格隆汇1月6日｜今日市场持续走强，上证指数突破2025年11月14日的阶段高点，刷新2015年7月底以来 的新高。 中证500领涨主要规模类指数，中证500ETF易方达（510580）今日涨2.2%，2026年开年以来两个交易日 涨4.83%。 中证500ETF易方达（510580）作为布局中盘成长与新质生产力的核心工具，是投资者一键分散配置A股 优质中盘标的的高效选择。 对于当下市场，高盛1月5日发布题为《中国2026年展望：探索新动能》的宏观报告称，2026年建议高配 中国股票。 中证500指数作为A股中盘股核心标杆，聚焦沪深市场优质中小企业，兼顾均衡与成长，行业分布呈 现"传统与新兴并行、制造与科技协同"的鲜明特征，既覆盖能源、原材料等顺周期板块，又重仓电子、 医药生物、电力设备、计算机等新质生产力核心赛道，契合经济转型升级主线。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need to evaluate the fundamentals of companies from a global exposure perspective rather than a domestic economic cycle perspective, as more Chinese companies shift towards global markets [2] - The current market trend is driven by "smart money" and structural market dynamics, suggesting a strategy that minimizes volatility and avoids broadening exposure [2] - The average daily trading volume is expected to stabilize around 1.6 to 1.8 trillion yuan, indicating the digestion of recent emotional premiums [2] Group 2 - The logic supporting the rise of the Chinese stock market is sustainable, with expectations for new highs in A/H shares due to accelerated transformation and reduced uncertainties in economic development [3] - The decline in opportunity costs for the stock market, driven by a sinking risk-free return system, is leading to an explosion in asset management demand and new capital inflows [3] - Institutional changes and timely economic policies are crucial for boosting market valuations and improving perceptions of Chinese assets [3] Group 3 - The Chinese market presents broad opportunities, with a "transformation bull market" encompassing both structural and traditional sectors, including emerging technologies and valuation recovery in established companies [4] - Key sectors to watch include internet, media, innovative pharmaceuticals, electronics, semiconductors, and consumer brands, alongside cyclical sectors like non-ferrous metals and chemicals [4] - Long-term stability and monopolistic assumptions remain important, with recommendations for sectors such as brokerage, insurance, banking, and telecommunications [4] Group 4 - The market is currently experiencing a "volume peak," which historically indicates a continuation of upward trends, although the pace may slow [5][6] - The positive spiral of index profitability and incremental capital remains intact, suggesting that the liquidity-driven bull market narrative is still valid [6] - Investors are advised to maintain a "bull market mindset," as trends once established are difficult to reverse [6] Group 5 - High M1 growth and narrowing M2-M1 differentials indicate a trend of residents moving savings into equity markets, with a focus on high-prosperity sectors like software and communication equipment [7] - The expectation of three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has heightened interest in the A-share market, particularly in sectors poised for recovery [7] Group 6 - The focus on high-prosperity sectors and inflation improvement is crucial as the market transitions into a slow bull phase, with a need for fundamental support [8] - Key industries to monitor include AI, pig farming, new energy, new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and basic chemicals [8] Group 7 - The market is entering a phase of rotation and expansion, with a focus on sectors driven by prosperity and industrial trends [9] - September is traditionally a strong month for industry rotation, providing opportunities for new growth directions [9] Group 8 - The improvement of fundamentals is expected to spread prosperity across more sectors, moving beyond just growth versus value discussions [10] - Key areas for investment include upstream resources, capital goods, and domestic demand-related sectors like food and tourism [10] Group 9 - A-shares are likely to continue a volatile upward trend, supported by global liquidity conditions and domestic capital flows [11] - The AI sector is anticipated to be a primary driver of market performance, with significant potential for growth [11] Group 10 - The market is expected to maintain an upward trajectory, supported by reasonable valuations and emerging positive factors like the potential for a Federal Reserve rate cut [13] - Key sectors for September include power equipment, communication, computing, electronics, and automotive [13] Group 11 - The "slow bull" market in A-shares is expected to continue, with high-prosperity sectors being the primary focus [14] - The upcoming policy changes and the ongoing AI investment trends are likely to provide further market support [14]