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今年以来巴西雷亚尔上涨16%,升值幅度居全球第五
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-10-08 17:28
巴西《经济价值报》9月19日消息,因投资者对美总统特朗普的经济政策缺乏信任,美元持续走 弱。Valor Data数据显示,今年以来至9月17日,巴西雷亚尔兑美元名义涨幅(未扣除通胀因素)达 16.18%,升值幅度居全球第五。根据该数据,全球33种货币中仅4种贬值,升值幅度排名前三的分别为 俄罗斯卢布(+36.6%)、匈牙利福林(+19.96%)和瑞典克朗(+18.29%),跌幅最大的则是阿根廷比 索(-30.05%)、土耳其里拉(-14.45%)和印度卢比(-2.98%)。 (原标题:今年以来巴西雷亚尔上涨16%,升值幅度居全球第五) ...
印尼贸易部长声称,已做好与俄罗斯本币结算准备,去美元化再提速
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-04 12:08
据悉,早在2022年9月份,印尼驻俄罗斯大使何塞·塔瓦雷斯就曾在参加东方经济论坛期间,对外声称印尼正在和俄罗斯就本币贸易结算问题进行谈判。 根据俄新社10月3日报道,印度尼西亚贸易部长布迪・桑托索证实,该国已准备好与俄罗斯展开本币结算,即取消或是减少使用美元等货币,改为直接使 用印尼盾与俄罗斯卢布进行交易。 印尼作为东南亚第一大国,人口总量位居世界第四位,2024年GDP排名全球第十六位,俄罗斯若能与印尼落实本币结算机制,对于美国来说,无疑是个晴 天霹雳。 自2022年俄乌战争爆发,美西方国家对俄罗斯进行严厉金融制裁后,不仅是俄罗斯,全球多个新兴市场国家都出现了"去美元化"的趋势,印尼在这方面算 行动力较为积极的国家之一。 印尼在准备俄罗斯进行本币结算前,就已经开展了与中国、日本和泰国等国进行本币结算,伴随着两国贸易规模大幅增加,印尼也在过去3年里,与俄罗 斯进行了多轮协商与谈判。 美元虽然仍保持着「世界货币」的身份,欧元的价值也不赖,但从他们对待俄罗斯的违法操作来看,谁又能保障自己的下场,不会是第二个俄罗斯。 目前印尼和俄罗斯尚未真正落实本币结算机制,但是从最新的进程来看,既然印尼都已经做好了充足准备,想必 ...
俄罗斯卢布6月有效汇率环比上涨1.8%。
news flash· 2025-07-15 15:16
Core Point - The effective exchange rate of the Russian Ruble increased by 1.8% month-on-month in June [1] Group 1 - The increase in the effective exchange rate indicates a strengthening of the Russian Ruble against a basket of currencies [1]
据路透调查:预计12个月后俄罗斯卢布兑美元将升至98.25(此前调查为97.5)。
news flash· 2025-07-01 14:27
Core Viewpoint - A Reuters survey predicts that the Russian ruble will strengthen against the US dollar, reaching 98.25 in 12 months, up from a previous forecast of 97.5 [1] Group 1 - The forecast indicates a slight appreciation of the ruble against the dollar over the next year [1]
整理:每日全球外汇市场要闻速递(5月29日)
news flash· 2025-05-29 08:00
Group 1: US Dollar and Federal Reserve - The Federal Reserve's June economic forecast may be influenced by predictions of stagflation [2] - The US International Trade Court has halted Trump's "liberation day" trade policy, with the Trump administration filing an appeal [2] - The minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting indicate rising risks of increased unemployment and inflation, diminishing the benefits of a flexible average inflation targeting in a high-risk environment [2] Group 2: Non-US Major Currencies - The Central Bank of Russia's tightening monetary policy has led to a slowdown in credit to balanced levels, with signs of inflation retreat [3] - The UK is seeking to expedite the implementation of a trade agreement with the US [3] - Japan's Prime Minister emphasized the importance of investment over tariffs, noting positive economic signs following wage increases [3] - Japan's Finance Minister stated that there was no discussion of exchange rate levels in recent talks with the US Treasury Secretary [3] - Japan's Economic Revitalization Minister will continue to urge the US to reconsider tariff measures and will hold ministerial talks on trade expansion and economic security cooperation [3] Group 3: Other Central Banks and Economic Indicators - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Governor indicated that the official cash rate (OCR) may follow various paths, with uncertainty regarding a rate cut in July [4] - The Bank of Korea cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 2.50%, aligning with market expectations [4] - The Bank of Korea forecasts inflation rates of 1.9% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026, while lowering economic growth expectations for 2025 to 0.8% [4] - A Reuters survey indicated that 53 out of 61 economists expect the Reserve Bank of India to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 5.75% on June 6 [4] - The Bank of Korea's Governor noted that there is still room for further rate cuts due to economic downturn risks, with a low likelihood of policy rates falling below 2% [4] - The Bank of Korea's Governor mentioned that recent US court rulings will reduce the effective tariff rate on Korea from 13.3% to 9.7% [5] Group 4: Currency Trends and Investor Sentiment - Investor bullish positions on the New Taiwan Dollar and Philippine Peso have reached the highest levels since 2020, reflecting optimism towards all Asian currencies [5] - The Russian Ruble briefly strengthened against the US Dollar, reaching its highest level since June 2023 [5]
俄罗斯卢布兑美元升破79, 创2023年6月以来的最高水平。
news flash· 2025-05-29 07:29
Core Insights - The Russian ruble has surpassed 79 against the US dollar, reaching its highest level since June 2023 [1] Group 1 - The exchange rate movement indicates a strengthening of the ruble, which may reflect changes in market sentiment or economic conditions [1]
俄罗斯卢布兑美元汇率升破79
news flash· 2025-05-29 07:27
Core Point - The Russian ruble has strengthened against the US dollar, surpassing 79, marking its strongest level since June 2023 [1] Group 1 - The exchange rate of the Russian ruble against the US dollar has reached a significant milestone, indicating a notable appreciation [1]
俄罗斯央行:俄罗斯卢布兑美元涨穿80卢布整数位心理关口。
news flash· 2025-05-21 14:52
Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Russia has reported that the Russian ruble has surpassed the psychological threshold of 80 rubles per dollar [1] Group 1 - The ruble's exchange rate against the dollar has crossed the significant level of 80, indicating potential volatility in the currency market [1]
美银策略师:如何布局“下一轮大牛市”?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-19 06:37
Group 1 - Michael Hartnett's prediction of "buy the rumor, sell the fact" has partially materialized, with the S&P 500 index surging 5% following the announcement of a trade agreement framework [1] - Hartnett identifies the best and worst performing assets for 2025, with oil expected to decline by 12% and gold projected to rise by 21% [1] - Key levels to watch include a 5% yield on 30-year U.S. Treasuries, a 100-point level on the dollar index, and a 5000-point level on the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) [1] Group 2 - A potential combination of rising bond yields and a declining dollar could lead to a sell-off in U.S. equities, with 5% yield seen as a critical threshold [2] - Emerging market stocks are predicted to be the core engine of a new bull market, supported by a weaker dollar, peaked bond yields, and a boost from the Chinese economy [2] - The "Riyadh Agreement" driven by Trump is key to lowering oil prices, facilitating increased production from Saudi Arabia and Russia in exchange for sanctions relief [2] Group 3 - Hartnett warns that bond yields will reveal the ultimate outcome of U.S. policy, with a preference for a scenario of declining yields and deflation by 2025 [3] - The removal of the AAA rating by Moody's has cast a shadow over the long-term bond market [3]
亚洲区域货币普涨的背后
一瑜中的· 2025-05-06 14:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the collective appreciation of Asian currencies during the May Day holiday, primarily driven by the significant appreciation of the New Taiwan Dollar, which rose by 6.8% [2][8]. - The appreciation of the New Taiwan Dollar is attributed to exporters selling US dollars and insurance companies' foreign exchange hedging operations, which may have intensified the currency's rise [11][12]. - The article suggests that the appreciation of the New Taiwan Dollar may not be an isolated case, as a weakening US dollar could lead to a repatriation of foreign assets, further driving local currency appreciation [11][12]. Group 2 - During the May Day holiday, global asset performance leaned towards a "risk-on" sentiment, with major stock markets experiencing gains, particularly the Nasdaq index, which rose by 3% [4][18]. - The US non-farm payrolls for April exceeded expectations, with an increase of 177,000 jobs, indicating a robust labor market and alleviating recession concerns [5][29]. - The US GDP for Q1 turned negative for the first time since Q3 2022, recording a -0.3% growth rate, primarily due to a significant decline in net exports [5][35]. Group 3 - The Bank of Japan decided to pause interest rate hikes, maintaining the policy rate at 0.5%, citing uncertainties related to tariff policies as a key factor [5][36]. - The OPEC+ meeting on May 3 agreed to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in June, which is three times the original planned increase, leading to a significant drop in oil prices [6][41]. - Warren Buffett announced his retirement at the end of the year during the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting, emphasizing the importance of not using trade as a weapon and expressing optimism about the US economy [7][42].