证券研究报告|宏观研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 11 月 27 日 [Table_Title] 股票型 ETF 全解析 [Table_Title2] ETF 投资手册之一 [Table_Summary] ► 股票型 ETF 是什么产品？ 股票型 ETF 全称是交易型开放式指数基金，其名称刚好对应它 的三个特点："交易型"指该基金份额可在证券交易所内像股 票一样进行买卖，投资者可按市场价格实时交易；"开放式" [Table_Summary] 近年来，国内股票型 ETF 的发展高歌猛进，越来越多出现在广 大投资者视野之中。本篇报告在系统梳理股票型 ETF 市场整体 情况的基础上，对各类产品特征与细分品种市场表现进行归 纳，旨在为投资者把握各类 ETF 投资机会，提供清晰的框架。 意味着基金份额不设固定上限，投资者既可通过券商在二级市 场交易，也可按净值在一级市场进行申购与赎回。"指数基 金"则是该基金采取被动管理策略，其主要目标是紧密跟踪某 一特定指数的表现，而非由基金经理进行主动选股。 ►股票型 ETF 概览：规模快速扩张，可划分为五类 截至 2025 年 9 月，我国股票型 ETF 数量已 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The current market is characterized as a liquidity bull market, where traditional fundamental analysis struggles to explain short-term fluctuations[1] - Since July, positive policies have driven the market upward, with significant contributions from sectors like technology and AI[9] - Economic data from Q3 shows production growth at 5.7% while demand indicators are at -0.6%, indicating a widening supply-demand gap[10] Group 2: Investor Behavior and Fund Flows - Net inflows into stock ETFs reflect large-scale investor sentiment, with significant inflows during market downturns indicating a stabilizing effect[2] - Personal investors' buying patterns show that after significant purchases, market performance tends to weaken, with current buying levels remaining reasonable[26] - As of October 31, the financing balance accounted for 2.54% of the A-share market capitalization, significantly lower than the 4.72% peak in 2015, indicating a less aggressive leverage environment[4] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Risk Indicators - Implied volatility has decreased since late August, suggesting a cooling of speculative sentiment and a move towards a more rational market consensus[2] - The concentration of trading activity, measured by the top 5% of stocks, reached 43.15% on October 31, approaching the historical warning level of 45%[4] - The proportion of stocks priced above the 95th historical percentile was 16.79%, exceeding the 15% threshold that historically signals adjustment risks[4] Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite structural risks, the bull market still has potential for further development, with implied volatility indicating sensitivity to both positive and negative news[4] - The report suggests increasing positions in dividend stocks while waiting for better entry points in thematic investments, particularly after improvements in concentration and high-price stock indicators[4]

Market Overview - The three major indices experienced fluctuations and declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.94%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 2.7%, and the ChiNext Index down by 4.55% [1] - Multiple ETFs in the oil and petrochemical sector saw increases, including the Oil and Gas Resources ETF (563150.SH) up by 1.72% and the Energy ETF (159945.SZ) up by 1.45% [1] ETF Market Growth - As of September 30, the total scale of ETFs in the market reached a historical high of 5.63 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.9 trillion yuan since the beginning of the year, representing a growth rate of over 50% [2] - The total number of ETF shares reached 3.01 trillion, with an increase of 353 billion shares, marking a growth of over 13% [2] - Stock ETFs accounted for approximately 66% of the total ETF scale, with a total scale of 3.71 trillion yuan, while bond ETFs surpassed 690 billion yuan, making up about 12% of the total [2] Industry and Thematic ETFs Performance - The combined scale of industry and thematic ETFs exceeded 1 trillion yuan, with a year-to-date growth of over 77% [3] - As of September 30, there were 483 thematic ETFs with a total scale of 774.79 billion yuan and 84 industry ETFs with a scale of 287.63 billion yuan [3] - The number of shares for industry ETFs increased by 84.71 billion to 306.54 billion, while thematic ETFs saw an increase of 205.03 billion to 728.06 billion [3] ETF Market Dynamics - Analysts suggest that the ETF market is evolving from "blurry allocation" to "precise allocation," with industry and thematic ETFs attracting significant investment due to market conditions, product offerings, and demand [4] - Looking ahead to Q4, high-quality sectors are expected to continue performing well, although overall growth rates may slow [4] Sector Performance - In today's market, sectors such as construction materials, coal, and textiles showed positive performance, with daily increases of 1.92%, 1.37%, and 1.3% respectively [7] - Conversely, the electronics, power equipment, and computer sectors experienced declines, with daily decreases of 4.71%, 4.46%, and 3.7% respectively [7] ETF Performance by Category - Among different categories of ETFs, the stock strategy index ETFs performed the best with an average increase of 0.24%, while the thematic index ETFs had the worst performance with an average decrease of 3.14% [10] - The top-performing ETFs included the Construction Materials ETFs, with the highest daily returns of 3.12%, 2.97%, and 2.94% [12][13] Trading Volume Insights - The top three ETFs by trading volume were the Sci-Tech 50 ETF (588000.SH) with 8.808 billion yuan, the Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200.SH) with 7.096 billion yuan, and the ChiNext ETF (159915.SZ) with 6.982 billion yuan [15][16][17]

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown a comprehensive recovery, with the CSI 300 index rising by 7.54% and the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 6.62% over the past month [2] - The Wind data indicates that the active equity funds have seen a nearly 10% increase in the past month, with a year-to-date rise exceeding 14% [2] ETF Fund Flows - There has been a significant net outflow from broad-based index ETFs such as the CSI A500 and CSI 300, while thematic index ETFs related to Hong Kong stocks, banking, semiconductor technology, and photovoltaic sectors have attracted continuous inflows [2][3] - The recent statistics show that thematic index ETFs have experienced a net inflow of 107.04 million units over the past week, 240.53 million units over the past month, and 358.64 million units over the past quarter [4] Specific ETF Performance - The largest net outflows in the past month were observed in the CSI A500 and CSI 300 ETFs, with outflows of 302.16 million yuan and 249.13 million yuan respectively [5] - Conversely, the top inflows were seen in Hong Kong market ETFs, including the Hong Kong Internet ETF and the Hong Kong Non-Bank ETF, with significant inflows also noted in banking, semiconductor, and photovoltaic ETFs [5][6] Competitive Landscape - The ETF market has become increasingly competitive, with several fund companies that previously did not have ETF plans now preparing to enter the market [8] - The largest thematic index ETF, the semiconductor index ETF, has a total scale of 371 billion yuan, with the leading fund, managed by Harvest Fund, attracting 36 billion yuan in inflows over the past month [6][8] Fund Management Rankings - As of June 30, 2025, the top five fund management companies by net asset value (excluding money market and short-term bond funds) are E Fund, Huaxia Fund, GF Fund, Harvest Fund, and Fortune Fund, with E Fund leading at approximately 1,399.59 billion yuan [9][11] - In the passive equity fund sector, Huaxia Fund and E Fund also rank among the top, indicating a strong presence in both active and passive fund management [11]