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AI影响就业的量化悖论
腾讯研究院· 2025-08-25 08:58
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on employment, highlighting the ongoing debate and confusion surrounding the quantification of AI's effects on jobs, as well as the limitations and challenges in measuring these impacts [3][5][11]. Group 1: Research Findings on AI and Employment - Various international organizations and consulting firms have published reports on AI's impact on jobs, with findings indicating that a significant portion of jobs are at risk of automation. For instance, the OECD states that 27% of jobs in its member countries are at high risk of automation, while the IMF estimates that nearly 40% of global employment is exposed to AI [4][5]. - The reports show a wide range of estimates regarding job exposure to AI, with figures varying from 0.4% to 67%, indicating a lack of comparability and consistency among studies [5][6]. - The concept of "AI Occupation Exposure" is often misunderstood, leading to unnecessary panic about job losses, as high exposure does not necessarily equate to job elimination [5][6]. Group 2: Challenges in Quantifying AI's Impact - The quantification of AI's impact on employment faces three main challenges: the inability to isolate AI as an independent factor, the difficulty in clearly defining the scope of AI, and the unpredictability of future technological developments [8][9][10]. - AI's influence on employment is intertwined with various macroeconomic factors, making it challenging to isolate its effects in a meaningful way [8]. - The dynamic nature of AI and its integration into various sectors complicates the ability to define its impact clearly, as AI is often embedded in existing technologies and applications [9]. Group 3: Limitations of Data in Employment Studies - Data used in employment studies can be influenced by subjective factors and may not always reflect objective reality, leading to potential biases in the findings [12]. - The pursuit of accurate data is often hindered by practical challenges, such as funding and sampling issues, which can result in distorted outcomes [12]. - The inherent limitations of data mean that predictions about the future labor market based solely on past data are often unreliable, as unforeseen changes can significantly alter employment landscapes [12].
是“文化甘霖”,也是科技创新催化剂(荧屏热点)
Ren Min Ri Bao Hai Wai Ban· 2025-08-13 01:21
Core Insights - The rise of technology companies like DeepSeek and Yushu Technology in early 2025 highlights the importance of fostering an innovative culture to seize the historic opportunities presented by artificial intelligence [1][2] - The documentary-style investment program "Winning in AI+" has successfully engaged over 700 AI companies across multiple cities, showcasing the potential of AI integration and innovation [2][3] - The program serves as a platform for young innovators, providing them with comprehensive support from experts and industry leaders, thereby enhancing the acceleration of technological advancements in various sectors [2][3] Summary by Sections - **Program Overview** - "Winning in AI+" focuses on the cross-disciplinary integration of AI rather than just the technology itself, reflecting a forward-thinking approach to AI transformation [2] - The program has conducted over 10 roadshows, attracting participation from a wide range of AI enterprises, significantly broadening the understanding of AI applications [2] - **Impact on Innovators** - The program has selected 102 innovative entrepreneurs to participate in its recording and broadcasting, emphasizing the dynamic spirit of the current generation of AI innovators [2] - It aims to transform the audience from mere observers of technology into active co-creators within the industry, fostering a collaborative environment for innovation [3] - **Cultural Significance** - The initiative is seen as a cultural "nourishment" that deepens the roots of innovation in China, encouraging a vibrant ecosystem for AI development [3] - The density of talent is expected to accelerate technological innovation, with hopes for more cultural initiatives to support the growth of the AI industry [3]
AI赋能,拓宽智慧职教之路
Ren Min Ri Bao Hai Wai Ban· 2025-06-03 22:45
Group 1 - The core theme of the news is the transformation of vocational education through the integration of digital technologies such as AI, big data, and cloud computing, aiming to better align educational outcomes with market demands [2][5]. - The conference "Inclusive and Symbiotic: Building a Smart Ecosystem for Vocational Education" highlighted the need for innovative teaching methods and the importance of personalized learning paths for students [2][3]. - Challenges faced by educators include insufficient classroom engagement, inadequate practical training due to resource constraints, and the difficulty of standardizing teaching for diverse student skill levels [3][4]. Group 2 - The development of AI evaluation platforms in schools allows for personalized analysis and feedback for students, enhancing their learning experience [4]. - Collaboration between educational institutions and industries is becoming a trend, with companies like Xiaomi forming partnerships with numerous schools to create a talent ecosystem that meets industry needs [6][7]. - Initiatives like the "Spring Bud Plan" aim to integrate digital tools into vocational training, providing a platform for 10 million students to connect their skills with industry requirements [6][7].
任泽平年度演讲金句
泽平宏观· 2024-12-23 14:14
。。 金句回顾 第一大预测:这是一个新周期、新时代,顺应新趋势, 把握新机遇,勇敢再出发,一切发生皆有利于我。 正心正念,坚持做长期正确的事,最终就会开花结果。 悲观者正确,乐观者前行,世界终将属于长期乐观主义者。 团队比平台重要,同行的人和沿途的风景,比要去的远方重要。 唯有长期乐观主义才能穿越周期。 比勤奋更重要的是顺势而为。 成功=勤奋+顺势 你永远无法获得认知以外的成功。 2025|毕典经济 泽平宏观 度的土壤。 4 / 房地产能止步 l有什么影响? 未来将有哪些新趋势? 车? 经济会 干而吗? 住来自未来的新机遇? 欧和胡 ii 国家发展需要技术创新,技术创新 需要制度的土壤,企业家也需要制 第二大预测:全球开启降息周期,特朗普 2.0 搅动全球,世界经济增长分化,制度经济学为各国发展带来希望。 所有的宏观经济政策并不复杂,就是为了当下老百姓的就业、吃饭服务。 经济长期看制度、中期看技术、短期看政策。 外部越紧,内部要越松。 包容性制度促进经济繁荣,掠夺性制度导致经济贫困。 经济学是一门伟大的学科,因为她试图拯救世界。 市场经济和法治精神是经济增长的源泉。 有效率地保护产权的制度是促进经济增长的关键 ...