1. Report Industry Investment Rating The document does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report suggests that the expansion of wealth management products represented by "fixed income +" will reshape the stock - bond investment landscape. The market is in the second stage of stock - bond allocation re - balancing, with individual investors represented by wealth management "fixed income +" products taking over the institutional market. Wealth management is undergoing profound changes in both asset and liability ends, and the proportion of equity assets in wealth management products is expected to rise to 4% - 6%, which will bring incremental funds to the equity market [4][8][53]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Wealth Management Corrects Investment Model: Profound Changes at the Asset and Liability Ends - Investor structure: Wealth management products directly meet the allocation needs of residents, with individual investors accounting for over 98%. As of 25H1, the proportion of individual investors in wealth management was much higher than that in public funds [12]. - Three key values of wealth management products: - Excess return of about 1% compared to 3 - year fixed - deposits. Since 2022, the rapid decline in deposit rates has led to the rapid expansion of wealth management scale. The average excess return of wealth management products over 1 - year and 3 - year fixed - deposits since 2023 has been 1.49% and 0.99% respectively [15]. - The maximum tolerable drawdown of the liability end of wealth management products is around 0.5%. After the full implementation of the net - value system in 2022, there were two large - scale drawdowns and redemptions. Since 2023, through various means, the drawdown has been effectively controlled [18]. - The net - value volatility of wealth management products is around 0.6%. In recent years, the volatility of wealth management products has been significantly lower than that of fixed - income funds, and it has decreased significantly after the 2022 redemption wave [21]. 3.2. The Surge of "Fixed Income +" Products: Liabilities Determine Investment, and Wealth Management Returns to the Position of Residents' "Full - Asset Custody" - New growth points: Since this year, "fixed income +" funds and hybrid wealth management products have become new growth points. Currently, there may be a gradual shift from time deposits to money funds, cash wealth management, and then to fixed - income products, "fixed income +" products, and equity products [24]. - Changes in asset characteristics: - For bond - type assets, the coupon rate has decreased, the contribution of capital gains has increased, and the volatility has risen. The proportion of high - coupon (above 3.5%) credit bonds has dropped from 30% - 50% in 2022 to less than 5% currently [28]. - Among other interest - bearing assets, the scale of non - standard assets has been continuously compressed, and the deposit rate has decreased. In 2025H1, the average yield of non - standard assets decreased by 47BP year - on - year [32]. - There is significant room for wealth management to increase its equity asset allocation. In 25Q3, the scale of equity assets after penetration was 720.9 billion yuan, accounting for 2.10% of total investment assets, the lowest since 2021 [35]. 3.3. Product Design Perspective: The Proportion of Wealth Management Equity Assets is Expected to Rise to 4% - 6% - Static calculation: Based on the 2025H1 wealth management asset allocation structure, under the 2.25% performance benchmark, the required annualized return of 2.40% equity assets is 13.83%. If the equity asset proportion gradually rises to 4% and 6%, the required contributions of equity assets are 9.15% and 6.74% respectively [40]. - Dynamic perspective: By constructing an investment portfolio with bond - type assets, cash, non - standard assets, and equity for back - testing, adding 4% or 6% of broad - based equity assets can enhance the portfolio's return while maintaining good risk indicators [42][44]. 3.4. Reshape the Stock - Bond Investment Landscape: Dumbbell - Shaped Wealth Management Products, and the Surge of "Fixed Income +" Affects the Investment Aesthetics of Equity Institutions - Wealth management scale: Considering the maturity of time deposits and the new regulations on public fund redemption fees, the wealth management scale is expected to continue to expand rapidly. It is estimated that the wealth management scale in 2026E and 2027E will be 33.76 trillion and 35.46 trillion respectively, with investment asset increments of 1.74 trillion and 1.83 trillion [49]. - Incremental funds in the equity market: Assuming that the proportion of wealth management equity investment assets gradually rises to 4% and 6%, the annual incremental funds in the equity market in 2026E and 2027E will be 616.796 billion and 832.601 billion respectively [51].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongtai Securities indicates that the direct equity allocation scale of wealth management products in 1H25 has reached a five-year low, while the scale of fund allocations has reached a five-year high, suggesting a need to consider indirect equity allocations. It is expected that with the steady increase in wealth management scale, the equity allocation will also rise, with a conservative estimate of over 100 billion yuan in additional equity allocations in the second half of 2025 and throughout 2026 [1]. Wealth Management Investment Scale - The wealth management product scale is expected to exceed 35 trillion yuan in 2026. From January 2024 to early September 2025, the scale of wealth management products increased by 19% to 31.2 trillion yuan, with the number of products growing by 8% to 4.4 million. As of 1H25, the investment asset scale of wealth management products was 33 trillion yuan, with a semi-annual average increase of 1.32 trillion yuan. Assuming stable growth, the expected scales for 2025 and 2026 are 34.3 trillion yuan and 36.9 trillion yuan, respectively [1]. Product Perspective - The current status and changes in fixed income+, equity, and mixed-type wealth management products show that pure equity wealth management has a low proportion. The issuance of mixed and fixed income+ products has increased significantly since August, with mixed-type products rising by 12% and equity remaining stable. The number of new issuances for equity and mixed-type products increased by 19% and 57% year-on-year, respectively [2]. Underlying Asset Perspective - The allocation structure of wealth management underlying assets in 1H25 shows that equity allocation is at a near five-year low, while fund allocation is at a near five-year high. It is conservatively estimated that there will be over 100 billion yuan in additional equity allocations in the second half of 2025 and throughout 2026 [3][4]. Equity Allocation Estimates - The estimated equity allocation for wealth management products (excluding fund considerations) is projected to reach 816 billion yuan and 878.8 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively. The total scale of equity allocation is expected to increase by 457 billion yuan in 2025 compared to 1H25 and by 664 billion yuan in 2026 compared to 2025, totaling an estimated increase of 1.121 trillion yuan [5]. Investment Recommendations - The investment logic for bank stocks is shifting from "pro-cyclical" to "weak-cyclical," with bank stocks expected to remain attractive during periods of economic stagnation due to high dividends. Two main investment lines are suggested: regional banks with strong certainty and large banks with stable high dividends [6][7].

Core Insights - The performance benchmark compliance rate for fixed-income wealth management products with a maturity of less than six months exceeds 90% [1][5][6] Group 1: Product Expiration and Compliance Rates - In the first half of 2025, 31 wealth management companies will have a total of 5,905 closed-end public products maturing, representing a 35.44% increase compared to the first half of 2024 [1] - Among the maturing products, fixed-income products account for 5,759, mixed products for 145, and commodity and financial derivatives for 1 [1] - The compliance rate for the performance benchmark lower limit of fixed-income public products maturing in the first half of 2025 is 83.88%, with a central performance benchmark compliance rate of 50.02% [5][6] Group 2: Performance by Investment Period - The highest number of maturing products falls within the 6-12 month period, totaling 2,074 products, which accounts for 35.1% of the total [3] - The compliance rate for the performance benchmark lower limit for products with a maturity of 3-6 months is the highest at 93.91%, while the compliance rate for products with a maturity of 2-3 years is only 28.17% [5][8] Group 3: Average Yield and Comparison - The average annualized yield for fixed-income wealth management products is 3.09%, with the highest yield for products with a maturity of 1-2 years at 3.42% [6][8] - The average annualized yield for mixed products is 2.14%, which is lower than that of fixed-income products [6][8] - The average annualized yield for closed-end fixed-income public products, excluding foreign currency products, is 2.92% [7] Group 4: Institutional Performance - Institutions such as Bo Yin Wealth Management, Goldman Sachs ICBC Wealth Management, and Guangyin Wealth Management achieved a 100% compliance rate for the performance benchmark lower limit [10] - 17 other institutions also reported compliance rates of 80% or higher for the performance benchmark lower limit [10] - Institutions with lower compliance rates are often affected by rapidly declining static interest rates and higher pricing of products [9]

Core Insights - The performance of fixed-income wealth management products with a maturity of less than six months has exceeded 90% in terms of meeting the lower performance benchmark [1] - In the first half of 2025, 31 wealth management companies had a total of 5,905 closed-end public products maturing, representing a 35.44% increase compared to the first half of 2024 [1] Product Maturity Analysis - The highest number of maturing products falls within the 6-12 month period, totaling 2,074 products, accounting for 35.1% of the total; followed by 3-6 months with 1,814 products (30.7%); and 1-2 years with 1,378 products (23.3%) [3] Performance Metrics - The annualized yield of closed-end fixed-income wealth management products has dropped below 3%, with a total of 5,587 products analyzed, showing a lower performance benchmark compliance rate of 82.46% [5] - The performance lower benchmark compliance rate for fixed-income products maturing in the first half of 2025 is 83.88%, while the performance central benchmark compliance rate is 50.02% [5] - For products with a maturity of less than 6 months, the compliance rate exceeds 90%, with the highest compliance rate of 93.91% for the 3-6 month maturity products [5] Yield Analysis - The average annualized yield for fixed-income wealth management products is 3.09%, with the highest yield for 1-2 year products at 3.42% [6] - Excluding foreign currency products, the average annualized yield for RMB fixed-income products is 2.92% [6] - Mixed products have a lower performance lower benchmark compliance rate of 27.14% and an average annualized yield of 2.14%, underperforming fixed-income products [6] Institutional Performance - Among the 5,446 closed-end fixed-income public products, institutions like Bohai Bank Wealth Management and Goldman Sachs ICBC Wealth Management achieved a 100% compliance rate for the lower performance benchmark [10] - Some institutions with lower compliance rates are affected by rapidly declining static interest rates and the challenges of achieving performance in a generally weak equity market [10]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the number of investors holding wealth management products increased by 8.37% year-on-year, reaching 136 million by the end of June [1][4] - The average annualized yield of wealth management products fell to 2.12%, down 68 basis points from 2.8% in the same period last year [1][4] - The total scale of the wealth management market reached 30.67 trillion yuan, with a year-to-date increase of 720 billion yuan [2][3] Investor Trends - The number of personal investors increased by 10.29 million in the first half of the year, indicating a strong influx of new investors [1][4] - The risk appetite of individual investors has shifted, with an increase in the proportion of those with higher risk preferences [4][6] Market Dynamics - The gap between the scale of wealth management products and public funds has widened, with public fund assets totaling 34.39 trillion yuan, a year-to-date increase of 1.56 trillion yuan [2][3] - The growth in wealth management products was primarily driven by the second quarter, contributing approximately 1.53 trillion yuan to the total scale [3] Product Composition - Cash management products have seen a significant decline, with a reduction of nearly 1 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, now accounting for 25.79% of open-ended wealth management products [7][8] - The proportion of risk-rated products has shifted, with a notable increase in the share of higher-risk products [6][9] Asset Allocation - Wealth management products have increased their allocation to public funds, cash, and deposits, while reducing exposure to credit bonds [10][11] - By the end of June, the total investment assets of wealth management products reached 32.97 trillion yuan, with a significant portion allocated to bonds [10][11]

Market Overview - The bond market remains stable with an overall balanced and loose funding environment, with the weighted average of DR007 at 1.50% and the 10-year government bond yield at 1.64% [2] - The A-share market experienced declines due to the Israel-Palestine conflict, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and CSI 300 Index dropping by 0.25%, 0.6%, and 0.25% respectively [2] - The non-ferrous metals, oil and petrochemical, and agriculture sectors showed the highest weekly gains [2] Product Performance - As of June 15, 2025, there are 24,038 public wealth management products, with 136 products having a cumulative net value below 1, resulting in a comprehensive break-even rate of 0.57% [3] - The break-even rates for equity and mixed products are 51.28% and 6.51% respectively, while fixed income products have a break-even rate of 0.15% [3] - The break-even rates for fixed income products across various maturities remain low, all below 1%, with the 2-3 year and 6-12 month products having slightly higher rates of 0.35% and 0.2% respectively [3] New Product Issuance - A total of 447 wealth management products were issued by 32 wealth management companies from June 9 to June 13, 2025, with joint-stock banks leading in issuance [4] - New products are primarily R2 (medium-low risk), closed-end net value type, and fixed income public products, with only 10 mixed products issued, accounting for 2.2% [4] - Short-term products with maturities of 6 months or less saw an increase in pricing, with 1-3 month products rising by 0.31 percentage points [4] Yield Performance - All categories of RMB public wealth management products recorded positive returns last week, with fixed income products showing an average net value growth rate of 0.0772% [6] - The average weekly net value growth rates for mixed, equity, and commodity and financial derivative products were 0.2038%, 0.8588%, and 0.942% respectively [6] - Cash management products in RMB, USD, and AUD had average annualized yields of 1.421%, 3.936%, and 3.01% respectively [7] Industry Trends - The total scale of bank wealth management products reached a record high of 31.5 trillion yuan as of the end of May 2025, an increase of 0.19 trillion yuan from April and 1.58 trillion yuan from the end of the previous year [8] - The product structure has significantly changed, with fixed income products becoming the core asset driving the rebound in wealth management scale [8]