行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 机械行业周报（20260223-20260301） 推荐（维持） 建议关注商业航天、液冷 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 | | | | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 简称 | 代码 | 股价（元） 2025E | | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 评级 | | 汇川技术 | 300124.SZ | 72.92 | 2.11 | 2.54 | 3.00 | 34.58 | 28.75 | 24.32 | 6.07 | 强推 | | 法兰泰克 | 603966.SH | 13.45 | 0.60 | 0.77 | 0.94 | 22.44 | 17.58 | 14.26 | 3.06 | 强推 | | 信捷电气 | 603416.SH | 56.14 | 1.83 | 2.30 | 2.78 | 30.63 | 24.44 | 20. ...

同时国海证券还提到，在算力产业快速发展的背景下，金刚石的功能化应用也在不断突破。随着人工智 能竞赛进入白热化，算力需求呈指数级增长，芯片散热已成为制约行业发展的关键瓶颈。 国海证券2月25日指出，本次超硬材料概念全线走强的核心驱动力，来自AI服务器需求爆发带来的PCB 钻针量价齐升逻辑。随着英伟达在新产品Rubin中确定使用M9级覆铜板，PCB行业正面临前所未有的加 工挑战。据了解，M9级覆铜板中使用了石英布（Q布），其主要成分为硅，远超传统玻璃布的硬度。 与此同时，PCB层数也从16层增至24层，传统硬质合金钻针的加工寿命大幅缩短。数据显示，涂层钻针 在M9材料上的加工寿命仅为150-200孔/针，较普通材料下降80%。 南方财经2月27日电，培育钻石概念午后拉升，冲击"四连涨"。成分股中，沃尔德触及涨停，国机精工 涨超6%，力量钻石、四方达等跟涨。 ...

据同花顺ifind数据，截至2月25日，上海现货的钨铁价格已经突破至102.25万元/吨。与去年同期（21.68万元/吨）相比涨了3.7倍！ 中钨在线数据显示，2026年开年至今，黑钨精矿价格已达70.5万元/吨，较年初上涨53.26%；仲钨酸铵(APT)报105万元/吨，较年初上涨 56.72%，价格均创下历史新高。 可能很多人都没想到，2025-2026年大宗商品市场中，表现最突出的并非黄金、锂矿，而是被誉为"工业牙齿"的战略金属——钨。 2025年全年，钨价涨幅已超过220%，比同期黄金表现更为疯狂。 更可的是，这个涨势在今年继续飙涨。 这也难怪A股钨金属股成为年内表现最强品种之一。年内，翔鹭钨业涨幅159.34%，章源钨业涨幅达136%，中钨高新涨超112%。 从全球钨市场的供给格局来看，中国无疑占据着核心地位，而海外产能的缓慢释放，难以填补国内供给收缩留下的缺口。 2024年，中国的钨储量占全球52%，产量占83%，是全球最主要的钨供应国。 不过， 2025年起，国内进一步收紧钨资源管控，环保、安全督查严格限制表外矿山产出，供给总量明显收缩；2025年国内钨精矿（三氧化 钨含量65%）第一批开采总量 ...

可能很多人都没想到，2025-2026年大宗商品市场中，表现最突出的并非黄金、锂矿，而是被誉为"工业牙齿"的战略金属——钨。 2025年全年，钨价涨幅已超过220%，比同期黄金表现更为疯狂。 更可的是，这个涨势在今年继续飙涨。 据同花顺ifind数据，截至2月25日，上海现货的钨铁价格已经突破至102.25万元/吨。与去年同期（21.68万元/吨）相比涨了3.7倍！ 中钨在线数据显示，2026年开年至今，黑钨精矿价格已达70.5万元/吨，较年初上涨53.26%；仲钨酸铵(APT)报105万元/吨，较年初上涨 56.72%，价格均创下历史新高。 这也难怪A股钨金属股 成为年内表现最强品种之一。 年内， 翔鹭钨业涨幅159.34%， 章源钨业涨幅达136%，中钨高新涨超112%。 01 与部分大宗商品的短期上涨不同，这两年钨价的持续走高，是政策、资源、需求多重因素共同作用的结果，而且这一供需格局短期内难以改 变。 从全球钨市场的供给格局来看，中国无疑占据着核心地位，而海外产能的缓慢释放，难以填补国内供给收缩留下的缺口。 钨的应用领域已从传统的特钢、硬质合金，逐步延伸至新能源、军工、半导体等高端领域。 其中，光伏钨 ...

关于我们 联系方式 网站声明 用户反馈 2026.02.23 17:51 晕期一 【盘面回顾与展望】 节前指数低开低走震荡回落，短线情绪同步走弱算是一个比较明显的冰点，除去ST之外只有一只2连板个股，上一次出现这 种情况都要追溯到924行情之前了,节后有反弹需求。节假日期间消息面偏正面,尤其是关税裁决,虽然有新关税但平均关税 水平还是比之前低。同时在港股及富时A50期指的刺激下明天高开几乎板上钉钉，虽然高开之后会有兑现但因为节前的冰点所 以兑现强度不会太高，资金做出有效承接之后有望持续走强。板块方面节假日期间发酵最厉害的还是AI，今天港股智谱、Mini Max等热门股的大幅调整是好事，由于A股没有特别出彩的大模型公司所以依然关注算力方向为主，留意大位科技的反馈。当 然如果要带动市场整体走强的话依然主要依赖算力硬件为首的科技权重，核心还是CPO，Lumentum和Coherent均迎来大 涨，至于OpenAl缩减资本开支是一个数字的误读所以影响不大。除了Al之外需要大宗商品也有所发酵，受多种因素刺激国际 油价、金价、银价等同步拉升，涨价品种在节前经历连续两日的调整之后有回流预期，依旧关注景气度品种为主，如钨、 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][17]. Core Views - The company plans to acquire 70% of Huilian Electronics for no more than 700 million yuan, and 70% of WINWIN HITECH (THAILAND) CO., LTD. for no more than 28 million yuan, marking its entry into the PCB drill needle sector [2]. - The acquisition is seen as a strategic move to enhance the company's product line in PCB specialized tools and to capitalize on high-growth areas driven by AI and advanced communication technologies [4][8]. - The report projects significant revenue growth, with total revenue expected to reach 2.612 billion yuan in 2025, 3.798 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.216 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 40.3%, 45.4%, and 37.3% respectively [4][9]. - Net profit is forecasted to grow to 235 million yuan in 2025, 386 million yuan in 2026, and 515 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 30.3%, 63.8%, and 33.6% [4][9]. - The target price for the stock is set at 73.44 yuan, based on a projected PE ratio of 48 times for 2026 [4][8]. Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.862 billion yuan, 2.612 billion yuan, 3.798 billion yuan, and 5.216 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.2%, 40.3%, 45.4%, and 37.3% [4][9]. - The expected net profit for the same years is 180 million yuan, 235 million yuan, 386 million yuan, and 515 million yuan, with growth rates of 10.9%, 30.3%, 63.8%, and 33.6% [4][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.72 yuan, 0.93 yuan, 1.53 yuan, and 2.04 yuan for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][9].

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities report highlights that Zhongtung High-tech is a global leader in tungsten products, with its drilling needle business poised to benefit from new opportunities in AI computing power construction [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhongtung High-tech is the only core platform for tungsten industry under China Minmetals Corporation, establishing an integrated closed loop of "resources - smelting - deep processing - tool application" through continuous capital operations [1] - The company has a dominant position in the global tungsten market and is expected to benefit from rising tungsten prices due to its rich mineral resource reserves [1] Group 2: Business Prospects - The company holds a leading technological advantage in the high aspect ratio PCB drilling needle sector, which is anticipated to gradually translate into performance growth [1] - Projected net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 1.34 billion, 1.90 billion, and 2.35 billion yuan respectively [1] Group 3: Valuation - The current stock price corresponds to dynamic price-to-earnings ratios of 94, 66, and 54 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - The report initiates coverage with a "buy" rating for the company [1]

Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Involved - **Company**: 新锐股份 (Xinrui Co., Ltd.) - **Acquisition Target**: 慧联电子 (Huilian Electronics) - **Industry**: PCB (Printed Circuit Board) Tooling Industry Key Points and Arguments - 新锐股份 plans to acquire 70% of 慧联电子 for no more than 700 million yuan, using self-owned funds and acquisition loans [1] - 慧联电子 is recognized as a national-level "little giant" in the specialized and innovative sector of PCB tooling, ranking as the fifth largest PCB tooling company according to the 2024 CPCA announcement [1] - The acquisition will include 慧联's integrated solutions for PCB rods, coatings, drilling needles, and equipment [1] - 慧联 produces 200 million PCB tools annually and has self-manufacturing capabilities for rods, with leading technology in milling tools and the highest global production and sales [2] - The product range includes ultra-fine micro drills and milling cutters, with proprietary control over upstream technologies such as PCB tool rods, PVD, TAC, and diamond coatings [2] - The 0.15mm milling cutter is at an internationally leading level, and PVD-coated milling cutters have a lifespan exceeding competitors by over 25% [2] - In the past 25 years, 慧联 has generated revenue of 330 million yuan and a net profit of 40 million yuan [2] - The demand for PCB drilling needles is stringent, with global supply qualifications being rare and difficult to obtain [2] - 慧联 has successfully supplied major PCB manufacturers such as 勝宏科技 (Shenghong Technology), 深南电路 (Shennan Circuit), and others [2] - The AI industry boom is expected to significantly impact the drilling needle market, with projections indicating that the AI server-specific drilling needle market could exceed 15 billion yuan by 2027 [2] - The price of high-length-to-diameter ratio and high-wear-resistant drilling needles is anticipated to increase by 15-20 times [2] - The collaboration between 新锐 and 慧联 is expected to create synergies, leading to a combined value greater than the sum of their parts [2] - 新锐 aims to become the largest and most comprehensive tool manufacturer in China [2] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - 新锐 has already established a presence in various tool categories, including rock drilling tools, CNC blades, integral tools, and gear tools, which will complement the acquisition of 慧联 [3] - The acquisition is expected to rapidly fill the gap in the specialized PCB tooling segment for 新锐, leveraging its strong technical foundation and industry position to empower 慧联 [3]

Group 1: Industry Insights - Nvidia (NVDA.US) is expected to use M9 materials in its next-generation Rubin series products, leading to increased demand for PCB drilling needles due to higher processing difficulty and requirements [1] - The global PCB drilling needle market is dominated by the top five companies, with a combined market share of 75.2% as of the first half of 2025, where DingTai High-Tech ranks first with a market share of 28.9% [2] - The demand for high-performance drilling needles is expected to rise significantly due to the increased complexity of manufacturing processes, resulting in higher prices and volumes for drilling needle manufacturers [1][2] Group 2: Company Developments - Minexplosion Optoelectronics (301362.SZ) plans to acquire 100% of Xiamen Maida's stake in Xiamen Precision, which specializes in the production of PCB, FPC, and AI PCB tungsten micro-drills [1] - DingTai High-Tech (301377.SZ) is set to benefit from the current shortage of drilling needles, leveraging its scale and self-manufacturing capabilities to meet the surging demand [2] - Wald (688028.SH) has made progress in internal verification of PCD drilling needles, focusing on applications in PCB and semiconductor materials, with significant advancements in diamond heat dissipation technology [3] Group 3: Production Capacity and Expansion - Xiamen Precision has a monthly production capacity of approximately 15 million units and plans to expand its capacity to over 50 million units in the next 2-3 years [3] - Zhongtung High-Tech (000657.SZ) is focusing on high-end products, with over 50% of its sales coming from premium offerings, and is set to increase its annual production capacity to 140 million units by early 2026 [2] - DingTai High-Tech is also expanding its production capabilities with significant technical upgrades planned for AI PCB-related tools, enhancing its supply capacity for the global AI industry [2]

Group 1: Industry Insights - Nvidia (NVDA.US) is expected to release its next-generation Rubin series products in the second half of next year, utilizing M9 materials and orthogonal backplanes, which significantly increases processing difficulty and leads to a rise in both quantity and price of PCB drill bits [1] - The global PCB drill bit industry is currently facing a shortage, with the top five companies (CR5) holding a combined market share of 75.2% as of the first half of 2025, with DingTai High-Tech leading with a sales volume of 500 million units and a market share of 28.9% [2] - The demand for high-performance drill bits is expected to increase significantly due to the higher requirements for drill bit length, breakage rates, and processing performance associated with advanced materials [1][2] Group 2: Company Developments - Minexplosion Optoelectronics (301362.SZ) announced plans to acquire 100% of Xiamen Maida's stake in Xiamen Precision, focusing on the production of PCB, FPC, IC substrates, and AI PCB tungsten micro-drills, with a product size range of 0.09mm to 0.35mm [1] - DingTai High-Tech (301377.SZ) is set to benefit from the technological iteration in the PCB drill bit market, leveraging its scale and self-manufacturing capabilities to maximize profits amid the current shortage [2] - Wald (688028.SH) has made progress in internal verification of PCD drill bits, focusing on high-hardness and brittle materials for PCB and semiconductor applications, with the ability to process over 8,000 holes in M9 boards without breakage [3] - Xiamen Precision, established in 1995, has a strong technical foundation and plans to expand its production capacity from the current 15 million units per month to over 50 million units in the next 2-3 years [3]