Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the controllable nuclear fusion industry [2][3]. Core Insights - The controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating its industrialization process, transitioning from experimental validation to engineering demonstration, with a focus on key suppliers and core component manufacturers that have achieved domestic substitution [2]. - The overall domestic production rate of key nuclear fusion equipment exceeds 96%, with significant advancements in materials performance being a core bottleneck for the feasibility of the technology route [2]. - The industry is entering a new phase characterized by "multiple routes racing + capital resonance," with significant milestones expected, such as the BEST device demonstrating power generation by 2027 [2]. Industry Scale - The industry comprises 118 listed companies, with a total market capitalization of 2114.6 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 1755.9 billion [3]. Performance Metrics - The absolute performance over 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months is 3.2%, 27.0%, and 26.1% respectively, while the relative performance is -0.5%, 2.4%, and 6.9% [5]. Key Companies and Financial Indicators - Notable companies include: - Xibu Superconductor (688122.SH) with a market cap of 50.1 billion and a strong recommendation [7]. - Antai Technology (000969.SZ) also strongly recommended with a market cap of 22.3 billion [7]. - Jiu Li Special Materials (002318.SZ) with a market cap of 25.0 billion and a strong recommendation [7]. - Other companies such as Guoguang Electric (688776.SH), Hezhu Intelligent (603011.SH), and Lianchuang Optoelectronics (600363.SH) are also highlighted, though they do not have specific investment ratings [7]. Material Innovation - Material innovation is identified as the current core bottleneck and breakthrough point for industrialization, with extreme operational environments requiring materials with high melting points, radiation resistance, and thermal fatigue performance [6]. - Domestic companies like Antai Technology and West Superconductor have made breakthroughs in tungsten-copper filters and superconducting materials, overcoming foreign monopolies [6]. Market Opportunities - The industry chain is witnessing incremental market growth across multiple segments, with energy equipment leaders establishing significant layouts and core component manufacturers benefiting from clear development paths [6]. - Companies such as Guoguang Electric, Hezhu Intelligent, and Lianchuang Optoelectronics are positioned to benefit significantly from local support [6].

Market Performance - On October 28, the nuclear fusion sector strengthened again, with companies such as Antai Technology and Dongfang Tanye achieving consecutive gains, while Western Superconducting and Yongding shares also rose [1] - Antai Technology's stock price reached 22.98, with a 10.00% increase, and it is a core supplier for global controllable nuclear fusion devices [2] - Western Superconducting, the only Chinese supplier of low-temperature superconducting wire for the ITER project, saw its stock rise by 8.28% to 83.16 [2] - Yongding shares increased by 7.86% to 16.20, with its subsidiary being the only mass producer of second-generation high-temperature superconducting tape in China [2] Domestic and International Developments - Helical Fusion, a Tokyo-based startup, announced progress in developing high-temperature superconducting magnets crucial for fusion reactors, marking a significant step towards commercial fusion energy [3] - Helion Energy received conditional use permits for its fusion generator facility in Washington, clearing obstacles for construction [4] - In China, a research team from the Institute of Metal Research successfully industrialized high-purity ton-level Hastelloy (C276) metal substrates for second-generation high-temperature superconducting tapes [5] - The compact fusion energy experimental device in Hefei is expected to be completed by 2027, potentially becoming the first facility to achieve fusion power generation [5] Industry Insights - The controllable nuclear fusion industry in China is entering a phase of significant capital expenditure, with over 150 billion yuan planned or under construction by September 2025 [6] - The industry is diversifying its technological routes, with the Tokamak being the most mature. Key components such as magnets and vacuum chambers constitute major costs [6] - The global nuclear fusion market is projected to reach approximately $843.46 billion by 2040, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 6% from 2030 to 2040. China's market is expected to grow to around $53.68 billion by 2040, with a CAGR of 6.4%, slightly higher than the global average [6] Project Updates - The EAST project has reached a mature stage, with core component tenders nearly complete, while the BEST project is in mid-construction with key component tenders ongoing [7] - The CFEDR project is still in the research phase, with concentrated tendering expected between 2027 and 2029 [7] - The CRAFT project has completed some tenders and is advancing in the procurement of magnets, power supplies, and diagnostic systems [7]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in China's controllable nuclear fusion sector is driven by a combination of domestic and international favorable factors, indicating a potential acceleration towards the controllable nuclear fusion era, despite the technology still being in the developmental stage and facing uncertainties in commercialization [1][2][6]. Market Performance - On October 9, A-shares in the controllable nuclear fusion sector experienced a significant rally, with the Wind nuclear fusion index rising by 7.82%, and several stocks, including Haohan Huadong and Xibu Superconductor, hitting the daily limit [1][2]. Domestic Developments - The establishment of China Fusion Energy Co. and the recent progress in the BEST project, including the successful installation of a key component, have contributed to the positive market sentiment [2][4]. - The upcoming International Atomic Energy Agency Fusion Energy Conference (FEC2025) in Chengdu is expected to showcase significant advancements in the industry [2]. International Trends - Major economies are increasing investments in nuclear power, with Japan planning to close oil-fired plants and restart nuclear stations, and Italy's Eni Group signing a $1 billion electricity sale agreement with a U.S. fusion company [2][3]. - A new agreement between the UK and the U.S. aims to expedite nuclear power development, reducing the average licensing period from four years to two [3]. Company Involvement - Companies like Hezhong Intelligent and Xibu Superconductor are actively participating in the BEST project, with Hezhong securing a contract worth 209 million RMB for vacuum chamber manufacturing [4]. - Yonding Co. has accelerated the industrialization of high-temperature superconducting materials, reporting a 24.07% year-on-year revenue increase [5]. Industry Outlook - The controllable nuclear fusion sector is viewed as a significant clean energy direction, with long-term growth potential. The global fusion industry has seen explosive growth, with total investments rising from $1.9 billion in 2021 to an expected $9.7 billion by 2025 [6][7]. - The construction of 37 new fusion power plants is anticipated globally between 2025 and 2035, with a projected market space of approximately $203.5 billion by 2055 [7].

Market Analysis - The market remains cautious ahead of the holiday, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3828.1 and a significant drop in trading volume, down 53.88% compared to the previous day [1]. Macroeconomic Insights - Economic data shows signs of recovery, indicating potential positive trends in the broader economy [2]. International Trade Dynamics - Trump's recent comments about Japan and South Korea needing to "prepay" for tariff agreements have sparked concerns, with South Korea warning of a potential repeat of the 1997 financial crisis if such measures are enforced [7]. Industry Developments - Moore Threads has successfully passed the IPO approval process, becoming the first domestic GPU company to go public. The company reported a revenue of 702 million yuan in the first half of 2025, surpassing the total revenue of the previous three years, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 208% [9][10]. - The company's gross margin improved significantly from -70.08% in 2022 to 70.71% in 2024, indicating a strong turnaround [10]. - Moore Threads is in discussions for orders exceeding 2 billion yuan, with a focus on AI computing and graphics acceleration products [11]. Renewable Energy Sector - Daikin Heavy Industries holds an order backlog of 10 billion yuan, benefiting from a surge in offshore wind energy demand in Europe, with expectations of a 50% growth in installation rates from 2025 to 2026 [18][20]. - The European offshore wind market is projected to see a significant increase in demand, with a forecasted installation of 43.1 GW during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [20]. Nuclear Fusion Industry - The Chinese government has introduced supportive policies for the nuclear fusion industry, including the inclusion of fusion projects in major infrastructure initiatives and the establishment of a national venture capital fund [21][23]. - Upcoming international conferences and technology validations in October 2025 will focus on the commercialization pathways for nuclear fusion technology [22]. Robotics Sector - Hongrun Construction is expanding its presence in the robotics field, focusing on humanoid, industrial, and engineering robots, with strategic partnerships to enhance its technological capabilities [35][36]. - The company has made significant advancements in four-legged robot technology and is developing engineering robots to improve efficiency in construction projects [37][38].

Core Insights - The report highlights the rapid development and commercialization potential of controlled nuclear fusion technology, which is seen as a key direction for future energy strategies globally [2][3][4] - The introduction of the Atomic Energy Law in China is expected to promote sustainable development in the nuclear energy sector and support research and technology development in controlled nuclear fusion [2][3] - The industry is experiencing significant growth opportunities, particularly in upstream materials and midstream processing sectors, driven by the bidding and construction activities of leading domestic fusion enterprises [4][5] Industry Overview - Controlled nuclear fusion is regarded as the "ultimate solution" in the energy sector, with the potential to lead a new technological revolution similar to the advent of the steam engine and electrification [2] - The commercialization of Tokamak fusion reactors is anticipated to occur between 2031 and 2035, according to a survey by FIA [2] Market Dynamics - The report indicates that high-temperature superconductors, first wall materials, low-temperature systems, heat exchangers, and vacuum chambers are considered critical components for fusion devices [4][5] - The domestic fusion supply chain is expected to benefit from the initial high growth phase, with upstream material suppliers and midstream processing companies poised to share in the industry's growth [4] Key Components and Technologies - High-temperature superconductors are projected to see a significant market expansion, with expectations that they will capture 25% of the global superconducting materials market by 2030 [4] - The blanket module, which includes the first wall, is identified as a critical component for the future of controlled nuclear fusion, with companies like Guoguang Electric being highlighted for their production capabilities [5] - Tungsten-copper divertors are noted as a promising solution for managing plasma contamination and heat, with companies such as Antai Technology recommended for their supply capabilities [6] Manufacturing and Processing - The vacuum chamber is emphasized for its high processing barriers and critical role in the safe operation of fusion reactors, with companies like Hezhong Intelligent suggested for their manufacturing experience [6][7] - The report suggests that companies with integrated solutions for vacuum chamber manufacturing and processing will have a competitive advantage in the market [6][7]

Core Achievements in Metal Materials - The "New Tian Gong Kai Wu - Technology Achievements Release Conference" highlighted China's independent innovation in the metal materials sector, showcasing high-performance rare earth permanent magnet materials, tungsten-copper components for nuclear fusion reactors, and advanced metal porous materials [1][3]. - China has made significant advancements in the metal materials field since the 21st century, establishing itself among the top global players, particularly in high-end metal materials [1][3]. Rare Earth Permanent Magnet Materials - High-performance rare earth permanent magnet materials are essential for high-end equipment in sectors like electric vehicles, wind power, robotics, and aerospace [3]. - The unique "cerium magnet" material developed in China has gained global attention due to its resource adaptability and cost advantages [3][5]. - The Chinese Steel Research Team has achieved four technological breakthroughs in rare earth permanent magnet research, resulting in five series of products with nearly one hundred specifications [5]. Tungsten-Copper Components for Nuclear Fusion - The tungsten-copper filter developed by Antai Technology is crucial for protecting nuclear fusion reactors, capable of withstanding extreme temperatures [5][7]. - The EAST (Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak) has set world records, demonstrating the effectiveness of these materials in nuclear fusion applications [5][7]. - China's advancements in this area position it as a leader in the global nuclear fusion research landscape, contributing significantly to sustainable energy exploration [7]. Advanced Metal Porous Materials - Advanced metal porous materials are being utilized in various industrial applications, including high-grade gasoline production and coal chemical processes, acting as a key component in reducing carbon emissions [8][10]. - These materials possess unique properties such as high porosity, high permeability, and low density, making them suitable for a wide range of industrial uses [8][10]. - The integration of emerging technologies like big data and industrial IoT is expected to enhance the development and lifecycle management of advanced metal porous materials [10].

Summary of AnTai Technology Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: AnTai Technology - **Date**: August 26, 2025 Key Points Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, AnTai Technology's revenue decreased by 5%, primarily due to the absence of a merger project that contributed 131 million last year. [3] - Net profit dropped by 33%, but when excluding the merger project, net profit increased by 25% year-on-year, indicating stable operational performance. [3][2] - The adjusted net profit (excluding non-recurring items) grew by 19%, maintaining an overall growth rate of around 20%. [2][3] Business Segment Performance - **Tungsten and Molybdenum**: Revenue fell by 18% and net profit by 9% due to export restrictions. However, contract amounts remained stable. [4][2] - **Stone Business**: Contract amounts increased by 9%, but revenue and profit declined due to falling prices and export backlogs. The company is shifting focus to Southeast Asian markets. [5][2] - **AnTai Feijin**: Benefited from the widespread application of amorphous materials in energy-saving and environmental protection, achieving high growth. [2][6] - **High-Speed Tool Steel**: Continued high growth with revenue increasing by over 10% and net profit up by more than 90%. Expected to remain a major domestic product in the next 3-5 years. [9][2] - **Controlled Nuclear Fusion Projects**: Significant increase in bid amounts, but revenue recognition is affected by settlement cycles. [10][2] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The tungsten and molybdenum sectors are expected to see stable growth in the second half of 2025, with a forecast for stone prices to stabilize, potentially improving revenue. [6][2] - The amorphous materials market is projected to continue growing due to increasing demand for energy-efficient products, particularly in electric vehicles. [7][2] - The rare earth market showed a downward trend in the first half of 2025 but is expected to stabilize in the second half. [8][2] Challenges and Strategic Initiatives - The stone business faces challenges from price declines and intense market competition, prompting a shift towards Southeast Asian markets. [5][2] - The company is focusing on enhancing product technology and stability to meet future market demands, particularly in the controlled nuclear fusion sector. [19][2] - The commercialization of tungsten-copper filters faces high costs and loss challenges, but the company aims to improve product technology to meet customer needs. [17][2][19] Additional Insights - Nanocrystalline materials are expected to see significant growth in applications across various sectors, including new energy vehicles and consumer electronics. [11][12] - The company has achieved the largest global production of nanocrystalline materials, with expectations to maintain this growth trajectory. [12][2] - The controlled nuclear fusion technology is anticipated to enter practical stages between 2026 and 2027, with the company adjusting its organizational structure to meet production demands. [10][2] This summary encapsulates the key insights from AnTai Technology's conference call, highlighting financial performance, business segment dynamics, market trends, and strategic initiatives.

Group 1: Company Overview and Business Segments - Antai Technology focuses on advanced powder metallurgy, rapid solidification, additive manufacturing, and other core material preparation technologies, establishing a complete industrial platform from materials to products [1] - The company operates in four main business segments: high-end powder metallurgy materials, advanced functional materials, high-speed tool steel, and energy-saving environmental protection materials [1] - Key applications include aerospace, nuclear power, high-end medical devices, third-generation semiconductors, new energy vehicles, and consumer electronics [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of CNY 1.782 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.76% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 82.55 million, an increase of 4.95% year-on-year [2] - The company’s total sales, management, and financial expenses amounted to CNY 110 million, accounting for 6.17% of revenue, a decrease of 13.3% year-on-year [2] - Cash and cash equivalents reached CNY 2.552 billion, a 10.90% increase compared to the previous year [2] Group 3: Controlled Nuclear Fusion Sector - Antai Zhongke is the first company in China capable of producing tungsten-copper filters for controlled nuclear fusion, with a complete set of technologies from raw materials to component delivery [3] - The company has successfully applied its products in major projects like EAST, CRAFT, and ITER, contributing to significant milestones in nuclear fusion research [4] - Since 2008, the company has provided over 5,000 tungsten-copper components for various fusion projects, enhancing China's influence in the international nuclear fusion field [4] Group 4: Amorphous Materials and Future Directions - The company has over 20 years of experience in the amorphous materials sector, establishing a competitive advantage through continuous innovation [5] - It is focusing on high-potential applications in power distribution and amorphous motors, with plans to start a new project for producing 10,000 tons of amorphous strip material by 2024 [5] - The amorphous motor market is expected to grow, and the company is working on overcoming industry challenges and establishing standards [6][7] Group 5: Stock Incentive Plan and Performance Goals - The stock incentive plan for 2023-2025 includes performance targets based on net profit growth and return on equity, with a compound annual growth rate of at least 19% for 2023 and 2024, and 25% for 2025 [8] - The company has successfully met its performance targets for 2023 and 2024, aiming to achieve all goals for 2025 to create long-term value for shareholders [8] Group 6: Investor Relations and Compliance - The company conducted investor communications in compliance with information disclosure regulations, ensuring the accuracy and completeness of disclosed information [9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance [6][12][13]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from stable growth in traditional businesses while also capitalizing on three key growth areas: special powders, amorphous materials, and controlled nuclear fusion [6][9][15]. - The company has shown continuous improvement in operational efficiency, with a notable decrease in the proportion of expenses relative to revenue, indicating effective cost management [7][40]. - The company has a comprehensive product portfolio, structured under a "2+3+4" business model, which includes two core industries, three key industries, and four incubating industries, allowing for diversified growth opportunities [9][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Structure and Market Position - The company operates as a core platform for metal new materials under China Steel Research, focusing on high-end applications in various strategic industries such as AI, new energy, and aerospace [21][24]. - The "2+3+4" structure includes two core industries (refractory tungsten and molybdenum, rare earth permanent magnets), three key industries (amorphous/nanocrystalline materials, high-alloy high-speed steel, superhard materials), and four incubating industries (special powders, injection molding, welding materials, controlled nuclear fusion) [27][28]. 2. Historical Performance and Financial Health - The company has experienced steady revenue and net profit growth from 2021 to 2023, with a two-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.26% and 20.53%, respectively [32][35]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.782 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.76%, while net profit increased by 4.95% to 83 million yuan, indicating resilience despite challenges [7][32]. 3. Growth Drivers - The special powders segment is expected to see sustained high growth due to increasing demand in the electric vehicle and AI sectors, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 10.5% in the global injection molding market from 2023 to 2030 [15][48]. - The amorphous materials segment is entering a high-growth cycle, with significant applications in energy-efficient transformers and electric motors, which are gaining traction in the market [61][74]. - The controlled nuclear fusion segment is accelerating towards commercialization, with the company positioned to benefit from advancements in this field [75]. 4. Profitability Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 330 million yuan, 422 million yuan, and 545 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 0.31, 0.40, and 0.52 yuan [11][13]. - The report suggests a valuation premium for the company due to its multiple business segments entering growth phases, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio forecasted at 40.38 for 2025 [12][13].

Group 1: Company Overview and Financial Performance - Antai Technology focuses on advanced powder metallurgy, rapid solidification, additive manufacturing, and other core material preparation technologies, establishing a complete industrial platform from materials to products [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of CNY 1.782 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.76%; net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 82.55 million, an increase of 4.95% [2] - The total sales, management, and financial expenses amounted to CNY 110 million, accounting for 6.17% of revenue, a decrease of 13.3% year-on-year [2] - Cash and cash equivalents reached CNY 2.552 billion, a 10.90% increase compared to the same period last year [2] Group 2: Controlled Nuclear Fusion Sector - Antai Zhongke is the first company in China capable of producing tungsten-copper divertors, with a complete technology chain from raw materials to component delivery [3] - The company has provided over 5,000 tungsten-copper parts for various projects since 2008, including significant contributions to the EAST and ITER projects [5] - Antai Zhongke has accumulated deep experience in key component preparation technologies, such as high-performance tungsten plate manufacturing and vacuum brazing [3][6] Group 3: Future Projects and Growth Strategies - In 2025, the company will see the completion of four major projects, including a 1,000-ton rare earth permanent magnet project and a 5,000-ton high-end rare earth permanent magnet product project [9][10] - New projects include a 2,000-ton high-performance special powder project and a 10,000-ton amorphous strip project, aimed at meeting market demands and enhancing production capacity [10] - The company aims to strengthen its position in the controlled nuclear fusion industry by increasing R&D investment and optimizing core technologies [6]