Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. 2. Core Views - **Fixed Income**: Treasury bond futures are expected to face some pressure, and a cautious approach is recommended [6][7]. - **Equity Index**: The volatility center of stock index futures is expected to gradually move up, and previous long positions can be held [9][10]. - **Precious Metals**: Market volatility is expected to increase significantly, and it is advisable to exit long positions and wait and see [13][14]. - **Base Metals and Building Materials**: Most products are expected to show weak or volatile trends, with some opportunities for long - positions on dips, but investors should pay attention to position management [15][17][20]. - **Energy**: Crude oil and fuel oil are expected to have upward space due to geopolitical risks, and long - position opportunities should be focused on [26][27][28]. - **Chemicals**: Most chemical products are expected to show volatile trends, with some having upward potential, and investors should pay attention to cost and supply - demand changes [32][46][47]. - **Agricultural Products**: Different agricultural products have different trends. Some are expected to be strong, some weak, and investment strategies vary accordingly [72][80][84]. 3. Summary by Categories Fixed Income - **Treasury Bonds**: On the previous trading day, most treasury bond futures closed higher. The central bank conducted 354 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 143.8 billion yuan. Due to the relatively low yield, economic recovery, and improved risk appetite, treasury bond futures are expected to face pressure [5][6]. Equity Index - **Stock Index Futures**: On the previous trading day, stock index futures showed mixed trends. Considering the low domestic asset valuation, economic resilience, and increased market sentiment, the volatility center of stock index futures is expected to rise [8][9]. Precious Metals - **Gold and Silver**: On the previous trading day, gold and silver futures rose significantly. In 2025, global gold demand reached a record high. Given the complex trade - financial environment and central bank purchases, gold has allocation value, but recent speculation has increased, and market volatility is expected to widen [11][13]. Base Metals and Building Materials - **Steel Products (Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil)**: On the previous trading day, rebar and hot - rolled coil futures rebounded slightly. In the medium - term, the price is dominated by supply - demand. With weak demand in the real estate industry and over - capacity, the price may continue to oscillate weakly [15]. - **Iron Ore**: On the previous trading day, iron ore futures rebounded significantly. The demand is at a low level, and the supply is increasing, with inventory at a high level. Technically, there are signs of stabilization, and investors can focus on long - position opportunities on dips [17]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: On the previous trading day, coking coal and coke futures rose significantly. The supply of coking coal may decrease during the Spring Festival, and the demand for coke is weak. The price is expected to oscillate in the medium - term [20]. - **Ferroalloys**: On the previous trading day, manganese silicon and silicon iron futures rose. The supply of manganese ore is gradually recovering, and the cost is stable. The overall supply is still loose, but the short - term surplus has decreased. Investors can consider long - position opportunities at low levels [22][23]. Energy - **Crude Oil**: On the previous trading day, INE crude oil rose significantly due to geopolitical tensions. Speculators increased their net long positions, and the number of active oil rigs increased slightly. Geopolitical risks are expected to remain high, and there is upward space for crude oil [24][26]. - **Fuel Oil**: On the previous trading day, fuel oil rose significantly, following the trend of crude oil. The supply in Singapore is tightening, and the price is expected to continue to rise [28]. Chemicals - **Polyolefins**: The PP and LLDPE markets showed different trends. The polyolefin market is expected to be in a tight supply - demand situation, and the price may rise in the short - term due to factors such as rising crude oil prices and production line maintenance [30][32]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: On the previous trading day, synthetic rubber futures rose. The price is supported by the increase in butadiene prices and high device operation rates, but limited by weak demand. It is expected to oscillate strongly [34][35]. - **Natural Rubber**: On the previous trading day, natural rubber futures rose. The supply is decreasing, and the cost is supported. The demand is expected to be stable to weak, and the inventory is increasing. It is expected to oscillate widely [36][38]. - **PVC**: On the previous trading day, PVC futures fell slightly. Although it is in the traditional off - season, the policy expectation may lead to a strong oscillation. In the medium - term, supply - demand may improve, but demand uncertainty should be noted [39][41]. - **Urea**: On the previous trading day, urea futures rose slightly. The price is expected to oscillate strongly in the short - term, driven by export demand and cost support [42][45]. - **PX**: On the previous trading day, PX futures rose. The PXN spread and short - term profit are stable, the start - up rate is declining, and there is support from market sentiment and crude oil. It is expected to oscillate strongly in the short - term [46]. - **PTA**: On the previous trading day, PTA futures rose. The processing fee is at an average level, the inventory is low, the supply is stable, and the demand is seasonally weak. It is expected to oscillate within a range [47][48]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: On the previous trading day, ethylene glycol futures showed a mixed trend. The overseas device maintenance is increasing, and the cost is supported, but the domestic coal - based device start - up is rising, and the inventory is increasing. It is expected to oscillate in the short - term [49]. - **Short - Fiber**: On the previous trading day, short - fiber futures rose. The supply is at a high level, the sales are improving, and the inventory is low. It is expected to follow the raw material price and oscillate [50][51]. - **Bottle Chips**: On the previous trading day, bottle chip futures rose. The production load is decreasing, and there are plans for concentrated production cuts during the Spring Festival. The export is increasing, and it is expected to follow the cost and oscillate [52]. - **Soda Ash**: On the previous trading day, soda ash futures rose. The supply is loose, the inventory is increasing slightly, and the downstream demand is weak. It is expected to be stable and weak before the festival [53][54]. - **Glass**: On the previous trading day, glass futures rose. The supply - demand pattern is loose, the inventory is high, and the cost support is weak. It is expected to oscillate before the festival [55]. - **Caustic Soda**: On the previous trading day, caustic soda futures rose slightly. The supply is high, the inventory is increasing, and the demand is weak. It is expected to oscillate before the festival, but caution is needed [56][57]. - **Pulp**: On the previous trading day, pulp futures rose. The inventory is increasing, the downstream demand is weak, and there is a lack of new orders. It is expected to have limited fluctuations before the festival [58]. Agricultural Products - **Lithium Carbonate**: On the previous trading day, lithium carbonate futures fell. The supply is at a high level, the demand is improving, and the inventory is decreasing. There is support for the price, but short - term volatility may increase [59][60]. - **Copper**: On the previous trading day, copper futures rose. The global copper concentrate supply is tight, but the demand is suppressed by high prices. The inventory is increasing. It is advisable to be cautious when chasing up [61][62]. - **Aluminum**: On the previous trading day, aluminum futures fell. The alumina market has an oversupply, and the electrolytic aluminum supply is inelastic. High prices suppress demand, and inventory is increasing. Caution is needed when chasing up [63][64][65]. - **Zinc**: On the previous trading day, zinc futures rose. The supply is increasing, and the demand is in the off - season. Although the price has moved up, there is a possibility of a high - level correction [66][67]. - **Lead**: On the previous trading day, lead futures fell. The supply and demand are both weak, and the price is expected to oscillate within a range [68][69]. - **Tin**: On the previous trading day, tin futures fell. The supply is tight, and the demand has certain resilience. The price is expected to oscillate strongly, but risk control is needed [69]. - **Nickel**: On the previous trading day, nickel futures fell. The macro environment is complex, the cost is rising, but the demand is weak, and the inventory is at a high level. Attention should be paid to Indonesian policies [70]. - **Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal**: On the previous trading day, soybean oil and soybean meal futures rose. The Brazilian soybean harvest is progressing quickly, and the supply is relatively loose. There may be long - position opportunities for soybean meal at low - cost support levels, and long - position exit opportunities for soybean oil when the price rises [71][72]. - **Palm Oil**: Malaysian palm oil prices rose. The export is increasing, and the production is decreasing. There may be long - position opportunities after a correction [73][75]. - **Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil**: Canadian rapeseed prices fell slightly. The import policy has changed, and the inventory of rapeseed meal is decreasing, while that of rapeseed oil is increasing. It is advisable to wait and see [76][77]. - **Cotton**: On the previous trading day, domestic cotton futures fell. The USDA supply - demand report is favorable, and the domestic supply is expected to be tight in the future. It is recommended to go long in batches after a correction [78][80][81]. - **Sugar**: On the previous trading day, sugar futures showed a mixed trend. India's sugar production is expected to increase, and the domestic supply is under pressure. It is advisable to go short in batches after a rebound [82][84][85]. - **Apples**: On the previous trading day, apple futures rebounded slightly. The inventory is at a low level, and the production has decreased. The price is expected to be strong in the medium - to long - term, and long - position operations can be considered after a correction [86][87][88]. - **Hogs**: On the previous trading day, hog futures fell. The supply is under pressure in the first quarter, and it is advisable to wait and see [89]. - **Eggs**: On the previous trading day, egg futures fell. The supply is at a high level, and it is advisable to take profit on previous long - position spreads [91]. - **Corn and Starch**: On the previous trading day, corn futures rose slightly, and starch futures were flat. The supply - demand of corn is basically balanced, and starch may follow the corn market [92][93]. - **Logs**: On the previous trading day, log futures rose. The supply is decreasing, the inventory is decreasing, and the demand is entering the pre - festival end. The cost is rising, and the overall supply - demand is expected to be loose, but cost support is strengthening [95][96].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has announced the addition of 14 specific futures and options products for foreign traders, including various polyester-related futures and options, to enhance risk management and internationalization of the polyester sector [1][2] Group 1: Industry Overview - China's polyester industry remains the largest in the world, with a complete industrial chain encompassing production, trade, and processing [1] - The industry has faced increased price volatility due to global supply chain restructuring and accelerated overseas capacity expansion, leading to heightened risk management pressures from cross-border price and exchange rate fluctuations [1] Group 2: Market Development - The internationalization of the polyester sector is a key component of the high-level opening of the futures market, complementing existing polyester futures and options markets, which enhances investor structure and price discovery efficiency [2] - There are currently nearly 800 foreign clients from 33 countries and regions that have opened accounts at the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, which has signed memorandums of understanding with 12 foreign exchanges to facilitate the internationalization of the polyester sector [2] Group 3: Future Plans - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange plans to continue preparations under the guidance of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, focusing on market cultivation and investor education to ensure the smooth and stable operation of the internationalization of the polyester sector [2]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has announced the inclusion of specific futures and options related to the polyester industry for foreign traders, aiming to enhance risk management and internationalization of the polyester sector [1][2]. Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The CSRC has determined that the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) will allow foreign participation in futures and options for paraxylene (PX), bottle chips, short fibers, and purified terephthalic acid (PTA) [1]. - The ZCE has been gradually opening up the polyester sector, with PTA futures being the first chemical futures introduced to foreign traders since 2018, which has stabilized market operations and established PTA prices as a global reference for polyester trade [2]. Group 2: Industry Insights - China's polyester industry is the largest globally, with a projected capacity of 89.035 million tons by 2025, accounting for 60% to 70% of global production [1]. - The demand for diversified risk management strategies has increased due to price volatility in polyester products and accelerated overseas capacity expansion [1]. Group 3: Market Participation and Internationalization - Nearly 800 foreign clients from 33 countries and regions have opened accounts at the ZCE, and the exchange has signed memorandums of understanding with 12 foreign exchanges to facilitate the internationalization of the polyester sector [3]. - The internationalization of the polyester sector is expected to enhance the pricing mechanism and reduce harmful competition among domestic enterprises in international trade [3].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has announced the inclusion of several futures and options products related to the polyester industry for foreign traders, aiming to enhance the internationalization of the polyester sector and improve risk management for domestic enterprises [1][2]. Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The CSRC has added futures and options for paraxylene (PX), bottle chips, short fibers, and purified terephthalic acid (PTA) to the list of specific products for foreign traders [1]. - The CSRC will supervise the relevant futures exchanges to ensure a smooth introduction of these products for foreign participation [1]. Group 2: Industry Context - China's polyester industry is the largest in the world, with a projected capacity of 89.035 million tons by 2025, accounting for approximately 60% to 70% of global capacity [1]. - The global polyester fiber production is expected to reach 71 million tons by 2025, with China holding over 70% of the market share [1]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The polyester sector has experienced increased price volatility due to global supply chain restructuring, leading to heightened demand for diversified risk management solutions such as cross-border pricing and hedging [1]. - The PTA futures market has been operational since 2018, with over 90% of PTA production and 70% of polyester enterprises participating, establishing PTA prices as a key reference for global polyester trade [2]. Group 4: Internationalization Efforts - The internationalization of the polyester sector is seen as a crucial part of the high-level opening of the futures market, enhancing the pricing efficiency and competitiveness of China's polyester industry on a global scale [2][3]. - Nearly 800 foreign clients from 33 countries have opened accounts at the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE), and the ZCE has signed cooperation memorandums with 12 foreign exchanges to facilitate the internationalization of the polyester sector [3].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the domestic futures market saw a majority of the main contracts rise on December 26, 2025, with significant increases in various commodities [2][6]. - Platinum rose over 9%, lithium carbonate increased by more than 8%, and silver rose over 6% [2][6]. - Other notable increases included aluminum oxide rising over 5%, international copper and domestic copper both increasing by over 3%, and both PTA and styrene rising nearly 3% [2][6]. Group 2 - On the downside, palladium fell by more than 2%, while polysilicon, coking coal, and coke all dropped by over 1% [2][6]. - Specific futures contracts showed varied performance, with some contracts like "田2606 W" increasing by 9.29% and "Centra Seco in" by 8.12% [3][7]. - Conversely, contracts such as "多品硅2605 m" and "焦煤2605 M" experienced declines of 1.31% and 1.02% respectively [3][7].