库存方面，据统计，9月29日佛山、宁波、无锡三地再生铝合金锭日度社会库存共计50050吨，较前一交 易日增加104吨，较上周一（9月22日）增加382吨。 9月29日，国内期市有色金属板块大面积飘绿。其中，铸造铝合金期货呈现震荡下行走势，截至发稿主 力合约小幅下跌0.25%，报20320.0元/吨。 展望后市，一德期货表示，供应有扰动，废铝供应偏紧，且退税红利退场，下游压铸开工逐步回升，但 鉴于高价采购积极些一般；22日已开始注册仓单，社会库存或进一步增加。【投资策略】节前减仓为 主，防范假期海外风险。铝合金：AD跟随AL价格走势，仍可逢低试多AD-AL。 供给方面，瑞达期货（002961）分析称，由于原料供给的收紧，在对铸铝现货价提供支撑的同时，在一 定程度上又限制着铸铝产能，国内铸铝供给量或将增速放缓。 需求方面，新湖期货指出，汽车市场继续回暖，但以新能源汽车为主，再生铸造铝合金受益非常有限， 总体消费回升力度仍有限。 ...

Group 1 - The company, Shunbo Alloy, has indicated that its existing recycled cast aluminum alloy products are primarily used in the automotive, motorcycle, machinery manufacturing, and home appliance sectors [2] - The company is currently constructing a project in Anhui for recycled deformed aluminum alloy products, which will mainly be applied in battery foil blank materials, battery casings, and can materials, including 3C products such as mobile phones [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent financial report of Lichung Group (300428) shows a solid performance with a revenue increase of 15.41% year-on-year and a net profit growth of 4.97% for the first half of 2025, indicating a positive trend in the company's operations and market positioning [1][6]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 14.443 billion yuan, up 15.41% from 12.515 billion yuan in the same period of 2024 [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 401 million yuan, a 4.97% increase from 382 million yuan in the previous year [1]. - The second quarter alone saw a revenue of 7.26 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.87% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 239 million yuan, which is a significant 121.66% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1][6]. - The gross margin decreased to 9.22%, down 7.00% year-on-year, while the net margin fell to 2.81%, a decrease of 10.06% [1]. Cash Flow and Debt Management - The company reported a significant increase in operating cash flow, with a year-on-year growth of 105.75%, reaching 0.03 yuan per share [1]. - The total receivables increased by 21.41% to 6.042 billion yuan, raising concerns as they accounted for 854.4% of the net profit [1][5]. - The company’s interest-bearing debt rose by 17.80% to 12.166 billion yuan, indicating a growing leverage position [1]. Business Segments and Growth Drivers - The company has focused on enhancing its core business and expanding its global supply chain, which has positively impacted sales and profitability [6]. - The functional intermediate alloy business has seen growth due to increased demand in sectors like new energy vehicles and aerospace, with a focus on high-performance materials [6]. - The recycled aluminum alloy business benefited from rising demand in emerging markets, with strategic partnerships enhancing its market position [6]. - The aluminum alloy wheel segment is evolving towards high-end and lightweight products, leveraging international production bases to maintain competitiveness [6]. Market Outlook - Analysts project the company's performance for 2025 to reach a net profit of 802 million yuan, with an expected earnings per share of 1.25 yuan [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the document. 2. Core Viewpoints - In H1 2025, the company leveraged its industrial chain synergy, focused on its main business, and advanced its global industrial chain layout, leading to steady revenue growth and enhanced profitability [26]. - Each business segment of the company showed positive performance in Q2 2025, with significantly improved profitability [26]. - The company is accelerating its layout in emerging markets and upgrading its product structure, with notable progress in new material projects [32]. - Overseas projects are under construction, which will increase the company's production capacity and competitiveness [36]. - The listing of cast aluminum alloy futures will bring multiple benefits to the company, including expanding sales channels and enabling more precise hedging [38]. - The company's high - end aluminum alloy wheel business has a clear strategic layout, aiming to meet global high - end customer demands [39]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Research Basic Information - Research object: Lizhong Group [16] - Industry: Auto parts [16] - Reception time: August 27, 2025 [16] - Company reception personnel: Li Zhiguo, Vice President and Secretary of the Board of Directors of Lizhong Group; Feng Yuqi, Securities Affairs Representative of Lizhong Group [16] 3.2. Detailed Research Institutions - Multiple institutions participated in the research, including securities companies (such as CICC, Huachuang Securities), fund management companies (such as Chang Sheng Fund, Tong Tai Fund), insurance asset management companies (such as Cigna Asset Management), and other investment and asset management institutions [17][18][19] 3.3. Research Institution Proportion No information provided in the document. 3.4. Main Content Data - **Company Performance in H1 2025**: The company achieved a cumulative operating income of 1,444,339 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 15.41%. The cumulative net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 40,129 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.97%. Excluding the impact of accounting estimate changes, it increased by 62.43% year - on - year. In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 23,934 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 121.66% and a quarter - on - quarter increase of 47.79% [26]. - **Business Segment Performance** - **Functional Master Alloy Business**: The company focused on high - end material demand in emerging fields, increased R & D and market expansion, and improved production efficiency, resulting in dual growth of revenue and profit [27]. - **Recycled Cast Aluminum Alloy Business**: Driven by the growing demand in new energy vehicles and other emerging markets, product sales increased steadily. New materials such as heat - treatment - free alloys contributed new growth points. The company expanded its international market in recycled aluminum through strategic cooperation [28][29]. - **Aluminum Alloy Wheel Business**: The business developed towards scale, globalization, high - end, and lightweight. The company optimized production and sales networks, increased the proportion of high - value - added products, and improved profitability [30]. - **New Energy Lithium - Battery New Material Business**: The company advanced customer certification, market development, and trial production of hexafluorophosphate lithium products, and supplied high - quality fluoride salts for its master alloy products [31]. - **New Material Layout in Emerging Industries**: The company focused on emerging fields such as new energy vehicles and humanoid robots. New materials like heat - treatment - free alloys, recycled low - carbon A356 alloy, and high - thermal - conductivity materials achieved mass production or were under verification in relevant applications [32][33]. - **Overseas Key Layout and Progress**: The company established production bases in Thailand and Mexico and sales service institutions in other countries. In Thailand, a third aluminum alloy wheel factory is under construction. In Mexico, the second - phase project of a 360 - million - piece ultra - lightweight aluminum alloy wheel project is expected to be completed in Q3 2025, and a 50 - million - piece forged aluminum alloy wheel production capacity is under construction [36]. - **Impact of Cast Aluminum Alloy Futures Listing**: The company participated deeply as the first - order trading unit, registered its brand as a futures delivery brand, and will adopt a more precise hedging strategy [38]. - **High - End Aluminum Alloy Wheel Business Layout**: The company focused on high - end forged, cast - spun, and low - carbon aluminum alloy wheels, expanded overseas production capacity, and improved production efficiency and product quality [39].

Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 1,444,339 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.41% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 40,129 million yuan, up 4.97% year-on-year, with a significant increase of 62.43% when excluding accounting estimate changes [1] - In Q2 2025, the net profit reached 23,934 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 121.66% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 47.79% [1] Business Segments Performance Functional Intermediate Alloy Business - The company focused on high-performance intermediate alloys for sectors like new energy vehicles and aerospace, leading to revenue and profit growth [2] Recycled Aluminum Alloy Business - The demand for cast aluminum alloys surged due to the growth in new energy vehicles, with the company expanding its international market presence in recycled aluminum [2] Aluminum Alloy Wheel Business - The business is evolving towards scale, globalization, and high-end production, with increased production efficiency and enhanced international competitiveness [3] New Energy Lithium Battery Materials - The company is advancing customer certification and market development for lithium hexafluorophosphate products, leveraging its production line advantages [4] New Materials and Product Development - The company is accelerating the development of new materials in emerging markets, focusing on applications in new energy vehicles and robotics [4] - Key developments include: - Series of non-heat-treated alloys achieving mass production in the automotive sector [5] - Recycled low-carbon A356 alloy with 75% recycled aluminum, showing advantages in performance and cost [5] - High thermal and electrical conductivity materials being applied in various high-tech sectors [5] International Expansion - The company has established production bases in Thailand and Mexico, with plans for a third factory in Thailand to enhance production capacity [6] - The Mexican facility is projected to produce 360 million lightweight aluminum wheels annually, benefiting from zero tariffs under the USMCA [6] Impact of Aluminum Alloy Futures - The listing of aluminum alloy futures on June 10, 2025, allows the company to engage in more precise hedging strategies, enhancing market liquidity and setting industry benchmarks [7] High-End Aluminum Alloy Wheel Strategy - The company is focusing on low-carbon, lightweight manufacturing in the high-end aluminum alloy wheel market, with significant capacity expansion planned in Thailand and Mexico [8]

Core Viewpoint - Lichung Group has secured significant orders for aluminum alloy wheel projects, indicating its strong position in the global automotive supply chain and expected sales of approximately 1.643 billion yuan over the project lifecycle [1][2][3] Group 1: Recent Orders and Financial Impact - The company announced that its subsidiaries, New Thai Wheel and Lizhong Mexico, received project confirmations from international clients, with expected sales of about 833 million yuan and 810 million yuan respectively [2] - Cumulatively, the company has secured project confirmations worth 1.83 billion yuan in 2025, showcasing its competitive edge in the aluminum alloy wheel sector [4] - The new orders are anticipated to positively impact the company's future operating performance and enhance overall profitability and market share [3] Group 2: Company Performance and Growth - Lichung Group has experienced substantial growth over the past decade, with revenue increasing from 746 million yuan in 2015 to 27.25 billion yuan in 2024, and net profit rising from 62.13 million yuan to 707 million yuan [6][7] - The company has maintained a robust growth trajectory, with a revenue increase of over 16% in 2024, driven by its core businesses in functional intermediate alloys, recycled casting aluminum alloys, and aluminum alloy wheels [6][7] - The recycled casting aluminum alloy business has seen explosive growth, contributing 57.6% of total revenue in 2024, with sales reaching 15.696 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.84% [7] Group 3: Research and Development - The company has consistently increased its R&D investment, totaling 3.233 billion yuan from 2020 to 2024, with a focus on enhancing technological innovation capabilities [7] - As of the end of 2024, Lichung Group holds a total of 964 patents, including 170 invention patents, which supports its industry-leading position [7] - The company has achieved a global first with the mass production of integrated die-casting heat treatment-free alloys, reinforcing its technological foundation for business development [7]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The mainstream transaction price of bauxite in Guinea decreased by $0.4 per dry ton to $72.5 per dry ton. The rainy season in Guinea has affected bauxite mining and transportation, leading to a decline in bauxite shipments, which supports the ore price. However, market rumors of the resumption of a large mine in Guinea may reverse the expected structural shortage of imported ore supply in the third quarter, so the upward range of the ore price is expected to be limited [3][10]. - The operating capacity of alumina increased by 1.1 million tons week - on - week to 94.95 million tons, and the national alumina inventory increased by 19,000 tons week - on - week to 3.207 million tons. With the gradual resumption of production of reduced - capacity and the release of new capacity, the operating capacity of alumina is gradually recovering. Bullish sentiment has cooled, and alumina may face an adjustment [3][14]. - The operating capacity of electrolytic aluminum increased steadily, with a week - on - week increase of 10,000 tons to 44.214 million tons. Some remaining capacity in Guizhou Anshun is being resumed, the replacement capacity of Yunlv Yixin is being put into production, and the technical renovation project of Baise Yinhai is gradually resuming production. The downstream demand of aluminum is weakening, with the weekly average operating rate of domestic aluminum downstream processing leading enterprises decreasing by 0.1% to 58.8%. The inventory of aluminum ingots decreased, while the inventory of aluminum rods increased [3]. - In the case of recycled cast aluminum alloy, downstream enterprises are gradually entering the high - temperature holiday, with insufficient new orders. High scrap aluminum prices and a sharp increase in industrial silicon prices have led to great loss pressure on enterprises, and the operating rate of recycled aluminum enterprises will continue the downward trend [3]. - The short - term risk of aluminum prices is still high, and it is recommended to wait and see, paying attention to market changes. The Fed's interest - rate meeting and the China - US London talks are about to take place, and attention should be paid to the meeting results and negotiation outcomes [3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Strategy Suggestions - Alumina: It is recommended to lay out short positions at high levels when the price rebounds [4]. - Shanghai Aluminum: It is recommended to wait and see [4]. - Cast Aluminum Alloy: It is recommended to wait and see [4]. 3.2. Bauxite - The supply of domestic bauxite is tightening, and the price is temporarily stable. Stricter safety production supervision and environmental inspections in Shanxi and Henan have restricted bauxite mining activities, and some mines have suspended production. Frequent rainfall in major domestic producing areas has also restricted ore mining [10]. - The mainstream transaction price of Guinea's bulk bauxite decreased by $0.4 per dry ton to $72.5 per dry ton. The rainy season in Guinea has affected bauxite mining and transportation, and the bauxite shipment volume has shown a downward trend. The expected tightening of spot supply supports the upward movement of the ore price, but the expected structural shortage of imported ore supply in the third quarter may be reversed, so the upward range of the ore price is limited [3][10]. 3.3. Alumina - As of last Friday, the built - up capacity of alumina was 113.02 million tons, with a week - on - week increase of 100,000 tons, the operating capacity was 94.95 million tons, with a week - on - week increase of 1.1 million tons, and the operating rate was 84.01%. The domestic spot weighted price was 3,257 yuan per ton, with a week - on - week increase of 37.9 yuan per ton. The national alumina inventory was 3.207 million tons, with a week - on - week increase of 19,000 tons [14]. - Newly invested capacity in Shandong, Guangxi, and other regions is gradually contributing to alumina production. A medium - sized alumina enterprise in Shandong has expanded and upgraded its capacity, and it is expected to reach full production this week. Although a red mud reservoir in a south - western alumina enterprise has a landslide risk due to heavy rain, the current production has not been affected [14]. 3.4. Electrolytic Aluminum - As of last Friday, the built - up capacity of electrolytic aluminum was 45.232 million tons, remaining unchanged week - on - week, and the operating capacity was 44.214 million tons, with a week - on - week increase of 10,000 tons [23]. - The operating capacity of electrolytic aluminum is increasing steadily. Some remaining capacity in Guizhou Anshun is being resumed, the replacement capacity of Yunlv Yixin is being put into production, contributing a net increase of 35,000 tons of capacity, and the 120,000 - ton capacity of the Baise Yinhai technical renovation project will be gradually powered on and resumed production in the third quarter [3][23]. 3.5. Cast Aluminum Alloy - The operating rate of recycled aluminum alloy leading enterprises decreased by 0.3% week - on - week to 53.1%. Downstream enterprises are gradually entering the high - temperature holiday, with insufficient new orders. High scrap aluminum prices and a sharp increase in industrial silicon prices have led to great loss pressure on enterprises, and the operating rate will continue the downward trend. However, recent concentrated shipments from delivery brand enterprises to spot - futures traders support the operating rate to remain relatively high in the off - season [34]. 3.6. Downstream开工率 - The weekly average operating rate of domestic aluminum downstream processing leading enterprises decreased by 0.1% to 58.7%. - Aluminum profiles: The operating rate of aluminum profile leading enterprises remained stable at 50.5% week - on - week. In the industrial profile segment, the operating rate remained unchanged. In the building profile segment, affected by the downturn in the real estate industry and seasonal factors, sample enterprises reported average existing orders and weak new orders, and the operating rate remained unchanged [43]. - Aluminum plates and strips: The operating rate of aluminum plate and strip leading enterprises remained stable at 63.2% week - on - week. With high aluminum prices, downstream customers are waiting and watching, and the finished product inventory of each aluminum plate and strip enterprise is high. Enterprises reported that it is the off - season for exports, and there is little hope for the recovery of export orders. In addition, aluminum plate and strip enterprises in various regions have not reduced production due to high - temperature power rationing [43]. - Aluminum cables: The operating rate of domestic cable leading enterprises decreased by 0.4% week - on - week to 61.6%. Although the operating rate of some enterprises has improved marginally due to order scheduling and the delivery of UHV and power transmission and transformation orders, some enterprises' strategy of reducing raw material and finished product inventories has led to a weakening of the overall operating rate. Attention should be paid to whether the matching of power grid orders in August can reopen the industry's concentrated delivery cycle [46]. - Primary aluminum alloy: The operating rate of primary aluminum alloy leading enterprises remained stable at 54% week - on - week. Although the task of aluminum - water alloying and the strategy of aluminum rod conversion continue to provide marginal support, most sample enterprises are restricted by weak terminal demand, insufficient new orders, thin profit margins, and high - temperature holidays, and the operating rate is weakly stable [46].

Core Viewpoint - The credit rating agency has maintained a stable credit rating outlook for the company, indicating its strong market position and diversified regional layout, while also highlighting potential risks related to raw material price fluctuations and increasing debt levels [3][7]. Company Overview - The company, known as Lichong Group, operates in three major business segments: recycled aluminum alloy, aluminum alloy wheels, and functional intermediate alloys, all of which are leaders in their respective niche markets [3][5]. - The company has a diverse production base across multiple regions in China and has established subsidiaries in countries such as Thailand, the USA, South Korea, Brazil, and Mexico, which helps mitigate operational and marketing costs [5][16]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 272.46 billion yuan, a significant increase from 233.65 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a growth rate of approximately 16.54% [4][12]. - The net profit for 2024 was recorded at 7.16 billion yuan, up 16.45% from the previous year [4][12]. - The company's total debt increased to 133.78 billion yuan in March 2025, compared to 119.02 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a rapid growth in debt levels [4][12]. Operational Challenges - The company faces increased cost pressures due to fluctuations in raw material prices, particularly for electrolytic aluminum and recycled aluminum, which could impact sales revenue and profitability [5][6]. - The scale of accounts receivable and inventory has significantly increased, reaching a combined total of 119.72 billion yuan by March 2025, which constitutes 51.82% of total assets, raising concerns about working capital management [6][13]. Market Environment - The automotive industry in China is expected to continue growing, with the company benefiting from strong demand in the downstream automotive supply chain [10][11]. - The company has a strong customer base, including major clients like Great Wall Motors and General Motors, with the top five customers accounting for 22.63% of total sales in 2024, indicating a relatively low concentration risk [14][16]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to expand its business further as new production capacities come online, although the utilization rates for some segments remain uncertain [7][17]. - The company is actively involved in the recycling of aluminum and has developed a dual-cycle procurement system for recycled aluminum, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [15][16].

Industry Outlook - The Chinese government has introduced several macro development plans and industrial policies, such as the 14th Five-Year Plan and the New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2021-2035), which encourage innovation and green development in new materials and new energy sectors [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued the "Aluminum Industry High-Quality Development Implementation Plan (2025-2027)", aiming for a 3%-5% increase in domestic aluminum resources and over 15 million tons of recycled aluminum production by 2027 [2] Company Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 347,589.43 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 11,662.67 million, with a year-on-year increase of 125.50% [4][6] - For the full year 2024, the company reported a revenue of CNY 1,397,651.34 million, reflecting a growth of 17.01% compared to the previous year [7] Competitive Advantages - The company has established a comprehensive core technology system in the recycled aluminum sector, with five key advantages: intelligent sorting pre-treatment system, low-carbon combustion system, waste heat recovery, precise alloy composition control, and a digital quality control platform [3] Future Growth Strategies - The company plans to drive future profitability through a dual strategy of "recycled casting aluminum alloy + recycled deformed aluminum alloy" and will focus on optimizing sales and procurement strategies, increasing capacity utilization, and reducing costs [5][10] - The company aims to expand its production capacity in the casting and deformed aluminum alloy sectors, leveraging domestic capital markets to seize industry integration opportunities [9][10] Financial Management - The company is addressing rising debt levels, which increased from 55% to 75% over three years, by exploring various financing methods and controlling operational funding needs [8] - The company has a current production capacity of 1.05 million tons, with a utilization rate of approximately 78% in 2024, exceeding the industry average [13]

2024年度，免热合金龙头——立中集团（300428.SZ）向市场交出了一份亮眼的成绩单。在汽车轻量 化、新能源产业链快速发展的背景下，公司功能中间合金、再生铸造铝合金、铝合金车轮三大核心业务 协同发力，营收与净利润均实现双位数增长，展现出强劲的行业竞争力和战略执行力。 24年度扣非净利同比增长17.09%至6.08亿元 拟10派3.37元 根据公司近日披露的2024年度财报，报告期内，公司实现营业收入272.46亿元，同比增长16.61%；净利 润7.07亿元，同比增长16.77%；剔除股权激励费用归属于上市公司股东的净利润为74,723万元，较上年 同期增长5.31%；扣非净利润6.08亿元，同比增长17.09%。 业绩变动，2024年，公司积极应对国内外市场及行业竞争压力，充分发挥产业链协同优势，聚焦主营业 务，提升运营效能，深入开拓市场与客户资源，全力推动高附加值产品的研发与市场开拓，落实降本增 效策略，持续提升公司盈利能力。 需要提及的是，在业绩稳健增长的同时，立中集团还高度重视对投资者的合理回报，坚持与投资者共享 发展成果，实实在在地回报投资者。根据公司同日发布的2024年度利润分配预案，立中集团 ...