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汇丰最新观点出炉 继续看好这一板块
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-09 23:33
Group 1 - The focus of monetary policy will be on enhancing policy transmission, reducing overall financing costs, and promoting the use of structural monetary policy tools, with increased funding directed towards technology innovation, service consumption, and elderly care sectors [1] - HSBC maintains a positive outlook on the A-share market, particularly favoring high-quality growth sectors, with significant expected profit growth for AI infrastructure, AI drivers, and AI application companies by 2025 [2] - The further popularization of AI and the deepening trend of domestic substitution are expected to accelerate revenue growth in cloud services, supported by increased capital expenditures from major Chinese tech companies and telecom service providers [3] Group 2 - New consumption trends are emerging, driven by structural changes in society and demographics, with the Z generation becoming a core force in this new consumption wave, contributing 40% of total consumption despite being less than 20% of the population [4] - The retail sales of home appliances and furniture have seen strong growth of 30.7% and 22.9% year-on-year, respectively, due to policies like the old-for-new subsidy [4] - HSBC remains optimistic about the Asian market, particularly in healthcare, while adjusting its view on the industrial sector to neutral due to high valuations [6] Group 3 - HSBC holds a positive view on the markets of China, India, and Singapore, while maintaining a neutral stance on Japan [7] - The company has a favorable outlook on the US stock market, especially in the communication services, information technology, and financial sectors, while keeping a neutral view on US Treasury bonds and investment-grade bonds [8]
汇丰最新观点出炉!继续看好这一板块
证券时报· 2025-08-09 14:26
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that monetary policy will focus on enhancing policy transmission, reducing overall financing costs, and promoting the use of structural monetary policy tools. There will be increased funding support for sectors such as technological innovation, service consumption, and elderly care [1] - The company maintains a positive outlook on the A-share market, particularly favoring high-quality growth sectors. According to market consensus, companies involved in AI infrastructure, AI drivers, and AI applications are expected to see significant profit growth by 2025 [3] - The further popularization of AI and the deepening trend of domestic substitution are anticipated to accelerate revenue growth in cloud services. Major Chinese tech companies and telecom service providers have begun to increase capital expenditures, which is expected to improve user data and boost industry investment confidence [4] Group 2 - New consumption trends are emerging, driven by structural changes in Chinese society and demographics. The Z generation is becoming a core force in this new consumption wave, contributing 40% of the total consumption despite representing less than 20% of the population. Their overall consumption scale is projected to quadruple to 16 trillion yuan by 2035 [6][7] - The company expects that as the consumption power of the Z generation continues to rise, the new consumption sector will sustain growth, presenting structural growth opportunities [7] Group 3 - The company maintains an optimistic view on the Asian market, particularly in the healthcare sector, which is seen as attractive due to increased investment and AI innovation. However, caution is advised as the industrial sector's valuations have risen above their five-year average [10] - The company is optimistic about markets in China, India, and Singapore, while maintaining a neutral stance on Japan. The US stock market is viewed positively, especially in the communication services, information technology, and financial sectors [11]
汇丰看好A股关注新消费赛道机会
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-07 02:52
在消费领域,受益于以旧换新补贴政策,年初至今家用电器和音像器材、家具类零售额同比分别实 现30.7%、22.9%的强劲增长。与此同时,中国消费的新热点和新浪潮不断涌现,以茶饮、潮玩、轻 奢、宠物为代表的新消费赛道快速崛起。 证券时报记者 李颖超 近日,汇丰就当下投资市场发表最新观点,表示对A股积极乐观,继续看好具备高质量成长风格的 板块。 汇丰私人银行及财富管理中国首席投资总监匡正认为,货币政策重心将聚焦于增强政策传导、促进 社会综合融资成本下行及推进结构性货币政策工具的使用;在支持方向上,针对科技创新、服务消费和 养老等行业的资金投放力度或将加强。 在科技创新方面,根据Wind发布的市场一致预期,人工智能(AI)领域获得的关注度较高,AI基 础设施、AI推动方和AI应用方等三类公司在今年的盈利增速较前几年均有明显提升。"AI的进一步普及 和国产替代趋势的深化,将有望促使云业务收入加速增长。"匡正说。 匡正进一步表示,近两年,中国主要科技公司和通信服务商的资本支出开始加速。未来,随着中国 大型科技公司的云业务加速增长,以及核心业务进一步与AI整合,用户数据将有望得到更多改善,带 动行业投资信心持续回暖。 "这 ...
汇丰:政策托举和结构性亮点为市场注入积极预期
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-08-06 13:02
今年是"十四五"规划收官之年。日前召开的中共中央政治局会议,在分析研究当前经济形势、部署 下半年经济工作时,提出"宏观政策要持续发力、适时加力"。 汇丰认为,这些新消费趋势部分是由中国社会与人口长期及结构性的变化趋势带来的,这些变化正 在重塑消费市场。从年龄层次看,Z世代(1995—2009年出生的人群)正日益成为驱动新消费浪潮的核 心力量。相关数据显示,Z世代虽然占中国总人口的比重不到20%,但所贡献的消费规模已占到40%; 到2035年,Z世代整体消费规模预计将增长4倍至16万亿元。 "我们预计,随着Z世代消费力继续提升,由他们引领的新消费有望持续增长,该赛道未来或将展 现结构性增长机会。"匡正表示。 汇丰私人银行及财富管理中国首席投资总监匡正指出,本次会议强调推动落实既有政策,保证政策 推行效率及准确性,同时也保留了未来政策灵活性,更多中期政策思路将在后续"十五五"规划中进一步 明确。货币政策重心将聚焦于增强政策传导、促进社会综合融资成本下行,及推进结构性货币政策工具 的使用。在政策支持方向上,对科技创新、服务消费和养老等行业的资金投放力度或将加强。 此外,会议强调要有效释放内需潜力。"促进消费的政策支 ...
汇丰:对中国股市“持积极观点”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-06 06:02
据匡正分析,受益于以旧换新补贴政策,今年年初至今,中国家用电器和音像器材、家具类的零售额强 劲增长。而近期中国消费的新热点和新浪潮也在不断涌现,以茶饮、潮玩、轻奢、宠物为代表的"新消 费"赛道快速崛起。这些新消费趋势部分是由中国社会与人口长期及结构性的变化趋势带来的,这些变 化正在重塑消费市场。 "'Z世代'(1995-2009年出生的人群)正日益成为驱动新消费浪潮的核心力量,相关数据显示,'Z世代'虽然 占中国总人口的比重不到20%,但所贡献的消费规模已占到40%。到2035年,'Z世代'整体消费规模预计 将增长4倍至16万亿元人民币。因此,我们预计,随着'Z世代'消费力继续提升,由他们引领的'新消 费'有望持续增长,该赛道未来或将展现结构性增长机会。"匡正说。 (文章来源:中国新闻网) 中新社上海8月6日电 (记者姜煜)汇丰私人银行及财富管理中国首席投资总监匡正6日发表投资市场观点 称,对中国股市"持积极观点"。 "随着人工智能的普及、人工智能国产替代趋势的深化,预计人工智能基础设施、推动方和应用方这三 类公司的2025年盈利增速均较前几年有明显提升。我们继续看好这一高质量成长板块。"匡正说,未 来,中国 ...
从表达到共鸣:品牌与消费者的沟通之道
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-07-15 16:01
Group 1: Market Trends - Several luxury brands are adjusting their strategies in the Chinese market, with Gucci closing 6 stores in a year and Burberry's sales in Greater China declining by 21% year-on-year [1] - The Zegna Group reported a 14.5% decrease in revenue in China, and a total of 14 stores were closed by six top luxury brands in mainland China throughout 2024 [1] - Bain & Company forecasts a 2% decline in global personal luxury goods consumption in 2024, marking the first drop in a decade [1] Group 2: Brand Strategy Insights - Zhang Chunyu, a brand management expert, emphasizes the importance of establishing genuine connections with consumers rather than merely focusing on product sales [1][3] - The shift from heavy flavors to lighter, more refreshing tastes in snack foods reflects changing consumer preferences, as seen in the successful launch of Lay's cucumber-flavored chips [4][5] - Cartier's strategy to reposition its wedding rings involved shifting the narrative from traditional luxury to focusing on emotional connections in relationships, leading to increased consumer engagement [6][7] Group 3: Cultural Relevance - International brands are facing challenges in connecting with Chinese consumers, as traditional marketing approaches feel disconnected [9][10] - The collaboration between Coach and the iconic Chinese brand White Rabbit represents a significant cultural crossover, allowing Coach to resonate more deeply with local consumers [10][11] - The success of this collaboration demonstrates the potential for international brands to use local cultural symbols to create emotional connections with consumers [10][11] Group 4: Brand Growth Principles - Zhang Chunyu has developed a "brand growth principles" methodology that emphasizes understanding consumer needs, establishing strategic brand positions, and ensuring consistent brand expression across all touchpoints [12][13] - This approach aims to transition brands from price competition to value-driven engagement, aligning with modern consumer expectations for brand values and experiences [12][13]