Core Insights - Data, as the fifth production factor, has unique characteristics such as non-competitiveness, replicability, and infinite growth potential, making its value extraction process more complex than traditional production factors [1] - The development of a market for data elements relies heavily on a clear policy framework and implementation pathways, with local data trading institutions and data merchants becoming key drivers [1][2] - The integration of government and industry is essential for establishing a robust ecosystem for data supply and usage, aiming for a phased goal of effective supply, fluid movement, good utilization, and security [1] Current Status of the Data Element Industry - The data element market system is gradually improving, driven by policy guidance and industrial construction, focusing on data, technology, and infrastructure [2] Policy Analysis - The improvement of the policy framework for the data industry value chain and the establishment of local data systems are crucial for the circulation of data element value [4] Market Scale Estimation - The domestic data element market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.26%, surpassing 300 billion yuan by 2028 [6] - The digital economy's core industries are projected to contribute significantly to the overall economic development, with the digital economy scale increasing from 27.2 trillion yuan in 2017 to 53.9 trillion yuan in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of about 12.07% [6] Data Value Chain Construction - The construction of a data value circulation system is supported by advanced technology and regulatory compliance [8] Data Compliance and Rights Confirmation - The establishment of a data ownership system based on the "Data Twenty Articles" is crucial for ensuring efficient circulation of data value [11] - The legal framework for data rights confirmation is expected to evolve, addressing challenges such as data classification and compliance standards [11] Data Registration - Data registration is essential for asset ownership division and promoting data value release, with a "1+3" policy framework guiding public data resource management [13] Data Value Assessment - The data valuation policy framework is becoming more refined, with public data resource quantification standards emerging as important benchmarks [16] Data Asset Inclusion in Financial Statements - The inclusion of data assets in financial statements marks a significant step towards capitalizing data elements, with regulations coming into effect in 2024 [19] Data Asset Trading - The data market exhibits a "cold inside, hot outside" distribution pattern, with off-market trading dominating due to its flexibility and customization [21] Capitalization of Data Assets - Capitalization of data assets is becoming a core method for value release, optimizing the asset-liability structure of data-intensive enterprises [23] Data Asset Tokenization - Data asset tokenization represents the highest level of data value application, integrating physical asset digitization with digital asset monetization [25] Industry Practice: Market Size Breakdown - Data resource-intensive industries are central to the data element market, with finance and internet sectors collectively holding about half of the market share [28] Practical Scenarios: Financial Industry - The financial sector is expected to see a CAGR of approximately 19.06%, reaching over 100 billion yuan by 2028, driven by data element integration [31] Practical Scenarios: Industrial Manufacturing - The industrial manufacturing sector is projected to grow at a CAGR of about 24.22%, driven by the demand for high-quality data and cross-industry data resource sharing [34] Practical Scenarios: Healthcare Industry - The healthcare sector's data element scale is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 23.69%, surpassing 25 billion yuan by 2028 [36] Trends: High-Quality Data Set Construction - High-quality data sets are becoming key to driving AI industry development, with a focus on systematic data collection and processing [39] Trends: Trusted Data Space Construction - The establishment of trusted data spaces is essential for ensuring the secure circulation and high-value application of data elements [42]

Macro Policy - The macro policy focus for the second half of the year is "sustained efforts and timely enhancements" [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes solid work in development reform, focusing on major changes, important indicators, and significant issues to stabilize employment and expand domestic demand [2][3] Fiscal Policy - The Ministry of Finance aims to utilize a more proactive fiscal policy and increase counter-cyclical adjustments [3] - Plans include accelerating the issuance and use of ultra-long special bonds and local government special bonds to generate physical workload [3] - The fiscal policy will support traditional industry upgrades, emerging industry growth, and future industry layout through various financial tools [3] Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, ensuring ample liquidity and guiding financial institutions to maintain reasonable credit growth [3] - The focus will be on improving the efficiency of fund usage and enhancing the execution and supervision of interest rate policies [3] Domestic Demand Expansion - Domestic demand contributed 68.8% to economic growth in the first half of the year, continuing to be a primary growth driver [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission plans to stabilize investment and promote consumption, enhancing government investment project management and stimulating private investment [4] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will implement strategies to expand domestic demand and support the industrial economy [4] Consumer Policy - The Ministry of Finance will improve the policy system supporting consumption in services such as elderly care, childcare, culture, and tourism [5] - Policies will include enhancing duty-free shop regulations and promoting healthy development of duty-free retail businesses [5] Employment and Livelihood - Ensuring livelihood security is a key focus for the second half of the year [6] - The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security will implement job expansion plans in key sectors and promote employment growth in digital, green, and nighttime economies [7] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will focus on grain production and poverty alleviation, aiming for a grain output target of approximately 1.4 trillion jin [7]

Group 1 - The announcement of tariffs by President Trump on April 2 has led to a significant decline in merger and acquisition (M&A) activities, with April's global M&A contracts dropping to the lowest level in over 20 years, totaling 2,330 deals, which is 34% lower than the historical monthly average [1] - The total value of global M&A activities fell to $233 billion in April, a 54% decrease from March and 20% lower than the average for the past 20 years [4] - In the U.S., only 555 deals were completed in April, marking the lowest level since May 2009 [1][4] Group 2 - Uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies has led investment bankers to advise clients to hold off on M&A and IPOs until there is more clarity [4] - Despite the overall decline, significant transactions like Global Payments' $24.25 billion acquisition of a credit card processing company provided some support to the struggling market [4] - The technology sector accounted for nearly 40% of the $600 billion in deals signed in the U.S. this year, with a focus on intellectual property rather than physical goods affected by tariffs [7] Group 3 - Different industries are experiencing varying impacts from the tariffs, with sectors like telecommunications, media, and utilities being less affected, while industrials and healthcare face greater challenges [7] - Investment banks are advising clients to thoroughly understand the additional risks associated with target companies' business models due to the current volatility in the market [7]