尽管10月市场剧烈波动，但全球央行购金热情不减，为金价提供了坚实支撑，而新兴的"代币化黄金"尚未成为市场的主要驱动力。 根据追风交易台消息，高盛于12月12日发布的最新报告显示，其"即时预测"（nowcast）模型估算，全球央行在10月份净买入了49吨黄金。这一数 字远高于2022年之前17吨的月均水平，显示出官方部门强劲且持续的需求。 其中，其中卡塔尔10月购买20吨和中国购买15吨。高盛分析师Lina Thomas和Daan Struyven认为，央行在金价高波动时期依然坚挺的购买行为，表 明其决策并非高度价格敏感，而是出于对冲地缘政治和金融风险的长期战略考量。 基于这一强劲的官方需求，叠加对美联储未来政策转向宽松的预期，高盛维持其对金价的乐观预测，预计到2026年底金价将升至4900美元/盎司。 该行同时指出，私人投资者需求的增长将是金价的另一大潜在上行动力。 央行购金：对冲风险的"多年趋势" 高盛在报告中强调，其继续将央行大规模增持黄金视为一个"多年趋势"。报告数据显示，10月份49吨的净购买量，以及66吨的12个月移动平均购 买量，均显著高于2022年以前17吨的月度平均水平。 高盛分析师认为，这一 ...

Core Viewpoint - Global central banks continue to show strong demand for gold, with net purchases of 49 tons in October, significantly above the pre-2022 monthly average of 17 tons, indicating a long-term strategy to hedge against geopolitical and financial risks [1][3][5] Central Bank Gold Purchases - Goldman Sachs emphasizes that the substantial increase in gold purchases by central banks is a long-term trend, driven by the need for reserve asset diversification to mitigate rising geopolitical and financial risks [5][6] - The report indicates that the average monthly purchase by central banks is expected to remain at 70 tons through 2026, providing solid fundamental support for the gold market [6] Private Investor Impact - Private investors are viewed as a key variable that could amplify gold prices, with a potential significant effect if their interest in gold increases [7] - Goldman Sachs' model suggests that a 1 basis point (0.01%) increase in gold holdings within U.S. private financial portfolios could lead to a price increase of approximately 1.4% [7] - Currently, gold ETFs represent only 0.17% of U.S. investors' portfolios, indicating substantial room for growth in private investment in gold [7][8] Tokenized Gold - The impact of "tokenized gold," such as Tether Gold, on the recent rise in gold prices is considered limited, with its demand significantly smaller compared to traditional channels like gold ETFs and central bank purchases [9] - Tokenized gold is viewed as a potential substitute for gold ETFs rather than a major new source of demand, although it remains a trend worth monitoring [9]

Core Insights - Despite significant market volatility in October, global central banks continue to show strong demand for gold, providing solid support for gold prices, while emerging "tokenized gold" has not yet become a major market driver [1] Group 1: Central Bank Gold Purchases - Goldman Sachs' latest report indicates that global central banks net bought 49 tons of gold in October, significantly higher than the pre-2022 monthly average of 17 tons, reflecting robust and sustained demand from official sectors [1][2] - Notably, Qatar purchased 20 tons and China bought 15 tons in October, suggesting that central banks' purchasing behavior is driven by long-term strategic considerations to hedge geopolitical and financial risks rather than short-term price sensitivity [1][3] - Goldman Sachs maintains an optimistic forecast for gold prices, projecting they will rise to $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026, supported by strong official demand and expectations of a shift to looser monetary policy by the Federal Reserve [1][5] Group 2: Private Investor Demand - The report highlights that the behavior of private investors will be a key variable influencing future gold prices, with potential significant "amplifying effects" if their interest in gold increases [4] - Goldman Sachs' model suggests that a 1 basis point (0.01%) increase in the share of gold in U.S. private financial portfolios could lead to a price increase of approximately 1.4%, indicating substantial growth potential as current holdings in gold ETFs are only 0.17% of these portfolios [4][5] Group 3: Tokenized Gold - Regarding the role of "tokenized gold" such as Tether Gold, Goldman Sachs notes that its impact on recent gold price increases appears limited, with a reported increase of about 26 tons in Tether Gold holdings compared to 197 tons in Western gold ETF inflows and 134 tons in central bank purchases during Q3 2025 [6] - The firm views tokenized gold as similar to gold ETFs, both backed by physical gold, but believes it is more likely to serve as a partial substitute for gold ETFs rather than a significant new source of demand, warranting ongoing market monitoring [6]

Core Insights - Despite significant market volatility in October, global central banks continue to show strong demand for gold, providing solid support for gold prices, while emerging "tokenized gold" has not yet become a major market driver [1][4]. Central Bank Gold Purchases - Goldman Sachs reported that global central banks net purchased 49 tons of gold in October, significantly higher than the pre-2022 monthly average of 17 tons, indicating robust and sustained demand from official sectors [1][4]. - Notably, Qatar purchased 20 tons and China bought 15 tons in October, reflecting a strategic move by central banks to diversify reserve assets and hedge against geopolitical and financial risks [1][4]. Future Gold Price Predictions - Based on strong official demand and expectations of a shift towards looser monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs maintains an optimistic forecast for gold prices, predicting they will rise to $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026 [1][5]. Private Investor Demand - Private investor behavior is seen as a key variable influencing future gold prices. An increase in the allocation of gold in U.S. private financial portfolios could significantly amplify gold prices [1][6]. - Currently, gold ETFs, the most common tool for U.S. investors, represent only 0.17% of their portfolios, indicating substantial room for growth as interest in gold is expected to rebound alongside potential Federal Reserve policy changes [1][6]. Tokenized Gold - Goldman Sachs notes that the impact of "tokenized gold," such as Tether Gold, on recent gold price increases appears limited. In Q3 2025, Tether Gold holdings increased by approximately 26 tons, while Western gold ETFs saw inflows of about 197 tons, and central bank purchases reached around 134 tons [1][7]. - Tokenized gold is fundamentally similar to gold ETFs, both backed by physical gold, but its ownership is recorded on a blockchain. While this may lower entry barriers for some investors, it does not necessarily add significant intrinsic value [1][8].

Core Insights - The rise of Real World Assets (RWA) is transforming the financial landscape by tokenizing physical assets like real estate and art on blockchain, creating a new market for digital securities [1][2] - Despite the impressive growth in RWA market size, challenges such as liquidity issues and regulatory constraints remain significant hurdles [3][6] Group 1: Definition and Market Overview - RWA refers to the tokenization of tangible assets, allowing them to be traded on blockchain, which revolutionizes asset liquidity and trading [2] - The market for tokenized non-liquid assets is projected to reach $16 trillion by 2030, representing nearly 10% of global GDP [2] - As of mid-2025, approximately $24 to $25 billion of RWA has been successfully migrated to blockchain, a significant increase from under $5 billion in early 2023 [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Challenges - The RWA market is dominated by private credit and tokenized U.S. Treasury bonds, with BlackRock's BUIDL token valued at $2.42 billion and Ondo Finance's OUSG token at $1.76 billion, together accounting for nearly 20% of the market [3] - Despite high market valuations, RWA assets often serve as "on-chain savings accounts" for institutional and high-net-worth investors, leading to low trading activity [3][6] - Liquidity issues are prevalent, with tokenized real estate and art facing severe trading challenges, often resulting in significant price discrepancies [6][8] Group 3: Driving Factors Behind RWA Popularity - The disparity in yields between decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols and U.S. Treasury bonds has driven capital towards the latter, enhancing the appeal of tokenized bonds [5] - Traditional financial institutions are increasingly entering the RWA space, providing legitimacy and support for the market [5] - RWA offers democratized investment opportunities, allowing smaller investors to access high-value assets that were previously out of reach [5] Group 4: Structural Barriers to RWA Development - Regulatory challenges exist as many RWA tokens are classified as securities, limiting market participation due to compliance requirements [7] - The lack of a unified trading platform leads to fragmented liquidity, making price discovery inefficient and increasing transaction costs [7] - The unique nature of each RWA asset complicates valuation, creating significant bid-ask spreads and hindering market participation [8] Group 5: Future Pathways for RWA - A hybrid market structure combining centralized and decentralized platforms may provide a solution to current challenges, allowing for compliant issuance and trading [9] - Utilizing collateralized lending models can enhance liquidity for RWA holders without necessitating asset sales [9] - Establishing standardized asset disclosures and valuation frameworks will help reduce information asymmetry and improve market efficiency [9][10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strategic partnership between Derin Holdings and Antalpha Platform, aimed at integrating traditional finance expertise with digital asset innovation to unlock market potential in the digital asset ecosystem [1][2] - The collaboration is expected to enhance the group's competitive advantage in the digital asset and Real World Asset (RWA) sectors, aligning with global trends in asset tokenization and supporting Hong Kong's vision as a leading regulated digital finance center [2][3] - The partnership will enable the group to optimize its Bitcoin mining operations through Antalpha's support in financing, infrastructure, and technology, thereby improving operational efficiency and competitiveness in the mining business [2] Group 2 - The rapid growth of the gold products and RWA tokenization market reflects strong demand from institutional and retail investors for secure, transparent, and flexible investment options, with the total market value of tokenized gold exceeding approximately $3 billion in 2025 and a trading volume increase of about 900% year-to-date [3] - Tokenized gold, particularly the XAU asset with a market value exceeding $1.5 billion, is positioned to become a core RWA due to its scalability, stability, and practical use across decentralized and regulated platforms [3] - The ongoing collaboration between the group and Antalpha in developing gold RWA applications and distribution channels is expected to diversify investment products and provide reliable digital gold investment avenues, maintaining the group's leading position in RWA innovation [3]

Core Viewpoint - Company Siu Fook (06168) has made a strategic investment in Going Securities (HK) Limited, acquiring a 15% stake in Gao Ying Securities, marking its entry into the RWA (Real World Asset) sector and the digital asset market in Hong Kong [1][3][11] Group 1: Strategic Investment and Market Positioning - The investment was completed through Siu Fook's wholly-owned subsidiary, establishing a foundation for long-term strategic collaboration in the digital finance sector [1][3] - Gao Ying Securities holds multiple regulatory licenses and is positioned as a key player in the Web3.0 standardization in Hong Kong, enhancing Siu Fook's compliance and industry integration capabilities [3][4] - The collaboration aims to integrate resources across cross-border payments, precious metals, and capital markets, facilitating the upgrade of Gao Ying Securities' virtual asset licenses [3][4] Group 2: RWA Market Potential - The RWA sector is gaining attention as traditional industries face growth slowdowns and virtual asset regulations become more defined, with a projected asset tokenization market size of $16 trillion by 2030 according to Boston Consulting Group [3][4] - Major institutions like BlackRock and Franklin Templeton are entering the market, indicating a trend towards tokenizing real assets such as gold, bonds, and real estate [3][4] Group 3: Business Model and Growth Strategy - Siu Fook's strategy involves leveraging its gold and jewelry assets to issue RWA products, providing inherent value stability and enhancing asset liquidity and financing channels [4][5] - The company plans to establish hundreds of overseas stores in the next 2-3 years, which will serve as both sales terminals and sources of high-quality assets for RWA issuance [6][7] - The overseas expansion is supported by a proven business model with a return on equity (ROE) in overseas stores reaching 2-3 times that of domestic stores, ensuring cash flow for further expansion [7][8] Group 4: Competitive Advantages and Market Differentiation - Siu Fook's competitive edge lies in its unique combination of supply chain advantages and cultural differentiation, allowing it to avoid price wars with international giants [8][9] - The company has established a risk-controlled expansion path through strategic partnerships with leading commercial real estate firms, reducing market entry costs [8][9] Group 5: Future Outlook and Valuation - Siu Fook is positioned to become the first listed company in the domestic jewelry industry to achieve systematic and large-scale issuance of gold RWA products, which could lead to a premium valuation in the capital market [10][11] - The company's ecosystem-building approach may allow it to transition from a product supplier to an industry infrastructure service provider, shifting its valuation focus from product margins to market share and ecosystem value [10][11] - The strategic synergy of "overseas expansion + RWA" is expected to drive Siu Fook's transformation into a digital ecosystem platform, unlocking significant financial value from its gold inventory [11]

Core Viewpoint - The strategic investment by Chow Tai Fook (周六福) in Gao Ying Securities (高盈证券) marks a significant move into the RWA (Real World Asset) sector, leveraging its asset attributes and channel advantages to explore compliant development paths in Hong Kong's digital asset market [1][3][11] Group 1: Strategic Investment and Partnerships - Chow Tai Fook, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, has completed a strategic investment in Gao Ying Securities, acquiring a 15% stake indirectly [1] - SwiftPass Hong Kong Limited, a subsidiary of Weifutong Technology, has also invested in Gao Ying Securities, holding an 18% stake [1] - This collaboration lays the foundation for long-term strategic synergy in the digital finance sector, focusing on cross-border payments, precious metals, and capital markets [3] Group 2: RWA Market Potential - The RWA sector is gaining attention as traditional industries face growth slowdowns and virtual asset regulations improve, with a projected tokenized asset scale reaching $16 trillion by 2030 according to Boston Consulting Group [3] - Major institutions like BlackRock and Franklin Templeton entering the market indicate a trend towards tokenizing real assets such as gold, bonds, and real estate [3] Group 3: Business Model and Growth Strategy - Chow Tai Fook's entry into the RWA market is not merely opportunistic but a strategic choice aligned with its asset characteristics and regulatory environment [4] - The company plans to establish hundreds of overseas stores in the next 2-3 years, which will serve as both sales terminals and sources of high-quality assets for RWA issuance [6] - Each new store will contribute to a growing pool of stable, globally recognized assets, enhancing the company's ability to issue RWA [6] Group 4: Competitive Advantages - The company's RWA products, anchored by gold and jewelry, provide inherent value stability and are easier to evaluate and custody [4] - Chow Tai Fook can leverage Gao Ying Securities' compliance licenses and financial capabilities to enhance asset liquidity and financing channels, supporting its overseas expansion [4] - The regulatory framework in Hong Kong requires virtual asset issuers to have practical application scenarios, which Chow Tai Fook's overseas operations naturally fulfill [6] Group 5: Financial Performance and Market Position - The overseas stores have demonstrated a return on equity (ROE) 2-3 times higher than domestic operations, validating the profitability of the business model [7] - The combination of supply chain advantages and cultural differentiation creates a structural competitive edge, ensuring high success rates for new stores [8] - The strategic partnership with leading commercial real estate firms reduces site selection risks and market entry costs, enhancing the feasibility of expansion [8] Group 6: Future Outlook and Valuation - Chow Tai Fook's dual strategy of overseas expansion and RWA development creates a self-reinforcing growth cycle, positioning the company as a pioneer in the RWA space [9][11] - The company is expected to enjoy valuation premiums as the first in the domestic jewelry industry to achieve systematic and scalable issuance of gold RWA products [10] - As the platform matures, Chow Tai Fook could transition from a product supplier to an industry infrastructure service provider, broadening its valuation metrics [10]