盘面上，两市高开高走，化工概念板块上涨。相关ETF方面，化工ETF天弘（159133）标的指数盘 中涨3.24%，申购额达750万份；成交额达4176.96万元；换手率达1.49%。成分股中，川发龙蟒、云天化 涨停，和邦生物、兴发集团、博源化工、宏达股份、多氟多涨超5%，万华化学、鲁西化工、龙佰集团 等多股跟涨。 化工ETF天弘（159133）紧密跟踪细分化工指数，该指数近一年涨幅达56.38%，其行业配置主要包 括化学制品（26.18%）、农化制品（22.71%）、化学原料（14.01%）等，前五大成分股为万华化学、 盐湖股份、藏格矿业、天赐材料、华鲁恒升。该ETF还配备了2只场外联接基金（A类：015896；C类： 015897）。 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 消息面上，细分化工板块今日受到多重积极因素提振。其一，据国海证券、国盛证券等机构研报显 示，行业"反内卷"政策持续深化，推动聚酯、有机硅等多个子行业通过联合减产优化供给格局。其二， 产品价格层面出现积极信号，据百川盈孚及相关券商跟踪，分散染料关键中间体还原物价格显著上涨， 同时维生素E出口报价上调，TMP产品也因装置检修供给趋紧。其三，据申万宏源证券报 ...

来源：市场资讯 （来源：博亚和讯） 春节期间生猪价格先涨后跌，节后跌破11元/kg；种鸡场挺价拉涨，肉鸡苗价格小幅上涨；鸡蛋价格跌 至2.8元/斤，淘汰鸡价格反弹；关税风波再起，节后国内豆粕稳中震荡；补库需求提振，华北玉米价格 小幅上涨；鱼粉市场高位运行；国内维生素E厂商密集涨价、赖氨酸报价坚挺……博亚和讯现将节日期 间畜牧市场、行业、企业重点信息进行汇总，供大家参考。 NEWS 市场动态 | ਸ਼ਾ 区 | 日前 | | 外三元生猪价格(元/kg) | | | 外三元.仔猪(元/kg.20kg体重) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2026年 | 2月14日 | 2月24日 | 趋势 | 2月14日 | 2月24日 | 趋势 | | 东北 | 黑龙江 | 11.51 | 10.71 | 7 | 24.55 | 24.55 | → | | | 吉林 | 11.45 | 10.60 | 7 | 24.51 | 24.51 | - | | | 辽宁 | 11.60 | 10.80 | 7 | 24.51 | 24.51 | -> ...

基础化工 2026 年 02 月 10 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 58% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 《地产或将复苏，关注化工地产链投 资机会—行业周报》-2026.2.8 《原料价格走高+供需格局改善，本周 对硝基氯化苯、己二酸等价格上行明 显—行业周报》-2026.2.1 《水俣公约等多重因素加快氯碱落后 产能退出，行业有望迎来历史性新变 化—行业点评报告》-2026.1.28 成本支撑、需求稳增，蛋氨酸、VE 价格底部反弹 ——维生素氨基酸行业点评报告 金益腾（分析师） 徐正凤（分析师） jinyiteng@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520020002 xuzhengfeng@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524070005 蛋氨酸：成本支撑+厂家检修+备货需求，蛋氨酸价格触底反弹 据百川盈孚数据，2026 年 1 月以来工厂趁下游春节备货挺价态度强硬，报价达 到 18.50 元/公斤，期间国内主流工厂给部分客户补单 18.0 元/吨公斤停止此价格 接单。据饲 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant growth of the chemical industry ETF, E Fund (516570), which reached a new high of 1.714 billion yuan as of February 9, 2026, with a notable increase in shares by 82 million over the past week [1] - In terms of capital inflow, the E Fund chemical industry ETF experienced net inflows on 4 out of the last 5 trading days, totaling 103 million yuan [1] - Citic Securities indicates that the chemical, non-ferrous, and electric new industries possess competitive advantages in China, with potential for profit recovery and underestimation of profit elasticity, independent of weak dollar assumptions [1] Group 2 - The price of Vitamin E has been on the rise, reaching an average market price of 56 yuan per kilogram as of February 6, with a weekly increase of 3.70% and a year-to-date increase of 7.69% [2] - Major manufacturers like Zhejiang Medicine and New Hope have raised their prices, with Zhejiang Medicine's Changhai Biological Company planning a 4-week production halt starting in early February [2] - The E Fund chemical industry ETF (516570) offers a cost-effective investment option with a management and custody fee rate of 0.15% + 0.05% per year, significantly lower than similar ETF products in the petrochemical sector [2]

Core Viewpoint - Recent earnings forecasts from listed vitamin companies indicate a mixed outlook for 2025, with Nengte Technology and Brothers Technology expecting profits, while Guangji Pharmaceutical anticipates significant losses [1][11]. Group 1: Nengte Technology - Nengte Technology forecasts a net profit of 200 million to 250 million yuan for 2025, a significant recovery from a loss of 588 million yuan in the previous year [2][11]. - The increase in profit is primarily driven by a substantial growth in the vitamin E business, which is expected to contribute no less than 660 million yuan [2][11]. - However, the pharmaceutical intermediates business underperformed, with lower-than-expected sales of Montelukast sodium intermediates and ongoing price competition in the market for Rosuvastatin intermediates, leading to a proposed goodwill impairment of up to 260 million yuan [2][12]. Group 2: Brothers Technology - Brothers Technology anticipates a net profit of 85 million to 110 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 108.26% to 169.52% [4][11]. - The expected growth is attributed to price increases in certain vitamin products, higher production and sales volumes of phenol derivatives, and a reduction in costs for some products [4][11]. Group 3: Guangji Pharmaceutical - Guangji Pharmaceutical projects a net loss of 399 million to 518 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 295 million yuan in the previous year [5][11]. - The company cites intensified market competition as a key factor, resulting in prolonged low sales prices for its main products and underperformance in capacity utilization and overall operational results [5][11].

Group 1 - The chemical sector is experiencing a positive trend, with the chemical ETF Tianhong (159133) showing a 1.06% increase in its benchmark index and a trading volume of 34.27 million yuan [1] - The chemical ETF Tianhong has seen a net inflow of 1.958 billion yuan over the last 30 trading days, reaching a new high in total assets of 2.574 billion yuan as of February 6, 2026 [1] - Emerging fields such as new energy materials, high-performance plastics, and bio-based chemicals are expected to have long-term growth potential, with leading companies enhancing R&D and industry chain layout to improve global competitiveness [1] Group 2 - Recent reports indicate multiple favorable factors in the chemical sector, including price increases for TDI in the Asia-Pacific region and collective price hikes for vitamin E and dyes in China [2] - Policy measures in China aim to curb vicious competition, while overseas policies like the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism are reshaping supply dynamics [2] - Improved supply-demand relationships, driven by overseas facility maintenance and strong demand for high-end chemical materials from emerging sectors like AI computing and new energy vehicles, are contributing to a significant year-on-year increase in chemical raw material exports [2]

基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2026 年 2 月 8 日 强于大市 化工行业周报 20260208 国际油价回调，己内酰胺、维生素 E 价格上涨 二月份建议关注：1、低估值行业龙头公司；2、"反内卷"对相关子行业供给端影响；3、下游需求旺 盛，自主可控日益关键背景下的电子材料公司。 行业动态 投资建议 ◼ 截至 2 月 8 日，SW 基础化工市盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 28.57 倍，处在历史（2002 年至今） 82.89%分位数；市净率为 2.58 倍，处在历史 73.42%分位数。SW 石油石化市盈率（TTM 剔除负 值）为 15.16 倍，处在历史（2002 年至今）46.10%分位数；市净率为 1.47 倍，处在历史 50.93% 分位数。展望 2026 年，本轮行业扩产已近尾声，"反内卷"等措施有望催化行业盈利底部修复， 同时新材料受益于下游需求的快速发展，有望开启新一轮高成长，二月份建议关注：1、低估值行 业龙头公司；2、"反内卷"对相关子行业供给端影响；3、下游需求旺盛，自主可控日益关键背 景下的电子材料公司。中长期推荐投资主线：1、传统化工龙头经营韧性凸显，布局新材料等领域， ...

Market Performance - The new materials sector experienced a decline this week, with the new materials index falling by 5.29%, underperforming the ChiNext index which decreased by 5.19% [1][4] - Over the past five trading days, the synthetic biology index dropped by 3.13%, semiconductor materials by 3.60%, electronic chemicals by 3.77%, biodegradable plastics by 0.90%, industrial gases by 3.96%, and battery chemicals by 4.89% [1][9] Price Tracking - Amino acids prices showed the following changes: valine remained at 14,050 CNY/ton, arginine increased by 2.64% to 21,400 CNY/ton, tryptophan rose by 1.27% to 31,900 CNY/ton, and methionine increased by 2.82% to 18,200 CNY/ton [2] - Prices for biodegradable materials remained stable, with PLA (FY201 injection grade) at 17,800 CNY/ton and PBS at 17,000 CNY/ton [2] - Vitamin A decreased by 1.60% to 61,500 CNY/ton, while other vitamins remained unchanged [2] Investment Recommendations - SpaceX plans to establish a satellite constellation of up to 1 million satellites, significantly increasing demand for upstream raw materials, particularly lightweight and cable materials [3] - Companies to watch in lightweight materials include Times New Material, Jilin Chemical Fiber, Zhongfu Shenying, Guangwei Composites, and Heshun Technology; for cable materials, focus on Pulit and Panyam Micro透 [3]

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The report highlights the rise in international oil prices and the increase in prices of disperse dyes and vitamin E, suggesting a focus on undervalued industry leaders and the impact of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries [2][11] - It emphasizes the importance of strong downstream demand and the growing significance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials companies [2][11] Industry Dynamics - In the week of January 25 to February 1, 2026, among 100 tracked chemical products, 50 saw price increases, 22 saw declines, and 28 remained stable. Overall, 61% of products had month-on-month price increases, while 30% saw declines [11][36] - The average price of WTI crude oil rose to $65.21 per barrel, with a weekly increase of 6.78%, while Brent crude oil reached $70.69 per barrel, up 7.30% [11][37] - The report notes that the average price of disperse black ECT300% increased by 5.56% to 19 yuan/kg, and the average price of vitamin E rose by 1.9% to 53.5 yuan/kg [38][39] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on undervalued industry leaders, the effects of "anti-involution" on supply in relevant sub-industries, and companies in electronic materials benefiting from strong downstream demand [11][14] - Long-term investment themes include traditional chemical leaders showing resilience, sectors benefiting from "anti-involution," and companies in new materials with significant growth potential [11][14] - Specific stock recommendations include China Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, China Petrochemical Corporation, and Zhejiang Longsheng among others [11][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the chemical industry, suggesting to focus on leading companies and those experiencing price increases from the bottom [2][3] Core Insights - The chemical market experienced fluctuations, with the Shenwan Chemical Index declining by 0.86%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.94%. However, price increases were noted in various products, including dyes and para-nitrochlorobenzene, driven by the cancellation of export tax rebates, which accelerated export activities [2] - The AI industry shows strong demand, positively impacting the entire supply chain. Notable performances include ASML's Q4 results, which exceeded expectations, and SK Hynix's Q4 operating profit doubling year-on-year, marking the strongest performance in history [2] - The real estate sector is stabilizing as the "three red lines" policy ends, indicating a healthier market moving forward [2][3] Summary by Sections Chemical Market Overview - The chemical market saw a mixed performance, with the Shenwan Chemical Index down 0.86% while the CSI 300 Index rose 0.08%. The textile chemical products sector led gains with a 14.33% increase [11][12] - Key price movements included a rise in disperse dyes to an average of 19 CNY/kg and reactive dyes to 23 CNY/kg, reflecting a 5.56% and 4.55% increase respectively [3][29] AI Industry Developments - The AI sector is witnessing robust growth, with major players like ByteDance and Alibaba planning to launch new AI models around the Spring Festival, and significant investments in AI and cloud computing expected to rise from 380 billion CNY to 480 billion CNY over the next three years [2][4] Real Estate Sector Changes - The end of the "three red lines" policy is expected to lead to a more stable and resilient real estate market, as risks from the previous cycle are gradually cleared [3][4] Price Trends in Key Chemical Products - The report highlights significant price increases in various chemical products, with disperse dyes and reactive dyes showing notable upward trends due to rising raw material costs and limited supply [29][30] - The report also notes that the PA66 market is experiencing upward pressure, with prices rising to 14,954 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.48% increase [33][34]