投资者关系活动记录表 编号：20251225 |  | 特定对象调研 | □ 分析师会议 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | □ 媒体采访 | □ 业绩说明会 | | | | | | | □ 新闻发布会 | □ 路演活动 | | | | | | 活动类别  | 现场参观 | | | | | | |  | 其他 （电话会） | | | | | | | | 1、特定对象调研 | | | | | | | | 光大证券 陈佳宁 | 华夏基金 | | 吕佳玮等 | 国投证券 | 欧阳天奕 | | | 国投证券 朱宇航 | 天弘基金 | | 周溪又 | 宁泉资产 | 陈冠群 | | 参与单位名称 | 宁银理财 丁雨婷 | 德邦基金 | | 陈艳妮 | 友安众晟 | 张恒辉 | | 及人员姓名 | 长江证券 屈奇 | 工银瑞信 | | 黄璨等 | | | | | 2、电话会 | | | | | | | | 国金证券 满在朋 | 国金证券 | | 李嘉伦 | 固禾基金 | 纪双路 | | | 月阑投资 宫晓萱 | 建信基金 | ...

证券代码：002595 证券简称：豪迈科技 山东豪迈机械科技股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：20251218 |  | 特定对象调研 分析师会议 | | □ | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | 媒体采访 | □ | □ | 业绩说明会 | | 活动类别 | 新闻发布会 | □ | □ | 路演活动 | |  | 现场参观 | | | | | | 其他 | □ | | | | 参与单位名称 | 汇添富 江健等 中邮基金 沈路遥 重阳投资 张弛 | | 合远基金 | 庄琰 | | 及人员姓名 | 浙商证券 王一帆 中银基金 蔡国栋 银华基金 张珂 | | 国君资管 | 李煜 | | 时间 | 年 月 日 2025 12 17 | | | | | 地点 | 豪迈科技公司接待室 | | | | | 上市公司 | 证券事务代表 赵倩倩 | | | | | 接待人员姓名 | | | | | | | 一、基本情况 | | | | | | 1、轮胎模具业务的产品定价及毛利率情况。 | | | | | | 公司轮胎模具业务有系统的定价机制，会综合考量产品的规 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Companies and Industries Involved - **Jereh Group** (杰瑞股份) - **Haimai Technology** (豪迈科技) - **Boinhan Company** (博盈特焊) - **HRSG Industry** (Heat Recovery Steam Generators) Key Points and Arguments Jereh Group - Jereh Group expects to achieve approximately **1.5 billion RMB** in sales revenue from over **200 million USD** gas generator orders by the end of **2025 to 2026**, with a net profit increase of **300-400 million RMB** [1][5] - The company anticipates **70 million USD** in rental income for **2025**, corresponding to a profit of **200 million RMB** [1][5] - Jereh has over **800 MW** of gas turbine resources and plans to expand its capabilities in collaboration with **Baker Hughes** and **Siemens**, aiming for **6-7 billion RMB** in revenue from the power generation segment within five years [1][3][4] - The company has secured two significant orders in North America, totaling over **200 million USD**, with deliveries expected between **2025 and 2026** [2][5] - Jereh's core competitive advantages include strong design capabilities, resource reserves, and channel advantages in North America and the Middle East [6] Haimai Technology - Haimai Technology's stock has reached new highs, benefiting from the gas turbine supply chain, with a projected revenue growth of over **20%** in **2025** [3][12] - The company has a global market share of over **30%** in tire molds and maintains stable cash flow through partnerships with brands like **Bridgestone** and **Michelin** [3][12] - Haimai's large component business has expanded into gas turbines and wind power-related castings, with a strong order backlog for **2025 and 2026** [12][13] - The company is also experiencing growth in CNC machine tools, with expectations of revenue reaching **2.5 to 3 billion RMB** in **2025**, reflecting a **24%** and **20%** year-on-year increase [3][19] Boinhan Company - Boinhan's stock has doubled in less than two months, driven by the high demand in the gas turbine sector [9] - The company is expected to release order announcements that will validate its order-taking capabilities, further boosting its stock price [9][11] - Boinhan's main business is steadily rising, with net profit margins in overseas markets nearing or exceeding **20%** [11] HRSG Industry - The HRSG sector is expanding to meet customer demand, with expectations of price increases in the coming quarters due to sustained demand [10] - The industry is experiencing a significant potential for mid-sized gas turbine matching, which has not yet been fully realized [10] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - Jereh's overall performance is projected to reach around **3 billion RMB** in **2025**, with potential to exceed **4 billion RMB** if more orders are secured [7][8] - Haimai's CNC machine tool business is expected to grow significantly, with a focus on high-end five-axis machine tools, which have a market size of approximately **12 billion RMB** [17][18] - The manufacturing industry is anticipated to enter a new upcycle in **2026**, driven by equipment replacement needs and supportive policies [18]

Group 1 - The core investment logic revolves around understanding the underlying demand for products, such as Moutai being a social currency in China rather than just a beverage [2][3] - The shift in consumer behavior, with increased spending power among the public, has led to a rise in Moutai consumption during gatherings and business events [3] - Long-term holding of quality assets like Moutai can effectively dilute costs, making it a reliable investment compared to traditional savings [3] Group 2 - The investment in Pinggao Electric was based on recognizing the policy-driven opportunities and the industrial logic related to energy transmission amidst severe pollution issues [6] - The tire mold industry is characterized by consistent demand, as new cars require molds and old ones need replacement, indicating a clear growth potential for companies like Haomai [8] - The investment in China Shenhua and China Mobile during market panic highlighted the importance of focusing on core assets with high dividend yields and low valuations [13] Group 3 - The investment strategy has evolved from relying on luck to a more structured approach based on asset allocation and industry research, emphasizing the importance of investing in understandable and essential companies [16] - Companies with strong management and stable income sources, such as Standard Chartered, are seen as resilient investments due to their diversified revenue streams and consistent dividends [15]

Core Viewpoint - The city of Weifang is actively enhancing its business environment to support the growth and innovation of private enterprises, aiming for high-quality development of the private economy as part of its broader strategy for urban improvement [1][6]. Group 1: Business Environment - Weifang has established a strong business environment, which is seen as a "lifeline" for the high-quality development of the private economy, recognizing the crucial role of private enterprises in driving market economic growth [8][9]. - The city government has implemented various measures to optimize the business environment, including the establishment of a leadership group for business environment optimization and the introduction of the "Weifang City Business Environment Optimization Regulations" [8][9]. Group 2: Economic Contributions - As of September 2023, Weifang has 1.463 million private economic entities, with private investment accounting for 83.9% of total investment, and the private economy contributing 63% to the regional GDP [6][8]. - The private sector is responsible for 60% of the city's GDP, 70% of investment, 80% of tax revenue, and 90% of employment, highlighting its vital role in the local economy [6][8]. Group 3: Policy and Institutional Support - Weifang has introduced a series of policies aimed at enhancing institutional support for private enterprises, including a streamlined approval process that allows businesses to complete necessary permits in as little as one day [10][11]. - The city has established a project reserve library for private economic projects and is actively promoting private capital participation in major projects, thereby expanding the development space for the private economy [22][23]. Group 4: Innovation and Technology - Innovation is identified as a core driver of growth for private enterprises in Weifang, with the city housing 25 national-level manufacturing champions and 178 provincial-level champions [18][20]. - The local government encourages private enterprises to increase R&D investment and collaborate with universities and research institutions to foster technological innovation [18][20]. Group 5: Talent and Human Resources - Weifang is enhancing its talent attraction strategies by implementing favorable policies to draw high-level talent and innovative teams to the city, thereby invigorating the private economy [15][25]. - The establishment of the Weifang Entrepreneurs' International Alliance aims to consolidate the power of entrepreneurs and facilitate their integration into both domestic and international markets [9][15]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The city is committed to building a modern industrial system and aims to create a first-class business environment to support the sustainable development of the private economy [9][21]. - Weifang's private enterprises are expected to play a significant role in the city's modernization efforts, contributing to a robust and dynamic economic landscape [26].

Summary of Haomai Technology Conference Call Company Overview - Haomai Technology started with tire molds and has expanded into large mechanical components, castings, and CNC machine tools through platform and integration strategies, achieving diversified growth. The company holds a leading position in the global tire mold market, with clients including Michelin and others [2][5][11]. Financial Performance - From 2007 to 2024, Haomai's revenue and profit have maintained a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20%-21%. The financial performance has shown steady growth, with revenue expected to reach between 3.5 billion to 4 billion RMB in 2023 [2][8]. - The CNC machine tool business's revenue share has significantly increased in the first half of 2025, while overseas revenue share remains stable [2]. - The company has not seen a decline in net profit except in 2012 and 2017, attributed to economic pressures and raw material price fluctuations [8]. Market Position - Haomai ranks among the top ten companies in the mechanical industry, with a market capitalization of 50 billion RMB, significantly higher than the median of 4 billion RMB for over 600 listed companies in the sector [3]. - The tire mold market demand is stable, with Haomai holding over 30% market share, outperforming competitors with a revenue scale far exceeding that of rivals [2][18]. Business Segments - The large casting business benefits from the high demand in the gas turbine and wind power markets, with major clients including GE and Mitsubishi, leading to a gross margin recovery to around 25% [2][20]. - The five-axis machine tool business, which has evolved from the electric discharge machine tool, is expected to contribute significantly to revenue, with current income nearing 1 billion RMB [21]. Strategic Initiatives - Haomai's management has shown confidence in the company's future by not selling shares since its IPO in 2011 and even increasing their holdings in late 2023 and early 2025 [9]. - The company has expanded its global market presence, increasing the number of overseas subsidiaries to 12 [15]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.45 billion RMB, 2.8 billion RMB, and 3.1 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, maintaining a strong buy rating [10][26]. - Haomai aims to become a trillion RMB market cap company, leveraging its platform and integrated management to expand growth boundaries [10]. Competitive Advantages - Haomai's core competencies lie in its platform and integration strategies, allowing it to expand into multiple related fields while ensuring cost control and production efficiency [6][24]. - The company emphasizes employee welfare and has implemented employee stock ownership plans, reflecting a strong corporate culture and commitment to shared growth [15]. Industry Dynamics - The tire mold market is closely tied to tire production, with replacement demand becoming a significant driver. The global tire mold market is estimated to be over 10 billion RMB, with domestic brands increasing overseas production capacity [16][17]. - The large casting business is expected to continue benefiting from high demand in the gas turbine and wind power sectors, with a positive outlook for growth in these areas [19][20]. Conclusion - Haomai Technology demonstrates strong financial health, a solid market position, and a clear growth strategy, making it a compelling investment opportunity in the mechanical industry [2][10][26].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company has shown a strong growth trajectory with a 26.88% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 26.21% increase in net profit attributable to the parent company for the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - The company is expanding its business in high-end manufacturing, particularly in large castings and machine tools, while maintaining a high level of R&D investment [3] - The company has launched an employee stock ownership plan to enhance middle management incentives, which is expected to have a moderate and controllable impact on profits [2] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.076 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.788 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 33.99% and a net margin of 22.15% [1] - The company’s revenue and net profit for the third quarter of 2025 were 2.811 billion yuan and 592 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 26.21% and 29.49% [1] - The company’s financial forecasts estimate net profits of 2.358 billion yuan, 2.757 billion yuan, and 3.179 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22, 19, and 16 [3][4] Business Development Summary - The company is progressing with its large casting business, with new projects aimed at producing high-end casting components for wind power [2] - The machine tool business is set to enhance its capabilities with the opening of a new laboratory for technology development and product testing [2] - The company is also expanding its tire mold business internationally, with production capacity in Mexico and Thailand gradually increasing [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 8.076 billion yuan for the third quarter of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.89%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.788 billion yuan, up 26.21% year-on-year [7] - The company's business resilience is strong, with the profit growth rate exceeding revenue growth, indicating effective cost control and order structure optimization [7] - The three main business drivers are tire molds, large components, and machine tools, which complement each other and are expected to continue driving growth [7] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 11.113 billion yuan, 12.688 billion yuan, and 14.407 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 2.465 billion yuan, 2.836 billion yuan, and 3.266 billion yuan for the same years [7] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 7.166 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 7.9%. The net profit was 1.612 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 34.3% [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 3.08 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.8 [6] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 21.3% in 2025, indicating strong profitability [6] Business Segment Insights - The tire mold business benefits from the increasing global vehicle ownership and the demand for regular tire replacements [7] - The large components segment is driven by the demand from gas turbines and wind power, benefiting from the company's expertise in casting and machining [7] - The CNC machine tool segment has significant growth potential, with products achieving domestic leading performance [7]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Export Chain Companies**: Chinese export chain companies are rapidly increasing their global market share in 2025, particularly in the forklift and construction machinery sectors, by intensifying development efforts in South America and Africa, leading to strong growth in the Middle East, Asia-Pacific, Africa, and South America markets [1][5] - **European and American Markets**: The European market is expected to recover due to the anticipated ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and infrastructure projects. The U.S. market shows positive growth in industrial machinery and forklifts, with a projected recovery in 2026, benefiting from Chinese market penetration [1][6] Company Performance - **Lian De Co.**: Reported a 9.27% year-on-year revenue increase, with a quarterly revenue growth of 25%. Order volume grew by 41% in the quarter, with a gross margin of 44.29% and a net profit increase of 2.4 percentage points. The Ningde factory has become profitable, and increased capacity at the U.S. factory is expected to enhance profits [1][7] - **Hao Mai Technology**: Achieved unexpected progress through three driving forces: tire molds, large components, and machine tools. The tire mold segment showed significant benefits, while the large components segment benefited from a 30-40% demand increase in the wind power sector [1][7] - **Niu Wei Co.**: Future growth points include increased demand for oil service equipment from Middle Eastern oil and gas investments, high delivery levels of FPSO and LNG ship orders, new product approvals from Saudi Aramco, and good growth in nuclear power and water treatment sectors. The company has a full order book and good cash collection [1][8] Financial Performance - **Company's Q3 Results**: The company reported a revenue of 5.6 billion yuan, a 26% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.11 billion yuan, up 35% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit was 1.09 billion yuan, reflecting a 33% increase. Overall, the company's quarterly and annual performance growth remains stable at around 20-30% [1][9] - **Chunfeng Power**: Faced some impacts from tariff issues in Q3 but is progressing well with its Mexican factory. The company expects to sell approximately 600,000 electric vehicles in 2025, potentially reaching 1 million in 2026, with a chance to turn profitable [1][12] Market Dynamics - **Impact of U.S.-China Talks**: Recent U.S.-China talks resulted in a "very successful framework" agreement, which could benefit export chain companies. Many companies have adjusted their overseas production bases and tariff estimates, leading to stable performance predictions for the next year despite potential new tariffs [2] - **General Machinery Sector**: The general machinery sector is indirectly affected by the global trade environment, with high-end manufacturing demand growing significantly. However, traditional manufacturing and some regional exports are impacted by local demand downturns and trade frictions [1][17] Investment Recommendations - **Focus Areas**: It is recommended to focus on sectors with high growth potential, including automotive, aerospace, high-end manufacturing, and liquid cooling robotics. Companies like Jinshang Yuchuang, which saw order growth exceeding 40% in August, are highlighted as attractive investment opportunities [1][20] Noteworthy Companies - **Hai Tian International**: Holds a nearly 20% market share in the global injection molding machine market. Despite a decline in orders from April to September, there was a recovery in September. The current valuation is around 10 times, expected to drop to about 9 times next year, indicating long-term investment value amid global supply chain restructuring [1][21] - **A-Share Market**: Companies such as Niu Wei CNC, Hai Xin Military Industry, and Yi Zhi Mi are noted for their stable performance and reasonable valuations, making them worthy of attention in the A-share market [1][22]

Core Insights - The company has achieved significant revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 26.89% in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 8.076 billion yuan, and a net profit of 1.788 billion yuan, also up by 26.21% [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.811 billion yuan, a 26.21% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 592 million yuan, reflecting a 29.49% growth [2] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 33.99%, a decrease of 0.95 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 22.15%, down by 0.14 percentage points [3] Expense Management - The company’s expense ratio for the first three quarters of 2025 was 8.18%, a decrease of 1.44 percentage points year-on-year. The breakdown of expenses includes sales (0.78%), management (2.62%), R&D (5.65%), and financial expenses (-0.87%) [4] - R&D expenses increased by 38.57% year-on-year, while financial expenses decreased significantly due to increased foreign exchange gains [4] Business Segments - The tire mold business remains stable, benefiting from a recovery in overseas investments by Chinese tire companies, with production expansions in Thailand and Mexico to meet global demand [5] - The demand for large components is strong, driven by the construction of AI computing centers and a booming gas turbine market, with full order books for gas turbine components [5] - The CNC machine tool business is entering a high growth phase, with a 145% year-on-year revenue increase in the first half of 2025, particularly in five-axis machines [5] Profit Forecast - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 2.513 billion, 3.048 billion, and 3.634 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding dynamic P/E ratios of 18, 15, and 13 times [6]