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AI驱动PCB设备需求提升
2025-09-23 02:34
当前 PCB 设备市场的需求情况如何? 目前,PCB 设备市场的需求类似于 2020 年三四季度或 2021 年的光伏锂电设 备市场。下游需求景气度显著,订单落地刚开始,预计今年第四季度和明年整 体订单兑现度会很高。这是基于现有上市公司扩产推算得出的结论。按照专用 设备扩产周期来看,不排除未来出现竞争性扩产机会,因此当前是配置设备公 司的较好时机。 PCB 设备行业的市场空间如何评估? PCB 设备行业的需求主要分为存量更新替换和增量需求。存量更新替换方面, 可以通过产值法倒推整体空间。去年国内 PCB 行业产值约 400 亿美元(约 2,840 亿人民币),其中高多层占比 38%,HDI、封装基板和柔性板各占 17%左右。消费类 PCB 产品的设备占产值比重约 20%,HDI 为 50%~70%, AI 驱动 PCB 设备需求提升 20250922 摘要 PCB 设备行业存量更新替换市场空间巨大,约 1,000 亿人民币,每年稳 定替换需求在 200-300 亿人民币,主要通过产值法倒推得出,消费类 PCB 产品的设备占产值比重约 20%,HDI 为 50%~70%,载板为 1:1。 AI 相关领域驱动 P ...
广发证券:技术迭代驱动AIPCB需求激增 国产设备/耗材量价齐升
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 03:55
Group 1 - The global AI infrastructure is experiencing significant growth due to the expansion of AI applications, leading to a substantial increase in PCB demand [1] - The global server/data storage market is projected to reach $291 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 45.5%, and is expected to maintain a growth rate of 36.1% in 2025 [1] - The demand for AIPCB is driven by the increasing requirements for PCB layers in AI servers and high-end switches, with the PCB value for each AI server expected to be 5 to 7 times higher than that of traditional servers [1] Group 2 - Leading PCB companies are ramping up production, but actual capacity release is lagging behind demand growth due to high-end equipment delivery and key process verification challenges [2] - Domestic manufacturers are expected to capture market share more quickly than overseas competitors due to their faster expansion capabilities [2] Group 3 - The ongoing expansion of AIPCB is directly impacting PCB processing, leading to increased volume and more complex processing requirements, which in turn drives up both the quantity and price of equipment and materials [3] - The demand for key equipment and materials is anticipated to grow in tandem with the rising requirements for AIPCB [3] Group 4 - Domestic manufacturers are advancing in technology iteration and expansion, with a notable supply gap in high-end drilling equipment, while foreign suppliers are facing demand shortages [4] - Domestic suppliers are leading in expansion capabilities and are increasingly replacing foreign suppliers in the mid-to-low-end market [4] Group 5 - Investment recommendations include focusing on technology-leading suppliers such as Chipbond Technology and Dazhong CNC, as well as materials suppliers like Dingtai High-Tech and Zhongtung High-Tech due to the increasing demand for drilling tools [5] - Attention is also recommended for companies involved in the PCBA segment, such as Kaige Precision Machinery and Jintuo Co., Ltd [5]
大族数控(301200):25H1业绩向好 钻孔设备技术迭代领先行业
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 12:48
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, driven by demand in the AI server market and advancements in drilling equipment technology [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.382 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 263 million yuan, up 84% year-on-year [1] - The non-recurring net profit was 250 million yuan, reflecting a 101% increase year-on-year [1] - The gross margin was 30.28%, an increase of 1 percentage point year-on-year, while the net margin was 10.97%, up 2 percentage points year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.422 billion yuan, a 75% increase year-on-year and a 48% increase quarter-on-quarter [1] Product Development and Market Position - The company capitalized on the AI server opportunity, with drilling equipment revenue reaching 1.692 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 72% increase year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for drilling equipment was 26.10%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company has developed new drilling machines with advanced features, such as a 3D back drilling function, which have been certified by industry clients and are in high demand [2] - The laser drilling product matrix includes various types of laser drilling equipment tailored for different PCB segments, with ongoing upgrades to meet the evolving technical requirements of HDI products [3] - The company’s new laser processing solutions have achieved high precision requirements for small holes and complex shapes, gaining recognition and orders from downstream customers [3] Comprehensive Service Offering - The company is one of the largest providers of PCB specialized equipment, with detection equipment revenue of 209 million yuan, an 82% increase year-on-year, and a gross margin of 41% [4] - Exposure equipment revenue was 124 million yuan, down 23% year-on-year, while forming equipment revenue was 141 million yuan, up 4% year-on-year [4] - The company’s one-stop service significantly reduces customer procurement and maintenance costs, facilitating ongoing technical collaboration and communication with clients [4] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 4.973 billion yuan, 6.703 billion yuan, and 8.373 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 596 million yuan, 822 million yuan, and 1.033 billion yuan respectively [4] - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 63.22, 45.79, and 36.46 times for the same years [4] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the AI server market and maintains a leading position in drilling equipment [4]
东吴证券:受益于下游高景气+供需缺口+进口替代 PCB设备商或为黄金卖铲人
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 08:09
Group 1 - The global server market is entering a new growth cycle starting in 2024, driven by the increasing demand for AI computing power, with an expected CAGR of 18.8% from 2024 to 2029 [2] - The PCB industry is recovering from a phase of adjustment due to weak consumer electronics and inventory cycles, with emerging demands from AI servers and high-performance infrastructure expected to drive growth from 2024 [2][3] - Domestic PCB manufacturers are actively expanding production and increasing capital expenditures, focusing on high-end products such as HDI and multi-layer boards [2][3] Group 2 - The global PCB equipment market is projected to reach 51 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 9.0%, and a CAGR of 4.9% from 2020 to 2024 [3] - The demand for PCB equipment is significantly boosted by AI computing infrastructure, with the market expected to grow to 77.5 billion yuan by 2029, reflecting a CAGR of 8.7% from 2024 to 2029 [3] - Drilling, exposure, and testing equipment represent the highest value segments in the PCB equipment market, accounting for 20.75%, 16.99%, and 15.00% respectively in 2024 [3] Group 3 - The drilling equipment segment is expected to benefit from increased demand for high-end HDI, with both mechanical and laser drilling seeing growth due to the rising complexity of HDI designs [3] - The exposure equipment market is currently dominated by foreign brands, with low domestic penetration, particularly in LDI technology which is more suited for HDI [4] - The demand for plating equipment is increasing due to the higher number of plating cycles required for advanced HDI, alongside quality control pressures [5] Group 4 - Major equipment manufacturers are showing a clear upward trend, with expectations for accelerated performance in the future [6] - Key players in the drilling segment include Dazhu CNC (301200), while the exposure segment is led by Xinqi Micro (688630) and Tianzhun Technology (688003) [7] - The plating segment is highlighted by Dongwei Technology (688700), with Keg Precision (301338) noted for its role in the solder paste printing segment [7]
PCB行业专题:AI PCB技术演进,设备材料发展提速
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-22 09:38
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for leading PCB manufacturers such as Shenghong Technology, Pengding Holdings, and Huadian Co., Ltd. [4][5] Core Viewpoints - The PCB industry is experiencing rapid advancements in packaging and high-density interconnect technologies, with traditional HDI and substrate technologies evolving into mSAP processes to meet the demands of high-speed signal transmission and large-scale integration [1][2] - The demand for PCB is driven by AI applications, leading to significant expansions in production capacity among leading companies, with total investments exceeding 30 billion RMB [2][20] - The core materials for PCB, including copper foil, electronic cloth, and resin, are undergoing upgrades to meet the high-frequency and high-speed requirements of AI applications [2][20][26] Summary by Sections 1. CoWoP and mSAP as Core Technologies - CoWoP (Chip-on-Wafer-on-PCB) is emerging as a future packaging route, enhancing interconnect density and reducing costs by directly using large-size PCBs [1][11] - mSAP (Modified Semi-Additive Process) is becoming the core process for achieving sub-10 µm line capabilities, essential for high-performance applications [1][14] 2. PCB Capacity Expansion and Material Upgrades - Leading PCB manufacturers are actively expanding production capacity, with significant investments announced by companies like Huadian Co., Ltd. and Shenghong Technology [2][20] - The upgrade of core materials includes the transition of copper foil from HVLP1 to HVLP5, electronic cloth to third-generation low-dielectric cloth, and resin to hydrocarbon and PTFE types [2][20][28] 3. Tight Supply of Core Equipment and Acceleration of Domestic Substitution - The supply of core PCB equipment, including drilling, plating, and etching imaging, is tight, with domestic manufacturers accelerating their layouts in advanced process equipment [2][49] - Companies like Dazhu CNC and Ding Tai High-Tech are focusing on high-layer boards and HDI equipment to meet the increasing demands of the industry [2][49] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading PCB manufacturers such as Shenghong Technology, Pengding Holdings, and Huadian Co., Ltd., as well as material companies with core technologies like Honghe Technology and Zhongcai Technology [3][4] - Equipment manufacturers involved in domestic substitution, such as Dazhu CNC and Xinqi Microelectronics, are also highlighted as potential investment opportunities [3][4]
PCB设备:AI需求带动+技术升级,下游资本开支扩张
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-04 12:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the PCB industry [3][11]. Core Insights - The PCB industry is experiencing growth driven by strong demand from AI applications and technological upgrades, leading to increased capital expenditures in downstream sectors [8][21]. - The global PCB market is expected to see differentiated growth across product segments, with high-density interconnect (HDI) boards benefiting from AI server demand, projected to grow by 18.8% year-on-year to reach $12.5 billion in 2024 [11][12]. - The report highlights a trend towards high-density, high-performance PCB products, with the combined market share of HDI and packaging substrates exceeding 34% [11][12]. Summary by Sections PCB Product Overview - PCB products are categorized into rigid boards, flexible boards, rigid-flex boards, and packaging substrates, with HDI boards widely used in consumer electronics and high-frequency boards for 5G communication [8][9]. Market Segmentation and Growth - In 2024, the global PCB market is projected to reach $73.57 billion, with multilayer boards holding the largest share at 38.1% [11][12]. - The smartphone sector accounts for 19% of the PCB market, with a projected value of $13.89 billion, while the server/storage sector is expected to grow by 33.1% year-on-year to $10.92 billion [15][16]. Regional Market Dynamics - China is expected to dominate the PCB market, with its share increasing from 54.4% in 2023 to 56.0% in 2024, reflecting its significant role in global PCB production [22][23]. Technological Advancements - The report emphasizes the need for PCB manufacturers to adapt to higher complexity and performance requirements driven by AI and high-speed networking, necessitating advancements in design and manufacturing processes [21][24]. Equipment and Supply Chain - The report outlines the production processes and key equipment used in PCB manufacturing, highlighting the importance of drilling equipment, which holds the highest market share in the PCB production process [31][34]. - The global drilling equipment market is projected to grow from $1.17 billion in 2020 to $1.47 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.3% expected from 2024 to 2029 [38][43]. Market Trends and Future Outlook - The PCB industry is expected to continue evolving with the increasing demand for high-density and high-layer count boards, particularly in AI server applications, which are pushing the boundaries of PCB technology [27][28].
新股前瞻|大族数控赴港二次上市:2024年业绩倍增,行业深度变革下成长可期
智通财经网· 2025-06-10 03:02
2025年以来,港股市场迎来"A+H"上市热潮。这不,A股市场一家PCB龙头也开启了赴港上市之旅。 5月30日,深圳市大族数控科技股份有限公司(以下简称"大族数控")向港交所递交上市招股书,拟香港主板上市, 中金公司担任独家保荐人。 该公司成立于2002年,是一家专注于PCB(印刷电路板)专用生产设备解决方案的服务商,主要从事PCB专用生产 设备的研发、生产及销售,为PCB制造商提供端到端工序解决方案。2022年2月,大族数控(301200.SZ)在深交所 创业板上市,直至如今公司市值超155亿元。此外,公司公司控股股东大族激光(002008.SZ),目前市值则超247亿 元。 据智通财经APP观察,自2009年以来,按收入计,大族数控已连续16年位列CPCA专用设备和仪器榜单第一名。 按2024年收入计,公司是全球最大的PCB专用生产设备制造商,全球市占率为6.5%。 这么一家PCB龙头赴港上市的背后,又将书写什么样的发展故事呢,投资价值又将如何? 2024年业绩倍增,营收超33亿元 深耕PCB专用设备领域20余年,大族数控目前已然形成了广泛且多元化的业务版图。 具体而言,该公司拥有全球PCB专用设备行业最 ...
【IPO前哨】AI与电动车红利受益者,大族数控去年业绩激增
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-06-06 02:10
Group 1 - Dazhu CNC has submitted a prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for a dual listing after its A-share debut in 2022, aiming to raise funds for establishing a new factory and research center in Singapore, as well as hiring personnel for AI server and new energy vehicle PCB production equipment development [1] - Dazhu CNC, established in 2002, specializes in PCB production equipment solutions and has a comprehensive product matrix covering various PCB segments, making it a leader in the global PCB equipment industry [2][3] - The company has maintained a stable customer base, ranking first in the CPCA specialized equipment and instruments list for 16 consecutive years since 2009, with a global market share of 6.5% and a Chinese market share of 10.1% as of 2024 [3] Group 2 - The PCB equipment industry is entering a new era of intelligent production, with the market size in China expected to grow from approximately $3.306 billion in 2020 to about $4.111 billion in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.6% [4] - Dazhu CNC's product sales are projected to reach 4,510 units in 2024, a 117% increase from 2,080 units in 2023, with an average product price remaining stable at 679,000 RMB per unit [4] - The company experienced a revenue decline from 2.786 billion RMB in 2022 to 1.634 billion RMB in 2023 due to a downturn in the PCB industry, but is expected to rebound to 3.343 billion RMB in 2024, driven by demand from the AI and electric vehicle sectors [6][7] Group 3 - Dazhu CNC's profit figures for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are approximately 432 million RMB, 136 million RMB, and 300 million RMB, respectively, with a declining gross margin from 34% in 2022 to 27.2% in 2024 due to the introduction of new automated drilling equipment [8] - The company's revenue structure is diverse, with drilling equipment accounting for 62.8% of revenue in 2024, followed by exposure equipment at 10.2%, highlighting the importance of these segments in the PCB production process [8] - Dazhu CNC is expanding its international business, particularly targeting the Southeast Asian market, with plans to establish a customer service center in Thailand and expand sales networks in Malaysia and Vietnam [8][9]