深圳新闻网2025年11月25日讯（记者 常军平）科研数据在营销材料中"变形"，合作机构公开打假，蒙 牛"长高"奶粉神话破灭的背后，是一家乳业巨头在多重困境中的挣扎。 "男生170向175爆发，女生160向165冲刺""助力孩子成长30%"——蒙牛旗下"一米八八"儿童奶粉的这些 宣传话术，曾在直播间里不断重复，精准触达着家长们的"身高焦虑"。 然而，这些看似有科学研究支撑的宣传，却被指篡改研究数据。 中国学生营养与健康促进会工作人员向媒体表示，虽然该研究确实与蒙牛合作，但"论文和报告中均没 有广告中的'身高差距30%'等数据表述"，直接动摇了蒙牛宣传主张的科学基础。 数据篡改风波：营销翻车与信任危机 11月12日，据"智通财经"报道后，"一米八八"儿童奶粉的宣传争议在2025年11月持续发酵，有消费者反 映，蒙牛该产品的主播在直播间暗示饮用其奶粉能让孩子长高。 电商平台上的蒙牛产品宣传内容截图 引发争议的产品页面展示了《"儿童配方奶粉对学龄前儿童营养健康的改善作用"项目结题报告》。该报 告由中国学生营养与健康促进会于2024年3月发布，蒙牛作为合作方参与其中。 然而，这一关键表述却遭到合作机构"打假"。 更严 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Dairy and Beverage Industry Industry Overview - The dairy industry is experiencing a continuous capacity reduction, with expectations for supply-demand balance improvement by mid to late 2026, leading to potential stabilization in milk prices. As of October, milk prices remained stable at 2.94 yuan per kilogram, with a production loss of approximately 0.2 yuan per kilogram and a loss rate of about 5% [2][2][2]. Key Points on Dairy Companies New Dairy Industry - New Dairy reported a strong performance in October, continuing the trend from Q3, with double-digit growth in low-temperature fresh milk and yogurt. The company is expanding into new channels, achieving significant revenue from collaborations, and is expected to meet its profit margin targets ahead of schedule by 2026 [4][4][4]. Mengniu Dairy - Mengniu's Q3 results met expectations, with stable market share following price reductions on its flagship product. The company anticipates stable revenue and profit margin growth through 2026, with a relatively low valuation providing investment flexibility [5][5][5]. Yili Group - Despite weak overall demand, Yili's low-temperature milk and other segments showed positive growth, with low-temperature white milk exceeding 20% growth. The company is expected to stabilize its liquid milk business by 2026, benefiting from diversified product offerings and channels [6][7][6][7]. Miao Ke Lan Duo and Youran Dairy - Miao Ke Lan Duo is experiencing rapid growth in the B-end market, with significant C-end product launches. The company is expanding its deep processing of dairy products, which is expected to improve profitability. Youran Dairy is increasing fresh milk supply with stable prices, supporting profits, and is projected to enhance profitability further with a reduction in livestock numbers [8][8][8]. Beverage Industry Insights Master Kong - Master Kong's beverage business saw a slight decline in Q3, but the drop has narrowed in October. The company expects to stabilize its beverage business next year, with a focus on promotional activities and potential price adjustments for its one-liter products [9][10][9][10]. Nongfu Spring - Nongfu Spring's water business experienced double-digit growth in October, with its sugar-free tea brand capturing nearly 80% market share. The company is expected to maintain steady revenue and profit growth, making it a strong long-term investment choice [10][10][10]. Dongpeng Beverage - Dongpeng Beverage reported a nearly 30% growth rate, with ambitious annual targets. The company shows significant growth potential from a valuation perspective [10][10][10]. Investment Recommendations - The dairy sector is recommended for investment due to expected improvements in profitability and market conditions by 2026. Companies like Mengniu, Yili, and New Dairy are highlighted for their growth potential and stable valuations [5][7][4][4]. - In the beverage sector, Master Kong and Nongfu Spring are noted for their resilience and growth prospects, making them attractive investment options [9][10][10].

Core Viewpoint - The 8th China International Import Expo opened on November 5, with a focus on optimizing and upgrading the dairy industry in China, highlighted by a policy briefing session themed "Consensus and Reconstruction: New Leap for the Dairy Industry" [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Development - The conference served as a platform for global consensus, emphasizing the need for China's dairy industry to pursue a path of "professionalization, internationalization, and high quality" while enhancing innovation and global collaboration [3]. - The industry aims to achieve a leap in the global value chain through comprehensive upgrades [3]. Group 2: Company Initiatives - Mengniu Group, as a leading player in the dairy sector, is committed to a four-pronged approach: technological innovation, digital upgrade, brand leadership, and green transformation [3]. - In technological innovation, Mengniu has achieved international "premium" standards in self-cultivated alfalfa and established two national core breeding farms to enhance milk yield and quality [3]. - Mengniu's digital upgrade includes the establishment of the world's first "lighthouse factory" in the liquid milk sector, achieving the highest efficiency benchmarks in the global dairy industry [3]. Group 3: Brand and Market Performance - Mengniu's premium brand, Telunsu, has surpassed 30 billion yuan in annual sales, becoming the top-selling single dairy product globally [4]. - The brand "Aixue" leads the ice cream market in Indonesia, showcasing Mengniu's strong international presence [4]. - Mengniu collaborates with major global IPs like "Nezha 2," the Olympics, and the World Cup to promote Chinese brand stories on the world stage [4]. Group 4: Sustainability Efforts - Mengniu implements a GREEN strategy across its entire supply chain, including organic industry chain development and the establishment of 37 national green factories [4]. - The company has two "zero-carbon factories" and promotes green packaging and zero-carbon products to enhance sustainability [4]. - A significant milestone was achieved with the first "zero deforestation" soybean procurement agreement with COFCO International during the expo, reflecting Mengniu's commitment to responsible practices [4]. Group 5: Product Strategy - The brand "Miaokelando" has adopted a dual-driven strategy of "TO B + TO C," creating a diverse product range for all age groups and various scenarios [4]. - The company offers specialized and customized cheese solutions across five major scenarios: dining, tea and coffee, baking, hotels, and factories, gaining widespread market recognition [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of optimizing and upgrading China's dairy industry through innovation, international collaboration, and high-quality development, as discussed during the China International Import Expo and the accompanying dairy industry conference [1][2][5]. Group 1: Industry Development and Collaboration - The conference highlighted the need for China's dairy industry to adhere to a development path characterized by professionalism, internationalization, and high quality, while enhancing innovation and global collaboration [2][5]. - Leaders from various countries expressed their commitment to strengthening cooperation with China in the dairy sector, aiming for high-quality global dairy trade development [5][7]. - Local government officials emphasized the importance of creating a supportive ecosystem for high-quality dairy development and expanding consumer markets [9]. Group 2: Innovation and Upgrading - Mengniu Dairy aims to lead the industry through a "four-in-one" strategy focusing on technological innovation, digital upgrades, brand leadership, and green transformation [13][20]. - The company has made significant advancements in technology, including the development of proprietary strains of probiotics and high-quality forage, which enhance milk yield and quality [13]. - Mengniu's digital transformation includes establishing a "lighthouse factory" for liquid milk, showcasing its commitment to smart manufacturing [13]. Group 3: Cheese Market Opportunities - The cheese market in China is at a critical stage of upgrading, with expectations for rapid growth driven by increasing penetration rates and diverse consumption scenarios [16][18]. - Miaokelando has implemented a dual strategy targeting both B2B and B2C markets, offering customized cheese solutions across various sectors [18]. - The launch of China's first original mozzarella cheese by Miaokelando signifies the capability of domestic products to compete with international brands, promoting high-quality industry development [18].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese dairy industry is at a critical juncture for structural optimization and transformation, with a focus on seizing opportunities for industrial upgrading and aiming for a trillion-yuan cheese market [1] Group 1: Industry Optimization and Upgrading - The event held on November 6 highlighted the need for the Chinese dairy industry to unite and accelerate restructuring to navigate economic cycles and transition from a "dairy power" to a "dairy strong nation" [1] - Mengniu Dairy is committed to creating new productive forces in the dairy industry through a four-pronged approach: technological innovation, digital upgrades, brand leadership, and green transformation [3] Group 2: Technological and Digital Innovations - Mengniu has achieved international "superior" level in self-cultivated alfalfa and established two national core breeding farms to enhance milk yield and quality [3] - The company has developed proprietary probiotics and low-oligosaccharides, and has built the world's first "lighthouse factory" in the liquid milk sector, showcasing its commitment to smart manufacturing [3] Group 3: Brand Development and Market Expansion - Mengniu's premium brand, Telunsu, has surpassed 30 billion yuan in annual sales, becoming the world's top-selling dairy product [3] - The company has successfully penetrated international markets, with its "Aixue" brand leading the ice cream market in Indonesia and "Belami" dominating the organic milk powder market in Australia [3] Group 4: Green Transformation Initiatives - Mengniu is integrating desert restoration with industry development to create an organic supply chain and has established 37 national green factories, including two "zero-carbon" factories [4] - The company has signed China's first "zero deforestation" soybean procurement agreement, demonstrating its commitment to sustainability [4] Group 5: Cheese Market Opportunities - The cheese market in China is at a pivotal stage, with increasing penetration rates and the rapid development of cheese products expected to accelerate the market towards a trillion-yuan scale [5] - Miaokelando is implementing a dual-driven strategy to build a diverse product system catering to all age groups and various consumption scenarios [5] Group 6: Product Innovation and Export Potential - Miaokelando has launched China's first original mozzarella cheese, indicating that domestic cheese products are now competitive with international brands [6] - The company is optimizing its supply chain to expand domestic substitution and is actively promoting innovative product exports, particularly in Southeast Asia [5][6]

Core Insights - The 8th China International Import Expo was held in Shanghai from November 5 to 10, featuring a significant event focused on the optimization and upgrading of China's dairy industry [1] - The theme of the conference was "Consensus and Reconstruction, New Leap for the Dairy Industry," emphasizing the need for innovation and global collaboration to enhance China's position in the global value chain [4][12] Group 1: Industry Development - The dairy industry is recognized as a vital sector for national livelihood, requiring a focus on high-quality dairy products to meet consumer demands [4] - There is a call for technological innovation and a shift towards intelligent, green, and high-end development to enhance core competitiveness [4][12] - The conference highlighted the importance of international cooperation, with representatives from Uruguay and New Zealand expressing their commitment to strengthening trade ties with China [6][8] Group 2: Company Initiatives - Mengniu Group aims to lead the dairy industry through a "four-in-one" strategy focusing on technological innovation, digital upgrades, brand leadership, and green transformation [14] - The company has established itself as a leader in the dairy sector, with significant achievements in product development and market expansion, including a high sales volume for its premium brand [16][17] - Mengniu's commitment to sustainability is evident through its GREEN strategy, which includes building green factories and promoting zero-carbon products [14][18] Group 3: Cheese Market Opportunities - The cheese market in China is at a critical stage of upgrading, with expectations for rapid growth in market size driven by increasing consumer penetration and diverse consumption scenarios [19][21] - Miaokelando, a cheese brand, is implementing a dual strategy targeting both B2B and B2C markets, showcasing strong product innovation and market influence [21] - The launch of China's first original mozzarella cheese by Miaokelando signifies the capability of domestic products to compete with international brands, indicating a shift in the industry landscape [21]

Core Insights - The article discusses the rise and fall of Mengniu Dairy in comparison to Yili, highlighting key events and strategies that led to Mengniu's initial success and subsequent challenges in maintaining its market position [2][6][22]. Group 1: Historical Context - In 1999, Mengniu was founded by Niu Gensheng and nine other founders after he resigned from Yili due to management disagreements [1]. - Mengniu started with a sales revenue of only 40 million yuan in 1999 and achieved remarkable growth, surpassing Yili's sales by 2007 [6][5]. Group 2: Marketing and Branding Strategies - Mengniu's initial branding strategy involved positioning itself as the "second brand of Inner Mongolia dairy," leveraging Yili's reputation to gain market traction [3]. - The company utilized event marketing, such as associating with the Shenzhou V manned space mission, which significantly boosted its brand image and sales, increasing from 1.67 billion yuan in 2002 to 4.07 billion yuan in 2003, a growth of over 144% [11]. - Mengniu's entertainment marketing strategy, including sponsoring the "Super Girl" talent show, helped increase its sales from 800 million yuan to 3 billion yuan in just one year [13]. Group 3: Product Innovation and Supply Chain Management - The launch of the premium milk brand "Te Long Su" in 2005 allowed Mengniu to capture the high-end market, with sales exceeding 5 billion yuan in 2006 [15][17]. - Mengniu established large-scale dairy farms and adopted advanced feeding technologies, significantly increasing milk production per cow and addressing supply chain challenges [18][20]. Group 4: Competitive Dynamics - In 2008, both Mengniu and Yili faced significant losses due to a systemic risk event, but Mengniu's losses were lower due to different inventory management strategies [6][9]. - After 2009, Mengniu's growth rate began to lag behind Yili, which regained its position as the market leader by 2011 [7]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The article emphasizes the need for Mengniu to leverage historical successes and adapt to current market conditions to reclaim its leading position in the dairy industry [22][23]. - The new leadership under Gao Fei is expected to bring a renewed focus and strategic vision to Mengniu, drawing from past experiences to navigate future challenges [10][24].

Core Insights - The dairy industry is facing increasing survival pressures, with major players like Mengniu and Yili needing to collaborate to reshape the industry landscape [3][8] - The average price of fresh milk in Q2 this year was only 3.04 yuan/kg, significantly below the breakeven point of 3.5 yuan/kg for most farms, leading to over 90% of dairy farms operating at a loss [3][8] Company Strategies - Mengniu's premium product, "Te Long Su," has achieved sales exceeding 30 billion yuan, becoming the largest single product in the global dairy industry, while also launching a new "desert organic" product [5][8] - Yili's "Jindian" focuses on creating a high-end image through organic branding but lacks a clear connection between organic and source quality, which may limit its competitive edge [5][8] Market Trends - The dairy market is characterized by a dominance of liquid milk, with 92.7% of total dairy production in China being liquid milk, while deep-processed products like cheese and butter account for less than 7.3% [8][9] - The B2B dairy market has expanded to a scale of hundreds of billions, with significant demand for dairy products from coffee chains like Starbucks and Luckin Coffee [9] Competitive Landscape - Both Mengniu and Yili have faced challenges with product packaging similarities, leading to consumer confusion, but Mengniu has chosen to focus on its development strategy rather than legal disputes [6][7] - The overall dairy consumption has declined, with a 9.6% drop in sales across all channels, prompting companies to shift focus towards product quality and pricing [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The China International Fair for Trade in Services (CIFTIS) held in Beijing showcased the importance of global brand development, with Mengniu Group sharing its successful experience in creating high-quality dairy products through an integrated industry chain approach [1][3][5]. Group 1: Event Highlights - The 2025 Global Brand Economy Conference was a key event during CIFTIS, featuring discussions on new paradigms for global brand development and the launch of various reports and initiatives [3]. - Mengniu Group was recognized as the "Most Valuable Brand of 2025" and successfully entered into a strategic partnership with Huati Group to enhance collaboration in the sports and dairy sectors [5]. Group 2: Mengniu's Brand Strategy - Mengniu emphasizes quality and sustainability, utilizing an integrated industry chain approach to enhance the value of its high-end brand, "Telunsu," which has been a market leader for 20 years [6][13]. - The "Telunsu" brand has evolved from "pure milk" to "organic milk" and now to "desert organic," showcasing continuous innovation and establishing a strong market presence [9][11]. Group 3: Environmental Initiatives - Since 2009, "Telunsu" has contributed to desert greening efforts, transforming over 220 square kilometers of desert into green areas, integrating ecological restoration with industrial development [9][11]. - The brand's "desert organic" series has received dual organic certification from China and the EU, highlighting its commitment to quality and sustainability [12]. Group 4: Financial Performance - "Telunsu" has achieved annual sales exceeding 30 billion yuan, reflecting its strong market position and consumer acceptance [13]. - Mengniu's diverse product matrix, including high-end fresh milk and ice cream brands, positions it as a leader in the global dairy market [14][15]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Mengniu aims to continue leveraging its industry chain thinking and long-term strategies to enhance brand value and expand its global presence, contributing to the global dairy industry's growth [15].

Core Insights - The China International Fair for Trade in Services (CIFTIS) was held from September 10 to 14, 2023, in Beijing, featuring the 2025 Global Brand Economy Conference where Mengniu Group showcased its high-end brand "Telunsu" and its 20-year journey in creating "golden milk" through an industry chain approach [1] - Mengniu was recognized in the conference as one of the case studies in the report and awarded the title of "Most Valuable Brand of 2025" [1] - During the event, Mengniu and Huati Group established a strategic partnership to enhance collaboration across various dimensions, aiming to integrate the sports industry with the dairy sector in China [1] Company Developments - Mengniu emphasizes quality and sustainability, transforming natural endowments into brand value through a collaborative and sustainable development model [1] - All nine product categories under Mengniu have received EU food safety certification, establishing the company as a leader in compliance [1] - The high-end fresh milk brand "Daily Fresh" offers products that exceed EU standards, while "Telunsu" has achieved annual sales exceeding 30 billion yuan [1] Market Expansion - The ice cream brand "Aixue" maintains a leading position in Southeast Asia and is expanding into Africa and Latin America, with a market share of 34% in Indonesia [1] - The organic milk powder brand "Bellamy" is set to complete its product line upgrade by mid-2025, with new products launching in Australia and Vietnam [1] - These brands collectively form a diverse, high-quality international product matrix for Mengniu [1] Future Outlook - Mengniu plans to continue leveraging an "industry chain thinking" approach to solidify its foundation for world-class quality and aims to build a globally recognized brand while leading the Chinese dairy industry onto the global stage [2]