frameworks for stock selection [8][12]. Market Analysis - The company highlights that while the current market valuation is less attractive, the long-term potential of Chinese enterprises has significantly improved, with notable advancements in industries like AI and new energy [14][15]. AI and Storage Industry Insights - AI is viewed as a major market driver, with the current phase characterized as the "AI infrastructure era," while the storage industry is entering a golden development period, driven by the expansion of lithium battery scales and renewable energy [16][17]. Investment Mindset - The transition from public to private equity has led to a deeper understanding of the complexities and long-term nature of business operations, fostering a more disciplined investment approach focused on sustainable, absolute returns [18].