Core Viewpoint - Fund managers are generally optimistic about the market outlook for 2026, focusing more on corporate profitability as a key driver for stock price movements [1][2][3]. Group 1: Corporate Profitability - Corporate profitability is expected to become the core consideration for investment decisions, with a shift from liquidity-driven to profitability-driven market dynamics anticipated [2][3]. - The overall profitability growth in the A-share market is expected to improve, particularly in the TMT and manufacturing sectors, while cyclical and consumer sectors are projected to gradually recover [2][5]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Fund managers are optimistic about structural opportunities in the market, particularly in growth sectors such as PCB, optical communication, and AI applications, as well as in consumer and cyclical sectors [4][5]. - Specific investment opportunities in the consumer sector include Z-generation new consumption, affordable consumption, and areas like education, gaming, and e-commerce [4]. Group 3: AI Investment Landscape - The AI sector presents both opportunities and challenges, with a consensus on the high demand for upstream computing power and the potential for explosive growth in related companies [6][7]. - Investment focus areas in AI include consumer entertainment, internal business optimization, and advancements in humanoid robots and smart driving technologies [7].

格隆汇12月18日｜国盛证券研报指出，行动教育回购彰显信心，关注AI战略推进。本次公司拟回购股 份用于实施员工持股计划或股权激励，主要是基于对未来发展的信心和对公司价值的认可，为完善公司 长效激励机制，同时，公司董事、高管、控股股东、实际控制人及一致行动人、持股5%以上的股东在 未来3个月、6个月无明确减持股份计划。25年是公司AI战略爆发年，正式从3.0的实效教育迈入4.0的"实 效教育+AI教育"，将持续从技术协同更深、组织协同更强、产品协同更优、客户协同更广四个方面发 力，致力于未来三年。25Q3公司业绩重回正增，"实效教育+AI教育"战略加速扩张大客户，中长期看好 公司作为实效型企培龙头渗透率持续提升。预计公司25-27年归母净利润分别为3.0/3.3/3.7亿元，同增 11.7%/10.3%/10.3%，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights three main lines of AI implementation: the formation of edge-side entry points, practical iteration of model capabilities, and the maturity of multimodal tools [1][2] - The consumption market is shifting from "functional satisfaction" to "emotional resonance," with IP evolving from a symbol of traffic to emotional currency, indicating a strong potential for large IPs and their commercialization [3] - The domestic cultural product infrastructure is globally leading, with Millennials and Generation Z exhibiting cultural confidence and emotional consumption needs, creating a smooth supply-demand logic [3] Group 2 - The media industry shows clear attributes of both offense and defense, with positive investment opportunities in gaming, film, and publishing sectors [4] - The gaming sector is experiencing steady growth, with a high EPS support level and a strong safety cushion, suggesting a focus on companies with stable performance or significant product marginal changes [4] - The film industry is recovering post-pandemic, with an industry gross margin of 28.9% in Q1-Q3 2025, an increase of 7.2 percentage points, and a heightened emphasis on non-ticket revenue [4] - In publishing, state-owned educational materials and auxiliary businesses are expected to strengthen their fundamentals due to state backing, with local state-owned publishing companies offering a dividend ratio of 50-60% [4]

Core Insights - Main Line 1: Three main lines of AI implementation: formation of endpoint access, practical iteration of model capabilities, and maturity of multimodal tools. Focus on AI comic dramas, AI games, AI education, AI marketing, and AI publishing [4] - Main Line 2: Investment value in the IP industry [4] AI Applications - AI Comic Dramas: Significant marginal changes with rapid growth in supply and demand, improving production efficiency by over 300% and reducing costs by over 90%. Support from platform policies is driving high-quality growth [7] - AI Games: Increasing penetration of AI in the development phase, with light casual and interactive games likely to lead in AI integration. Future potential in enhancing user engagement through AI-driven companionship [7] - AI Marketing: New marketing models driven by AI technology, with 53.1% of advertisers using AIGC for creative content generation. Over 80% of consumers are shifting from multi-platform searches to AI one-stop consultations, indicating a need for optimization in generation engines [7] - AI Education: AI reduces costs and improves teaching efficiency, with strong demand for educational equity in China. AI+ education companies are expected to penetrate deeper into the market leveraging product and promotional capabilities [7] - AI Publishing: Successful integration of AI in publishing by overseas companies, with domestic publishers also advancing AI participation in both popular and academic publishing ecosystems [7] IP Industry - The consumer market is shifting from "functional satisfaction" to "emotional resonance," with IP evolving from a traffic symbol to an emotional currency. Anticipation for large IPs and their commercialization is high [7] - The domestic cultural product infrastructure is globally leading, with millennials and Generation Z exhibiting cultural confidence and emotional consumption needs, indicating a smooth supply-demand logic [7] Media Sector Investment Opportunities - Gaming: The industry shows steady growth, with high EPS support in the gaming sector. Focus on companies with strong performance stability or significant product changes [7] - Film: The market is experiencing improved content supply and industry structure, with a gross profit margin of 28.9% in Q1-Q3 2025, up 7.2 percentage points year-on-year. The industry is recovering post-pandemic, with a focus on non-ticket revenue [7] - Publishing: In the defensive dimension, state-owned publishing companies are expected to maintain a strong foundation due to state backing and content advantages. In the offensive dimension, publishing companies are exploring smart education and offline store value [7] Recommended Companies - US Stocks: ALPHABET (GOOGL.O), Cipher Mining (CIFR.O) [7] - Hong Kong Stocks: Alibaba, Tencent Holdings, Kuaishou-W, Yueda Group, and Huimeng Technology [7] - A-shares: AI comic dramas (Rongxin Culture, Huanrui Century, Yidian Tianxia, Zhongwen Online), AI marketing (Yidian Tianxia, BlueFocus, FenZhong Media), AI games (Kaiying Network, Century Huatong, Giant Network), AI education and publishing (Doushen Education, Southern Media, Century Tianhong) [7] - IP: Recommended companies include Pop Mart, Damai Entertainment, Yueda Group, Giant Star Legend, Shanghai Film, Rongxin Culture, and Aofei Entertainment [7] - Media Sector: Focus on gaming (Century Huatong, Kaiying Network, Giant Network, 37 Interactive Entertainment, Perfect World, G-bits), film (China Film, Light Media, Wanda Film, Hengdian Film, Happy Blue Sea, Huace Film, Shanghai Film, China Confucianism, Maoyan Entertainment, Damai Entertainment, Jiecheng Shares), and publishing (Shandong Publishing, Central Plains Media, Yangtze River Media, Southern Media, Phoenix Media, Zhongnan Media, Xinhua Wenshu, Zhejiang Publishing, Anhui Xinhua Media, Times Publishing, Zhongwen Media, Inner Mongolia Xinhua) [7]

记者丨 郑青亭 编辑丨和佳 IMF预测，平均而言，中国总体通胀预计将从2025年的0%上升至2026年的0.8%。与贸易伙伴 相比，中国的通胀处于较低水平。预计2025年中国经常账户顺差将达到GDP的3.3%。 展望未来，Jain-Chandra强调，关键的政策优先事项是推动向消费拉动型增长模式转型，摆脱 对出口和投资的依赖。为实现这一转型，中国需要更紧迫地采取更有力的扩张性宏观经济政 策，实施改革来降低高企的家庭储蓄，并缩减不必要的产业政策支持和低效投资。 同时，IMF建议，为确保宏观金融稳定并应对债务脆弱性问题，中国还需要实施财政和金融框 架改革并清理资产负债表。利用破产框架对不可持续的地方政府融资平台债务进行重组，可以 减轻财政压力；同时，还应通过一项全面的计划来应对金融部门溢出效应并完善财政框架。为 了稳定政府债务，还应在中期持续实施财政整顿。 12月10日，国际货币基金组织（IMF）访华代表团在北京的新闻发布会上称， 预计中国经济 在2025年和2026年将分别增长5.0%和4.5%。 相较10月《世界经济展望》， 上述预测值分别 上调了0.2个和0.3个百分点。 12月1日至10日，IMF赴中国代 ...

Core Insights - The focus for technology investment in 2026 is on breakthroughs in AI applications, with a clear trend in AI infrastructure and smart hardware, emphasizing the need to track progress and dynamically adjust judgments [1][2] - Key investment opportunities are expected in high-tech fields such as humanoid robots and autonomous driving, which may lead to significant breakthroughs [1][2] AI Application Focus - Three main directions for AI applications include: 1. Consumer entertainment sector, with emerging scenarios in AI advertising and AI education following gaming and e-commerce [1][2] 2. Optimization of enterprise operations, where AI enhances internal processes to reduce costs and improve efficiency [1][2] 3. New paradigms and scenarios in humanoid robots and smart driving [1][2] Autonomous Driving Insights - Three key areas of focus in autonomous driving include: 1. Flexibility of complete vehicle manufacturers, which may lead to the emergence of benchmark companies [1][2] 2. The components sector, which should focus on the new hardware and software demands of intelligent vehicles, identifying domestic supply chain advantages [1][2] 3. The proliferation of Robotaxi services, which could create new business models and revenue-sharing opportunities [1][2]

Group 1 - The Qin Du Service Area officially opened on November 28, featuring a new immersive consumption service model that includes shopping streets, intangible cultural heritage displays, and local cuisine [1][3][12] - Located approximately 30 kilometers from Xi'an, the service area covers 180 acres and offers 484 parking spaces, equipped with smart guidance devices [3][12] - The service area is designed as a cultural hub, showcasing traditional architecture and local cultural elements, creating an atmosphere reminiscent of a Guanzhong-style town [3][5] Group 2 - The service area features interactive experiences with intangible cultural heritage, including workshops for paper-cutting and fabric tiger-making, allowing visitors to engage in traditional crafts [7][9] - A variety of local delicacies are available, such as Qin Town rice noodles and meat sandwiches, enhancing the culinary experience for travelers [10][12] - The establishment of the service area is expected to create over a hundred local jobs and contribute to rural revitalization, reflecting the transformation of transportation hubs into cultural spaces [12] Group 3 - The rise of new consumption scenarios in China highlights the diversification of the consumer market, where new supply and demand continuously generate fresh vitality in the consumption sector [12][19] - The integration of cultural and travel experiences in service areas represents a broader trend in the industry, emphasizing the importance of creating unique consumer experiences [12][19]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records primarily discuss the consumer goods industry, particularly focusing on service consumption, food and beverage, and the gold and jewelry market [1][3][9]. Key Insights and Arguments 1. **Service Consumption Trends**: Strong demand for service consumption is noted, with significant price increases in airline tickets and tourism, indicating a growth in experiential and emotional spending [1][3]. 2. **CPI and PPI Relationship**: The relationship between PPI and CPI is asymmetric; during PPI downturns, CPI may remain stable, which is beneficial for businesses [1][5]. 3. **2026 Consumption Outlook**: Overall consumption is expected to stabilize in 2026, with signs of recovery in food and beverage sectors, particularly in mass-market products [1][6]. 4. **Investment Opportunities in Food and Beverage**: Companies like Yanjing Beer, Dongpeng Beverage, and Bailong Chuangyuan are projected to grow by approximately 30% next year, making them attractive investment options [1][7]. 5. **Policy Support for Service Consumption**: Government policies, such as school holiday initiatives, are expected to boost the tourism industry, benefiting companies like Atour and Huazhu [1][8]. 6. **Gold and Jewelry Market Outlook**: The gold and jewelry market is optimistic, with rising gold prices becoming a consensus among consumers, presenting good investment opportunities [1][9][10]. 7. **Manufacturing Sector Insights**: The midstream manufacturing sector, particularly in paper production, is viewed positively, with companies like Sun Paper and Jiulong Paper expected to perform well [1][13]. Additional Important Points 1. **Pork Prices and CPI Impact**: The pork sector is expected to stabilize in the second half of 2026, transitioning from capacity reduction to supply-demand balance, with recommended companies including Muyuan Foods and Tiankang Biological [2][18]. 2. **Service Sector CPI Performance**: The service sector CPI has consistently outperformed goods CPI due to supply constraints and increasing demand for experiential consumption [4]. 3. **Consumer Behavior in High-End Brands**: High-end outdoor brands and light luxury brands are showing resilience, with positive consumer feedback on price increases [16]. 4. **Textile Industry Investment Directions**: Future investments in the textile industry should focus on upstream manufacturing and downstream brands, with specific recommendations for companies like Samsonite and Prada [17]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call records, highlighting the trends, opportunities, and challenges within the consumer goods and related sectors.

Group 1 - The education industry is closely linked to admission and employment, having nurtured several companies with market values exceeding 100 billion RMB, driven by its essential demand and prepayment business model [2][12] - The "impossible triangle" of "large scale, low cost, and personalization" limits the industry, leading to low concentration levels, with K12 training having a CR5 of only 4.7% in 2017 [2][20] - AI education offers a new approach to address the "impossible triangle" by providing low-cost, personalized solutions, which is a significant development direction for the industry [2][24] Group 2 - The adjustment of the "five-five diversion" and the expansion of general high schools in response to national talent strategies present both challenges and opportunities for education service companies related to admissions [2][34] - The demand for education services is strong but varies across segments, with civil service exams seeing a record number of applicants, and vocational education gaining importance as skilled talent is increasingly valued [2][36] - The higher education enrollment rate in China is projected to rise from 48.1% in 2018 to 60.8% in 2024, indicating a strong desire for higher qualifications despite economic pressures [2][38] Group 3 - The K12 training sector is experiencing a slowdown in offline expansion, with leading companies focusing on quality improvement and shareholder returns [2][11] - The civil service exam sector remains robust, with companies like Huatu Education and Fenbi leveraging AI to enhance competitiveness against smaller institutions [2][12] - The vocational education leader, China Oriental Education, is benefiting from an increase in student enrollment and regional center development, leading to a rapid recovery in profit margins [2][11] Group 4 - The education industry is closely tied to policy direction and personal education service demand, with recommendations prioritizing civil service recruitment and vocational education sectors [2][5] - K12 training companies that can adapt to structural changes and improve educational quality are recommended, including companies like Excellence Education Group and New Oriental [2][5] - The transition of private higher education institutions has been slow, but recent positive signals from provinces like Guangdong and Hunan suggest potential for valuation recovery [2][5]

Group 1 - The High Energy Synchrotron Radiation Source (HEPS) in Beijing has passed its process acceptance, achieving leading international performance and supporting national strategic needs [2] - HEPS is designed to emit light 10 trillion times brighter than the sun, enabling researchers to better explore the microscopic world and understand material structures and their evolution [2] - The domestic irradiation accelerator market is in its early development stage, with potential market space for irradiation sterilization estimated at approximately 5.5 billion yuan and irradiation modification industry output expected to reach around 30 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - AI application business models are rapidly transitioning from concept validation to revenue generation, with significant growth in demand reflected by the increase in Tokens consumption [3] - As of September 2025, the number of monthly active users for AI applications on mobile platforms has surpassed 730 million, indicating a robust expansion in the sector [3] - Key AI application verticals such as AI programming, AI multimodal, AI advertising, AI education, and AI healthcare have demonstrated commercial value, with overseas business models showing clearer performance [3]