西部证券指出，2026年港股将受益于三重驱动：国际资本、中国资本和中国经济。国际资本方面，美元 指数回归走弱区间将推动资金流入港股；中国资本方面，人民币升值将吸引滞留海外的中国资本流入， 规避换汇成本并享受升值红利；中国经济方面，通胀回升和潜在化债政策将修复基本面，企业盈利有望 弱修复。行业层面，恒生科技将迎来"戴维斯三击"，赔率空间合意，AI应用环节中长期胜率较高；港股 红利因险资免税优势将继续跑赢A股红利；创新药和中美价差收敛带来成长空间；新消费有望从主题行 情进阶为主线行情，复刻核心资产牛市。 港股通50ETF（159712）跟踪的是港股通50指数（930931），该指数从港股通范围内选取市值最大的50 家上市公司作为样本，覆盖金融、非必需性消费及资讯科技等行业，兼具新经济与传统经济特征，旨在 反映港股大市值龙头企业的整体表现。 风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供参 考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构成 投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产品 要素 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong stock market is expected to have a strong start in the first half of 2025, driven by AI technology revaluation and supported by sectors such as new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and non-bank financials [1] - Financial and technology sectors are the most favored by the market, with southbound funds focusing on financials, particularly banks, and diversifying into information technology and communication services [1] - Foreign investment preferences lean towards financials, discretionary consumption, and information technology, indicating a structural bull market resilience in the second half of the year [1] Group 2 - The appreciation of the RMB and continuous inflow of southbound funds are crucial supports for the market, with the financial sector being attractive to insurance capital due to its low volatility and high dividend characteristics [1] - The technology growth sector benefits from reduced financing costs, suggesting a favorable environment for growth [1] - Long-term, Hong Kong stocks are seen as core assets in RMB, with significant potential for narrowing the "country risk premium" and increasing domestic pricing power, which will amplify revaluation heights [1] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 ETF (159712) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 Index (930931), which consists of 50 large companies listed in Hong Kong that meet Stock Connect eligibility, reflecting the performance of quality Hong Kong stocks available for investment through the Stock Connect mechanism [1] - The index covers multiple industries, focusing on key areas such as finance, information technology, and consumption, demonstrating strong market representation and liquidity [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Cathay CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 ETF Initiated Link A (014689) and Link C (014690) [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing positive developments, including the implementation of the "Stablecoin Ordinance" to enhance the digital asset regulatory framework [1] - There has been an increase in A-share companies listing in Hong Kong, with 5 companies listed this year and around 40 more in the pipeline, covering sectors such as technology, consumer goods, new energy, and pharmaceuticals [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is reforming its listing system to facilitate these listings, which is expected to improve market liquidity and trading demand [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities indicates that the HKEX's core business will benefit from improved market liquidity and the expansion of the derivatives market, which opens up revenue growth opportunities [1] - The People's Bank of China’s recent interest rate cuts are expected to enhance market liquidity, while cross-border wealth management initiatives are bringing in more funds [1] - The valuation of HKEX remains attractive, with expectations that the second-quarter performance will drive valuations back to reasonable levels [1] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 ETF (code: 159712) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 Index (code: 930931), which includes 50 highly liquid stocks listed in Hong Kong, primarily focusing on large-cap blue-chip companies [1]