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【招银研究|行业深度】低空经济深度报告——低空物流商业潜力浮现,关注无人机货运投资窗口
招商银行研究· 2025-06-18 10:57
Core Viewpoint - China is leveraging its advantages in the drone industry to establish a leading position in the low-altitude economy, focusing on the commercialization of application scenarios, particularly in logistics and transportation [1][2]. Group 1: Low-altitude Economy Development - The low-altitude economy is advancing towards electrification, intelligence, and connectivity, aiming to bypass Western technological barriers and establish standards and regulations [5][10]. - The current scale of China's low-altitude economy has exceeded 500 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 33.8%, and is expected to surpass one trillion yuan in the next three years [2][12]. - The commercialization of low-altitude economic application scenarios is progressing in phases, with consumer markets maturing and sectors like agricultural protection and industrial inspection entering commercial operations [1][12]. Group 2: Low-altitude Logistics Market - The low-altitude logistics market is projected to grow rapidly, reaching approximately 330.5 billion yuan in 2024 and potentially becoming a trillion-yuan market within five years [2][18]. - The penetration of drones in the last-mile delivery market has completed the "0 to 1" process, with expectations for large drones in trunk and branch logistics to follow [2][17]. - The demand for drones from logistics companies like SF Express and Meituan is expected to drive investment in the drone manufacturing and component sectors, reshaping the competitive landscape [2][46]. Group 3: Commercialization Pathways - The commercialization of low-altitude logistics will occur in two phases: expanding city and route coverage, followed by increasing flight density [25][37]. - The average delivery time for drone logistics is significantly reduced compared to traditional methods, with potential cost savings as drone usage scales up [27][31]. - The integration of drones into logistics is expected to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, making low-altitude logistics one of the most promising application scenarios [26][36]. Group 4: Industry Collaboration and Future Outlook - Major logistics companies are collaborating with startups to lead the development of the drone logistics industry, with significant procurement orders expected to reshape the competitive landscape [46][47]. - The future investment in the low-altitude logistics sector is anticipated to exceed 500 billion yuan, driven by the demand for drone procurement and operational infrastructure [43][44]. - The rapid growth of the express delivery and instant delivery markets presents substantial opportunities for drone logistics, with significant room for penetration in both sectors [38][39].
政策“铺路”与技术“架桥” 低空经济正向万亿元级新蓝海挺进
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-05-20 16:08
近年来,低空经济犹如一颗璀璨新星,迸发出惊人的发展活力。国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖5月19日 在国新办发布会上表示,4月份,智能无人飞行器制造、智能车载设备制造行业增加值分别增长74.2% 和29.3%,大幅快于规模以上工业增速。中商产业研究院发布的《2025—2030年中国低空经济分析及发 展趋势研究预测报告》显示,2023年中国低空经济市场规模达5059.5亿元,增速达33.8%。中商产业研 究院分析师预测,2024年中国市场规模将达到9702.5亿元,2025年市场规模将达到1.5万亿元。 这些亮眼数据的背后,是低空经济产业链全面升级和深度整合的结果。以无人机产业为例,从核心零部 件研发到整机制造,从飞行控制系统开发到应用场景拓展,中国已形成完整的产业生态,多地正在加快 建设低空智能融合基础设施,包括无人机起降场、充电桩、监控系统等。这些基础设施的完善,将进一 步释放低空经济的发展潜力,为产业创新提供更广阔的舞台。 政策开道技术赋能 共筑发展坦途 从国家战略到地方实践,各级政府正加大政策力度为低空经济腾飞铺就坦途。在国家层面,低空经济已 被列为战略性新兴产业之一,地方政府则争相出台配套政策,从空域管理松 ...
北京科博会聚焦无人机 低空经济“飞”起来
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-05-11 10:37
中新社北京5月11日电 (记者陈杭徐婧)无人机外卖配送"从天而降"、无人机"火眼金睛"助力森林防 火……在第二十七届中国北京国际科技产业博览会(下称北京科博会)上,一架架形态各异的无人机集体 亮相,为公众预演低空经济进入未来生活的图景。 伴随低空经济蓬勃兴起,无人机续航、载重、导航精度等技术不断成熟,已从实验室的酷炫玩具,进化 为千行百业"空中助手",应用范畴不断拓展。 用户在手机下单后,一架无人机腾空而起,将热气腾腾的外卖送至用户身旁。美团无人机展台工作人员 李海铭表示,美团第四代无人机配备"时空胶囊"轨迹规划技术,通过算法精准计算飞行路径,主要用于 往返约5公里以内的低空物流配送,还能适应六级大风及中雨、中雪天气。 李海铭说,截至今年3月底,美团无人机已在深圳、北京、上海、广州、南京等城市开通55条航线,并 累计完成订单超52万单,其中年轻群体对"无人机送餐"模式接受度较高。今年计划根据市场需求探索更 多配送航线,进一步扩大低空物流覆盖范围。 北京科博会上,普宙科技展示了多旋翼无人机、无人机自动机库等产品,可用于智慧城市、能源巡检、 智慧园区等场景。现场工作人员梁曼琪表示,S200系列无人机具备卫星直连通 ...
马斯克称中国用户对FSD最苛刻;苹果收巨额罚单;宇树将参加机器人运动会
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-04-24 01:03
【观网财经丨智能早报 4月24日】 英特尔被曝将启动史上最大规模裁员计划 4月23日,据多家媒体报道,英特尔计划在本周宣布裁员超过20%的计划。这将是该公司自1968年成立 以来规模最大的一次组织调整。同时也是新任CEO陈立武(Lip-Bu Tan)上任后推动的首次重大重组。 截至2024年底,英特尔全球员工总数为10.89万人,若按20%比例计算,裁员规模将超过2.18万人。 裁员背后是英特尔持续恶化的财务表现。数据显示,2024年公司营收531亿美元,同比下滑2%,股价全 年暴跌60%,市值蒸发超1000亿美元。更严峻的是,2025年一季度营收预计仅为117亿-127亿美元,大 幅缩水。 马斯克表示,6月奥斯汀Robotaxi车队将由Model Y组成,付费自动驾驶出行将在今年晚些时候扩展至其 他城市。他还预测:"在明年下半年,美国将有数百万辆特斯拉实现完全自动驾驶。"但他称,不同地区 需本地化参数调整,毕竟雪地驾驶与加州日常驾驶存在显著差异。他还笑称,中国用户对FSD"最为苛 刻",是真正将其推向极限的群体。 另外,关于特斯拉机器人部分,马斯克表示,Optimus仍处于开发阶段,大规模生产将在年末开始。 ...
【明日主题前瞻】华为乾崑ADS 4发布,机构称2030年智驾市场规模有望突破1.2万亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-23 12:04
Group 1: Smart Driving Market - The smart driving market is expected to exceed 1.2 trillion yuan by 2030, with L2+ automation gaining traction in vehicles priced below 150,000 yuan [2] - Companies like Asia-Pacific Holdings are collaborating with Huawei and Dongfeng Motor to provide components for smart vehicles, successfully establishing a supply chain for autonomous driving [2] - The penetration rate of urban NOA in mid-to-high-end models is anticipated to continue increasing, leading to intensified competition among car manufacturers [2] Group 2: AI Tools and Development - ByteDance's Volcano Engine has launched several AI tools, including the AgentDevops system, to assist enterprises in developing and managing AI agents [3] - The domestic AI agent market is experiencing rapid growth, with various companies competing and diversifying their offerings across different platforms [3] - Han's Information is accelerating its development of AI agents, achieving approximately 25 million yuan in revenue in the first half of 2024 [4] Group 3: Drone Logistics - Meituan's self-developed fourth-generation drone has received approval from the Civil Aviation Administration, allowing nationwide logistics operations [5] - By the end of 2024, Meituan's drones are expected to operate 53 routes and have completed over 450,000 deliveries [5] - The logistics drone market in China is projected to reach nearly 150 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 57% [5] Group 4: Smart Logistics Standards - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is expediting the establishment of standards for smart logistics and equipment, aiming to revise over 100 national and industry standards by 2026 [6] - The penetration rate of smart logistics equipment in China is currently below 30%, indicating significant growth potential compared to developed countries [7] - Companies like Xiamen Jishuo are providing intelligent logistics solutions, enhancing operational efficiency in hospitals [7] Group 5: Humanoid Robots - UBTECH's Walker S1 humanoid robot has entered the industrial sector, with over 500 intention orders received [8] - The industrial manufacturing sector is expected to be the first major application area for humanoid robots, with significant potential in commercial services and household applications [8] - Companies like Tianqi and Estun are collaborating to advance the application of humanoid robots in industrial settings [9] Group 6: Satellite Communication - China Unicom has launched its "Unicom Satellite" service, providing emergency communication in areas with unstable coverage [10] - The satellite internet industry is expected to flourish as major telecom operators and manufacturers collaborate on technology and device compatibility [10] - Companies like Shenglu Communication are actively developing 6G technology and related products to support satellite communication [10] Group 7: Smart Automotive Development - Toyota's first D-class car featuring Huawei's HarmonyOS cockpit was unveiled, marking a significant step in smart automotive technology [11] - Huawei is leveraging its ICT expertise to enhance its competitiveness in the smart automotive sector, focusing on software, hardware, and cloud solutions [11] - Companies like Guanghong Technology are providing manufacturing services for Huawei's automotive electronic products, contributing to the smart vehicle ecosystem [12]
4月23日早餐 | 多地酝酿新一轮刺激政策;美股大涨
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-04-23 00:18
中概指数收涨约3.7%,苏轩堂和美物科技股价翻倍,再鼎医药涨超9%,阿特斯涨约8%。 大家早上壕! 先看海外要闻: 美股反弹,收盘道指涨2.66%,标普500指数涨2.51%,纳斯达克涨2.71%。 美股盘后,特朗普称没打算解雇鲍威尔,现在是降息的绝佳时机,推动标普500盘后涨1.7%、纳指100涨1.8%。 特斯拉收涨超4%,盘后再度大涨。亚马逊、苹果、Meta涨超3%。 十年期美债收益率刷新日低,美元指数加速反弹。 报道称,美国财长贝森特称关税僵局不可持续。另据报道,特朗普政府"接近"和日本与印度达成贸易协定,但可能仍需数月来达成最终的贸易协 议。 黄金盘中涨超2%再创新高,此后贸易消息推动资金撤离避险资产,黄金高位跳水,一度转为跌超1%。 特斯拉Q1盈利锐减40%远逊预期,甩锅贸易政策不定,仍计划上半年开始生产低价车等新车。 马斯克:预计明年下半年将有数百万辆特斯拉实现完全自动驾驶。预计到2025年年底将有(至少)数千套Optimu在特斯拉工厂工作。 国内重大事件汇总: 1、多地正酝酿出台新一轮刺激政策: 广东、上海等地谋划出台《提振消费专项行动方案》。吉林省政府发布《吉林省提振消费专项行动实施方 案》 ...