美国政府周四公布的统计数据显示，美国劳动生产率在第三季度加速至两年来最强劲的增速，进一步表明ChatGPT横空出世所引领的AI驱动效率提升浪潮 正在显著抑制来自薪资层面的通胀压力。与此同时，截至1月3日当周(包含元旦假期)，美国首次申请失业救济金人数比前一周增加了8,000人，达到208,000 人，略低于市场普遍预期的210,000人，并且仍远低于去年的平均首次失业金申请水平，强化劳动力市场回暖迹象。 美国劳工统计局(Bureau of Labor Statistics)周四公布的数据显示，全美第三季度非农生产率(即非农雇员每小时产出)以4.9%的年化季率增速(即相比于第二季 度的环比)大幅飙升，远高于市场一致预期的3%增速，此前第二季度在向上修正后为增长4.1%。 生产率年化季率飙至4.9%，同时初请下滑至仅20.8万，凸显出美国企业效率引擎压住薪资通胀，并且招聘也呈现出温和回暖迹象。初请回到历史偏低区 间，意味着"裁员端"并未恶化，这是软着陆所需要的"就业不崩"，史无前例AI大浪潮驱动之下的生产率年化季率罕见+4.9%、单位劳动成本年化-1.9%(连续 两季下降)，凸显生产率猛增压住薪资通胀，并且有利于 ...

尽管2025年全年美国劳动力市场呈现显著放缓，但是美国经济在第三季度仍以两年来最快速度强劲增长，这一趋势无疑也与美国生产率激增密切相关联。 单位劳动成本——企业为生产一单位产出而支付给雇员的成本——意外下降1.9%，此前一个季度也出现下降。这标志着自2019年以来首次出现连续两个季 度的单位劳动成本下降。 生产率报告还显示，第三季度美国企业产出按年率(即同比)计算超预期增长了 5.4%，而前三个月的年化增长率为 5.2%。 就业成本的下降凸显出美国经济的一种微妙分化态势：劳动力市场已趋于疲软态势但是未陷入持续缩减的最悲观时刻，与此同时以GDP、服务业PMI以及 整体生产率为核心的美国经济增长数据仍然稳健。 智通财经APP获悉，美国政府周四公布的统计数据显示，美国劳动生产率在第三季度加速至两年来最强劲的增速，进一步表明ChatGPT横空出世所引领的 AI驱动效率提升浪潮正在显著抑制来自薪资层面的通胀压力。与此同时，截至1月3日当周(包含元旦假期)，美国首次申请失业救济金人数比前一周增加了 8,000人，达到208,000人，略低于市场普遍预期的210,000人，并且仍远低于去年的平均首次失业金申请水平，强化劳动 ...

国联民生（601456）证券研究所常务副总经理兼首席策略分析师包承超认为，在传统增长动能与新兴产 业同步发力之下，2026年市场盈利将持续修复，流动性亦将维持宽松态势，市场核心驱动力或将从估值 驱动转向盈利驱动。 包承超表示，"反内卷"等相关政策落地，将改善传统行业竞争格局，推动国内通胀水平回升；财政政策 发力会为国内市场创造新增需求。与此同时，海内外科技产业实现共振发展，各类资金加速涌入新兴产 业赛道，新旧动能协同发力，共同驱动2026年市场盈利增长。 在行业结构方面，科技产业在利润增速的驱动下，仍有绝对收益，但与消费、周期、制造等行业的差距 将逐步收窄。在人工智能资本开支不断扩张的背景下，2026年科技产业仍会维持较高利润增速，但当前 科技行业和市场整体的估值水平已经拉开明显差距，估值进一步提升的难度较大。在通胀预期回升的背 景下，传统的消费、周期、制造行业的利润增速有望逐步回升，并且部分供需紧平衡的行业有较大的盈 利弹性。 在主题机会方面，市场和政策对新质生产力的关注度越来越高，除人工智能外，2026年国内政策势必辐 射更多新兴产业，也将为市场带来更多投资机会。(许盈) ...

12月27日，在中国财富管理50人论坛2025年会上，原银监会主席、证监会原主席尚福林，第十三届全国政协经济委员会副主任杨伟民，清 华大学经济管理学院院长白重恩，中国社会科学院学部委员高培勇等专家学者就当前多个宏观经济热点发表见解。 来看会上重要观点： 1. 迈向"十五五"，加快建设金融强国，是质的有效提升和量的合理增长有机统一，是综合性、系统性、引领性的跃升。 2. 保持制造业合理比重包含两层含义：一是我国制造业占GDP的比重保持在合理水平；二是我国制造业占全球制造业比重能够保持基本 稳定。 3. 凝聚新质生产力的新制造，不再是过去烟囱林立、管道密集、劳动密集的产业，而是科技创新与产业、产品创新"前店后厂"式，研发 人员密集，知识产权密集的制造业，新制造恰恰应该布局在中心城市及其城市群地区，因为研发人员主要在这里。 4.政策不仅要聚焦扩大需求、优化供给，也要优化分配，形成供给、需求、分配三位一体、方向一致的系统性政策。 5. 用国债置换地方政府债务，将还本付息的压力从地方转移到中央，这样可以修复地方政府的资产负债表，改善其现金流，推动经济增 长，为改革创造条件。 全面发力建设金融强国 尚福林指出，"十四五" ...

Core Insights - The 2025 Sichuan Top 100 Enterprises list was released, showcasing the growth and influence of major companies in the region [1] - The number of billion-yuan enterprises in Sichuan increased from 5 to 8, highlighting significant growth in revenue-generating companies [1] - The revenue threshold for entering the Top 100 Enterprises in Sichuan reached 8.24 billion yuan, marking an 8.53% increase from the previous year [1] Summary by Category Top 100 Enterprises - The Sichuan Top 100 Enterprises list has been published for 22 years, reflecting its growing influence [1] - The revenue threshold for the Top 100 Enterprises in 2025 is set at 8.24 billion yuan, up from the previous year [1] Manufacturing Sector - The revenue threshold for the Top 100 Manufacturing Enterprises is 2.717 billion yuan, an increase of 0.48 billion yuan from last year [1] - The revenue thresholds for both the Top 100 Enterprises and the Top 100 Manufacturing Enterprises have shown continuous growth for six consecutive years [1] Construction Sector - For the first time, the Top 100 Construction Enterprises list was released, with a revenue threshold of 357 million yuan [1] - This new list provides a clear reference for enterprise positioning and development within the construction industry [1] Digital Economy - The article does not provide specific details on the Digital Economy 100 Enterprises, but it is included in the overall list of top enterprises [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Lionhead Co., Ltd. (SH 600539) held its 23rd meeting of the 9th board of directors on August 26, 2025, to review the proposal regarding the acquisition of assets through share issuance and cash payment, along with related fundraising [1] - For the year 2024, Lionhead's revenue composition is as follows: e-commerce services account for 88.3%, manufacturing accounts for 11.29%, and other businesses account for 0.41% [1] - As of the report, Lionhead's market capitalization stands at 2.8 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The article mentions a significant growth in the pet industry, which is projected to reach a market size of 300 billion yuan, leading to a surge in stock prices for related listed companies [1]

Core Insights - The latest S&P report indicates that UK business activity in August has shown the strongest growth momentum in a year, with the S&P Global UK Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rising to 53.0, significantly above market expectations [1][2] Economic Indicators - The August Composite PMI preliminary value increased from 51.5 in July to 53.0, surpassing the market expectation of 51.6, marking the highest level since August 2024, indicating that the UK economy has entered an expansion phase [1] - The Services PMI rose to 53.6, serving as the main growth driver, while the Manufacturing PMI fell to 47.3, reaching a three-month low, indicating ongoing contraction in the manufacturing sector [1] Employment and Cost Pressures - Overall business activity has strengthened, and the decline in employment levels has narrowed compared to July, although companies continue to face rising labor cost pressures due to the government's increase in employer social security tax and minimum wage [1] - The service sector has experienced the fastest price increase in three months, potentially intensifying inflationary pressures and complicating policy adjustments for the Bank of England [1] Future Outlook - UK businesses' expectations for future operations have risen to the highest point since October 2024, reflecting a recovery in confidence [1] - Analysts note a "mixed" economic landscape in the UK, with the service sector supporting overall growth while the manufacturing sector remains under pressure due to a weak global trade environment [2]