出品：新浪财经上市公司研究院 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 作者：郑权 近日，42家纯证券业务上市券商2025年半年报披露完毕。42家上市券商2025年上半年合计实现营业总收入2519亿元， 同比增长31%；实现归母净利润1040亿元，同比增长65%。 其中，安徽省两家国资券商2025H1业绩都实现了较快增长，营收、净利润增速都在40%以上，不相上下。整体业绩层 面，国元证券的营收、净利润更胜一筹，但差距减少。从对自营、经纪业务的依赖程度看，国元证券"靠行情吃饭"特 征更明显。 从细分业务上分析，国元证券的经纪业务手续费净收入、投资净收益更胜一筹，而华安证券的资管业务手续费净收 入、投行业务手续费净收入更高，尤其是资管业务收入是国元证券的7倍多。从盈利能力上看，国元证券净利率更 高，华安证券ROE 更高。 华安证券整体业绩、资产规模不及国元证券 2025年上半年，国元证券实现营业收入33.97亿元，同比增长41.60%；归母净利润14.05亿元，同比增长40.44%。同 期，华安证券实现营业收入28.08亿元，同比增长43.09%；归母净利润10.35亿元，同比增幅 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [8] Core Views - The company's revenue showed steady improvement, with a 3.76% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching approximately 329 billion CNY [2][13] - The net interest income decreased by 5.27% year-on-year, while non-interest income increased by 26.43%, indicating a shift in revenue structure [2][3] - The company is expected to see a gradual increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with projected growth rates of 0.61%, 3.26%, and 3.81% for 2025-2027 [5] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a net interest margin of 1.26%, down 3 basis points from the first quarter of 2025 [2][15] - The total interest-earning assets amounted to 35.69 trillion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.84% [4][22] - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 1.24%, with a provision coverage ratio of 197.4% [4][27] Revenue Structure - The revenue structure for the first half of 2025 consisted of net interest income at 214.82 billion CNY (65.29% of total revenue) and non-interest income at 114.19 billion CNY [2][3] - The company’s fee and commission income increased by 9.17% year-on-year, while investment income decreased by 14.72% [3][21] Asset and Liability Management - The company’s interest-bearing liabilities reached 31.24 trillion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.10% [4][26] - The average cost of deposits decreased to 1.74%, down 25 basis points from the end of 2024 [3][20] - The proportion of demand deposits increased to 42.73%, reflecting a growth of 11.63% year-on-year [25][26] Asset Quality - The overall non-performing loan ratio for corporate loans was recorded at 1.19%, showing improvement compared to the end of 2024 [27][29] - Retail loan non-performing rates increased slightly to 1.15% [28][30]

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a comparative analysis of two urban commercial banks in Guizhou Province: Guizhou Bank and Guiyang Bank, highlighting their differences in ownership structure, financial performance, and operational metrics [2][3][4]. Ownership and Structure - Guizhou Bank was formed in 2012 through the merger of three city commercial banks and is primarily owned by the Guizhou Provincial Finance Department, holding 20% of shares [3]. - Guiyang Bank originated from 25 urban credit cooperatives in 1997 and is mainly owned by the Guiyang State-owned Assets Investment Management Company, with a 12.82% stake [4][5]. Capital Market Presence - Guizhou Bank was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2019, making it the first financial institution from Guizhou to enter the international capital market [6]. - Guiyang Bank was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2016 [7]. Operational Scope - Both banks operate branches across nine cities in Guizhou Province, with Guiyang Bank also having a branch in Chengdu, Sichuan. Guiyang Bank generates 94.48% of its revenue from Guizhou, with 50.38% from Guiyang city [8]. - As of the end of 2024, Guizhou Bank has 222 branches, while Guiyang Bank has 296 branches [8]. Subsidiaries - Guizhou Bank currently has no subsidiaries [9]. - Guiyang Bank operates two subsidiaries: one in Sichuan and another in Guiyang [9]. Employee Metrics - As of the end of 2024, Guizhou Bank employs 5,604 staff, with 7.42% holding a master's degree or higher [10]. - Guiyang Bank has 5,888 employees, including 1,440 at the headquarters, with 9.22% holding a master's degree or higher [10]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Guizhou Bank reported total assets of 589.99 billion, while Guiyang Bank reported 705.67 billion [11]. - Guizhou Bank's net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.779 billion, compared to Guiyang Bank's 5.164 billion [11]. - Guiyang Bank has a lower non-performing loan ratio of 1.58% compared to Guizhou Bank's 1.72% [11][12]. Long-term Growth Trends - Over the past decade, both banks have seen asset growth, with Guiyang Bank consistently outperforming Guizhou Bank, although the gap has narrowed from 62% of Guiyang Bank's assets in 2016 to 84% in 2024 [13]. - In terms of operating income, Guiyang Bank's revenue has also been higher, but Guizhou Bank's share of Guiyang Bank's revenue increased from 69% in 2017 to 83% in 2024 [16]. Business Structure - Both banks primarily generate revenue from net interest income, with Guizhou Bank's share declining from over 100% in 2017 to 73.86% in 2024, while Guiyang Bank's share remained relatively stable at 74.48% [20]. - The loan structure is predominantly corporate loans, with Guizhou Bank maintaining around 85% and Guiyang Bank increasing from 69.71% in 2015 to 82.2% in 2024 [27]. Asset Quality - Guizhou Bank has a higher non-performing loan ratio but a better provision coverage ratio compared to Guiyang Bank, indicating a mixed assessment of asset quality [36][33]. Employee Compensation - In 2024, Guiyang Bank's employee compensation was 2.525 billion, while Guizhou Bank's was 2.244 billion, reflecting a similar average salary due to the difference in employee numbers [37]. Conclusion - Overall, Guiyang Bank, as a city-level bank, has maintained a larger scale than Guizhou Bank, a provincial-level bank, but the gap is closing. Both banks exhibit similar business structures and operational focuses, with comparable asset quality metrics [40].

Group 1: Total Assets and Structure - The total assets of the 12 national joint-stock banks exceed 15 trillion yuan, with two banks surpassing 10 trillion yuan and five banks between 5 trillion and 10 trillion yuan [2][3] - China Merchants Bank leads with total assets of 12.15 trillion yuan, followed by Industrial Bank at 10.51 trillion yuan [2][3] - All banks showed positive growth in total assets compared to the end of 2023, with China Merchants Bank having the highest growth rate of 10.19% [2][3] - Loans constitute the majority of total assets, with CITIC Bank having the highest loan-to-asset ratio at 60.01% [2][3] Group 2: Liabilities and Structure - The ranking of total liabilities mirrors that of total assets, with deposits being the primary source of liabilities for the banks [4][5] - China Merchants Bank has the highest deposit-to-liability ratio at 83.31%, indicating strong deposit-raising capability [4][5] - Four banks, including Industrial Bank and Minsheng Bank, have deposit ratios below 60%, with Huaxia Bank having the lowest at 53.64% [4][5] Group 3: Operating Income and Structure - China Merchants Bank reported operating income of 337.49 billion yuan, the highest among the banks, surpassing even the state-owned Bank of Communications [7][8] - Six banks experienced negative growth in operating income, with Ping An Bank showing the largest decline at 10.93% [8][10] - Net interest income remains the primary source of revenue, with Hengfeng Bank having the highest proportion of net interest income to operating income at 80.55% [8][10] Group 4: Net Profit Analysis - China Merchants Bank achieved a net profit of 149.56 billion yuan, the largest among the banks, nearly double that of the second-ranked Industrial Bank [14][15] - Four banks, including Minsheng and Guangfa, reported negative growth in net profit, with Minsheng Bank experiencing the largest decline at 9.07% [15][17] Group 5: Net Interest Margin and Quality - All banks reported a net interest margin below 2%, with China Merchants Bank having the highest at 1.98% [18][19] - The non-performing loan ratio for China Merchants Bank is the lowest at 0.95%, while Bohai Bank has the highest at 1.76% [19][20] - Provision coverage ratio for China Merchants Bank is significantly higher at 411.98%, compared to the second-highest, Ping An Bank, at 250.71% [19][20]

Core Insights - The overall performance of A-share listed banks in Q1 shows positive growth in total assets, with a total exceeding 314 trillion yuan, but a slight decline in operating income and net profit compared to the previous year [1][7] - The six major state-owned banks maintain a solid asset base, while some regional banks exhibit more significant growth rates in key performance indicators [1][4] - The first quarter is expected to be the most challenging period for banks in terms of performance, but there is potential for improvement in subsequent quarters as pressure on net interest margins eases [1][6] Financial Performance - In Q1, 42 listed banks reported a total operating income of 1.45 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1.72%, and a total net profit attributable to shareholders of 563.98 billion yuan, down 1.20% year-on-year [1][2] - Among the listed banks, 26 experienced year-on-year revenue growth, with Changshu Bank being the only bank with double-digit growth at 10.04% [2] - The major state-owned banks showed mixed results, with two experiencing profit growth and four seeing declines in net profit [2][4] Asset and Liability Growth - Total assets and liabilities of listed banks achieved positive growth, with total assets exceeding 314 trillion yuan and total liabilities around 290 trillion yuan [7] - The six major state-owned banks collectively hold over 208 trillion yuan in assets, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China leading at 51.55 trillion yuan [7] - Regional banks demonstrated strong growth, with Jiangsu Bank leading at a 21.52% year-on-year increase in total assets [7] Income Sources and Trends - Net interest income, a primary revenue source for banks, has declined, with 19 banks reporting a decrease in this area [5] - Non-interest income showed mixed results, with half of the banks reporting growth and the other half experiencing declines [5][6] - The decline in net interest income is attributed to factors such as delayed adjustments to the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) and a shift towards fixed-term deposits [5] Asset Quality - The asset quality of listed banks remains stable, with most banks reporting a decrease or stability in non-performing loan ratios compared to the end of the previous year [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Postal Savings Bank is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6] Core Views - The bank's non-interest income has shown significant improvement, contributing to revenue growth despite a slight decline in net interest income [1][2] - The bank's asset quality remains stable with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.91% and a provision coverage ratio of 266% [2][3] - The bank's core tier one capital adequacy ratio is at 9.21%, reflecting a decrease due to increased loan disbursements [3] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, Postal Savings Bank reported revenue of 89.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.07%, with net profit at 25.4 billion yuan, down 2.62% year-on-year [1] - Non-interest income reached 20.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.83%, driven mainly by a 104.58% increase in investment net income [1] - The bank's net interest margin recorded at 1.70%, down 15 basis points quarter-on-quarter and 20 basis points year-on-year [2] Asset and Liability Management - Total interest-earning assets amounted to 17.45 trillion yuan, growing 8.1% year-on-year, with loans and financial investments increasing by 10.1% and 9.5% respectively [2] - The bank's interest-bearing liabilities reached 16.70 trillion yuan, up 8.6% year-on-year, with deposits growing by 9.2% [2] Profitability Forecast - The bank's projected net profit growth for 2025-2027 is estimated at 1.23%, 3.98%, and 4.42% respectively, with corresponding book value per share (BPS) of 8.82, 9.25, and 9.64 yuan [4][11]