证券研究报告 | 2026年02月28日 ETF 周报 上周光伏、军工 ETF 领涨，中证 1000ETF 净赎回居首 核心观点 金融工程周报 ETF 业绩表现 上周（2026 年 02 月 24 日至 2026 年 02 月 27 日，下同）股票型 ETF 周度收益率中位数为 1.54%。宽基 ETF 中，中证 1000ETF 涨跌幅中位 数为 4.30%，收益最高。按板块划分，周期 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 4.14%， 收益最高。按主题进行分类，光伏 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 3.89%，收益最 高。 ETF 规模变动及净申赎 上周股票型 ETF 净赎回 368.67 亿元，总体规模增加 230.10 亿元。在 宽基 ETF 中，上周上证 50ETF 净赎回最少，为 4.67 亿元；按板块来看， 大金融 ETF 净申购最多，为 20.57 亿元；按热点主题来看，证券 ETF 净申购最多，为 22.61 亿元。 ETF 基准指数估值情况 在宽基 ETF 中，创业板类 ETF 的估值分位数相对较低；按板块来看， 消费、大金融 ETF 的估值分位数相对温和；按照细分主题来看，酒、新 能车 ETF 的估值分位数相对 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月28日 ETF 周报 上周光伏、军工 ETF 领涨，中证 1000ETF 净赎回居首 核心观点 金融工程周报 ETF 业绩表现 上周（2026 年 02 月 24 日至 2026 年 02 月 27 日，下同）股票型 ETF 周度收益率中位数为 1.54%。宽基 ETF 中，中证 1000ETF 涨跌幅中位 数为 4.30%，收益最高。按板块划分，周期 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 4.14%， 收益最高。按主题进行分类，光伏 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 3.89%，收益最 高。 ETF 规模变动及净申赎 上周股票型 ETF 净赎回 368.67 亿元，总体规模增加 230.10 亿元。在 宽基 ETF 中，上周上证 50ETF 净赎回最少，为 4.67 亿元；按板块来看， 大金融 ETF 净申购最多，为 20.57 亿元；按热点主题来看，证券 ETF 净申购最多，为 22.61 亿元。 ETF 基准指数估值情况 在宽基 ETF 中，创业板类 ETF 的估值分位数相对较低；按板块来看， 消费、大金融 ETF 的估值分位数相对温和；按照细分主题来看，酒、新 能车 ETF 的估值分位数相对 ...

廖市无双：节后开盘，A 股是否有机会进攻？20260223 摘要 节前市场交易清淡，呈现偏强震荡格局，大资金通过 ETF 压低市场走势， 表明不希望市场快速上攻，或将维持区间震荡，投资者需关注 ETF 动向， 若持续卖出 50 和沪深 300 ETF，可能确认 ABC 结构调整目标。 春节前科技成长、计算机、电子、传媒和通信等板块表现较好，与去年 9 月以来的主流行情相关，未来仍可关注，但需警惕高开低走风险。消 费板块资金流出较多，反映投资者对经济复苏信心不足。 短期内 A 股可能维持高风险偏好，继续进攻科技成长类板块，但春节前 最后一根阴线影响较大，不排除高开低走的可能性，操作上应保持谨慎， 关注大资金动向及技术指标变化。 春节期间食品饮料板块不具备主升浪条件，空头格局明显，不建议关注 白酒、地产等板块，应将焦点放在科技成长、有色金属等领域。上证指 数未来可能在 4,000 点到 4,150 点之间区间震荡。 当前市场环境下，大多数板块没有中线买入机会，仅少部分自去年 9 月 24 日以来涨幅较小的板块具备潜力，更适合快进快出的短线操作，预计 3 月中上旬两会结束时可能出现更明确的投资机会。 Q&A 春节期 ...

Group 1 - The photovoltaic concept stocks have declined, with Maiwei Co., Ltd. dropping over 7%, and Sunshine Power, TCL Zhonghuan, and Jiejia Weichuang falling over 3% [1] - Related photovoltaic ETFs have also decreased by more than 2% [1] Group 2 - Specific ETF performance includes: - Guotai Photovoltaic ETF at 0.715, down 2.59% - Photovoltaic ETF Index Fund at 0.869, down 2.58% - Photovoltaic ETF at 1.098, down 2.66% - Other ETFs also show similar declines ranging from 2.21% to 2.66% [2] Group 3 - Some brokerages indicate that the current valuation of the photovoltaic industry remains historically low [2] - Future prospects include measures to address product sales prices, mergers and acquisitions among companies, increased industry entry barriers, and improved product quality standards, which are expected to be implemented [2] - The competitive landscape and industrial chain ecology of the photovoltaic industry are anticipated to optimize, presenting opportunities for valuation recovery [2]

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors related to quantitative investment analysis. The content primarily focuses on ETF performance, scale changes, valuation, financing, and other market-related data[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46][47][48][49][50][51][52][53][54][55][56][57][58][59][60][61][62][63][64][65][66][67][68][69][70][71][72][73][74][75][76][77][78][79][80][81][82][83][84]

- The report primarily focuses on ETF performance, scale changes, and valuation metrics, with no mention of quantitative models or factors[1][2][3][4] - It provides detailed data on ETF weekly returns, net subscriptions/redemptions, and valuation percentiles across various categories like broad-based, sector, and thematic ETFs[2][3][36] - Specific thematic ETFs such as AI, chip, and photovoltaic ETFs are highlighted for their performance and valuation metrics, but no quantitative models or factors are discussed[19][36][45]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (from February 2, 2026, to February 6, 2026), the median weekly return of equity ETFs was -1.71%. Among broad - based ETFs, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF had the smallest decline, and among sector ETFs, consumer ETFs had the highest return. Among hot - topic ETFs, photovoltaic ETFs had the highest return. Last week, equity ETFs had a net redemption of 2.056 billion yuan, with the Science and Technology Innovation Board ETF having the highest net subscription among broad - based ETFs, technology ETFs having the highest net subscription among sector ETFs, and AI ETFs having the highest net subscription among topic - based ETFs. As of last Friday, Huaxia, E Fund, and Huatai - Peregrine ranked in the top three in terms of the total scale of listed, non - monetary ETFs [1][2][61] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs ETF Performance - The median weekly return of equity ETFs last week was -1.71%. Among broad - based ETFs, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF had a median change of -0.82%, the smallest decline. By sector, consumer ETFs had a median change of 0.10%, the highest return. By topic, photovoltaic ETFs had a median change of 3.09%, the highest return. The median changes of bond, money - market, cross - border, and commodity ETFs were 0.02%, 0.02%, -2.19%, and -6.07% respectively [1][12][18] ETF Scale Changes and Net Subscriptions/Redeemptions - As of last Friday, the scales of equity, cross - border, and bond ETFs were 3.097 trillion yuan, 1.0195 trillion yuan, and 721.3 billion yuan respectively. The scales of commodity and money - market ETFs were relatively small, at 322.9 billion yuan and 160 billion yuan respectively. Among broad - based ETFs, the CSI 300 and A500 ETFs had relatively large scales. Last week, equity ETFs had a net redemption of 2.056 billion yuan and a total scale reduction of 80.468 billion yuan; money - market ETFs had a net subscription of 6.311 billion yuan and a total scale increase of 6.325 billion yuan. Among broad - based ETFs, the Science and Technology Innovation Board ETF had the highest net subscription of 5.501 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 5.248 billion yuan; the CSI 500 ETF had the highest net redemption of 11.647 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 15.917 billion yuan. By sector, technology ETFs had the highest net subscription of 10.405 billion yuan, and their scale decreased by 18.479 billion yuan; cyclical ETFs had the highest net redemption of 9.527 billion yuan, and their scale decreased by 21.091 billion yuan. By hot - topic, AI ETFs had the highest net subscription of 4.472 billion yuan, and their scale decreased by 3.271 billion yuan; photovoltaic ETFs had the highest net redemption of 0.8 billion yuan, and their scale decreased by 0.198 billion yuan [2][22][29] ETF Benchmark Index Valuation - As of last Friday, in the broad - based ETFs, the ChiNext and Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETFs had relatively low valuation quantiles. By sector, the large - finance and consumer ETFs had relatively moderate valuation quantiles. By sub - topic, the wine and new energy vehicle ETFs had relatively low valuation quantiles. Compared with the previous week, the valuation quantile of the wine ETF increased significantly [3][44][47] ETF Margin Trading - From last Monday to Thursday, the margin trading balance of equity ETFs decreased from 52.343 billion yuan in the previous week to 52.046 billion yuan, and the short - selling volume increased from 2.205 billion shares in the previous week to 2.312 billion shares. Among the top 10 ETFs in terms of average daily margin purchases and short - selling volumes, the securities ETFs and Science and Technology Innovation Board ETFs had relatively high average daily margin purchases, and the CSI 1000 ETFs and CSI 500 ETFs had relatively high average daily short - selling volumes [4][51][54] ETF Managers - As of last Friday, Huaxia Fund ranked first in the total scale of listed, non - monetary ETFs, with a relatively high management scale in multiple sub - fields such as scale - based index ETFs, topic - based, style, and strategy - based index ETFs, and cross - border ETFs. E Fund ranked second, with a relatively high management scale in scale - based index ETFs and cross - border ETFs. Huatai - Peregrine Fund ranked third, with a relatively high management scale in scale - based index ETFs and topic - based, style, and strategy - based index ETFs [55]

ETF Industry News - The three major indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.13%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.02%, and the ChiNext Index declining by 0.37. Multiple ETFs in the media sector saw significant gains, with the Film ETF (159855.SZ) up by 9.98%, the Film ETF (516620.SH) rising by 9.48% and hitting a temporary limit, and the Gaming ETF (159869.SZ) increasing by 5.56% [1][2][3]. Market Trends - According to Huaxin Securities, the media sector is expected to be supported by AI applications and domestic discretionary consumption. By January 2026, digital marketing advertising is anticipated to be revitalized by AI applications, with major internet companies like Tencent, Alibaba, and Baidu launching cash digital red envelopes to attract new customers for AI products during the Spring Festival [2]. - The A-share ETF market is experiencing a shift in funding patterns as of 2026, with traditional broad-based ETFs seeing outflows while ETFs in high-growth sectors such as chemicals, communications, and non-ferrous metals are attracting inflows. This trend aligns with the latest earnings forecasts from listed companies, highlighting three core investment themes: AI, price increase chains, and overseas expansion [3]. Daily Market Overview - The A-share market indices showed varied performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4128.37 points, the Shenzhen Component Index at 14210.63 points, and the ChiNext Index at 3320.54 points. The Nikkei 225, STAR Market 50, and Hang Seng Index performed well, with daily increases of 2.28%, 0.91%, and 0.58%, respectively [4]. - In terms of sector performance, the media, comprehensive, and home appliance sectors led the day with increases of 4.27%, 2.15%, and 1.11%, while real estate, food and beverage, and retail sectors lagged behind with declines of -1.4%, -1.31%, and -0.87% [4]. ETF Market Performance - The overall ETF market showed varied performance across different categories. Cross-border ETFs performed the best with an average increase of 0.59%, while commodity ETFs had the worst performance with an average decline of -0.38% [10]. - The top-performing ETFs today included the Film ETF (159855.SZ), the Film ETF (516620.SH), and the Gaming ETF (159869.SZ), with returns of 9.98%, 9.48%, and 5.56%, respectively [13]. Trading Volume by ETF Category - The top three ETFs by trading volume were the A500 ETF Huatai (563360.SH) with a trading volume of 8.525 billion, the A500 ETF Southern (159352.SZ) with 6.167 billion, and the CSI A500 ETF (159338.SZ) with 5.562 billion [17].

Market Performance - The three major A-share indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.41% to close at 4123 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 2.17%, and the ChiNext Index rising by 2.98% [1] - The total market turnover reached 2.27 trillion yuan, an increase of 106.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 4600 stocks rising [1] Solar Industry Highlights - The photovoltaic equipment sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Juhe Materials and TCL Zhonghuan hitting the daily limit [1] - Multiple photovoltaic ETFs, including Guotai, E Fund, and Huaxia, saw gains exceeding 3.5% [1][2] - The Guotai photovoltaic ETF reported a year-to-date increase of 19.17%, with an estimated scale of 627 million yuan [2] Tesla's Solar Initiative - Tesla is hiring to support Elon Musk's plan to become the largest solar module manufacturer in the U.S., aiming for a domestic solar power generation project of 100 GW [3] - The company is evaluating multiple locations across the U.S. for solar cell production [3] - The demand for space photovoltaic systems is expected to grow exponentially, with Chinese leading photovoltaic equipment manufacturers likely to benefit from this trend [3][4] Industry Outlook - The space computing sector is anticipated to open new growth opportunities for the photovoltaic industry, with a focus on long-term growth driven by the integration of AI and solar power [4][5] - The cost of launching reusable rockets is decreasing, and the construction of low-orbit satellite constellations is maturing, which will enhance the demand for solar energy in space [5] - Domestic photovoltaic equipment and material companies are expected to continue securing overseas orders due to their technological advantages and cost efficiency [5]

Group 1 - The photovoltaic concept stocks have strengthened, with TCL Zhonghuan hitting the daily limit, Maiwei shares rising over 7%, and Longi Green Energy increasing by over 6% [1] - Affected by the market, photovoltaic-related ETFs have risen by over 4% [1] Group 2 - Various photovoltaic ETFs have shown significant gains, with the Guotai Photovoltaic ETF up by 5.02%, E Fund Photovoltaic ETF up by 4.93%, and others also experiencing increases ranging from 4.01% to 4.74% [2] - Brokerages indicate that the current valuation of the photovoltaic industry remains historically low, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [2] - Future policies regarding product sales price measures, mergers and acquisitions among companies, increased industry entry barriers, and improved product quality standards are expected to be implemented, which may optimize the competitive landscape and industry chain ecology [2]