Report Summary 1. Report Type and Date - Report Type: Stock Index Daily Review [1] - Date: October 15, 2025 [2] 2. Research Analysts - Nie Jiayi (Stock Index), contact: 021 - 60635735, email: niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com, qualification number: F03124070 [3] - He Zhuoqiao (Macro Precious Metals), contact: 18665641296, email: hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com, qualification number: F3008762 [3] - Huang Wenxin (Macro Treasury Bonds and Container Shipping), contact: 021 - 60635739, email: huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com, qualification number: F3051589 [3] 3. Market Review and Outlook 3.1 Market Review - On October 14, the Wind All - A Index opened higher and then oscillated downward, closing up 0.17%, with over 3,500 stocks falling. The CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 closed down 1.20%, 0.21%, 2.46%, and 1.95% respectively, with large - cap blue - chip stocks performing better. Stock index futures performed weaker than the spot market. The main contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM fell 1.21%, 0.11%, 3.06%, and 2.19% respectively [6]. 3.2 Market Outlook - Tensions between China and the US have significantly eased after extensive communication over the weekend. The US Vice - President Vance said Trump is willing to negotiate on tariffs, and the US Treasury Secretary Besent said a 100% tariff on China may not happen. However, the US is open to all options regarding China's rare - earth export restrictions. - China's export data in September showed resilience, but exports to the US continued to decline. Given the high base due to the export rush at the end of last year, China's export year - on - year data in Q4 may face pressure. - For the A - share market, the previous low - valuation advantage has disappeared after a six - month rise, and the high valuation of the technology sector brings higher risks. The Sino - US game is mainly for the end - of - month negotiation, and China's attitude is more proactive and tough. Therefore, tariff disturbances may not subside soon, and market volatility is likely to continue. - It is recommended to participate with a light position and use arbitrage strategies to resist market risks, such as going long on large - cap blue - chips and short on small - cap growth stocks. In terms of market style, attention can be paid to defensive sectors like banks, gas, and power, as well as new infrastructure and domestic substitution sectors that benefit from policies [7]. 4. Data Overview - The report presents various data charts including domestic major index performance, market style performance, industry sector performance (Shenwan Primary Index), trading volume of Wind All - A, trading volume of stock index spot, trading volume and open interest of stock index futures, basis trend of main contracts, inter - period spread trend, and statistics of major ETF fund shares and trading volume. All data sources are from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [9][14][15][16][17][24] 5. Industry News - On October 14, the central bank conducted 91 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate of 1.40%, with a net investment of 91 billion yuan as there were no reverse repurchases due that day [25]. - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce spokesperson stated China's consistent stance on the tariff and trade war: ready to fight to the end if necessary and always open to negotiation. China and the US have broad common interests, and the two sides have been communicating within the framework of the Sino - US economic and trade negotiation mechanism, with a working - level meeting held the previous day [25]. - The National Development and Reform Commission issued the "Administrative Measures for Special Central Budgetary Investments in Energy Conservation and Carbon Reduction", which supports energy - saving and carbon - reduction projects in key industries such as power, steel, non - ferrous metals, building materials, petrochemicals, chemicals, and machinery, as well as in infrastructure and central and state - owned institutions [25].

Group 1 - The market showed signs of recovery after initial fears were alleviated by statements from U.S. trade representatives and the Vice President, leading to a rebound from significant losses [2] - The opening of the market marked the lowest point, followed by a rapid recovery, particularly in the KC50 index, which shifted from a decline of 3.77% to a slight gain [2] - Despite the recovery, there was a notable decrease in trading volume, with a reduction of 1.599 trillion and a net outflow of nearly 60 billion, indicating some investors chose to exit and observe [6][9] Group 2 - The simultaneous rise of gold, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. stocks has been a recurring theme since late September, suggesting underlying market volatility [6] - Upcoming events, including the U.S. government shutdown, potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and significant meetings in October, are expected to influence market dynamics [7][8] - The Hong Kong market experienced a decline of 1.52%, reflecting a lack of supportive funds compared to the mainland market, which managed to stabilize [9] Group 3 - The Shanghai Composite Index found support around the 3800 level, with the lowest point recorded at 3800.11, indicating a critical support zone [11] - The Shenzhen Index closed just below the 13260 mark, which is significant as it aligns with historical price points, suggesting a pivotal area for future price movements [11] - The market's ability to maintain positions above these critical levels will determine whether bullish momentum can be regained or if a downward trend may emerge [11]

Core Insights - The article highlights eight sectors that are thriving despite the economic downturn, suggesting that wealth opportunities can be found in unexpected areas. Group 1: Second-Hand Economy - The second-hand economy is rapidly growing, with sales of items like light bottles reaching 150 billion yuan. Some individuals are successfully refurbishing old furniture and selling it at a 30% premium, while others are specializing in cleaning and reselling baby and digital products at an 80% markup [1]. Group 2: Emotional Value and Affordable Entertainment - Under pressure, consumers are willing to spend on affordable entertainment, with the 2025 Spring Festival box office expected to reach 7 billion yuan. The game "Black Myth: Wukong" sold 4.5 million copies in three months, generating over 1.5 billion yuan in revenue. Short dramas and gaming services are also seeing increased demand [3]. Group 3: Value of Affordable Consumption - The trend of affordable consumption is on the rise, with sales of low-cost food items like pickled vegetables and instant noodles soaring, and pickled vegetables seeing a price increase of 40%. Community group buying has surpassed 30 million daily orders, and discount snack stores are proliferating, with brands like Haitegou reporting annual revenue growth of 200% [5]. Group 4: Skills Exchange and Vocational Education - In tough economic times, there is a growing demand for skill enhancement, with orders for courses in Python programming and CAD design increasing by 230%. A former delivery worker has successfully launched a course on optimizing delivery routes, selling over 5,000 units at 298 yuan each [7]. Group 5: Silver Economy - The silver economy is emerging as a significant market, with over 300 million people aged 60 and above in China. New professions such as bathing assistants and elderly capability assessors are developing, with service fees ranging from 200 to 800 yuan per session [5]. Group 6: Repair Services - The demand for repair services has surged during the economic downturn, with a growth rate of up to 82%. High-margin repair projects, such as mobile phone screen repairs, can yield profit margins exceeding 60% [8]. Group 7: Domestic Substitution - The trend of domestic substitution is becoming essential, with companies like SMIC increasing production capacity and WPS software gaining 500 million users, growing at 30% annually. There are opportunities for service providers to teach users about domestic software [10]. Group 8: Green Economy - The green economy is witnessing new opportunities under the dual carbon goals, with significant growth in sectors like photovoltaics and energy storage. The number of buyers for new energy charging piles has increased by 2.5 times, with transaction volumes rising by 184% [13].

Group 1 - The report highlights a recovery in market valuation, particularly in the mid-cap technology sector, driven by the emergence of DeepSeek and its impact on investor confidence in Chinese tech companies [3][11] - The overall revenue and gross profit of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board have shown signs of bottoming out, indicating a potential for recovery in performance [15][17] - The report suggests that the investment scale in the equity investment market is narrowing, with structural growth observed in sectors such as semiconductors, IT, and mechanical manufacturing [32][34] Group 2 - The report recommends focusing on emerging industries and high-growth segment leaders, particularly in the context of economic recovery and structural transformation [38][40] - It identifies four key investment directions: AI+, satellite internet, low-altitude economy, and domestic substitution, emphasizing the importance of technology, demand, and policy resonance [5][79] - The AI sector is expected to experience significant growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 30% over the next five years, driven by advancements in large model technologies and applications [74][78] Group 3 - The satellite internet sector is positioned as a critical infrastructure for the 6G era, with significant government support and strategic planning for satellite constellations [81][87] - The report notes that the global satellite industry is a multi-billion dollar market, with revenues expected to grow significantly due to increasing demand for satellite services [94] - The low-altitude economy is highlighted as an area of future development, with infrastructure construction being a key focus [5][86]