Core Insights - The article highlights the significant advancements made by Nord Co., Ltd. in the field of new energy battery technology and AI electronic copper foil, showcasing their innovative products that have received industry recognition and are set to support the global computing power industry [1][2]. Group 1: Product Innovations - Nord Co., Ltd. has achieved a breakthrough with its nickel-plated alloy foil, which won the 2025 High-Tech Golden Ball Award for its innovative technology and product design, addressing the bottlenecks in next-generation battery materials [2][3]. - The company has launched a series of AI electronic copper foil products that successfully overcome foreign technological monopolies, providing essential materials for high-end applications such as AI servers and chip packaging [1][4]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The global battery technology is evolving towards high energy density and safety, with solid-state batteries and high silicon-carbon anodes being the core competitive areas, yet material bottlenecks have long hindered industrialization [2][3]. - Traditional copper foils face corrosion issues and performance degradation under high temperatures and aggressive chemical environments, which necessitates innovative solutions [2][3]. Group 3: Technical Breakthroughs - The nickel-plated alloy foil has achieved three key breakthroughs: exceptional corrosion resistance against sulfide and high-concentration HF acid, excellent high-temperature performance suitable for solid-state battery production, and enhanced mechanical strength to withstand volume changes in electrode materials [3][5]. - The company emphasizes the trend of ultra-thin copper foil, with 4.5-micron copper foil expected to become mainstream in the market next year, showcasing its technological preparedness and capacity planning [3][4]. Group 4: Production Capacity and Market Impact - The Huangshi lithium battery copper foil industrial park, established with an investment of 12 billion yuan, has become the world's largest electrolytic copper foil production base, with an annual capacity of 100,000 tons of high-end lithium battery copper foil and 200,000 tons of copper substrates [4][6]. - The park is projected to achieve an output value exceeding 4.5 billion yuan this year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 162.69%, indicating a significant expansion in both scale and efficiency [4][6]. Group 5: Strategic Collaborations - Nord Co., Ltd. is building an industrial ecosystem by signing strategic agreements with leading companies in the upstream and downstream sectors, enhancing collaboration across the "AI copper foil—PCB board—smart devices" supply chain [6]. - The company is transitioning from a foil supplier to a "computing power engine service provider," leveraging its location advantages and the rapid growth of the optoelectronic information industry [6].

Jul-08 the first and the first the first to the state of th （作者薛洪言为星图金融研究院副院长） 时近2025年尾声，全球资本市场正经历着罕见的复杂变局。经济复苏步伐不一，地缘政治扰动频发，货币政策转向在即，多重因素交织下，投资布局难度显 著加大。在此背景下，聚焦具备"强逻辑、高壁垒、稳需求"特征的优质赛道，已成为机构资金穿越宏观波动的关键策略。随着2026年，这一被业内视为"货 币宽松周期"与"产业升级浪潮"深度叠加的关键节点临近，一批政策支持明确、需求刚性突出且供应壁垒显著的行业，正凭借其"抗周期能力强、成长确定性 高"的核心优势，脱颖而出。 本文将深入剖析有色金属、电力设备、航空航天、生物医药及AI硬件五大高确定性赛道，从产业周期、政策红利、技术突破与供需格局等多维度，系统解 构其内在投资逻辑与价值实现路径，拟为投资者布局2026年提供一份清晰的行动指南。 一、有色金属：三重共振驱动资源品价值重估 2025年以来，申万有色金属指数累计上涨77.71%，领涨所有一级行业。这一强势表现并非偶然，而是货币环境、需求结构与供应刚性三重因素共振的必然 结 ...

Core Insights - The global transformer crisis has emerged, with delivery times extending to two and a half years for ordinary transformers and three to four years for large ones, alongside a 60% price increase since 2020, highlighting a significant supply-demand imbalance [3][5][10] Group 1: Current Market Situation - The demand for transformers has surged due to the AI computing revolution and the transition to renewable energy, with the usage frequency of transformers in renewable projects being five times that of traditional power plants [8][10] - The U.S. energy sector is facing severe shortages, with domestic transformer production unable to meet even 20% of total demand, leading to reliance on imports [12][13] - China has emerged as the dominant supplier, accounting for 60% of global transformer production capacity, while the U.S. and Europe struggle with supply chain issues and production limitations [19][21] Group 2: Industry Challenges - The transformer manufacturing industry is labor-intensive, requiring skilled workers and long lead times for critical equipment, which complicates the ability to scale production quickly [10][12] - The core material, oriented silicon steel, is primarily produced in China, complicating the supply chain for other countries that lack domestic production capabilities [12][15] - U.S. policies, including high tariffs and import bans on Chinese transformers, have exacerbated the supply crisis, limiting access to necessary components for energy infrastructure [15][25] Group 3: Future Outlook - As countries face stalled renewable energy projects due to transformer shortages, the situation underscores the interdependence of global supply chains and the need for collaborative development rather than isolationist policies [26][27] - The ongoing transformer shortage is expected to impact the AI sector significantly, as data centers require reliable power supply to operate effectively, further emphasizing the critical role of transformers in modern infrastructure [23][26]

Group 1: ETF Performance - The Sci-Tech Chip ETF has seen a turnover of 4.1% during trading, with a transaction volume of 1.6 billion yuan [3] - Over the past month, the Sci-Tech Chip ETF has grown by 5.441 billion yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - In the last two weeks, the ETF's shares increased by 765 million shares, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - In the last nine trading days, there were net inflows on six days, totaling 2.036 billion yuan [3] - As of October 21, the ETF's net value has increased by 132.44% over the past three years, ranking 20th out of 1897 index equity funds, placing it in the top 1.05% [3] - Since its inception, the ETF has recorded a highest monthly return of 35.07%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being four months and a maximum increase of 74.17% [3] - The average return during the months of increase is 9.90% [3] Group 2: Top Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Sci-Tech Chip Index include: Haiguang Information, Lanke Technology, SMIC, Cambricon, Zhongwei Company, Chipone, Huahong Group, Hushi Silicon Industry, Huahai Qingke, and Amlogic, collectively accounting for 59.69% of the index [3] Group 3: Memory Chip Price Increases - Since September, major memory chip manufacturers have begun to raise prices, with Samsung Electronics planning to increase some DRAM prices by 15%-30% and NAND flash prices by 5%-10% [4] - Micron has also raised its prices by approximately 20% after resuming quotes, while SanDisk has increased its NAND flash prices by 10% [4] - Northeast Securities indicates that the global memory industry is undergoing a historic transformation driven by technology, with the price increase reflecting an industry turning point [4] - The explosive demand from AI is driving exponential growth in storage performance and capacity requirements, fundamentally restructuring the supply and demand in the memory chip industry [4] Group 4: Stock Performance - The performance of key stocks in the Sci-Tech Chip Index shows varied results, with notable changes in weight and price fluctuations among the top ten stocks [6] - Investors without stock accounts can access investment opportunities in domestic chips through the Sci-Tech Chip ETF linked fund (017470) [6]

Core Viewpoint - Changxin Technology is progressing towards its IPO, with its status changing to "Acceptance of Guidance," potentially making it the first storage chip company listed on the A-share market, with a current valuation of approximately 140 billion RMB [1][3]. Company Overview - Changxin Technology, established in 2016, specializes in the design, research, production, and sales of Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) chips, covering the entire industry chain [3]. - Its wholly-owned subsidiary, Changxin Storage, is the largest and most technologically advanced IDM (Integrated Device Manufacturer) in China, achieving mass production of general-purpose DRAM [3]. Technological Advancements - The company has made significant technological breakthroughs, including the development of the first domestic 8Gb DDR4 chip in 2018 and the launch of LPDDR5 series products in November 2023, enhancing its competitiveness in the high-end market [3][4]. Market Potential - The market outlook for Changxin Storage is optimistic, driven by the AI computing revolution, which is reshaping the supply-demand dynamics in the storage chip industry [4]. - The Chinese storage chip market is projected to reach 460 billion RMB in 2024 and exceed 550 billion RMB in 2025, while the global market is expected to surpass 230 billion USD in 2025 [4]. Growth Projections - Counterpoint Research forecasts a 50% year-on-year increase in Changxin Storage's DRAM shipment volume by 2025, with its market share expected to rise from 6% in Q1 to 8% in Q4 [4]. - The share of DDR5 and LPDDR5 products in the overall shipments is anticipated to increase to 7% and 9%, respectively [4]. Strategic Implications - As a core player in China's DRAM industry, Changxin Technology's IPO is expected to facilitate business expansion and positively impact the upstream and downstream sectors of the industry chain [4]. - The expansion of advanced storage capacity and the gradual mass production of domestic HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) products are expected to drive growth in upstream equipment and materials [4].

Group 1 - Foreign public funds are increasing their investment in the Chinese market, with Morgan Stanley and Lipper announcing additional capital injections [1] - Morgan Asset Management's report indicates that Chinese assets are a key target in the global asset allocation rebalancing process, suggesting potential structural market opportunities in the second half of the year [1] - A total of over 30 new funds have been launched by foreign public institutions focusing on the A-share market, with significant research conducted on nearly 40 A-share companies by major foreign funds [1] Group 2 - Morgan Fund conducted research on 38 companies in the past month, with 32 companies experiencing stock price increases, including 11 with gains exceeding 50% and 4 that doubled in price [1][6] - The technology growth sector, particularly semiconductor and photovoltaic equipment, has attracted significant attention, with multiple companies in these industries being researched [1] - Notable companies researched include Jing Sheng Machinery, which has seen a stock price increase of 53.31% in the past month [5] Group 3 - Source Technology has achieved a remarkable stock price increase of 173.27% this year, benefiting from the booming computing power market [9][10] - Dongxin Co., a rare player in the NAND, NOR, and DRAM storage chip design sector, has seen its stock price rise over 320% this year, driven by supply-demand restructuring in the storage chip industry [11][16] - The semiconductor sector has been highlighted as having the most companies researched, with many experiencing significant stock price increases [11][16]

Core Viewpoint - Foreign public funds are increasingly investing in the Chinese market, with major firms like Morgan Stanley and Lipper announcing significant capital injections and expressing optimism about the market's potential [1] Group 1: Foreign Fund Activities - Morgan Stanley Investment Management's report indicates that Chinese assets are crucial in the global asset allocation rebalancing process, suggesting potential structural market opportunities in the second half of the year [1] - Lipper Fund's July report states that conditions for an upward trend in A-shares are forming, with the market awaiting more definitive factors [1] - Over 30 new funds have been launched by foreign public institutions such as Lipper, Fidelity, and Morgan funds, indicating a strong interest in A-share companies [1] Group 2: Company Research and Performance - Morgan Fund conducted research on 38 companies in the past month, with notable focus on companies like Jing Sheng Jidian, which was researched twice, and has seen a price increase of 53.31% in the last month [5] - Among the companies researched by Morgan Stanley, 18 have seen price increases of over 50% this year, with 8 companies doubling their stock prices, particularly in the semiconductor sector [6] - SourceJet Technology has experienced a remarkable year-to-date increase of 173.27%, attributed to the booming demand for computing power, with a recent monthly increase of 23.92% [8] Group 3: Sector Insights - The semiconductor industry is highlighted as a key area of interest, with multiple companies being researched and showing significant price increases [9] - The storage chip industry is undergoing a supply-demand restructuring due to the AI computing power revolution, leading to price increases for various memory products [11] - The report indicates that the semiconductor and general equipment sectors have the highest number of companies researched by foreign funds, reflecting their growing importance in the market [12]

Group 1 - The AI computing revolution is causing a restructuring of supply and demand in the storage chip industry, leading to significant price increases for various memory products [2][3] - Micron Technology reported optimistic expectations for storage chips, with Q4 2025 revenue reaching $11.32 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, and high bandwidth memory (HBM) revenue hitting a record high [3] - The global storage chip market is projected to grow, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% from 2023 to 2027, potentially exceeding $138 billion by 2027 [4] Group 2 - Domestic storage chip companies are gaining recognition in the international market, with Changxin Memory (CXMT) and Yangtze Memory Technologies (YMTC) both surpassing $1 billion in quarterly revenue [6] - Huawei is planning to launch a series of self-developed HBM chips by 2026, indicating advancements in domestic technology and market share [6] - The A-share market has nearly 120 storage chip concept stocks, with significant overseas revenue contributions, indicating a growing reliance on international markets [7] Group 3 - Major technology companies are increasing capital expenditures to enhance production efficiency and competitiveness, with Alibaba planning to invest $58 billion in cloud and AI infrastructure over the next three years [8] - The storage chip sector has shown strong performance, with capital expenditures expected to reach approximately $125 billion in 2024, a 55% increase from 2020 [8] - Several companies in the storage chip sector have seen a decline in shareholder numbers, indicating potential consolidation or shifts in investor interest [9]

Group 1 - The AI computing revolution is causing a supply-demand restructuring in the storage chip industry, leading to significant price increases for various memory products, including a 30% increase for Samsung's LPDDR products and a 20% to 30% increase from Micron Technology [1][2] - Micron Technology reported optimistic expectations for storage chips, with Q4 FY2025 revenue reaching $11.32 billion, surpassing analyst expectations, and high bandwidth memory (HBM) revenue hitting a record high [1][3] - The storage chip sector is the second largest in the semiconductor industry, with AI being a key growth driver, resulting in a supply shortage and price increases [1][4] Group 2 - The global storage chip market is projected to grow, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% from 2023 to 2027, potentially exceeding $138 billion by 2027 [2] - China's storage chip market is expected to reach 550 billion RMB by 2025, with a CAGR exceeding 20% from 2020 to 2025 [2][4] Group 3 - Domestic storage chip companies, such as CXMT and YMTC, have achieved significant revenue milestones, each surpassing $1 billion in quarterly revenue, indicating their growing presence in the global market [3][4] - HBM technology, which combines vertically stacked DRAM chips, is in high demand due to its optimal balance of bandwidth, density, and energy consumption for AI workloads [3][4] Group 4 - The A-share market has nearly 120 concept stocks related to storage chips, with overseas revenue exceeding 220 billion RMB, accounting for over 30% of total revenue [4][5] - Companies like Zhaoyi Innovation and Lianyun Technology are heavily reliant on overseas markets for their storage chip businesses, with significant portions of their revenue coming from international sales [4][5] Group 5 - The acquisition of SMART Modular by Jiangbolong has positioned its Brazilian subsidiary, Zilia, as a key player for domestic companies looking to expand internationally [5] - The storage chip sector has seen strong performance in 2023, with some companies outperforming the semiconductor industry index [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The DRAM market is experiencing significant fluctuations due to Kingston's suspension of DDR4 and DDR5 product orders, leading to supply shortages and price increases across the industry [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Kingston's decision to pause orders has resulted in a noticeable shortage in the terminal market, with DDR4 memory becoming increasingly difficult to obtain [1]. - The price of Kingston's DDR4 3600MHz 16GB memory module surged from 197 yuan to 267 yuan within a week, marking an increase of over 30%, with some channels reporting overall price hikes of 85% to 90% for DDR4 products [1][3]. - A rare price inversion occurred in late June 2025, where the price of DDR4 16Gb reached $12.3, surpassing DDR5's $6.05 [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - Major manufacturers like Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron have shifted production from DDR4 to DDR5 and other high-bandwidth memory types, leading to a continuous supply gap for DDR4 [3]. - SK Hynix reduced its DDR4 production capacity from 30% to 20%, while Samsung plans to cease production of 8GB and 16GB DDR4 modules by the end of the year [3]. - The AI computing revolution is driving demand, with companies like Nvidia upgrading their AI server SSD configurations, significantly increasing storage needs [3]. Group 3: Opportunities for Domestic Players - As international giants reduce their product lines, domestic storage companies are poised to capture market share, with Omdia predicting that Chinese manufacturers could hold over 30% of the global DDR5 market by 2025, up from less than 5% [4]. - Domestic firms such as Demingli, Wanrun Technology, and Baiwei Storage are gaining attention in the capital markets due to their technological advancements amid rising prices [4]. Group 4: Consumer Guidance and Market Outlook - Channel partners emphasize that the price gap between DDR5 and DDR4 has narrowed, urging consumers to avoid chasing prices and to adapt to the technological upgrade trend [5]. - Current price increases are attributed to a combination of recovering demand, supply-demand rebalancing, and technological iteration, with expectations that the market will gradually return to rationality as production capacity adjusts [5].