Overall Situation of Steel Products Import and Export - In September 2025, China exported 10.465 million tons of steel, a month-on-month increase of 10.0%, with an average export price of $679.1 per ton, down 2.7% from the previous month [2][3] - Cumulatively, from January to September, China exported 87.955 million tons of steel, a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, with an average export price of $696.7 per ton, down 9.5% year-on-year [2][3] - In September, China imported 548,000 tons of steel, a month-on-month increase of 9.7%, with an average import price of $1,623.1 per ton, down 1.8% from the previous month [2][3] - Cumulatively, from January to September, China imported 4.532 million tons of steel, a year-on-year decrease of 12.6%, with an average import price of $1,692.3 per ton, up 1.1% year-on-year [2][3] Export Situation of Steel Products - In September, the export volume of major steel varieties increased, with significant growth in hot-rolled sheets and coated sheets [5] - Exports to ASEAN, African Union, and Gulf Cooperation Council countries saw notable increases, while exports to the European Union decreased [5][10] - Among 22 major steel varieties, only three showed a month-on-month decline in export volume, while several key varieties saw increases of over 10% [7][8] Import Situation of Steel Products - In September, the import scale of steel continued to rise, with a stable overall import structure [12][17] - 15 out of 22 major steel varieties saw a month-on-month increase in import volume, with significant growth in cold-rolled wide steel strips [15] - The import volume from major countries, except Germany, generally increased month-on-month [17] Future Outlook - The export volume of steel and steel billets remains high, with September's monthly steel export volume exceeding 10 million tons [18] - Exports to Southeast Asia and the Middle East are increasing, but competition in these markets is intensifying [18] - Emerging economies are imposing trade restrictions on Chinese steel products, prompting recommendations for exporters to manage their export pace and protect their rights [18]

Economic Policy - The July 30 meeting emphasized the need for continuous macroeconomic policy support and timely enhancements, focusing on more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies to fully unleash policy effects [1][8] - The meeting highlighted the importance of cultivating new growth points in service consumption and expanding consumer demand while ensuring the improvement of people's livelihoods [1][9] Market Dynamics - On July 30, the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.36%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 2.72%. Southbound funds recorded a net purchase exceeding 10 billion HKD [4] - China Chang'an Automobile Group reported a total revenue of 146.9 billion CNY for the first half of the year, with a target of 300,000 vehicles for the year, including 1 million in new energy vehicle sales [4] Industry Developments - The National AI Open Source Platform "Huanxin Community" was officially launched, with ZTE contributing 11 core technology achievements, including six self-developed large models [5] - The China Coking Industry Association called for a price increase in the coking market, with specific price adjustments for various types of coke effective from July 31 [5] Stock Market Movements - On July 30, polysilicon futures reached a limit-up price of 54,770 CNY/ton, marking a 9% increase [7] - The stock of Upwind New Materials experienced significant volatility, with a closing price of 92.07 CNY/share, up 9.37%, and a total market value of 37.1 billion CNY [7] Corporate Announcements - Nanjing Hongtai Sun Co., Ltd. announced a price increase for its 42% paraquat mother liquor to 15,000 CNY/ton due to fluctuating raw material prices and high demand [6] - Li Auto's stock saw a decrease in shareholding by BlackRock from 5.01% to 4.61% as of July 24 [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese customs authority has announced new regulations to standardize the import management of recycled black powder used in lithium-ion batteries and recycled steel materials [1] Group 1 - The new regulations aim to enhance the management and quality control of imported recycled materials, which are critical for the production of lithium-ion batteries and steel [1] - The move is expected to impact the supply chain for companies involved in the production of electric vehicles and renewable energy technologies, as they rely heavily on these recycled materials [1] - The regulations may lead to increased costs for importers and manufacturers who need to comply with the new standards, potentially affecting pricing strategies in the market [1]

Group 1 - The domestic scrap steel market is experiencing a consolidation phase with a lack of trading activity and low procurement enthusiasm from steel companies [1] - Average procurement prices for scrap steel from key steel enterprises have decreased, with heavy scrap down by 10 CNY/ton, medium scrap down by 11 CNY/ton, and mixed scrap down by 7 CNY/ton compared to the previous week [1] - In May, the import of recycled steel raw materials was 23,600 tons, a month-on-month decrease of 24.90% and a year-on-year decrease of 5.31% [1] Group 2 - In East China, scrap steel prices remain stable, with slight decreases in procurement prices from various steel companies due to high temperatures affecting processing and transportation [2] - In Central China, the scrap steel market is weakly stable, with low inventory levels and reduced procurement prices from several steel companies [2] - In South China, the scrap steel market is under pressure, with companies reducing procurement prices to mitigate risks due to narrowing profit margins [2] Group 3 - In Southwest China, scrap steel prices are declining, with low confidence among merchants and cautious procurement by steel companies [3] - In Northwest China, scrap steel prices are slightly increasing, supported by limited market circulation resources [3] - In Northeast China, scrap steel prices are fluctuating, with steel companies adopting a cautious procurement strategy amid weak supply and demand [3] Group 4 - In North China, the scrap steel market is weak, with reduced consumption by steel companies leading to downward pressure on prices [3]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement by the Ministry of Ecology and Environment aims to regulate the import management of recycled black powder and recycled steel raw materials used in lithium-ion batteries, promoting the recycling of resources and ensuring compliance with specific guidelines [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Import Regulations - Recycled black powder for lithium-ion batteries is not classified as solid waste and can be imported freely, provided it is not mixed with other types of recycled materials [1] - Recycled black powder must not be imported in bulk and should be categorized separately during customs declaration [1] - Recycled steel raw materials are also not classified as solid waste and can be imported freely, with similar restrictions on mixing with other recycled materials [1] Customs Declaration - Different types of recycled black powder cannot be declared under the same customs declaration form [1] - For recycled steel, different categories can be declared under the same customs declaration form if they are independently packaged or physically separated [1] - Mixed loading of different categories of recycled steel is allowed if they can be distinguished during unloading [1]