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长城汽车丨7月:魏牌延续增势 海外销量持续走强【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-03 15:23
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in July 2025, with significant growth in certain brands while facing challenges in others, indicating a need for strategic focus on product innovation and market expansion [2][4][5]. Sales Performance Overview - In July 2025, the company achieved a wholesale volume of 104,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.3% but a month-on-month decrease of 5.7%. Cumulative wholesale from January to July reached 674,000 vehicles, up 3.6% year-on-year [2]. - Breakdown of July sales includes: - Haval: 56,000 vehicles, +6.2% YoY, -9.9% MoM; cumulative 378,000 vehicles, +7.1% YoY [2]. - Wey: 10,000 vehicles, +263.3% YoY, -1.5% MoM; cumulative 45,000 vehicles, +96.8% YoY [2]. - Pickup trucks: 14,000 vehicles, +14.5% YoY, +4.2% MoM; cumulative 110,000 vehicles, +5.8% YoY [2]. - Ora: 4,000 vehicles, -10.0% YoY, +31.0% MoM; cumulative 18,000 vehicles, -50.2% YoY [2]. - Tank: 20,000 vehicles, +7.2% YoY, -7.2% MoM; cumulative 124,000 vehicles, -8.2% YoY [2]. Brand Analysis - Tank brand showed stable sales with July wholesale of 20,000 vehicles, while Wey brand exhibited strong growth with a 263.3% increase in July sales [4]. - The new Tank 500Hi4-T/Hi4-Z is set to begin pre-sales in August, with expectations for a Q3 2025 launch, featuring advanced technology aimed at enhancing off-road performance and efficiency [4]. - Wey's new flagship SUV is anticipated to be the first model on a new intelligent platform, which could enhance brand image and drive sales growth [4]. Haval Brand Performance - Haval's July sales reached 56,000 vehicles, with a new Haval H9 expected to debut by year-end, emphasizing off-road capabilities [5]. - The Haval Big Dog 2026 model launched on July 17, achieving over 20,000 orders within 24 hours, showcasing the brand's influence in the market [5]. - The ongoing product strategy in both hardcore and light off-road segments is expected to drive sales growth [5]. International Sales and Production - The company reported overseas wholesale sales of 41,000 vehicles in July, up 4.9% YoY and 2.5% MoM, with cumulative sales from January to July at 239,000 vehicles, down 17.5% YoY [6]. - The Brazilian factory is set to commence operations in August, which is expected to enhance sales in Latin America [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 226.78 billion, 261.70 billion, and 296.25 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit forecasts of 14.09 billion, 16.30 billion, and 18.24 billion yuan [7]. - The expected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 13, 11, and 10, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [7].
长城汽车(601633):系列点评二十六:7月:魏牌延续增势,海外销量持续走强
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-03 07:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company has shown a steady increase in sales, particularly in the WEY brand, which saw a significant year-on-year increase of 263.3% in July [2] - The introduction of new models and the activation of the Haval brand are expected to drive sales growth, with the Haval brand achieving a sales volume of 56,000 units in July, up 6.2% year-on-year [3] - The company is expanding its overseas sales, with July's overseas wholesale sales reaching 41,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 4.9% [3] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In July, the company reported a wholesale sales volume of 104,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 14.3% and a month-on-month decrease of 5.7% [1] - Cumulative wholesale sales from January to July reached 674,000 units, up 3.6% year-on-year [1] Brand Performance - WEY brand sales in July were 10,000 units, with a remarkable year-on-year increase of 263.3% [2] - Haval brand sales were 56,000 units in July, with a year-on-year increase of 6.2% [3] - Tank brand sales were stable at 20,000 units in July, with a year-on-year increase of 7.2% [2] New Product Launches - The new Tank 500Hi4-T/Hi4-Z is set to begin pre-sales in August, with an expected launch in Q3 2025 [2] - The new Haval H9 is anticipated to debut by the end of the year, emphasizing off-road capabilities [3] Financial Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 226.78 billion, 261.70 billion, and 296.25 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 14.09 billion, 16.30 billion, and 18.24 billion yuan [4][19] - The report forecasts a PE ratio of 13, 11, and 10 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]
风云升级为独立品牌后,风云A9L打响“第一枪”
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-12 15:51
Group 1 - Chery's new model, the Fengyun A9L, has been launched with a price range of 149,900 to 207,900 yuan, and a special trade-in price of 139,900 to 197,900 yuan, achieving over 53,565 orders in just 35 days [1] - The Fengyun A9L is built on Chery's high-performance electric hybrid E platform, featuring plug-in hybrid technology with a pure electric range of 230 kilometers [1] - The E platform took six years to develop with an investment exceeding 10 billion yuan, and the A9L's four-wheel-drive version boasts a maximum power of 470 kW and a maximum torque of 854 N·m, achieving 0-100 km/h in under 4 seconds [1] Group 2 - The Fengyun A9L is the first model launched after the Fengyun brand was upgraded to an independent brand, focusing on the mainstream hybrid market [2] - Chery's internal restructuring aims to enhance strategic focus, resource integration, and brand collaboration, with the Fengyun division dedicated to Chery's new energy series [2] - The Fengyun A9L is positioned as a crucial model for Chery's transition to the new energy and intelligent era, especially given the low sales of previous models like the A8 and T9 [3]
长城汽车丨6月:魏牌增势强劲 出口环比高增【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-07-03 01:24
Core Viewpoint - The company shows strong sales performance in June 2025, with notable growth in specific brands and a positive outlook for new product launches and international expansion [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In June 2025, the company achieved wholesale sales of 111,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.9% and a month-on-month increase of 8.3% [1]. - The cumulative wholesale sales for the first half of 2025 reached 570,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.8% [1]. - Specific brand performances include: - Haval: 62,000 units sold in June, up 30.7% year-on-year and 8.2% month-on-month; cumulative sales of 321,000 units, up 7.2% year-on-year [1][3]. - Wey: 10,000 units sold in June, up 247.0% year-on-year and 65.5% month-on-month; cumulative sales of 34,000 units, up 73.6% year-on-year [1][2]. - Pickup trucks: 13,000 units sold in June, down 13.4% year-on-year and 14.8% month-on-month; cumulative sales of 96,000 units, up 4.7% year-on-year [1]. - Ora: 3,000 units sold in June, down 45.6% year-on-year and up 67.4% month-on-month; cumulative sales of 14,000 units, down 56.2% year-on-year [1]. - Tank: 22,000 units sold in June, down 17.2% year-on-year and up 3.2% month-on-month; cumulative sales of 104,000 units, down 10.7% year-on-year [1]. Group 2: New Product Launches - The company plans to launch new models for the Wey brand starting in Q3 2025, including a new SUV featuring advanced technology and a high-performance battery system [2]. - Haval is set to release a mid-cycle facelift of the Big Dog Hi4 version in July 2025, along with a new flagship model, the Menglong PLUS, expected in the second half of 2025 [3]. - The new models aim to enhance the product matrix and strengthen the brand's positioning in the off-road segment, potentially driving overall sales growth [3]. Group 3: International Expansion - The company's overseas wholesale sales reached 40,000 units in June, up 5.2% year-on-year and 16.0% month-on-month; cumulative sales for the first half of 2025 were 198,000 units, down 1.9% year-on-year [4]. - The company is expanding its global footprint with new product launches in Thailand and Mexico, and plans to enhance its presence in the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America [4]. - The Brazilian factory is undergoing upgrades and is expected to commence production in 2025, further supporting the company's international strategy [4].
帮主郑重:6月5日A股操作指南!外围暖风频吹,这两个方向要重点盯紧
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 00:04
Group 1: Market Overview - Recent performance of US stock market shows positive momentum with the Dow Jones rising for four consecutive days and Nvidia reclaiming its position as the most valuable company, indicating a recovery in global capital confidence towards technology growth [3] - The anticipated interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve have led to a preemptive market rally, particularly benefiting core assets reliant on foreign investment, with a net inflow of 5 billion from northbound funds focusing on technology and pharmaceuticals [3] Group 2: Policy Developments - The implementation of the new energy vehicle policy targeting models priced below 150,000 is expected to unlock significant market potential, especially in rural areas where electric vehicle penetration is still low [3] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a breakthrough, with TSMC's ADR rising by 2.42% due to Apple's potential adoption of their 2nm process for the A20 chip, which could positively impact domestic semiconductor equipment and materials companies [3] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The market has shown a bullish trend with the Shanghai Composite Index maintaining above all short- and medium-term moving averages, reaching a new weekly high, although trading volume remains low, indicating potential volatility [4] - Key support and resistance levels are identified at 3365 and 3382 points respectively, with a focus on volume for potential breakout confirmation [4] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Long-term investment focus should remain on technology growth sectors such as AI computing, semiconductor equipment, and new energy intelligence, supported by favorable policies and improving industry conditions [5] - Defensive sectors like beauty care and beer are showing strength, particularly high-dividend banking stocks, suggesting a shift in investment towards safer assets amid market uncertainty [5]
长安汽车董事长朱华荣再谈重组!
第一商用车网· 2025-05-28 10:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the restructuring between Changan Automobile and Dongfeng Motor is beneficial for Changan's future development and will leverage opportunities arising from this restructuring [1] - Changan's chairman, Zhu Huarong, stated that the restructuring is a strategic move by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) in response to global competition, aiming to create a world-class intelligent new energy technology group and brand [1] - The restructuring is seen as a significant and positive event for the automotive industry, enhancing Changan's future internationalization, globalization, and marketization efforts without altering its established strategies and technological directions [1] Group 2 - Jianghuai Commercial Vehicles is rewriting industry rules with a thermal efficiency of 40.4% and a 1 billion yuan "Chasing Light Fund" [3] - Isuzu's new model, the Giant Coffee, is helping drivers like Yuan Shifu embark on new journeys, indicating a shift in large cargo transportation practices [3] - Foton has invested 250 million yuan to support the development of new energy heavy trucks, reflecting a trend towards electrification in the commercial vehicle sector [3] Group 3 - A tender for a batch of pure electric buses has been announced, with a budget of 16.34 million yuan, indicating ongoing investment in electric public transport [4] - The demand for one million electric vehicles is expected to be released, highlighting the potential for growth in the intercity logistics electrification market [4]
长城汽车丨2025Q1:业绩短期承压 新车周期有望贡献增量【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-04-28 00:48
0 1 事 件 概 述 公司发布2025Q1业绩报告:2025Q1营业总收入为400.2亿元,同比/环比分别为-6.6%/-33.2%;归母净利润为17.5亿元,同比/环比分别为-45.7%/-22.7%;扣非归母净利润为 14.7亿元,同比/环比分别为-27.4%/+7.9%。 0 2 分 析 判 断 ► 营收短期承压 营销费用提升 1)收入端: 2025Q1营业总收入400.2亿元,同比/环比分别为-6.6%/-33.2%。据我们测算,2025Q1单车ASP为15.6万元,同比/环比分别+0.0/-0.2万元。营收下滑主 要由于产品周期波动带来的季度销量下滑。 2 )利润端: 2025Q1扣非归母净利润为14.7亿元,同比/环比分别为-27.4%/+7.9%。我们判断,利润端的下滑主要是1)高盈利坦克车型由于产品换代影响销量下 滑,2)与新车上市,营销渠道搭建相关的营销费用增长所致。 3 )费用端: 2025Q1销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别为5.7%/2.3%/4.8%/-2.6%,同比分别+1.8 pts/+0.0 pts/+0.2 pts/-2.8 pts,环比分别+3.1 pts/-0.6 pt ...
红旗提交智能化作业
汽车商业评论· 2025-04-01 04:43
撰文 / 张霖郁 设计 / 师 超 2023年初,中国一汽全面宣布红旗新能源战略,推出了HME纯电平台以及HIS电子电气架构,之后的4月8日,又推出了HMP混动平台。这意味着红旗整 个新能源战略的基建已构建完成。 HME和HIS后来有了可爱的名字,一个叫天工纯电平台,一个叫九章智能。 2023年之前,大家的共识是红旗品牌在燃油车领域已完成了品牌向上的任务,但对于新能源智能化领域,红旗的能力如何,还处于未知状态。 实际上,红旗两年前宣布的天工纯电平台HME和九章智能HIS,汇聚了中国一汽在八大技术领域群和115项关键技术领域的重大成果,拥有近1万项专 利、软件著作权等知识产权。 两年时间, 2025年2月,在这一平台架构下推出的红旗天工05,自带光环,含着金钥匙出生。 "15.98万元的起售价,确实是一步到位了!"当红旗天工05公布价格,在场很多人大为感叹。 天工05的意义并不只是"一款价格更亲民的红旗",甚至也不仅仅是"一款性价比很高的纯电动红旗轿车"。 作为天工系列,它代表了红旗新能源车型全新的智驾以及座舱实力,并在守住安全红线的基础上拉低了购买门槛。 2025年3月的最后一天,红旗又重磅推出了天工06,预 ...
长城汽车丨2024利润高增 2025稳健增长【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-03-30 12:12
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong financial performance for 2024, with total revenue reaching 202.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.7 billion yuan, up 80.8% year-on-year [2][7]. Revenue Analysis - In Q4 2024, total revenue was 59.94 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.9%. The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle was 158,000 yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 1,200 yuan [2][4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q4 2024 was 2.26 billion yuan, down 32.4% year-on-year but up 11.7% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was 1.36 billion yuan, up 32.7% year-on-year but down 50.0% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to foreign exchange losses in financial expenses [2][3]. Cost Analysis - In Q4 2024, the expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs were 2.7%, 2.9%, 5.2%, and -0.2% respectively, showing stability in sales and management expenses while slight increases in R&D and financial expenses [3]. Product Delivery and High-End Strategy - The total vehicle deliveries in Q4 2024 reached 379,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 3.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 28.9%. Notably, high-end models priced above 200,000 yuan sold 110,000 units, indicating strong performance in the high-end segment [4]. - The Haval brand delivered 234,000 units in Q4 2024, up 6.9% year-on-year, while the Wey brand saw a significant increase of 158.7% year-on-year with 2,200 units delivered [4]. International Sales Growth - The company achieved overseas wholesale sales of 129,000 units in Q4 2024, a year-on-year increase of 23.6%. The company plans to accelerate its overseas product layout, particularly in Thailand and Brazil, leveraging its competitive fuel and hybrid products [5]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to see steady revenue growth, with projected revenues of 240.9 billion yuan, 277.9 billion yuan, and 314.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 14.9 billion yuan, 17.0 billion yuan, and 19.3 billion yuan for the same years [7].
英伟达因DeepSeek已经少了4200亿美元市值;吉利更务实转型;拼多多年收入接近4000亿元丨百亿美元公司动向
晚点LatePost· 2025-03-21 02:21
自 DeepSeek 发布以来,英伟达市值已蒸发 4200 亿美元。 自 2025 年 1 月 DeepSeek R1 发布以来,英伟达市值从 3.297 万亿美元降至 2.917 万亿美元,投资者 财富缩水 4200 亿美元。 原因是,DeepSeek R1 的成功让市场认为,未来 AI 模型的训练和推理可能不再高度依赖英伟达的 高端 GPU。DeepSeek R1 模型具有 "低成本训练" 和 "高性价比" 的特点,其训练成本仅为 550 万至 560 万美元,远低于传统大模型的数十亿美元投入;DeepSeek R1 在推理能力上表现出色,其 API 调用成本低至英伟达的 10% 甚至更低。 在刚结束的 GTC 大会上,黄仁勋说 "推理" 带来的潜在需求让人感到兴奋。然后这并没有提振股 价,交易中下跌超 3%。 吉利营收首超 2400 亿元,更务实地降本节流。 吉利控股集团总裁、极氪科技集团 CEO 安聪慧用 "史上最强" 形容 2024 年业绩:营收 2401.9 亿 元,同比增加 34%,是目前年营收最高值。净利润同比增长 213% 至 166.3 亿元。不过,其中包括 出售合资公司 10% 股权换回 ...