Summary of Haomai Technology Conference Call Company Overview - Haomai Technology started with tire molds and has expanded into large mechanical components, castings, and CNC machine tools through platform and integration strategies, achieving diversified growth. The company holds a leading position in the global tire mold market, with clients including Michelin and others [2][5][11]. Financial Performance - From 2007 to 2024, Haomai's revenue and profit have maintained a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20%-21%. The financial performance has shown steady growth, with revenue expected to reach between 3.5 billion to 4 billion RMB in 2023 [2][8]. - The CNC machine tool business's revenue share has significantly increased in the first half of 2025, while overseas revenue share remains stable [2]. - The company has not seen a decline in net profit except in 2012 and 2017, attributed to economic pressures and raw material price fluctuations [8]. Market Position - Haomai ranks among the top ten companies in the mechanical industry, with a market capitalization of 50 billion RMB, significantly higher than the median of 4 billion RMB for over 600 listed companies in the sector [3]. - The tire mold market demand is stable, with Haomai holding over 30% market share, outperforming competitors with a revenue scale far exceeding that of rivals [2][18]. Business Segments - The large casting business benefits from the high demand in the gas turbine and wind power markets, with major clients including GE and Mitsubishi, leading to a gross margin recovery to around 25% [2][20]. - The five-axis machine tool business, which has evolved from the electric discharge machine tool, is expected to contribute significantly to revenue, with current income nearing 1 billion RMB [21]. Strategic Initiatives - Haomai's management has shown confidence in the company's future by not selling shares since its IPO in 2011 and even increasing their holdings in late 2023 and early 2025 [9]. - The company has expanded its global market presence, increasing the number of overseas subsidiaries to 12 [15]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.45 billion RMB, 2.8 billion RMB, and 3.1 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, maintaining a strong buy rating [10][26]. - Haomai aims to become a trillion RMB market cap company, leveraging its platform and integrated management to expand growth boundaries [10]. Competitive Advantages - Haomai's core competencies lie in its platform and integration strategies, allowing it to expand into multiple related fields while ensuring cost control and production efficiency [6][24]. - The company emphasizes employee welfare and has implemented employee stock ownership plans, reflecting a strong corporate culture and commitment to shared growth [15]. Industry Dynamics - The tire mold market is closely tied to tire production, with replacement demand becoming a significant driver. The global tire mold market is estimated to be over 10 billion RMB, with domestic brands increasing overseas production capacity [16][17]. - The large casting business is expected to continue benefiting from high demand in the gas turbine and wind power sectors, with a positive outlook for growth in these areas [19][20]. Conclusion - Haomai Technology demonstrates strong financial health, a solid market position, and a clear growth strategy, making it a compelling investment opportunity in the mechanical industry [2][10][26].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company has shown a strong growth trajectory with a 26.88% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 26.21% increase in net profit attributable to the parent company for the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - The company is expanding its business in high-end manufacturing, particularly in large castings and machine tools, while maintaining a high level of R&D investment [3] - The company has launched an employee stock ownership plan to enhance middle management incentives, which is expected to have a moderate and controllable impact on profits [2] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.076 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.788 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 33.99% and a net margin of 22.15% [1] - The company’s revenue and net profit for the third quarter of 2025 were 2.811 billion yuan and 592 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 26.21% and 29.49% [1] - The company’s financial forecasts estimate net profits of 2.358 billion yuan, 2.757 billion yuan, and 3.179 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22, 19, and 16 [3][4] Business Development Summary - The company is progressing with its large casting business, with new projects aimed at producing high-end casting components for wind power [2] - The machine tool business is set to enhance its capabilities with the opening of a new laboratory for technology development and product testing [2] - The company is also expanding its tire mold business internationally, with production capacity in Mexico and Thailand gradually increasing [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 8.076 billion yuan for the third quarter of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.89%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.788 billion yuan, up 26.21% year-on-year [7] - The company's business resilience is strong, with the profit growth rate exceeding revenue growth, indicating effective cost control and order structure optimization [7] - The three main business drivers are tire molds, large components, and machine tools, which complement each other and are expected to continue driving growth [7] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 11.113 billion yuan, 12.688 billion yuan, and 14.407 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 2.465 billion yuan, 2.836 billion yuan, and 3.266 billion yuan for the same years [7] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 7.166 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 7.9%. The net profit was 1.612 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 34.3% [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 3.08 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.8 [6] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 21.3% in 2025, indicating strong profitability [6] Business Segment Insights - The tire mold business benefits from the increasing global vehicle ownership and the demand for regular tire replacements [7] - The large components segment is driven by the demand from gas turbines and wind power, benefiting from the company's expertise in casting and machining [7] - The CNC machine tool segment has significant growth potential, with products achieving domestic leading performance [7]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Export Chain Companies**: Chinese export chain companies are rapidly increasing their global market share in 2025, particularly in the forklift and construction machinery sectors, by intensifying development efforts in South America and Africa, leading to strong growth in the Middle East, Asia-Pacific, Africa, and South America markets [1][5] - **European and American Markets**: The European market is expected to recover due to the anticipated ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and infrastructure projects. The U.S. market shows positive growth in industrial machinery and forklifts, with a projected recovery in 2026, benefiting from Chinese market penetration [1][6] Company Performance - **Lian De Co.**: Reported a 9.27% year-on-year revenue increase, with a quarterly revenue growth of 25%. Order volume grew by 41% in the quarter, with a gross margin of 44.29% and a net profit increase of 2.4 percentage points. The Ningde factory has become profitable, and increased capacity at the U.S. factory is expected to enhance profits [1][7] - **Hao Mai Technology**: Achieved unexpected progress through three driving forces: tire molds, large components, and machine tools. The tire mold segment showed significant benefits, while the large components segment benefited from a 30-40% demand increase in the wind power sector [1][7] - **Niu Wei Co.**: Future growth points include increased demand for oil service equipment from Middle Eastern oil and gas investments, high delivery levels of FPSO and LNG ship orders, new product approvals from Saudi Aramco, and good growth in nuclear power and water treatment sectors. The company has a full order book and good cash collection [1][8] Financial Performance - **Company's Q3 Results**: The company reported a revenue of 5.6 billion yuan, a 26% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.11 billion yuan, up 35% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit was 1.09 billion yuan, reflecting a 33% increase. Overall, the company's quarterly and annual performance growth remains stable at around 20-30% [1][9] - **Chunfeng Power**: Faced some impacts from tariff issues in Q3 but is progressing well with its Mexican factory. The company expects to sell approximately 600,000 electric vehicles in 2025, potentially reaching 1 million in 2026, with a chance to turn profitable [1][12] Market Dynamics - **Impact of U.S.-China Talks**: Recent U.S.-China talks resulted in a "very successful framework" agreement, which could benefit export chain companies. Many companies have adjusted their overseas production bases and tariff estimates, leading to stable performance predictions for the next year despite potential new tariffs [2] - **General Machinery Sector**: The general machinery sector is indirectly affected by the global trade environment, with high-end manufacturing demand growing significantly. However, traditional manufacturing and some regional exports are impacted by local demand downturns and trade frictions [1][17] Investment Recommendations - **Focus Areas**: It is recommended to focus on sectors with high growth potential, including automotive, aerospace, high-end manufacturing, and liquid cooling robotics. Companies like Jinshang Yuchuang, which saw order growth exceeding 40% in August, are highlighted as attractive investment opportunities [1][20] Noteworthy Companies - **Hai Tian International**: Holds a nearly 20% market share in the global injection molding machine market. Despite a decline in orders from April to September, there was a recovery in September. The current valuation is around 10 times, expected to drop to about 9 times next year, indicating long-term investment value amid global supply chain restructuring [1][21] - **A-Share Market**: Companies such as Niu Wei CNC, Hai Xin Military Industry, and Yi Zhi Mi are noted for their stable performance and reasonable valuations, making them worthy of attention in the A-share market [1][22]

Core Insights - The company has achieved significant revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 26.89% in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 8.076 billion yuan, and a net profit of 1.788 billion yuan, also up by 26.21% [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.811 billion yuan, a 26.21% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 592 million yuan, reflecting a 29.49% growth [2] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 33.99%, a decrease of 0.95 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 22.15%, down by 0.14 percentage points [3] Expense Management - The company’s expense ratio for the first three quarters of 2025 was 8.18%, a decrease of 1.44 percentage points year-on-year. The breakdown of expenses includes sales (0.78%), management (2.62%), R&D (5.65%), and financial expenses (-0.87%) [4] - R&D expenses increased by 38.57% year-on-year, while financial expenses decreased significantly due to increased foreign exchange gains [4] Business Segments - The tire mold business remains stable, benefiting from a recovery in overseas investments by Chinese tire companies, with production expansions in Thailand and Mexico to meet global demand [5] - The demand for large components is strong, driven by the construction of AI computing centers and a booming gas turbine market, with full order books for gas turbine components [5] - The CNC machine tool business is entering a high growth phase, with a 145% year-on-year revenue increase in the first half of 2025, particularly in five-axis machines [5] Profit Forecast - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 2.513 billion, 3.048 billion, and 3.634 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding dynamic P/E ratios of 18, 15, and 13 times [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 8.076 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.89%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.788 billion yuan, up 26.21% year-on-year [2] - The company's profitability remains stable, with a gross margin of 33.99%, a slight decrease of 0.95 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 22.15%, down 0.14 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The demand for large components is strong, and the CNC machine tool business is opening new growth opportunities. The tire mold business remains stable, while the large component machinery products benefit from the booming gas turbine market. The CNC machine tool business saw a significant revenue increase of 145% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [4] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, the total revenue is projected at 7.166 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.88%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.612 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 34.33% [1] - The company forecasts a total revenue of 11.103 billion yuan for 2025E, with a year-on-year increase of 25.97%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is estimated at 2.513 billion yuan, a growth of 24.95% [1][5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025E is projected to be 3.14 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.48 based on the current price [1][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of 28.11 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.21%, and a net profit of 5.92 billion yuan, up 29.49% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [5][9] - The tire mold sector benefits from the growing global automotive ownership and the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles, providing stable demand for the tire industry and consequently the tire mold industry [9] - The CNC machine tool business saw significant growth, with revenue of 5.06 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 145.08% [9] - The company has launched a new employee stock ownership plan to enhance employee motivation, with participation expected from up to 2,100 employees at a price of 30 yuan per share [9] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised, with expected net profits of 24.50 billion, 28.28 billion, and 31.99 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 19X, 16X, and 15X [9] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - For Q1-3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 80.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.89%, and a net profit of 17.88 billion yuan, up 26.21% year-on-year [5][7] - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 111.09 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 26.0% [7] - The expected earnings per share for 2025 is 3.06 yuan, with a projected gross margin of 34.6% [7]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Giant Wheel Intelligent has experienced a decline recently, with a notable drop in trading volume and significant net outflow of funds, despite a year-to-date increase in stock price. Group 1: Stock Performance - On October 17, Giant Wheel Intelligent's stock fell by 2.03%, trading at 7.72 CNY per share, with a total transaction volume of 263 million CNY and a market capitalization of 16.979 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 55.33%, but it has decreased by 5.51% over the last five trading days, 12.37% over the last 20 days, and 4.93% over the last 60 days [1] - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" 20 times this year, with the most recent appearance on September 18, where it recorded a net purchase of 286 million CNY [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Giant Wheel Intelligent reported a revenue of 412 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 24.69%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -56.25 million CNY, a decrease of 1091.40% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 317 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with a cumulative payout of 2.1994 million CNY over the past three years [2] Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Giant Wheel Intelligent was 390,200, a decrease of 11.19% from the previous period, with an average of 4,968 circulating shares per person, an increase of 10.13% [2] - The second-largest shareholder is the Huaxia CSI Robot ETF, holding 49.2562 million shares, an increase of 8.7592 million shares from the previous period [3] - The third-largest shareholder is the Tianhong CSI Robot ETF, holding 19.9187 million shares, an increase of 3.6790 million shares from the previous period [3]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records primarily discuss the impact of U.S. tariff policies on Chinese export companies, particularly in the machinery and automotive sectors, as well as the strategies these companies are employing to mitigate risks associated with potential tariffs [1][2][4]. Key Points and Arguments Tariff Impact and Company Responses - Many companies exporting to the U.S. have proactively established overseas production capacities to mitigate tariff risks. Companies like Taotao, Juxing, and Chunfeng are accelerating the construction of their second and third overseas bases, while Jiechang is speeding up factory construction in Hungary and the U.S. [1][2] - Specific companies, such as Anhui Heli and Hangcha, are also beginning their first phase of construction in Thailand and Europe to enhance their overseas presence [1][2]. - Taotao plans to relocate its water-cooled engine business to the U.S. to create a comprehensive industrial chain and is set to initiate production in Mexico [1][4]. Sector-Specific Strategies - Consumer equipment companies are leveraging high growth rates to withstand tariff impacts. For instance, Taotao and Chunfeng have shifted golf cart production to Vietnam and Thailand to avoid additional costs associated with tariffs [1][4]. - Chunfeng plans to move its all-terrain vehicle production to Mexico, benefiting from the USMCA agreement to enjoy 0% import tariffs, thus reducing costs and avoiding high domestic tariffs [1][4][5]. Engineering Machinery Sector - Major engineering machinery manufacturers like Sany, Zoomlion, and XCMG are less affected by tariffs due to their diversified production and increased overseas revenue. Sany plans to increase shipments from Indonesia, while XCMG and Zoomlion focus on "Belt and Road" countries, with only 3% of their revenue coming from the U.S. [1][10]. - These companies have reported overseas revenue growth rates of 20% to 30%, with future expectations of 15% to 20% growth [10]. Company-Specific Developments - Dingli's revenue from the U.S. is approximately 30%, with 20% from Europe and 25% from emerging markets. The company has seen a doubling of core component orders in Q3, indicating strong demand [11]. - The forklift industry, represented by companies like Heli and Hangcha, is expanding production in Southeast Asia to meet U.S. demand, with overseas growth rates around 20% [12]. Other Notable Companies - Longxin General, primarily exporting to Europe and South America, has maintained high growth despite market fluctuations. Its performance in the European market remains strong [8]. - Companies like Yundu and Haoyang are also noteworthy, with Haoyang facing short-term tariff impacts but potential opportunities as tariffs ease [9]. Future Outlook - The electric two-wheeler dealership market is expected to see significant growth by 2026, with anticipated revenues reaching approximately 100 million [6]. - Companies like Quanfeng and Chuangke are expected to perform well in 2025 due to increased overseas production capacity [7]. Additional Important Insights - The overall sentiment indicates that while short-term impacts from tariffs may be felt, the long-term adjustments made by these companies are expected to provide resilience and growth opportunities in the machinery and equipment sectors [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company is enhancing its tire mold business by expanding its international production bases, focusing on high quality, efficiency, and ease of maintenance, leading to continuous revenue and profit growth [1] Group 1: Business Development - The tire mold business is aligning with the internationalization of the tire industry, indicating a strategic move to capture global market opportunities [1] - The company is committed to increasing research and development related to tire carbon footprint, which reflects a focus on sustainability in response to industry trends [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - Revenue and profit from the tire mold business are consistently increasing, showcasing the company's strong market position and operational effectiveness [1] - The customer base is global, indicating a diversified market presence that supports revenue stability and growth [1]