[Table_Reportdate] 2026年03月02日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 陈芯楠 S0630525090001 cxn@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 李嘉豪 S0630525100001 重点推荐 lijiah@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20260302 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [table_summary] ➢ 1.把握商品周期与科技赋能主线，关注油价变量——资产配置周报（2026/02/23- 2026/02/27） ➢ 2.2025年机床行业稳健增长，高端数控机床领域加速推进——机械设备行业简评 ➢ 1.霍尔木兹海峡禁止任何船只通行 ➢ 2.美国对伊朗持续进行军事打击 ➢ 3.美国1月PPI同比增长2.9%，超出预期 ➢ 4.四部门部署帮扶小额信贷新政 ➢ 5.商务部：将坚持"政策＋活动"双轮驱动，深入实施提 ...

东海证券近日发布机械设备行业简评：根据国家统计局发布数据，2025年我国金属切削机床产量累计达 86.83万台，同比增长9.70%。根据海关总署统计数据，我国机床出口金额为129.10亿美元，同比增长 14.60%；我国机床进口金额为58.74亿美元，同比增长0.40%，进口数量为7.23万台，同比增长3.50%。 机床外销金额增长，均价大幅提升。2025年全年机床外销金额同比增长14.60%，外销结构呈现显著的 提质增效特征，与内需增长形成良好呼应。从出口核心数据看，2025年我国机床出口数量1492万台，同 比下降18.20%，但出口金额创新高达129.10亿美元，同比增长14.60%，出口均价同比大幅提升40.19%， 国产机床高端化转型成效显现，高附加值数控机床出口占比提升。从海外市场的订单情况来看，2025年 日本全年金属切削机床订单金额达11699.26亿日元，同比增长7.67%，表明海外新兴市场及发达国家制 造业复苏态势良好，带来海外设备需求持续释放。2026年随着国内机床技术迭代升级，高性价比的国产 机床设备出口或持续增长。 国内高端数控机床领域加速推进。国内高端数控机床产业在政策支持与市场需 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年02月27日 超配 行 业 简 评 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 商俭 S0630525060002 shangjian@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] -33% -19% -5% 9% 23% 37% 51% 25-02 25-05 25-08 25-11 申万行业指数:机械设备(0764) 沪深300 [Table_NewTitle] 2025年机床行业稳健增长，高端数控机 床领域加速推进 ——机械设备行业简评 [table_main] 投资要点： [table_product] ➢ 事件：根据国家统计局发布数据，2025年我国金属切削机床产量累计达86.83万台，同比 增长9.70%。根据海关总署统计数据，我国机床出口金额为129.10亿美元，同比增长 14.60%；我国机床进口金额为58.74亿美元，同比增长0.40%，进口数量为7.23万台，同 比增长3.50%。 ➢ 机床市场全年稳健增长。2025年金属切削机床产量同比增长9.70%，全年增长态势稳健； 其中数控金属切削机床产量达34.68万台，同比增 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hubei is positioned as a crucial strategic support point for the rise of the central region, emphasizing its unique geographical advantages, abundant resources, and solid development foundation, as highlighted by President Xi Jinping during his visit in November 2024 [4][5][6]. Economic Growth - By 2025, Hubei's economic output is expected to stabilize at 6 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.5%, surpassing the national growth rate by 0.5% [5][31]. - The province has maintained a leading growth rate nationally and within the central region, playing a key role as a major economic province [5][31]. Technological Innovation - Hubei is focusing on critical technologies and future industries, aiming to establish itself as a "World Optics Valley" with significant achievements in technology, including the first urban optical remote sensing satellite and the first atomic quantum computer in China [5][10]. - The province's comprehensive technology innovation index and regional innovation capability index rank seventh nationally, with improvements noted from the previous year [10]. Manufacturing Industry - The "51020" advanced manufacturing industry cluster in Hubei is strengthening, with five pillar industries reaching a scale of one trillion yuan, and six advantageous industries approaching 500 billion yuan [17]. - Hubei's manufacturing sector is characterized by a robust industrial base, with a focus on upgrading traditional industries and fostering new and future industries [14][17]. Agricultural Development - Hubei is enhancing its supply capacity for essential agricultural products, with a projected grain output of 55.824 billion jin in 2025, maintaining a stable production level for 13 consecutive years [2][31]. - The comprehensive output value of the province's ten key agricultural industry chains is expected to reach 1.19 trillion yuan [2]. Transportation Infrastructure - Hubei has developed a comprehensive transportation network, achieving high-speed rail connectivity across cities, with significant increases in port cargo throughput and international air cargo volume [2][23]. - The province's strategic location allows it to serve as a key hub for domestic and international trade, enhancing its role in the national economy [22][24]. Environmental Sustainability - Hubei is committed to ecological protection and green transformation, with initiatives to upgrade its chemical industry and improve environmental quality [19][20]. - The province has implemented measures to ensure industrial development aligns with ecological safety, contributing to national ecological security [20]. Open Economy - Hubei is enhancing its role in domestic and international markets, with a focus on building an open economy that leverages its transportation advantages [22][25]. - The province's foreign trade is projected to reach 834.01 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 18.2%, leading in both trade volume and service exports in the central region [27].

Company Dynamics - Huazhong CNC (300161.SZ) announced a profit forecast for 2025, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 12 million and 17 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 121.67% to 130.70%, indicating a turnaround from losses to profits [2] - The company aims to overcome adverse impacts from sanctions while enhancing technological advancements and market expansion to improve core competitiveness [2] - Core businesses in CNC systems and industrial robots have made significant breakthroughs, contributing to the expected increase in net profit compared to the previous year [2] - On January 16, Huazhong CNC emphasized its commitment to independent innovation and the development of core technologies, successfully overcoming key technical challenges in high-end CNC systems [2] - The company has developed the Huazhong 8 high-end CNC system, which has been applied in multiple key enterprises and high-end sectors [2] - In collaboration with Huazhong University of Science and Technology, the company is set to develop the "Huazhong 10" intelligent CNC system, integrating mathematical models of CNC machine tools with AI data models to create a new paradigm in engineering modeling [2]

Company Dynamics - Huazhong CNC (300161.SZ) announced a profit forecast for 2025, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12 million to 17 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 121.67% to 130.70%, indicating a turnaround from losses [1] - The company aims to overcome adverse impacts from sanctions while enhancing technological advancements and market expansion to improve core competitiveness [1] - Core businesses in CNC systems and industrial robots have made significant breakthroughs, contributing to the expected increase in net profit compared to the previous year [1] - On January 16, Huazhong CNC emphasized its commitment to independent innovation and the development of core technologies, successfully overcoming key technical challenges in high-end CNC systems [1] - The company has developed the Huazhong 8 high-end CNC system, which has been applied in multiple key enterprises and high-end sectors [1] - In 2025, Huazhong CNC plans to collaborate with Huazhong University of Science and Technology to develop the "Huazhong 10" intelligent CNC system, integrating mathematical models of CNC machine tools with AI data models to create a new paradigm in engineering modeling [1]

2025年，武汉高端装备产业规模突破2500亿元，同比增长19%，在商业航天、低空经 济、工业母机等关键领域多点突破，应用场景深度拓展，产业生态日趋完善，为城市高质量 发展筑牢硬核支撑。 场景牵引赋能，多元领域深度渗透。武汉坚持以应用场景带动产业发展，推动高端装备 在多领域落地生根。智能制造装备领域，华中数控中高档数控系统、华工激光三维五轴激光 切割装备市占率全国第一，高德红外、帝尔激光等企业产品保持全球或国内领先水平；绿色 智能船舶领域，50艘智能电动游艇在东湖等景区开展"绿色智能游船+文旅"示范；轨道交通 装备的智能运维、永磁牵引系统广泛应用于武汉多条地铁线路。商业航天领域，8个项目入 选省级卫星应用示范项目，覆盖地质勘探、灾害预警等多元场景；低空经济领域，电鹰科 技、旭日蓝天等企业开通11条商业试点航线，普宙科技"低空数据赋能城市治理"项目入选国 家级典型案例，建成全国首个低空共享无人机应用示范区；能源装备领域，中石化氢能机械 公司装备在鄂渝川氢能大走廊实现产业化应用。 武汉支持国家航天产业基地等商业航天集聚区建设，推动8个区建设省级低空经济综合 试验区，为产业集聚提供坚实空间。武汉落实工业母机企业研发 ...

Group 1 - The core focus of the news is the announcement of the top ten enterprises in Wuhan for 2025, highlighting significant advancements in key industries such as optical chips, robotics, and intelligent manufacturing [1][2] - Dream Chip Technology released the world's smallest full-system, full-frequency Beidou chip, "Zhu Meng MX2740A," which is only the size of half a fingernail and boasts leading international performance [1] - Huazhong CNC introduced the world's first next-generation intelligent numerical control system, "Huazhong 10," which integrates AI chips and large language models, enabling industrial machines to possess "self-learning" capabilities [1] Group 2 - Changfei Optical Fiber successfully laid the world's first seven-core optical fiber submarine experimental cable, setting a record for the longest deployment of space-division multiplexing submarine cables, which is crucial for upgrading marine communication [1] - Dongfeng Motor completed the world's largest integrated die-casting factory in Wuhan, utilizing a 16,000-ton domestic die-casting machine, advancing automotive manufacturing technology to the top tier globally [1] - Wuhan Boiler Energy won a world-class energy storage project, providing core components for the world's first 300-megawatt compressed air energy storage power station, marking a significant breakthrough in Wuhan's high-end equipment manufacturing capabilities in the new energy storage sector [1] Group 3 - He Yuan Bio's globally pioneering "rice-based blood" new drug has been approved for market release, addressing the long-term reliance on imported human serum albumin [2] - Wuhan Financial Holding Group became the first municipal state-owned enterprise to exceed 100 billion yuan in revenue, driving the development of the real economy through a "finance + industry" dual approach [2] - The Hubei Humanoid Robot Innovation Center established the first humanoid robot 7S store in the country, creating a new model for the commercialization of robots [2]

Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly transitioning from experimental phases to practical applications across various industries, becoming a key driver of industrial transformation [1][2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes accelerating AI innovation and implementing the "AI+" initiative, with Hubei province serving as a notable example of integrating technology with the real economy [1][2] Group 1: AI Applications and Innovations - Hubei has released 106 typical AI application scenarios, achieving large-scale applications in key sectors such as healthcare, transportation, and manufacturing [2] - The province has developed multiple internationally advanced general models in AI, with some achieving accuracy rates exceeding 95% [2] - Hubei's AI ecosystem includes a variety of innovative products, such as the world's first L3-level intelligent architecture and the "Hubei 10" intelligent CNC system, showcasing a comprehensive development framework from technological innovation to industrial application [4] Group 2: AI Training and Development Centers - The Hubei humanoid robot innovation center is the largest in the country, featuring 23 high-fidelity training scenarios and producing millions of training data annually for intelligent robotics development [7] - This center supports various sectors, including healthcare, power inspection, and commercial services, facilitating the practical application of humanoid robots [7] Group 3: Collaborative Ecosystem and Industry Growth - Hubei's AI industry is characterized by a collaborative ecosystem, addressing common challenges such as data acquisition and high training costs through a one-stop support platform for enterprises [8][9] - The province has seen a significant increase in enterprise-led AI technology projects, with 70% of provincial projects now led by companies [9] - Hubei's AI industry is experiencing rapid growth, with a compound annual growth rate of nearly 40% over the past five years, and is expected to exceed 150 billion yuan by 2025 [11]

Core Insights - The "Hua Zhong 10" intelligent CNC system developed by Huazhong CNC has been recognized as one of the "Top Ten Technological Advances in Intelligent Manufacturing" globally, marking a significant achievement for domestic industrial CNC systems [1] Group 1: Product Development - The "Hua Zhong 10" is a next-generation platform product designed for intelligent manufacturing environments, integrating AI chips and AI large models [1] - The system enhances machining precision by an additional 30% on top of the existing micron-level accuracy and improves processing efficiency by 5%-10% [1] Group 2: Industry Collaboration - Huazhong CNC has collaborated with 18 companies, including Qin Chuan Group, to develop the first batch of 20 intelligent CNC machine tools equipped with the "Hua Zhong 10" system [1] - The collaboration includes key equipment such as five-axis machining centers and three-dimensional five-axis laser machines, demonstrating a transition from technical breakthroughs to system integration [1]