智通财经APP获悉，三花智控(02050)再涨超7%，盘中高见42.28港元，续刷上市新高。截至发稿，涨 7.12%，报41.8港元，成交额6.23亿港元。 方正证券认为，三花智控已在开发及制造大量电机产品方面积累丰富的经验及专业知识，成功切入仿生 机器人机电执行器制造领域，未来有望跟随人形机器人行业发展实现可观业绩增量。该行认为，公司短 期业绩具备较快增长支撑，并且人形机器人等新业务有望带来未来增量弹性。 消息面上，近日，特斯拉董事会提议为马斯克制定的天价薪酬方案引发广泛关注。根据这份新的薪酬方 案，马斯克有望获得特斯拉12%的股份奖励，估值约1.03万亿美元。该计划设立12项运营目标，马斯克 每完成一项，便可获得约占特斯拉市值1%的股票。 方正证券指出，特斯拉公布明确12项运营目标，包括1200万辆电动车、100万台人工智能机器人销售指 引，叠加FSD与汽车板块Beta复苏，产业链国产供应商将迎来实质性利好。特斯拉机器人+车+FSD三重 共振催化，叠加汽车板块Beta复苏，T链有望成为强势主线。 ...

长江证券研报指出，三花智控上半年实现归母净利润21.1 亿元，同比增长39.3%；2025Q2实现归母净利 润12.1 亿元，同比增长39.2%。收入端，公司传统制冷、汽车两大板块均实现较好增长；盈利端，公司 2025上半年毛利率达28.12%，同比增长0.66pct；2025Q2单季度毛利率达29.27%，同比增长1.44pct。同 时，人形机器人等新业务方面，公司已在开发及制造大量电机产品方面积累丰富的经验及专业知识，成 功切入仿生机器人机电执行器制造领域，未来有望跟随人形机器人行业发展实现可观业绩增量。认为公 司短期业绩具备较快增长支撑，并且人形机器人等新业务有望带来未来增量弹性。预计公司2025年归属 母公司股东净利润39亿元，对应PE 约38倍。维持"买入"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price based on the last closing price of 31.88 [1][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved significant growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching 85.93 billion yuan, an increase of 18.75% year-on-year, and a net profit of 12.07 billion yuan, up 39.20% [4][5]. - The company's strategic business expansion is expected to continue, particularly in the clean energy and automotive sectors, driven by global demand for thermal management solutions [7]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 162.63 billion yuan, a growth of 18.91%, and a net profit of 21.10 billion yuan, up 39.31% [4][5]. - The company's gross margin in Q2 2025 was 29.27%, an increase of 1.44 percentage points, while the net margin rose to 14.13%, up 2.03 percentage points [6]. - The company’s revenue from home appliance cooling components and automotive parts reached 103.89 billion yuan (+25.49%) and 58.74 billion yuan (+8.83%), respectively [5]. Regional Performance - Domestic revenue for H1 2025 was 90.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.66%, while international revenue was 72.11 billion yuan, up 23.27% [5]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 39.13 billion yuan, 47.36 billion yuan, and 57.56 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are 0.93 yuan, 1.13 yuan, and 1.37 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 34.29, 28.33, and 23.31 [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [4]. Core Insights - The company reported H1 2025 revenue of 16.263 billion yuan, an increase of 18.91% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.110 billion yuan, up 39.31% year-on-year [1]. - The cooling business continues to enhance profitability, with revenue from air conditioning components reaching 10.389 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.49%, accounting for 63.88% of total revenue [3]. - The automotive parts business also showed steady growth, with H1 2025 revenue of 5.874 billion yuan, up 8.83% year-on-year, representing 36.12% of total revenue [3]. - The company is strategically expanding into the bionic robotics sector, leveraging its motor manufacturing experience to create a new growth curve [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.593 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.74% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.05% [2]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 29.27%, up 1.44 percentage points year-on-year and 2.44 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The net profit margin for Q2 2025 was 14.13%, an increase of 2.03 percentage points year-on-year and 2.09 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company expects revenues of 32.637 billion yuan, 36.948 billion yuan, and 41.758 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 4.070 billion yuan, 5.014 billion yuan, and 5.931 billion yuan [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6][58]. Core Views - The company demonstrates significant competitive advantages in its core business, with new ventures becoming market hotspots [1]. - The company has successfully issued H shares and achieved strong mid-year performance, exceeding market expectations [6][7]. - The company is actively expanding into the bionic robotics and data center liquid cooling industries, which are expected to become new growth drivers [9]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: The company is projected to achieve revenues of 33.23 billion, 39.27 billion, and 45.82 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 18.9%, 18.2%, and 16.7% [2][59]. - **Net Profit Forecasts**: The expected net profits for the same years are 4.11 billion, 4.99 billion, and 5.95 billion yuan, with growth rates of 32.7%, 21.3%, and 19.3% [2][59]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The diluted EPS is forecasted to be 0.98, 1.18, and 1.41 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2][59]. - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio**: The PE ratios are projected to be 32.43, 26.74, and 22.41 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [2][59]. Business Segment Performance - **Core Business Strength**: In the first half of 2025, the refrigeration and air conditioning parts segment generated 10.39 billion yuan in revenue, up 25.5% year-on-year, benefiting from national subsidies and increased market share [6][8]. - **Automotive Parts Revenue**: The automotive parts segment achieved 5.87 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting an 8.8% increase year-on-year [8]. - **Gross Margin Improvement**: The gross margins for refrigeration and automotive parts improved by 0.65 percentage points to 28.21% and 27.96% respectively, indicating strong industry positioning [8][14]. New Business Development - **Bionic Robotics**: The bionic robotics actuator business is in its early stages but is rapidly developing, with positive customer feedback expected to drive future growth [9]. - **Data Center Liquid Cooling**: The company is leveraging its strengths in refrigeration and thermal management to compete in the data center liquid cooling market, which is gaining significant attention [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][58]. Core Views - The company demonstrates significant competitive advantages in its core business, with new ventures becoming market hotspots [1]. - The company has successfully issued H shares and achieved strong mid-year performance, exceeding market expectations [6][7]. - The company is actively expanding into the bionic robotics and data center liquid cooling industries, which are expected to become new growth drivers [9]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2024A: 27,947 million CNY - 2025E: 33,229 million CNY (growth of 18.9%) - 2026E: 39,268 million CNY (growth of 18.2%) - 2027E: 45,824 million CNY (growth of 16.7%) [2][59] - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - 2024A: 3,099 million CNY - 2025E: 4,112 million CNY (growth of 32.7%) - 2026E: 4,986 million CNY (growth of 21.3%) - 2027E: 5,950 million CNY (growth of 19.3%) [2][59] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024A: 0.74 CNY - 2025E: 0.98 CNY - 2026E: 1.18 CNY - 2027E: 1.41 CNY [2][59] - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratios**: - 2024A: 43.02 - 2025E: 32.43 - 2026E: 26.74 - 2027E: 22.41 [2][59] Business Segment Performance - **Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Components**: - Revenue in H1 2025: 103.89 billion CNY, up 25.5% YoY, benefiting from national subsidies and increased market share in core components [6][8]. - **Automotive Components**: - Revenue in H1 2025: 58.74 billion CNY, up 8.8% YoY [6][8]. - **Gross Margin**: - Overall gross margin in H1 2025: 28.1%, up 0.7 percentage points YoY, driven by improved sales expense management and scale effects [6][14]. - **Overseas Sales**: - Revenue: 72.1 billion CNY, up 23.3% YoY, with a gross margin of 29.84%, reflecting strong international demand despite U.S. tariff challenges [6][8]. New Business Development - The company is expanding into the bionic robotics sector, with promising technology development and customer feedback, expected to become a significant growth curve [9]. - The company is also focusing on the data center liquid cooling market, leveraging its strengths in refrigeration and thermal management [9].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong mid-year performance for 2025, exceeding market expectations with significant revenue and profit growth, driven by core business strength and effective cost management [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.263 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.91% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.11 billion yuan, up 39.31% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations [1] - The mid-term dividend was set at 0.12 yuan per share, equivalent to 23.89% of the mid-term net profit [1] - The net profit margin improved to 13.0%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to higher gross margins and lower sales expense ratios [1] Business Segments - Revenue from refrigeration and air conditioning components reached 10.389 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.5%, benefiting from national subsidies and increased market share in core components [1] - Automotive components generated revenue of 5.874 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year [1] - Gross margins for refrigeration and air conditioning components and automotive components improved by 0.65 percentage points to 28.21% and 27.96%, respectively [1] International Sales - Overseas sales amounted to 7.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.3%, with a gross margin of 29.84%, up 1.12 percentage points [1] - Domestic sales gross margin was 26.74%, with a modest increase of 0.22 percentage points [1] - The company effectively mitigated the impact of U.S. tariffs through global capacity optimization and product sales restructuring [1] New Business Development - The bionic robot actuator business is in its early stages but is rapidly developing, with positive customer feedback expected to contribute to future growth [1] - The company holds advantages in refrigeration and air conditioning components and is competitive in the data center liquid cooling market, which is gaining market attention [1] Investment Outlook - The profit forecast has been raised, with expected revenues of 33.23 billion yuan, 39.27 billion yuan, and 45.82 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 19%, 18%, and 17% respectively [2] - Net profit projections for the same period are 4.11 billion yuan, 4.99 billion yuan, and 5.95 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 33%, 21%, and 19% respectively [2] - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected at 32, 27, and 22 times [2]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for the first half of the year, with total revenue reaching 16.263 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 18.91%, and net profit of 2.110 billion yuan, up 39.31% [1] - The company is focusing on enhancing its market competitiveness through strategic partnerships, overseas market expansion, and optimizing global production capacity [1][2] Business Performance - The refrigeration and air conditioning components business showed strong performance with revenue of 10.389 billion yuan, a growth of 25.49%, and a gross margin of 28.21% [1] - The automotive parts business also grew steadily, achieving revenue of 5.874 billion yuan, an increase of 8.83%, with a gross margin of 27.96% [2] Strategic Developments - The company is advancing in the bionic robot electromechanical actuator sector, focusing on key product improvements and receiving high customer evaluations [2] - The company has established a global presence with eight production bases and three overseas R&D centers, covering countries like Mexico, Poland, Vietnam, and Thailand [3] Financial Returns - The company plans to distribute cash dividends amounting to 5.05 billion yuan, with a proposed payout of 1.20 yuan per 10 shares [3]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint The company has decided to conclude certain fundraising projects and reallocate surplus funds to new projects and to permanently supplement working capital, aligning with its future development needs and market conditions [1][20]. Fundraising Overview - The company raised a total of RMB 3 billion through the issuance of convertible bonds, with a net amount available for investment after deducting issuance costs [1][2]. - The total investment for the projects includes RMB 338,112 million, with RMB 300,000 million allocated from the raised funds [2][7]. Project Status and Fund Utilization - The "Annual Production of 6.5 Million Sets of Commercial Refrigeration Air Conditioning Intelligent Control Components Construction Project" and the "Annual Production of 5.05 Million Sets of High-Efficiency Energy-Saving Refrigeration Air Conditioning Control Components Technology Renovation Project" have reached their intended usable state [7][11]. - As of May 31, 2025, the total investment in these projects was RMB 124,662.71 million, achieving an investment progress of 83.84% [7][8]. - Surplus funds from these projects amount to RMB 30,972.62 million and RMB 30,688.49 million, respectively, which will be redirected to new projects and working capital [11][12]. New Project Details - The new project, "Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Drive Future Industry Center Construction Project," will utilize RMB 30,688.49 million from the surplus funds and aims to expand into the electric vehicle thermal management and bionic robot components sectors [13][14]. - The project will cover an area of 15.29 million square meters and is expected to enhance the company's production efficiency and innovation capabilities [17][18]. Market Context and Growth Potential - The global electric vehicle market is projected to grow significantly, with the penetration rate expected to rise from 6.7% in 2020 to 23.6% by 2024, driven by technological advancements and supportive policies [14][15]. - The bionic robot industry is also anticipated to enter a phase of mass consumption, with increasing applications in various sectors [15][16]. Company Position and Strategy - The company is a leading manufacturer in the automotive thermal management system components market, with a market share of 48.3% for electronic expansion valves and 65.6% for integrated components as of 2024 [18][19]. - The company emphasizes research and development, maintaining a strong focus on innovation and efficiency to ensure long-term growth and competitiveness [19][20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Views - The company has successfully achieved an IPO on the Hong Kong stock market, raising HKD 9.177 billion to expand production capacity in refrigeration and automotive sectors, and to develop electromechanical actuators for bionic robotics [3][9]. - The company has shown excellent growth in both refrigeration and automotive sectors, with a revenue of RMB 16.56 billion in the refrigeration sector (YoY +13.1%) and RMB 11.39 billion in the automotive sector (YoY +14.9%) for 2024 [4][10]. - The company is expected to benefit from Chinese appliance renewal policies in 2025, with a strong order backlog in the automotive sector [4][10]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 31.65 billion in 2025, RMB 36.28 billion in 2026, and RMB 41.65 billion in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 13%, 15%, and 15% respectively [2][4]. - Net profit is projected to be RMB 3.73 billion in 2025, RMB 4.34 billion in 2026, and RMB 5.07 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 20%, 17%, and 17% respectively [2][4]. - The diluted EPS is expected to increase from RMB 0.90 in 2025 to RMB 1.22 in 2027 [2][4]. Valuation - The company is assigned a target price of RMB 28.80 based on a 32x PE valuation for 2025, reflecting its growth potential in both existing and new markets [5][11].