新华财经成都8月16日电（记者袁波）"2025成都进口嘉年华"系列活动15日在成都启动，旨在进一步助 力成都提升国际消费中心城市能级。 数据显示，今年上半年成都外贸进出口总额达4274.7亿元，同比增长9.4%，其中，冰鲜三文鱼进口5.6 亿元、增长31.9%，螯龙虾进口4.9亿元、增长321%。 在成都热门商圈，多场进口消费主题活动陆续开展。"2025成都进口嘉年华"的首场活动以"夏日全球 GO"为主题，从8月15日持续至8月17日，活动现场搭建的特色进口商品集市，紧扣高品质吃、穿、用等 生活需求，汇聚国际特色商品，让市民在成都就能感受异域风情。专业供应链企业则展示了进口商 品"从海外到餐桌"的全链条保障能力，凸显成都作为进口商品集散中心的枢纽优势。 此外，"2025成都进口嘉年华"将构建起立体多元的消费体验体系，活动期间恰逢成都世运会，"世运有 礼成都等你"暑期消费季活动与赛事热度深度融合，为中外来宾呈现成都的消费活力。该系列活动将持 续到11月。 为促进国际国内两个市场加快转化，此次系列活动期间还精准搭建贸易对接桥梁。8月和11月将分别在 成都、上海组织两场进口供需对接活动，以热门进口消费品品类为主题， ...

红星新闻网8月15日讯为进一步深度链接消费和贸易，助推国际消费中心城市建设，8月15日，"2025成都进口嘉年华"系列活动拉开大幕。在成都环球中心， 以"夏日全球GO"为主题的首场活动将持续至17日，通过搭建进口商品集市，为市民开启一场跨越洲际的消费盛宴。 "2025成都进口嘉年华"系列活动将贯穿8月—11月，横跨成都世运会、中秋—国庆、进博会等重要时间节点，集中开展2场成都进口嘉年华主题活动、2场进 口供需对接会，联动23个区（市）县打造100个以上进口消费特色场景，激发消费新动能，持续做大做强进口市场主体，促进国际国内两个市场加快转化。 100个以上进口消费特色场景席卷全城 "在成都、购全球"品牌效应不断深化 在"夏日全球GO"主题活动现场，市民刘先生选购了一些来自欧洲的酒水饮料，"周末假期家里经常会有朋友来，今天看到这里在搞活动，价格也合适，赶紧 囤一些！"李女士则对东南亚零食更感兴趣，"之前在泰国吃到过这种口味的零食，没想到今天在家门口就买到了。" 市商务局相关负责人表示，还将举办中秋—国庆"金秋全球汇"主题消费活动，同时配套进口三文鱼、进口酒水进社区进楼宇进街区等专题消费活动。此外， 全市23个区（ ...

Group 1: Event Overview - The "2025 Chengdu Import Carnival" series aims to enhance Chengdu's status as an international consumption center and establish it as a hub for imported goods [1][2] - The first event, themed "Summer Global GO," will take place from August 15 to 17, featuring a variety of high-quality imported products from around the world [2][3] - The event will include a "Country Recommendation Officer" mechanism, where representatives from consulates and trade promotion agencies will promote their respective countries' products [2][3] Group 2: Economic Impact - Chengdu's foreign trade import and export total reached 427.47 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 9.4% [6] - Notable increases in imports include fresh salmon at 560 million yuan (up 31.9%) and lobster at 490 million yuan (up 321%) [6] - The series of activities is expected to stimulate local consumption and enhance the city's economic vitality [6] Group 3: Consumer Engagement - The event will feature interactive experiences and product showcases from key enterprises, enhancing consumer engagement and satisfaction [3][4] - The activities will coincide with the Chengdu World University Games, integrating sports events with local consumption to boost visitor spending [5][7] - The "GO" guide will provide detailed information on popular imported products and brands, facilitating consumer navigation and enhancing the shopping experience [2][6] Group 4: Digital and Social Media Influence - The event is expected to leverage social media platforms to drive consumer interest and engagement, as evidenced by a significant increase in video content related to Chengdu [7][8] - The online-to-offline conversion of consumer interest is being actively pursued, with a notable increase in restaurant orders linked to social media engagement [7][8] - The overall transaction volume for dining and entertainment in Chengdu has seen substantial growth, indicating a robust consumer market [8]

Group 1 - The core objective of the "2025 Chengdu Import Carnival" is to enhance the city's international consumption center capabilities and convert market potential into economic benefits through increased import scale [2] - The series of events will take place from August to November, aiming to capture consumer trends and link consumption with trade, thereby promoting stable and optimized foreign trade [2][11] - The first event, themed "Summer Global GO," will be held from August 15 to 17, featuring an import goods market that showcases high-quality products from around the world [3][9] Group 2 - The activities will focus on meeting the diverse and personalized demands of young consumers, who are seen as the main force in the consumption market [6] - The event will invite representatives from consulates and trade promotion agencies to act as "Country Recommendation Officers," promoting unique products from their respective regions [7] - Various enterprises will participate in the event to explore new consumer demands and enhance the import market [8] Group 3 - The series of activities will create a synergistic effect, coinciding with other major events such as the Chengdu Universiade and various seasonal activities, to stimulate new consumption [9][10] - A total of 100 unique import consumption scenarios will be developed across 23 districts, integrating local industry advantages and consumer trends [10] - The event will feature immersive experiences, allowing consumers to engage with high-quality imported products and understand the purchasing options available in Chengdu [10] Group 4 - Two supply-demand matching events will be organized in August and November to facilitate international and domestic market transitions, promoting a streamlined import trade path [11] - The import supply-demand matching meetings will focus on popular imported consumer goods, aiming to optimize supply structures and promote consumption upgrades [11] - Chengdu's foreign trade has shown significant growth, with a total import-export volume of 427.47 billion yuan in the first half of the year, reflecting a 9.4% year-on-year increase [11][12] Group 5 - Chengdu is continuously improving its international business environment, with significant increases in passenger and cargo throughput at its airports and a leading position in the operation of China-Europe freight trains [12] - The city aims to enhance its "soft" services for import entities, further supporting the growth of its international trade capabilities [12]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's Daly indicates that importers and retailers are absorbing some of the tariffs imposed on goods, which may impact pricing strategies and consumer behavior in the market [1] Group 1 - Importers are taking on a portion of the tariffs, which suggests a shift in cost burden from consumers to businesses [1] - Retailers are also absorbing some of the tariff costs, potentially affecting their profit margins and pricing strategies [1] - This absorption of tariffs by importers and retailers may lead to changes in market dynamics and consumer purchasing patterns [1]

Core Insights - The Trump administration's implementation of a reciprocal tariff policy resulted in additional tariffs ranging from 10% to 49% on most imported goods, which was later adjusted to a 10% rate due to market volatility [1][2] - The tariff policy led to a significant increase in tariff revenue, with April's revenue reaching $17.43 billion, a year-on-year increase of 130%, and May's revenue surpassing $24 billion, a 270% increase, setting historical records [2] - Despite the increase in tariffs, inflation rates remained stable, with the core CPI showing a consistent year-on-year increase of around 2.8% since March, and the overall CPI rising only 2.4% in May [4] Tariff Revenue Analysis - Tariff revenue for June was projected to exceed $28 billion, indicating a continuous record-breaking trend over three months [2] - The 10% tariff rate appears to balance corporate profits while maintaining product supply in the U.S. market, thus enhancing tariff revenue [2] Inflation and Price Stability - The anticipated inflation surge did not materialize, with May's major goods showing only a 0.3% year-on-year price increase, and some goods, like televisions and smartphones, experiencing price declines of 9.8% and 14.3%, respectively [4][6] - The automotive sector, despite facing a 25% tariff, saw a minimal price increase of only 0.4% [4] Future Implications - U.S. importers have been stockpiling low-tariff goods prior to the policy implementation, which has temporarily masked the impact of the tariff increases on prices [6] - The delayed effect of price transmission through the supply chain suggests that the full impact of tariffs may not be felt until later, with July being a critical month [6] - Importers are currently absorbing some of the tariff costs, but this situation is unsustainable in the long term, especially if tariffs are further increased [6] - Predictions indicate that the average effective tariff rate may rise to 15% in the coming months, with core CPI expected to increase to between 3% and 3.5% by the end of 2025, suggesting potential future price pressures on consumers [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant impact of high tariffs on U.S. imports, predicting a sharp decline in import volumes in the second half of the year due to panic buying and subsequent supply chain disruptions [2][8]. Group 1: Import Trends - U.S. total imports increased by 23.3% in the current year, with a notable rise in March where the trade deficit expanded to $140.5 billion, a $17.3 billion increase (14%) from the previous month [2]. - Panic buying is evident as companies stockpile goods in anticipation of upcoming tariffs, particularly in consumer goods, which saw a historic high increase of $22.5 billion in March [3]. - The import of pharmaceuticals surged by $20.9 billion, while other categories like clothing, footwear, and electronics also saw significant increases [3]. Group 2: Tariff Implications - The Trump administration's tariff policies, including a 25% tariff on imported cars and similar rates on auto parts, have led to a surge in imports as businesses rush to secure inventory [3]. - High tariffs are expected to lead to a drastic drop in imports in the latter half of the year, with many retailers facing potential stock shortages [8]. Group 3: Supply Chain Disruptions - A significant drop of 43% in container arrivals at U.S. ports was reported, with predictions of a further 15% to 20% reduction in container ship arrivals at the Port of Los Angeles [7]. - Retailers are facing inventory shortages, with many only having 5 to 7 weeks of stock left, which could lead to reduced product availability and increased prices [7][9]. Group 4: Consumer Impact - Rising prices due to tariffs are expected to pressure real income growth, leading consumers to reduce spending and increase savings [9]. - The inventory shortages may affect holiday promotions and discount strategies, with consumers likely facing limited choices and rapidly depleting stock during key shopping periods [9]. Group 5: Economic Outlook - The manufacturing index has dropped to 48.7, indicating a contraction in the sector, with weak domestic demand and declining business confidence [9]. - Analysts predict that even if trade tensions ease, the damage to confidence and economic activity will persist, leading to slower economic growth and rising unemployment [9].