Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [67]. Core Viewpoints - The non-ferrous metals industry has seen a 6.46% increase over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.57 percentage points, ranking third among 31 industries [3][13]. - Precious metals have shown significant growth, with an 18.10% increase in the last two weeks, while energy metals and industrial metals have also performed well, increasing by 10.92% and 7.60% respectively [17][19]. - The report highlights the impact of U.S. economic data on market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which has led to a bullish outlook for metal prices, particularly gold [6][62]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of September 11, 2025, the non-ferrous metals industry has increased by 54.36% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 38.77 percentage points [13]. - The precious metals sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 67.50%, while energy metals and industrial metals have increased by 49.26% and 48.53% respectively [19][20]. Price Analysis - As of September 11, 2025, LME copper is priced at $10,057 per ton, LME aluminum at $2,679 per ton, and LME nickel at $15,220 per ton [25]. - COMEX gold is priced at $3,673.40 per ounce, reflecting a $157.3 increase since the beginning of September [37]. Industry News - The report notes the release of regulations regarding rare earth mining and processing in China, indicating a tightening control over these resources, which may affect market dynamics [63]. - The report also mentions a significant collaboration between Codelco and SQM for lithium mining in Chile, which could diversify revenue sources for Codelco amid declining copper production [56]. Company Announcements - Western Gold announced a temporary shutdown of production equipment for maintenance, which is expected to last until the end of the year [60]. - Hongda Co. plans to invest 1.59 billion yuan in Duolong Mining, maintaining a 30% stake in the company [61]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Zijin Mining (601899), Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), and Xiamen Tungsten (600549) due to their strong performance and market positioning [63][65].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a standard rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment in this sector [1]. Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals industry has seen a significant increase in performance, with an overall rise of 8.37% in the last two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.41 percentage points, ranking 5th among 31 industries [2][11]. - The small metals and new materials sectors have shown particularly strong performance, with increases of 21.87% and 13.84% respectively in the same period [2][16]. - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies on the rare earth sector, leading to a rapid price recovery for rare earth products [4][72]. Industry Analysis Market Performance - As of August 28, 2025, the non-ferrous metals industry has increased by 16.08% this month and 44.99% year-to-date, ranking 5th and 2nd respectively among 31 industries [11][12]. - The small metals sector has surged by 77.45% year-to-date, while the new materials sector has risen by 55.77% [16]. Price Trends - As of August 28, 2025, key prices include: - LME copper at $9,839.50 per ton - LME aluminum at $2,607 per ton - LME lead at $1,988 per ton - LME zinc at $2,787 per ton - LME nickel at $15,300 per ton - LME tin at $34,825 per ton [22]. - The rare earth price index reached 226.27, up 21.16 from early August, with specific prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide averaging 604 yuan per kilogram [41][72]. Company Performance - Notable companies in the sector include: - China Rare Earth (000831) and Kingstone Permanent Magnet (300748), which are recommended for attention due to their strong market positions [73]. - In the last two weeks, the top-performing stocks include Zhangyuan Tungsten (57.70%), Kingstone Permanent Magnet (54.48%), and Northern Rare Earth (46.39%) [18][20]. - Year-to-date, the top gainers are Copper Crown Copper Foil (217.60%), Zhongzhou Special Materials (211.00%), and Northern Rare Earth (165.00%) [20].

Core Viewpoint - The tungsten market is experiencing significant price increases, driven by supply constraints and surging demand from military and renewable energy sectors [1][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of August 27, 2023, ammonium paratungstate (APT) prices reached 360,000 CNY per ton, up 10,000 CNY from the previous day, marking a 70.62% increase since the beginning of the year [1]. - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) and white tungsten concentrate (≥65%) prices both rose by 8,000 CNY per ton to 241,000 CNY and 240,000 CNY per ton, respectively, reflecting over a 68% increase year-to-date [1]. - The tungsten sector index hit a historical high of 1,904.20 points, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 80% [2]. Group 2: Company Performance - Xiamen Tungsten reported a revenue of 19.178 billion CNY for the first half of 2023, a year-on-year increase of 11.75%, while Xianglu Tungsten had the lowest revenue at 931 million CNY [3]. - Zhangyuan Tungsten emerged as a "dark horse" with a revenue growth of 32.27% to 2.399 billion CNY [3]. - Xiamen Tungsten's net profit increased by 7.53% to 923 million CNY, while Zhongtung High-tech saw a substantial profit increase of 310.54% to 484 million CNY [4]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Factors - Supply constraints are attributed to reduced mining quotas in China, environmental inspections leading to lower operational rates, and declining ore grades globally [4]. - Demand is driven by increased military orders, rising penetration of tungsten in photovoltaic applications, and new requirements from nuclear fusion devices [4]. - Speculative trading and stockpiling by traders have also contributed to the price surge, alongside geopolitical tensions enhancing the strategic resource premium [4]. Group 4: Profitability and Challenges - Not all tungsten companies are benefiting equally; companies with higher self-sufficiency in raw materials are likely to see greater profits [4]. - Zhangyuan Tungsten's net profit decreased by 4.36% to 107 million CNY, attributed to rising raw material costs and a lag in price transmission for their powder products [6]. - The company reported a gross margin of 14.14%, down 3.17 percentage points year-on-year, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability amid rising costs [6]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest monitoring domestic mining quotas, overseas new mine production schedules, and demand data from military and photovoltaic sectors for potential market shifts [7]. - The tungsten price is expected to remain high in the short term, with long-term projections indicating a potential upward trend due to resource depletion and expanding demand [6][7].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant increase in tungsten prices, with ammonium paratungstate (APT) reaching 350,000 yuan/ton, a rise of 10,000 yuan/ton from the previous day and a 65.9% increase since the beginning of the year [1] - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) is priced at 233,000 yuan/standard ton, and white tungsten concentrate (≥65%) at 232,000 yuan/standard ton, both showing a daily increase of 7,000 yuan/ton and over 60% rise year-to-date [1] - Despite the rising tungsten prices, related concept stocks experienced a collective decline, with the tungsten index dropping 3.7%, marking the largest decline in August [1] Group 2 - Leading companies in the industry have also raised their prices, with Xiamen Tungsten's APT long-term price reaching 279,500 yuan/ton in early August, an increase of 16,500 yuan/ton from late July [2] - The A-share tungsten sector has seen a general rise, with the Tonghuashun tungsten index increasing over 31% in August, and specific companies like Zhangyuan Tungsten and Xianglu Tungsten experiencing stock price increases of 45.56% and 34.48%, respectively [2] - The supply side is under pressure, with a reduction in tungsten ore mining quotas for 2025, decreasing by 4,000 tons or 6.45% compared to 2024, leading to tighter supply expectations [2] Group 3 - Export data shows that tungsten exports in July totaled 1,692.7 tons, a 34.1% increase from June and a 25.2% increase year-on-year, although the cumulative exports from January to July still reflect a 17.9% year-on-year decline [3] - Market analysts maintain an optimistic outlook, citing a significant supply shortage due to reduced mining quotas and delayed allocation of the second batch of quotas, which are expected to influence tungsten prices [3] - The demand side is also expected to grow steadily, driven by new applications in photovoltaic tungsten wire, nuclear shielding materials, and solid-state battery tungsten-based anode materials, maintaining a tight supply-demand balance [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive investment rating, suggesting subscription to the IPO based on the anticipated demand and market conditions [10]. Core Insights - Jaxin International (3858.HK) is a tungsten mining company focused on the Bakuta tungsten mine in Kazakhstan, which is one of the largest tungsten resources globally [1][3]. - The company plans to dual-list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the Astana International Exchange [1]. - The Bakuta project is expected to commence commercial production in April 2025, with a target mining and processing capacity of 3.3 million tons of tungsten ore in 2025, and an anticipated increase to 4.95 million tons per year by Q1 2027 [1]. Company Overview - Jaxin International is primarily engaged in the development of the Bakuta tungsten mine, which is noted for its significant tungsten oxide (WO3) resources [1]. - The company has established sales agreements for white tungsten concentrate with Jiangxi Copper and Jiangxi Tungsten for 2025 and 2026 [1]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to have no revenue before 2025, with an expected revenue of HKD 126 million by June 2025 [2]. - The net losses for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 are reported at HKD 93.661 million, HKD 78.92 million, and HKD 172.97 million respectively, with a reduced loss of HKD 5.996 million by June 2025 [2]. Industry Status and Outlook - China is the largest tungsten resource country, holding over 50% of global reserves, but its tungsten production has decreased from 69,000 tons in 2019 to 67,000 tons in 2024 [3]. - The demand for tungsten is increasing in various sectors, with consumption rising from 47,300 tons in 2019 to 55,300 tons in 2024, and projected to reach 65,500 tons by 2029 [3]. Advantages and Opportunities - The Bakuta tungsten mine is strategically located and benefits from the Belt and Road Initiative, enhancing its market potential [4]. - The company has a strong management team with valuable industry experience, which supports its growth and expansion [4]. Use of Proceeds - Approximately 55% of the net proceeds (HKD 598.3 million) will be allocated to the development of the Bakuta project, with 10% for ammonium paratungstate (APT) capacity development, and 25% for repaying bank loans [6]. IPO Details - The IPO is set to launch on August 28, 2025, with an issue price of HKD 10.92 and a total fundraising amount of HKD 1.199 billion [8]. - The post-IPO market capitalization is estimated at HKD 47.96 billion [8].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market for tungsten stocks is experiencing a strong performance, with significant price increases in tungsten products and notable stock price gains for companies in the sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry has reached a daily limit increase of 10%, while China Rare Earth and Xianglu Tungsten Industry have risen over 4%, and Xiamen Tungsten Industry has increased by over 2% [1] - The total market capitalization of Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry is 13.9 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 80.03% [2] - China Rare Earth has a market capitalization of 50.9 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 71.12% [2] - Xianglu Tungsten Industry has a market capitalization of 3.615 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 77.94% [2] - Xiamen Tungsten Industry has a market capitalization of 43.3 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 44.32% [2] Group 2: Price Adjustments - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry and Jiangxi Tungsten Industry have announced the guidance prices for tungsten products for the second half of August [1] - The guidance price for Jiangxi Tungsten Group's national standard first-class black tungsten concentrate is set at 213,000 yuan per standard ton, an increase of 19,000 yuan per standard ton, representing a rise of 9.79% [1] - The monthly increase in the price of black tungsten concentrate is 17.03% [1] Group 3: Price Trends - Recent industry data indicates that tungsten prices have surged by 5,000 to 10,000 yuan per ton [1] - The price of 65% black tungsten concentrate is 216,000 yuan per standard ton, up 51.1% since the beginning of the year [1] - The price of 65% white tungsten concentrate is 215,000 yuan per standard ton, reflecting a 51.4% increase since the beginning of the year [1] - The price of ammonium paratungstate (APT) is 320,000 yuan per ton, which is a 51.7% increase since the beginning of the year [1]

再度调涨！8月20日，章源钨业、江钨等企业发布8月下半月钨产品指导价。其中，江钨控股集团国标一级黑钨精矿8月下半月指导价21.3万元/标吨，较上半 月报价上调1.9万元/标吨，涨幅9.79%，月涨幅17.03%。 章源钨业55%黑钨精矿报价21.10万元/标吨，较上半月报价上调1.85万元/标吨；55%白钨精矿报价21.00万元/标吨，较上半月报价上调1.85万元/标吨；仲钨酸 铵（APT）报价31万元/吨，较上半月报价上调2.7万元/吨。前述产品半月涨幅均超过9%，月涨幅达17%。 行业数据显示，近日，钨价呈现日涨5000元/吨至10000元/吨的迅猛之势。截至发稿，65%黑钨精矿价格为21.6万元/标吨，较年初上涨51.1%；65%白钨精矿 价格为21.5万元/标吨，较年初上涨51.4%；仲钨酸铵（APT）价格为32万元/吨，较年初上涨51.7%。 市场人士表示，本轮钨价上涨主要源于供应收缩、需求增长、政策加持与市场情绪等多重因素共振。但目前市场投机情绪持续堆叠，各方需保持理性审慎， 避免盲目跟风。 （文章来源：上海证券报） ...

Group 1 - Recent price increases in various chemical and industrial products have raised market concerns about the drivers behind this surge, its sustainability, and the potential for performance recovery among upstream and downstream companies in the industry [1][3] - Tungsten prices have reached a milestone, with APT (Ammonium Paratungstate) quoted at 300,000 yuan/ton, and both black and white tungsten concentrates (≥65%) surpassing 200,000 yuan/ton, marking a 45% increase compared to the year's low and exceeding the peak levels of 2011 [1][3] - The price surge began in late April, with black tungsten concentrate prices breaking through 180,000 yuan/ton by mid-July, and leading companies like Zhangyuan Tungsten and Xiamen Tungsten seeing significant price increases in their long-term contracts [3][4] Group 2 - Upstream mining companies are the biggest winners from the price surge, with Zhangyuan Tungsten reporting a 32.65% year-on-year increase in revenue to 2.406 billion yuan and a 2.54% increase in net profit to 115 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [4] - Xiamen Tungsten's revenue for the same period reached 931 million yuan, a 3.24% increase, with a net profit of 18.38 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [4] - Downstream hard alloy companies are facing pressure from rising raw material costs, leading them to increase prices for their products in response to the cost pressures [4][6] Group 3 - Analysts predict that the tungsten market may face a supply-demand adjustment due to tightening supply and softening demand from downstream enterprises, which are exhibiting a cautious attitude towards high prices [6][7] - The market may enter a period of adjustment if demand continues to shrink, necessitating close monitoring of annual production indicators and the progress of new mining releases [7]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The lithium carbonate price increased by 0.91% to 72,000 CNY/ton as of August 8, 2025, indicating a supply-demand imbalance in the industry that may be difficult to resolve [6][42] - Nickel prices rose, with LME nickel closing at 212,232 USD/ton, up 1.51% from August 1, 2025, while domestic nickel prices also increased by 1.05% to 121,000 CNY/ton [21][24] - Cobalt prices showed mixed trends, with electrolytic cobalt down 1.48% to 266,000 CNY/ton, while cobalt oxide rose by 2.54% to 203.50 CNY/kg [25][30] - Antimony prices decreased, with antimony ingot averaging 185,000 CNY/ton, down 1.33% from July 31, 2025, amid tight supply conditions [31][35] - The nickel industry faces potential supply disruptions due to the suspension of production lines by Chinese mining giant Tsingshan in Indonesia, which may impact local nickel mining and support nickel prices [12][24] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Updates - Nickel prices increased, with LME nickel at 212,232 USD/ton and domestic nickel at 121,000 CNY/ton, while supply remains stable despite weather conditions [21][24] - Cobalt prices fluctuated, with electrolytic cobalt down and cobalt oxide up, influenced by raw material shortages from the Democratic Republic of Congo [25][30] Antimony Industry Update - Antimony prices fell, with domestic antimony ingot at 185,000 CNY/ton, as supply remains tight and production is limited due to many manufacturers being offline [31][35] Lithium Industry Update - Lithium carbonate prices rose to 72,000 CNY/ton, with high inventory levels and slow de-stocking, indicating ongoing supply challenges [6][42] Rare Earth Industry Update - The rare earth market remains stable, with domestic production indicators not showing significant growth, and the U.S. government is working to rebuild its rare earth supply chain [15][42] Tin Industry Update - Tin prices increased, with LME tin at 33,900 USD/ton, as supply from Myanmar remains constrained due to production issues [9][15] Tungsten Industry Update - Tungsten prices rose slightly, with white tungsten at 193,500 CNY/ton, as supply remains tight due to reduced mining quotas [10][11] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include Tianhua New Energy, Yahua Group, and Ganfeng Lithium, which are expected to benefit from the current market dynamics in lithium supply [42]

Group 1: Price Trends - Tungsten prices have been rising continuously this year, with black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) reaching 190,000 yuan/ton, up 32.9% since the beginning of the year [1] - White tungsten concentrate (≥65%) is priced at 189,000 yuan/ton, an increase of 33.1% year-to-date [1] - Ammonium paratungstate (APT) is at 280,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a 32.7% rise since the start of the year [1] Group 2: Market Performance - The A-share tungsten sector has seen a cumulative increase of over 60% as of July 25 this year [1] - Market funds are beginning to reassess investment opportunities in tungsten, which has been undervalued compared to other non-ferrous metals like copper and aluminum [1] Group 3: Supply Dynamics - The Ministry of Natural Resources has set a total tungsten mining quota of 58,000 tons for the first batch in 2025, a decrease of 4,000 tons or 6.45% from the previous year [1] - Major tungsten-producing provinces, Jiangxi and Yunnan, have reduced their mining volumes by 2,370 tons and 400 tons, respectively [1] - The natural decline in tungsten ore grades is providing strong support for tungsten prices [1] Group 4: Demand Drivers - The demand for tungsten products is increasing due to the accelerated transformation and upgrading of China's manufacturing sector, particularly in photovoltaic and hard alloy fields [2] - The market size for tungsten wire used in photovoltaic cutting is projected to grow from 719 million yuan in 2022 to 6.659 billion yuan by 2025 [2] - Companies like Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Industry Co., Ltd. are ramping up production capabilities, with plans for an annual output of 30 billion meters of ultra-fine tungsten wire [2] Group 5: Industry Responses - Companies are actively responding to the challenges and opportunities presented by rising tungsten prices, with upstream mining firms leveraging resource advantages and downstream firms optimizing product structures [2] - Changyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry Co., Ltd. is enhancing its resource base through the integration of mining rights and increased exploration efforts [2] - Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. aims to increase its tungsten resource assurance rate from 20% to 70% in the future [3] Group 6: Innovation and Cost Management - Companies are improving processes to manage cost pressures and enhance product value, such as Zhongtung High-tech Materials Co., Ltd. extending APT into micro-drill production for printed circuit boards [3] - The focus on high-value-added products is seen as a strategy to mitigate risks associated with raw material price fluctuations [3] - The impact of rising tungsten prices varies across the industry, with upstream companies benefiting from higher prices while downstream firms need to invest in product upgrades and innovation capabilities [3]