证券研究报告 | 2025 年 06 月 20 日 $$\overline{{{\prod_{\mathrm{DE}}}}}\frac{\bigtriangleup}{\bigtriangleup}\frac{\bigtriangleup}{\bigtriangleup}\frac{\bigtriangleup\mathrm{bd}}{\bigtriangleup}$$ 制作：产品中心 重点推荐 《策略|行业比较周报——拥挤度指标运用的深入思考》 1、板块的拥挤度本质是该板块成交量占整体的比例，比例越高，说明该 板块是热门板块。"拥挤"是指历史纵向比较在较高的历史百分位，往往 意味着该板块过度热门，短期内有向下调整的压力。短中长期乖离率高位 本质是短期"涨多了"。两者一个是"量"的指标，一个是"价"的指标， 均表示冷热度。但热门板块总有自己上涨的原因，真正结束要看这个原因 什么时候结束，量价指标运用的有效性也会可能随着市场风格变化而变 化。2、长期来看，A 股的行业，在"加速后放量"的状态下，一个月内 跑输是大概率事件；反例是 20-21 年核心资产时代，短暂地无视了这一 规律，呈现出"过热后还有过热"。出现 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Junsheng Electronics is positioned as a leading Tier 1 supplier in the smart automotive sector and is expanding into the robotics industry, with a buy rating and a target price of 27.75 yuan [1][4] - Junsheng Electronics is a global leader in automotive electronic solutions and safety solutions, having been listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2011 and acquiring multiple companies to enhance product development [2][4] - The company has achieved a record high of approximately 57.4 billion yuan in new automotive safety business orders for 2024, with significant growth in China, Asia-Pacific, and Europe, particularly regaining large-scale orders from Japanese clients [3][4] Group 2 - Junsheng Electronics is expanding its production capacity with the completion of its new automotive safety manufacturing base in Hefei, which is expected to produce 4 million steering wheels and 10 million airbags annually [3][4] - The company is collaborating with Momenta to integrate their technology resources for advanced intelligent driving solutions, having secured multiple contracts with a well-known domestic automotive brand [3][4] - The company forecasts revenues of 645.12 billion yuan, 716.32 billion yuan, and 788.18 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 15.65 billion yuan, 18.77 billion yuan, and 22.99 billion yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 25X in 2025 [4][6]