Workflow
电池及充电器
icon
Search documents
雅迪控股(01585):政策驱动景气度上行,龙头盈利修复可期
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-10 07:08
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Yadea Holdings [3][5]. Core Views - The industry is expected to experience a resurgence in demand driven by the "old-for-new" policy and the implementation of new national standards, with projected sales of 56 million and 61.75 million units in 2025 and 2026, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12% and 10% [1][40]. - Yadea and Aima dominate the market, with a combined market share of nearly 50% in 2024, benefiting from significant advantages in product pricing and distribution channels [2][42]. - The company is anticipated to recover its sales and profitability rapidly following a period of aggressive expansion and subsequent adjustments in 2024, aided by the launch of new products and the easing of channel pressures [3][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The electric two-wheeler industry is poised for growth due to favorable policies and changing consumer demands, with the new national standards set to enhance safety and performance requirements [10][34]. - The "old-for-new" policy has already seen significant uptake, with over 334,100 units exchanged by April 2025, indicating strong consumer interest and government support [38][40]. Company Analysis - Yadea Holdings has a strong historical performance, being the global leader in electric two-wheeler sales for eight consecutive years, with over 100 million units sold [13][19]. - The company has a diversified product lineup, including classic, modern, and high-end models, catering to various consumer segments [21][22]. - Financial projections indicate a recovery in net profit from 1.27 billion RMB in 2024 to 2.93 billion RMB in 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios decreasing from 27.8 to 12.1 [4][3]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to rebound significantly, with expected revenues of 38.34 billion RMB in 2025, up from 28.24 billion RMB in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 35.8% [4][3]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 17% in the coming years, reflecting improved operational efficiency and market conditions [30][4].