波黑统计局报告显示，2025年9月物价水平同比上涨4.2%。其中餐饮酒店服务（8.0%）、食品及非酒精 饮料（7.8%）价格涨幅最为显著，而服装鞋类（-7.5%）和交通（-0.8%）价格则出现下降。 欧元区方面，9月通胀率从8月的2%升至2.2%，创5个月新高。能源价格降幅收窄与服务价格上涨是主要 推手。核心通胀率维持在2.3%，显示基础通胀压力持续存在。基于此，欧洲央行于10月30日决定维持 三大关键利率不变。 经济学家伊戈尔（002922）·加夫兰指出，波黑通胀高企主因在于国内政策：两实体（尤其是波黑联 邦）通过提高最低工资但不削减税费、上调电费及公共服务价格等不当措施助推通胀，同时缺乏抑制通 胀与打击不合理涨价的举措，加之本土生产缺乏政策支持导致进口依赖过重。相较而言，欧盟地区凭借 更优越的商业环境、充分市场竞争及稳定的财政政策，有效维持了通胀可控。（驻波黑使馆经商处） 波黑《独立报》11月2日报道。欧盟统计局与波黑统计局数据显示，波黑通货膨胀率已达欧盟平均水平 的两倍。今年9月，波黑通胀率为4.2%，同期欧盟平均通胀率为2.2%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Yaowang Technology has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.10% and a total market capitalization of 6.99 CNY per share, indicating a mixed performance in the market [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the year 2025, Yaowang Technology reported a revenue of 1.896 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 36.32% [2] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -253 million CNY, which is a 15.60% decrease compared to the previous year [2] - The stock has seen a year-to-date increase of 10.78%, with a 7.04% rise over the last five trading days and an 11.31% increase over the last 20 days [1] Group 2: Shareholder and Market Activity - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 107,700, up by 4.53% from the previous period [2] - The company has made a total cash distribution of 80.195 million CNY since its A-share listing, with no distributions in the last three years [3] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 9.4199 million shares, an increase of 134,600 shares from the previous period [3] Group 3: Business Overview - Yaowang Technology, established on July 25, 2002, specializes in the production and sales of mid-to-high-end fashion footwear and diversified fashion products, with a revenue composition of 58.70% from social e-commerce and 32.33% from new media advertising [2] - The company operates within the advertising marketing sector and is associated with concepts such as financing and lending, digital economy, WeChat concept, rural revitalization, and small-cap stocks [2]

Company Overview - Yaowang Technology, established on July 25, 2002, is located in Nanhai District, Foshan, Guangdong Province, and was listed on September 3, 2009. The company specializes in the production and sales of multi-brand mid-to-high-end fashion footwear and offers diversified fashion products through wholesale and retail. It also focuses on information technology services centered around mobile internet precision marketing [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Yaowang Technology reported operating revenue of 1.896 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.32%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -253 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 15.60% [2]. - Since its A-share listing, the company has cumulatively distributed cash dividends amounting to 80.195 million yuan, with no dividends distributed in the past three years [3]. Stock Performance - As of September 26, the stock price of Yaowang Technology increased by 2.13% to 6.24 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 5.838 billion yuan. The trading volume was 134 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 2.54% [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has decreased by 1.11%, with a decline of 0.16% over the last five trading days, 2.65% over the last twenty days, and 0.64% over the last sixty days [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Yaowang Technology was 107,700, an increase of 4.53% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per person was 8,151, a decrease of 4.33% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited ranked as the fourth largest, holding 9.4199 million shares, an increase of 134,600 shares compared to the previous period [3]. Industry Classification - Yaowang Technology is classified under the Shenwan industry as Media - Advertising Marketing - Marketing Agency. It is associated with concepts such as live streaming, paid knowledge, data elements, Web3 concepts, and AI Agent [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Yaowang Technology, experienced a decline in stock price and trading volume, indicating potential challenges in its financial performance and market perception [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Yaowang Technology reported a revenue of 1.896 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.32% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -253 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 15.60% [2]. Stock and Financing Activity - On September 17, 2023, Yaowang Technology's stock fell by 2.58%, with a trading volume of 383 million yuan [1]. - The financing buy-in amount for the day was 31.77 million yuan, while the financing repayment was 37.53 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of -5.75 million yuan [1]. - The total financing and securities balance as of September 17 was 376 million yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 6.35% of the circulating market value, which is below the 30% percentile level over the past year [1]. Shareholder and Dividend Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 107,700, a rise of 4.53% from the previous period [2]. - The cumulative cash distribution since the company's A-share listing amounts to 80.195 million yuan, with no cash distribution in the last three years [3]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 134,600 shares to 9.4199 million shares [3].

Core Insights - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Brunei decreased by 0.2% year-on-year in July, driven by declines in food and non-alcoholic beverage prices [1] - The main contributors to the decline in food prices were vegetables (-5.3%) and meat products (-2.3%) [1] - Non-food price index decline was influenced by falling airfares and reduced costs for online streaming services due to currency fluctuations [1] Year-on-Year Analysis - Food and non-alcoholic beverage index fell by 0.4%, while the non-food index decreased by 0.1% [1] - The overall CPI decline reflects a combination of specific food price drops and broader non-food price trends [1] Month-on-Month Analysis - The CPI increased by 0.1% in July compared to June, with food and non-alcoholic beverage index rising by 0.2% and non-food index by 0.1% [1] - The increase in food prices was primarily due to higher prices for fish and seafood (1.1%) and non-alcoholic beverages (0.9%) [1] - Non-food index growth was supported by increases in clothing and footwear (2.8%) and dining and hotel prices (0.1%) [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to increased competition, closure of unprofitable stores, and various operational challenges [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 1.896 billion yuan, a decrease of 36.32% compared to the same period last year [2][6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -252.89 million yuan, down 15.60% year-on-year [2][3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities fell by 79.50% to 31.21 million yuan [2]. - Basic and diluted earnings per share were both -0.2709 yuan, reflecting a 15.23% decline [2]. - Total assets decreased by 8.22% to 5.171 billion yuan, while net assets attributable to shareholders fell by 7.37% to 3.180 billion yuan [2][3]. Business Segments - The internet advertising segment accounted for 94.99% of total revenue, with a 36.87% decline year-on-year [6]. - The footwear and apparel segment contributed 4.56% to revenue, down 26.34% from the previous year [6]. - New media advertising revenue dropped by 52.69%, while social e-commerce revenue decreased by 19.83% [6]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on profitable projects like live e-commerce while restructuring its innovation incubation projects to reduce performance drag [4][10]. - A "shutdown and transfer" strategy is being implemented to reallocate resources back to core profitable projects [4]. - The company plans to leverage its extensive network of celebrity IPs to enhance its marketing and sales efforts [4][9]. Innovation and Expansion - The company is investing in innovative projects, including the development of an AI product "V5chat" aimed at improving operational efficiency [7]. - The North American market is showing strong growth, with a recent live event generating 2.74 million USD in sales [7]. - The company is also expanding its brand portfolio through joint ventures, such as the successful launch of the "Duo Wei" sanitary napkin brand [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - Singapore's retail sales showed a year-on-year increase of 1.4% and a month-on-month increase of 1.0% in May, marking one of the strongest monthly performances of the year, driven primarily by a rebound in automobile sales, although non-automotive retail remains weak [1][2]. Group 1: Retail Sales Performance - The increase in retail sales was largely attributed to a significant rebound in automobile sales, which rose by 10.4% year-on-year, supported by an increase in the Certificate of Entitlement (COE) quota [1]. - Excluding automobiles, retail sales remained flat year-on-year in May, marking the lowest level since February, with a growth of only 0.8% in April [1]. - Non-essential consumer sectors are still experiencing declines, with clothing and footwear sales down 5.3% year-on-year, and department store sales down 3.9% [1]. Group 2: Monthly and Yearly Trends - The month-on-month growth of 1.0% in May was almost entirely driven by automobile sales; without this segment, overall retail sales would have declined by 0.6% [2]. - Year-to-date retail sales growth for the first five months of 2025 is at 1.0%, lower than the growth rates of 1.4% in 2024 and 2.3% in 2023, indicating a sluggish retail environment [2]. Group 3: Employment and Economic Factors - The employment market is under pressure, with only 2,400 net new jobs added in Q1 2025, significantly lower than the 7,700 jobs added in Q4 2024, and the unemployment rate increased from 1.9% to 2.1% [2][3]. - Consumer confidence is further impacted by a decrease in companies planning to raise wages, dropping to 21.2% from 21.7% [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The retail sector is expected to face growth challenges in the second half of the year, despite potential short-term boosts from government-issued vouchers aimed at stimulating domestic demand [3]. - Global policy risks, particularly the potential for unilateral tariffs from the U.S. on Singapore, could further strain the retail environment and consumer confidence [3].

Summary of Conference Call on Costco's Supply Chain and Market Dynamics Industry Overview - The discussion primarily revolves around the home goods industry, particularly focusing on Costco's supply chain management and procurement strategies in response to tariff fluctuations and market demands [1][3][4][5][6]. Key Points and Arguments - **Tariff Impact and Procurement Strategy**: - Costco is diversifying its procurement strategy to mitigate tariff impacts, shifting health products back to the U.S. or Canada and labor-intensive goods like clothing to Southeast Asia [1][5]. - Approximately 34%-40% of Costco's total procurement is affected by tariffs, particularly in grocery and apparel sectors [1][6]. - The company collaborates closely with Chinese home brands like Kuka and Treton Group, but full replacement of Chinese suppliers is expected to take 3-5 years [1][11]. - **Price Adjustments and Inflation**: - Furniture prices have increased by 3%-5% from 2023 to 2024 due to supply chain costs and tariffs, with further inflation expected in 2025 [1][12]. - Despite a decline in new home sales by 8%, rental demand is rising, which is expected to boost demand for affordable furniture [12]. - **Inventory Management**: - Costco has been proactive in stockpiling inventory to counter potential cost increases due to tariffs, maintaining a three-month inventory level [3][7]. - The company plans to continue this strategy while managing inventory pressure [7]. - **Growth in Specific Product Categories**: - Categories such as smart home products, outdoor furniture, and space-saving furniture have seen significant growth, with year-over-year increases of 25%, 15%, and 20% respectively [4][18]. - These categories are expected to be focal points for future development, adapting to rising prices through enhanced product features [4][18]. - **Supplier Dynamics and Regional Shifts**: - Southeast Asian factories are increasing capacity by 30%-40% annually, but complete replacement of Chinese suppliers will take 5-10 years [15]. - The transition to Southeast Asia is complicated by higher initial costs and operational challenges [28]. - **Sales Strategy and Market Adaptation**: - Costco's sales strategy will focus on existing suppliers, particularly small to medium-sized brands in Vietnam and Southeast Asia, while maintaining relationships with leading brands [14]. - The company anticipates a 10%-15% impact on home goods sales due to tariffs, but plans to adapt by adjusting product categories and maintaining quality [14][36]. Other Important Insights - **Consumer Behavior**: - There is a shift towards online purchasing, especially for 3C and home goods, driven by competitive pricing on e-commerce platforms [27]. - The company acknowledges the need for flexibility in pricing strategies to remain competitive in a changing market [36]. - **Future Outlook**: - The expectation of interest rate cuts in 2025 may lead to a rebound in demand, with inventory cycles extending from 45-50 days to 60 days [24][33]. - Costco is committed to improving operational efficiency and managing costs while navigating the complexities of the current market environment [25][35]. - **Challenges in Supply Chain Transition**: - Transitioning production to Southeast Asia presents challenges, including higher operational costs and the need for local market adaptation [28][30]. - Despite these challenges, some suppliers are already beginning to shift production to avoid tariff impacts, although large-scale production remains difficult [29]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call, highlighting Costco's strategic responses to current market dynamics and challenges within the home goods industry.