Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the Hong Kong stock market [4] Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has shown a balanced increase across all styles, with the innovative drug sector leading the gains [1] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 1.3%, with the Hang Seng Composite Index also rising by 1.3% [1] - The report highlights a significant divergence in performance among major concept indices, with the Hang Seng Biotechnology Index rising by 7.0% and the Hang Seng Internet Index declining by 2.0% [1] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index's valuation increased by 1.1% to 12.2x, while the Hang Seng Composite Index's valuation rose by 1.3% to 12.1x [2] - The report notes that 20 industries saw an increase in valuation, with notable rises in Steel (+14.0%), Agriculture (+7.4%), Real Estate (+6.8%), and Pharmaceuticals (+6.2%) [2] Earnings Expectations - The earnings per share (EPS) for the Hang Seng Index increased by 0.4% compared to the previous week [3] - The report indicates that 18 industries experienced upward revisions in EPS, with the most significant increases in Electric Power Equipment and New Energy (+4.3%) and Construction (+1.8%) [3]

Group 1 - Public funds have significantly increased their allocation to Hong Kong stocks, with the investment market value reaching 1.362211 trillion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, a 43.09% increase from 951.985 billion yuan at the end of Q2 2025 [1] - The market value of equity and index funds in Hong Kong stocks reached 1.231653 trillion yuan and 701.284 billion yuan, reflecting increases of 45.02% and 73.07% respectively [1] - The surge in public fund holdings in Hong Kong stocks indicates a structural transformation in asset allocation, driven by the attractiveness of technology and value stocks [1] Group 2 - The influx of funds into Hong Kong ETFs is attributed to three main reasons: valuation advantages compared to A-shares, the convenience and low cost of ETF trading, and risk diversification benefits [2] - The top Hong Kong stocks that public funds increased their holdings in include SenseTime-W, Alibaba Health, China Biologic Products, and others, primarily in the information technology and healthcare sectors [2] - A total of 38 cross-border ETFs attracted a net inflow of 49.561 billion yuan in Q3, with a year-to-date net inflow of 72.642 billion yuan as of November 12 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The case of Nanwei Co., Ltd. highlights the increasing regulatory scrutiny and the critical role of auditing firms in preventing insider trading and financial misconduct, emphasizing a "zero tolerance" approach in the capital market [1][5][7]. Group 1: Regulatory Actions and Consequences - Nanwei's chairman Li Ping and CFO Xiang Qinhua were fined nearly 50 million yuan for insider trading, marking a significant regulatory action following a two-year investigation [1][5]. - The investigation was triggered by Tianheng Accounting Firm's discovery of suspicious fund usage in the "construction in progress" account, leading to a denial opinion report that resulted in Nanwei's stock being marked as ST (special treatment) [1][4][5]. - Li Ping sold 8.184 million shares, avoiding losses of approximately 11.77 million yuan, while Xiang Qinhua also sold shares during the sensitive period [3][5][6]. Group 2: Auditing Firm's Role - Tianheng's audit team identified irregularities and maintained a firm stance against Nanwei's management, ultimately leading to the issuance of a negative audit opinion [2][3][4]. - The audit firm’s refusal to compromise and its insistence on professional integrity played a crucial role in uncovering the insider trading activities [5][10]. - The case illustrates that auditing firms are no longer mere rubber stamps but are essential in enforcing compliance and protecting investor interests [5][10]. Group 3: Industry Implications - The case reflects a broader trend in regulatory practices, emphasizing the importance of strict oversight and accountability for both companies and their executives [7][8]. - The regulatory environment has shifted towards a dual penalty system, where both the company and responsible individuals face consequences for violations, increasing the cost of non-compliance [8][9]. - The industry is undergoing a transformation, with auditing firms enhancing their internal controls and risk management practices to adapt to the stringent regulatory landscape [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report indicates an "Overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting a positive outlook for the sector in the next six months [32]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in merger and acquisition (M&A) activities, with a total of 269 M&A events recorded, including 58 major transactions during the period from October 13 to November 2, 2025 [10]. - The report emphasizes the importance of policy updates aimed at enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of capital market regulations, particularly in supporting technology innovation and meeting diverse investor needs [8]. - The restructuring index outperformed the Wind All A index by 1.61% during the reporting period, indicating a strong performance relative to the broader market [24]. Summary by Sections 1. M&A Dynamics Review - A total of 13 failed M&A events were noted, while 44 M&A transactions were completed, including 2 major ones [10][18]. 2. Policy Updates - On October 31, the Chairman of the CSRC emphasized the need for more inclusive policies for M&A and capital market operations [8]. - The Shenzhen government aims to enhance the quality of listed companies, targeting a total market value exceeding 20 trillion yuan by the end of 2027 [8]. 3. Major M&A Updates - The report lists several significant M&A transactions, including the acquisition of 100% equity in various companies across different sectors, with transaction values reaching hundreds of millions to billions of yuan [14][16]. 4. Control Changes - Six companies reported changes in actual control, indicating shifts in ownership that may impact their strategic direction and market performance [21]. 5. Market Performance - The restructuring index showed a positive trend, with a rolling 20-day return turning from negative to positive, reflecting improved investor sentiment in the sector [24].

Major Events - *ST Zhengping's stock will be suspended for investigation starting October 29, 2025, due to a significant price increase of 152.42% from September 1 to October 28, 2025, with 21 days of trading halts and 5 instances of abnormal trading fluctuations [2] - Gongjin Co. announced that its major shareholder is planning a share transfer that may lead to a change in control, resulting in the stock being suspended from October 27, 2025, for up to 3 trading days [2] - Jiuquan Technology's wholly-owned subsidiary plans to invest 150 million yuan in establishing an industrial fund focused on chips and integrated circuits [2] Company Announcements - YN Holdings decided to terminate investment in 17 distributed photovoltaic projects originally planned for a total investment of 1.197 billion yuan due to changes in market conditions [3] - Awan New Materials announced a one-day stock suspension on October 29, 2025, due to a tender offer from Shanghai Zhiyuan Hengyue Technology Partnership, aiming to acquire 149,243,840 shares at 7.78 yuan per share [4] - Dahua Intelligent clarified that it currently has no business related to quantum technology despite market speculation [5] Financial Performance - Ganfeng Lithium reported a net profit of 557 million yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 364.02%, with revenues of 6.249 billion yuan, up 44.10% [6] - Light Media's net profit for Q3 2025 reached 1.06 billion yuan, a 993.71% increase, with revenues of 374 million yuan, up 247.54% [6] - Hainan Airport reported a net profit of 64.35 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a decline of 69.77% [7] - Su Li Co. achieved a net profit of 59.42 million yuan in Q3 2025, a 2750% increase, with revenues of 762 million yuan, up 26% [7] - Yutong Bus reported a net profit of 1.357 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a 78.98% increase, with revenues of 10.237 billion yuan, up 32.27% [9] Share Buybacks - Haida Group plans to repurchase shares worth between 1 billion to 1.6 billion yuan for capital reduction and employee stock ownership plans, with a maximum price of 62 yuan per share [20] - Liyuan Information intends to repurchase shares totaling 20 million to 30 million yuan, with a maximum price of 15 yuan per share [21] Major Contracts - Baiao Intelligent won a project worth 97.22 million yuan from a large state-owned company [22] - Guangdong Construction signed a construction contract worth 1.924 billion yuan for a project in Guangzhou, which will enhance its business scale and profitability [22] - Guangqi Technology's subsidiary signed contracts for mass production of metamaterials worth a total of 215 million yuan [23]

Core Viewpoint - On October 10, a total of 28 stocks received buy ratings from brokerages, with three stocks announcing target prices, indicating a positive sentiment in the market [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stocks with the highest target price increases are Qibin Group, Kema Technology, and Guiguan Electric, with target price increases of 80.7%, 44.2%, and 16.36% respectively [1] Group 2: Rating Adjustments - Out of the 28 stocks, 25 maintained their ratings, while 3 received their first ratings, showing a stable outlook for the majority of the stocks [1] Group 3: Industry Distribution - The sectors with the most stocks receiving buy ratings are Healthcare Equipment and Services (9 stocks), Pharmaceuticals (5 stocks), and Biotechnology and Life Sciences (3 stocks), highlighting strong interest in these industries [1]

Report Summary - The report presents the top ten convertible bonds for October 2025, along with an analysis of the issuing companies, including their business profiles, financial performance, and key attractions [13][23][35] Top Ten Convertible Bonds in October 2025 1. Zhongte Convertible Bond - Rating: AAA; 9 - month - end closing price: 112.896 yuan; Conversion premium rate: 85.92%; PE - TTM of the underlying stock: 13.22 [7][13] - Company: A globally leading specialized special - steel material manufacturer with a production capacity of about 20 million tons of special - steel materials per year. It has multiple production and raw - material bases, forming a strategic layout along the coast and rivers [13] - Financials: In 2024, revenue was 109.203 billion yuan (YoY - 4.22%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.126 billion yuan (YoY - 10.41%). In H1 2025, revenue was 54.715 billion yuan (YoY - 4.02%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.798 billion yuan (YoY + 2.67%) [13] - Key attractions: It is one of the world's most comprehensive special - steel enterprises in terms of variety and specification, with leading cost - control ability and potential for external expansion [14] 2. Shanlu Convertible Bond - Rating: AAA; 9 - month - end closing price: 119.346 yuan; Conversion premium rate: 48.74%; PE - TTM of the underlying stock: 4.08 [7][23] - Company: Mainly engaged in road and bridge construction and maintenance, and also expanding into other fields. It can provide one - stop comprehensive services [23] - Financials: In 2024, revenue was 71.348 billion yuan (YoY - 2.3%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.322 billion yuan (YoY + 1.47%). In H1 2025, revenue was 28.575 billion yuan (YoY + 0.26%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.029 billion yuan (YoY + 0.89%) [23] - Key attractions: It has the concept of "China - specific valuation", potential for improvement in various aspects under the debt - resolution background, and opportunities from regional infrastructure construction and the Belt and Road Initiative [24] 3. Hebang Convertible Bond - Rating: AA; 9 - month - end closing price: 126.41 yuan; Conversion premium rate: 21.55%; PE - TTM of the underlying stock: - 168.47 [7][35] - Company: With advantages in mineral resources and gas supply, it has completed a basic layout in the chemical, agricultural, and photovoltaic fields [35] - Financials: In 2024, revenue was 8.547 billion yuan (YoY - 3.13%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 31 million yuan (YoY - 97.55%). In H1 2025, revenue was 3.921 billion yuan (YoY - 19.13%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 52 million yuan (YoY - 73.07%) [35] - Key attractions: Its phosphate mines and salt mines have good profit - making potential, and the liquid methionine business is a major profit contributor [36] 4. Aima Convertible Bond - Rating: AA; 9 - month - end closing price: 128.513 yuan; Conversion premium rate: 38.62%; PE - TTM of the underlying stock: 13.41 [7][45] - Company: The leading enterprise in the electric two - wheeled vehicle industry, mainly engaged in R & D, production, and sales of electric two - wheeled vehicles [45] - Financials: In 2024, revenue was 21.606 billion yuan (YoY + 2.71%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.988 billion yuan (YoY + 5.68%). In H1 2025, revenue was 13.031 billion yuan (YoY + 23.04%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.213 billion yuan (YoY + 27.56%) [45] - Key attractions: It may benefit from government subsidies, new national standards, and potential improvement in gross margin [46] 5. Xingye Convertible Bond - Rating: AAA; 9 - month - end closing price: 120.859 yuan; Conversion premium rate: 29.02%; PE - TTM of the underlying stock: 5.43 [7][54] - Company: One of the first joint - stock commercial banks in China, evolving into a modern financial service group [54] - Financials: In 2024, revenue was 212.226 billion yuan (YoY + 0.66%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 77.205 billion yuan (YoY + 0.12%). In H1 2025, revenue was 110.458 billion yuan (YoY - 2.29%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 43.141 billion yuan (YoY + 0.21%) [54] - Key attractions: It has stable asset quality and scale growth [55] 6. Wentai Convertible Bond - Rating: AA -; 9 - month - end closing price: 128.918 yuan; Conversion premium rate: 20.93%; PE - TTM of the underlying stock: - 23.14 [7][66] - Company: A globally leading semiconductor enterprise adopting the IDM model, providing R & D, manufacturing, and testing services [66] - Financials: In 2024, revenue was 73.598 billion yuan (YoY + 20.23%), net profit attributable to shareholders was - 2.833 billion yuan (YoY - 339.83%). In H1 2025, revenue was 25.341 billion yuan (YoY - 24.56%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 474 million yuan (YoY + 237.36%) [66] - Key attractions: After focusing on the semiconductor business, it benefits from market recovery and has growth potential in the automotive and consumer electronics fields [67] 7. Chongyin Convertible Bond - Rating: AAA; 9 - month - end closing price: 121.778 yuan; Conversion premium rate: 31.87%; PE - TTM of the underlying stock: 5.88 [7][77] - Company: An early local joint - stock commercial bank in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River and Southwest China, with a wide range of business scopes [77] - Financials: In 2024, revenue was 13.679 billion yuan (YoY + 3.54%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.117 billion yuan (YoY + 3.8%). In H1 2025, revenue was 7.659 billion yuan (YoY + 7%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.19 billion yuan (YoY + 5.39%) [77] - Key attractions: It can benefit from the development of the Chengdu - Chongqing economic circle, has stable asset - scale growth, and effective risk - control strategies [78] 8. Tianye Convertible Bond - Rating: AA +; 9 - month - end closing price: 120.562 yuan; Conversion premium rate: 48.06%; PE - TTM of the underlying stock: 146.42 [7][89] - Company: A leading enterprise in the chlor - alkali chemical industry in Xinjiang, with an integrated circular economy industrial chain [89] - Financials: In 2024, revenue was 11.156 billion yuan (YoY - 2.7%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 68 million yuan (YoY + 108.83%). In H1 2025, revenue was 5.16 billion yuan (YoY - 0.98%), net profit attributable to shareholders was - 9 million yuan (YoY - 228.22%) [89] - Key attractions: It may benefit from the price change of caustic soda and has plans for dividend increase and coal - mine projects [90] 9. Aorui Convertible Bond - Rating: AA -; 9 - month - end closing price: 126.412 yuan; Conversion premium rate: 40.56%; PE - TTM of the underlying stock: 22.72 [7][100] - Company: A company focusing on the R & D, production, and sales of complex APIs and preparations, with leading positions in multiple fields [100] - Financials: In 2024, revenue was 1.476 billion yuan (YoY + 16.89%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 355 million yuan (YoY + 22.59%). In H1 2025, revenue was 822 million yuan (YoY + 12.5%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 235 million yuan (YoY + 24.55%) [100] - Key attractions: It has a growing dealer network, expanding preparation products, and high - quality customer resources [101] 10. Yushui Convertible Bond - Rating: AAA; 9 - month - end closing price: 125.081 yuan; Conversion premium rate: 30.74%; PE - TTM of the underlying stock: 26.93 [7][108] - Company: The largest integrated water supply and drainage enterprise in Chongqing, with a stable monopoly position [108] - Financials: In 2024, revenue was 6.999 billion yuan (YoY - 3.52%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 785 million yuan (YoY - 27.88%). In H1 2025, revenue was 3.519 billion yuan (YoY + 7.16%), net profit attributable to shareholders was 458 million yuan (YoY + 10.06%) [108] - Key attractions: It has a high market share, is expanding business externally, and has effective cost - control measures [109]

Economic Overview - The GDP of Shangzhou District grew by 4.6% in 2024, with a further increase to 6% in the first half of 2025[2] - The contribution of the three industries to GDP in 2024 was 10.4% for the primary sector, 25.1% for the secondary sector, and 64.5% for the tertiary sector[2] - Fixed asset investment increased by 21.8% year-on-year in 2024, while real estate investment saw a significant decline of 21.1%[2] Fiscal Situation - The local general public budget revenue reached 55.746 million yuan in 2024, a growth of 5.84%, but tax revenue fell by 22.9% to 32.765 million yuan[3] - The general budget expenditure rose from 3.302 billion yuan in 2021 to 4.211 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 0.44%[3] - The debt balance increased to 8.345 billion yuan in 2024, representing 43.62% of GDP, which is 15 times the general public budget revenue[3] Industry Development - Shangzhou District is focusing on five key industrial clusters: new materials, green food, health medicine, cultural tourism, and building materials[1] - The new materials industry is prioritized, with a target to develop a high-end edible fungus industry base by 2025, aiming for 100 million bags[18] - The cultural tourism sector received 4.6433 million visitors in the first seven months of 2025, generating a total tourism revenue of 2.948 billion yuan[19] Risks and Recommendations - The district faces risks from national macroeconomic policy changes, economic slowdown, and challenges in industrial transformation[4] - Recommendations include focusing on industrial upgrading, enhancing technological innovation, and improving the investment environment[4]

Group 1: Innovation Qizhi (02121.HK) - The report initiates coverage on Innovation Qizhi, projecting revenues of 1.471 billion, 1.729 billion, and 2.008 billion CNY for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 20.4%, 17.5%, and 16.2% respectively [1][7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be -170 million, -127 million, and -61 million CNY for the same period, with adjusted net profit turning positive in 2026 [1][7] - The target market capitalization for 2025 is estimated at 5.642 billion HKD, corresponding to a target price of 10.01 HKD, with a "Buy" rating assigned [1][7] Group 2: Shenzhou Cell (688520.SH) - The company is expected to generate revenues of 2.194 billion, 2.543 billion, and 3.021 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with a year-on-year decline of 12.7% in 2025, followed by growth of 15.9% and 18.8% in the subsequent years [2][12] - The first half of 2025 saw revenues of 972 million CNY, a decrease of 25.5%, primarily due to regional policy impacts and price reductions in the market [10][11] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, considering the potential catalysts from its innovative pipeline despite short-term sales pressure [2][12] Group 3: Jiangshan Oupai (603208.SH) - The company reported revenues of 868 million and 466 million CNY for the first half and second quarter of 2025, reflecting declines of 39.82% and 42.9% year-on-year [14][15] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 10 million and 7 million CNY for the same periods, showing significant declines of 90.39% and 91.3% respectively [14][15] - The company is transitioning its business model from heavy asset to light asset and is expected to gradually improve performance as strategic adjustments take effect [16] Group 4: Swine Industry Dynamics - In August 2025, listed pig companies reported an output of 16.6036 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 29.11% and a month-on-month increase of 6.86% [5][18] - The total revenue for listed pig companies in August was 24.859 billion CNY, a decrease of 14.21% year-on-year, while cumulative revenue from January to August reached 205.332 billion CNY, up 11.57% year-on-year [5][19] - The average selling price of pigs in August decreased by 31.03% year-on-year, attributed to an oversupply in the market despite a slight month-on-month increase [20]

Group 1: Employment Data Overview - In August, the U.S. non-farm payrolls added only 22,000 jobs, significantly below the expected 75,000[2] - The unemployment rate rose to a new high of 4.3%, aligning with market expectations, while the labor force participation rate increased to 62.3%[3] - The June employment figure was revised down by 27,000 to a negative growth of -13,000 jobs[3] Group 2: Sector Performance - Employment in cyclical industries decreased by 48,000 jobs, a decline that expanded by 26,000 jobs compared to the previous month[3] - Non-cyclical industries added 24,000 jobs, but this was a decrease of 52,000 jobs compared to June[3] - The education and health services sector saw a slowdown, with only 46,000 jobs added in August compared to 77,000 in July[20] Group 3: Federal Reserve Implications - Following the employment data release, market sentiment shifted from "rate cut trading" to "recession trading"[5] - The probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in September rose to 11%, with expectations for three rate cuts within the year increasing from 2.4 to 2.8 times[5] - The baseline scenario suggests two rate cuts by the end of the year, contingent on the unemployment rate rising to 4.6% or higher[5] Group 4: Market Reactions - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 10 basis points to approximately 4.06% following the data release[5] - The U.S. dollar index depreciated to 97.5, while spot gold prices surged past $3,600 per ounce[5] - The S&P 500 index rose by 0.3%, and the Hang Seng index increased by 1.4% during the week[6]