2 证券研究报告|公司深度研究报告 楚江新材：特种碳纤维预制体核心企业， 半导体、机器人多点开花 华西军工团队 2025年10月9日 首席分析师：陆洲 SAC NO：S1120520110001 邮箱：luzhou@hx168.com.cn 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 核心逻辑: 国内铜基材料龙头，加速高端化转型 公司产品包括精密铜带、铜导体材料、铜合金线材、精密特钢、碳纤维复合材料和高端热工装备六大产业。其中：精密铜带年产能超30万吨， 位居国内第一，向全球第一迈进；碳纤维预制件位居国内龙头地位；高端导体、合金线材、高端热工装备均位于国内行业头部位置。近年来， 公司通过多轮并购及资本运作，实现：1）铜基材料高端化升级；2）进军军工新材料。25H1实现营收288.03亿元，同比+16.05%；归母净 利2.51亿元，同比+48.83%。随着公司产品升级及技术改造项目的陆续投产并达产，公司产销规模、营业收入继续保持稳定增长。 天鸟高新（控股90%）为国内航空航天碳纤维预制体核心供应商，下游订单爆发在即 天鸟高新是国内飞机碳刹车预制体、特种纤维立体仿形预制体及碳纤维热场预制体的原创企业，产品应用于航空航 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chujiang New Materials has demonstrated significant growth and innovation in the copper-based materials industry, emphasizing long-term strategies and internal capabilities to adapt to market opportunities [2][5][8]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Chujiang New Materials achieved a revenue of 28.803 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.05% [8]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.51 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 48.83%, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 2.27 billion yuan, up 98.76% [8]. Company Background - Founded in 1986, Chujiang New Materials has evolved from a struggling copper plate factory to a leading player in the copper-based materials sector, with a focus on innovation and modernization [3][4]. - The company has developed a diversified product portfolio that includes precision copper strips, copper conductor materials, copper alloy wires, and carbon fiber composite materials, serving high-end manufacturing sectors such as 5G communications and aerospace [4][6]. Strategic Development - The company has adopted a dual approach of internal growth and external acquisitions to enhance its market position, viewing mergers and acquisitions as essential for strategic upgrades and industry expansion [6][7]. - Since 2015, Chujiang New Materials has successfully acquired several key enterprises in the high-end materials sector, which has accelerated its transformation and diversified its product offerings [6][7]. Management Philosophy - The management emphasizes the importance of internal capability building and strategic foresight, focusing on quality improvement and market readiness during challenging times [5][8]. - The company operates under a unique profit model that maintains a balance between production capacity, product positioning, and cash flow, ensuring a sustainable business cycle [8]. Future Outlook - Chujiang New Materials aims to continue its growth trajectory by exploring opportunities in new materials while maintaining its leadership in essential copper-based materials that support national strategic sectors [8]. - The company is committed to long-term thinking, aspiring not only to lead in China but also to excel in international markets through quality and brand differentiation [8].

Group 1: Financial Performance and Debt Management - The company reported a net profit of 250 million yuan in the first half of the year, with the basic materials segment contributing 180 million yuan and the new materials segment contributing 70 million yuan [4] - The company emphasizes debt management, ensuring short-term debt is manageable through stable sales returns and sufficient bank credit lines [2] - Current liabilities are covered by liquid assets, indicating a reasonable debt situation and controllable liquidity risks [2] Group 2: Strategic Planning and Market Position - The company is expanding its production capacity with projects like the annual production of 50,000 tons of high-precision copper alloy strips and 60,000 tons of high-precision copper alloy rolling strips, expected to be operational by the end of the year [8] - The company is actively involved in the AI and semiconductor sectors, with products applicable in data communication and server cooling materials [2] - The company is focusing on high-end product transformation, gradually phasing out low-margin products to enhance profitability [3] Group 3: Subsidiary Developments and Market Engagement - The subsidiary, Jiangsu Xinhai High导, is a key player in the copper-based materials market, supplying to major companies like Leoni and Fos Group [2] - The company is in the feedback stage for the IPO of its subsidiary, Top Technology, which is involved in critical materials for the semiconductor industry [3] - The company is exploring strategic partnerships to strengthen its market position and enhance its operational capabilities [3] Group 4: Market Challenges and Stock Performance - The company's stock performance has been under pressure, with concerns about potential shareholder sell-offs impacting market confidence [3] - The company is implementing measures such as share buybacks and dividends to stabilize its market value and boost investor confidence [3] - The company is monitoring copper price fluctuations closely, employing hedging strategies to mitigate risks associated with raw material price volatility [7]

Summary of Chujiang New Materials Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Chujiang New Materials - **Industry**: Copper-based materials and military titanium materials Key Points and Arguments 1. **Production Capacity and Growth**: - In 2024, the material business reached 850,000 tons, with a target of 900,000 to 950,000 tons in 2025, and over 1 million tons by 2026. The annual increase is expected to be around 100,000 tons, contributing approximately 100 million yuan in profit each year [2][5][3]. 2. **High-Value Projects**: - The company is investing in high-value projects such as 50,000 tons of high-end copper foil for server cooling and 60,000 tons of data transmission lines, with processing fees 2-3 times higher than traditional industries, achieving a net profit of over 1,000 yuan per ton [2][4]. 3. **Acquisitions in Military Sector**: - Through acquisitions of Dingli Technology and Jiangsu Yixing Tianniao High-tech, the company has entered the military titanium materials sector. Dingli Technology is expected to generate over 600 million yuan in revenue in 2024, with profits nearing 120 million yuan [2][4]. 4. **Revenue and Profit Growth**: - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 28.8 billion yuan, a 16% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 250 million yuan, up 49% [3]. 5. **Challenges in Revenue Recognition**: - Jiangsu Yixing Tianniao's revenue declined slightly due to long confirmation cycles for military orders, with expectations to complete a revenue target of 1.2 billion yuan for the year [3][6][7]. 6. **Profit Margin Expectations**: - The gross margin is projected to be around 43%-44% for the year, with a net margin of approximately 21%. Future margins are expected to remain stable and slightly improve due to capacity expansion in military products [8][9]. 7. **Impact of Copper Prices**: - Rising copper prices are beneficial for demand but increase raw material costs. The company can pass these costs onto downstream customers, maintaining profitability [14][26]. 8. **Inventory Management**: - The company reported a decrease in raw material inventory due to adjustments in production plans and market demand, optimizing inventory management [24][25]. 9. **Future Capacity Planning**: - The company plans to expand production capacity significantly, with new projects expected to come online in 2025, ensuring that production meets future demand [10][19]. 10. **Dingli Technology's Growth**: - Dingli Technology has seen consistent revenue growth, reaching over 600 million yuan in 2024, with a focus on carbon material equipment and 3D printing materials [18][22]. Other Important Insights - **Market Position**: Chujiang New Materials holds a leading position in copper strip production globally and is a strong player in the domestic market for copper alloy wire and conductor materials [2][3]. - **Strategic Focus**: The company is strategically focusing on high-margin sectors such as military applications and advanced materials, which are expected to drive future growth [2][4][10]. - **Cash Flow Management**: The company maintains a strong cash flow position, with a focus on ensuring 100% collection rates on receivables [23]. This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's growth trajectory, strategic initiatives, and market dynamics.

Core Viewpoint - Chuangjiang New Materials (002171) announced an investment of 300 million yuan in a new project for the industrialization of aerospace composite materials, expected to generate an annual output value of approximately 600 million yuan after completion [1][2]. Group 1: Project Details - The project will involve the installation of 90 specialized prefabrication equipment and the addition of three production lines for carbon brake prefabrication [1]. - The target products include high-performance fiber prefabrication such as carbon fiber and quartz fiber, aimed at supporting the new generation of aerospace equipment [1][2]. Group 2: Market Demand and Growth - The expansion of Jiangsu Tianniao is a response to increasing market demand, particularly for carbon brakes in domestic large aircraft and regional jets, as well as a surge in orders for carbon-ceramic brake pads in the new energy vehicle sector [2]. - The rapid development of commercial aerospace and low-altitude sectors is expected to bring new market growth [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Chuangjiang New Materials expects a net profit of 240 million to 290 million yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 42.35% to 72% [3]. - The growth is attributed to product upgrades, stable revenue growth, and improved internal management, enhancing market competitiveness [3]. Group 4: Subsidiary Developments - Jiangsu Tianniao has been a significant contributor to the company's business growth since its acquisition in December 2018, with dividends exceeding 230 million yuan expected from 2023 to 2025 [2]. - The subsidiary, Dingli Technology, is currently advancing its listing process on the Beijing Stock Exchange, which is anticipated to enhance the overall valuation and shareholder returns of Chuangjiang New Materials [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights that Chujiang New Materials (002171.SZ) is actively expanding its production capacity in response to recovering performance and market demand [2][3] - The company plans to invest 300 million yuan in a new project for high-performance fiber preforms at its subsidiary Jiangsu Tianniao, which is expected to generate an annual output value of approximately 600 million yuan upon completion [2] - The project will focus on producing carbon fiber and quartz fiber preforms to support the new generation of aerospace equipment and expand into emerging markets [2][3] Group 2 - Chujiang New Materials has diversified its business, covering advanced copper-based materials and military carbon materials, with a leading position in the domestic copper-based materials sector [3] - In 2024, the company achieved a production and sales volume of over 340,000 tons of high-precision copper alloy strips, maintaining its status as the top producer in China [3] - The company reported a revenue of 13.15 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 21.77%, with a net profit of 132 million yuan, up 28.45% [3][4] Group 3 - The significant growth in performance is attributed to two main factors: the ongoing production and commissioning of product upgrades and the continuous investment in product and technology enhancements [4] - The company's R&D expenses from 2021 to 2024 totaled 4.423 billion yuan, reflecting its commitment to improving product quality and value [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Chujiang New Materials is expanding its production capacity through its subsidiary Jiangsu Tianniao, investing 300 million yuan in a new project aimed at producing high-performance fiber preforms for aerospace applications, with an expected annual output value of approximately 600 million yuan after completion [1][2] - The project will include the installation of 90 specialized preform equipment and three new production lines for carbon brake preforms for aircraft, addressing the increasing market demand and current capacity pressures [1][2] - The expansion aligns with the growing orders for carbon brake preforms, particularly for domestic large aircraft and regional jets, as well as the rising demand from the new energy vehicle sector [2] Group 2 - Chujiang New Materials has seen significant financial growth, with a projected net profit of 240 million to 290 million yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.35% to 72% [3] - The increase in profits is attributed to product upgrades, stable growth in sales volume and revenue, and enhanced market competitiveness due to improved product quality and management [3] - The company is also pursuing a separate listing for its subsidiary, Dingli Technology, which is expected to unlock additional value and enhance the overall valuation and shareholder returns of the parent company [3]

Group 1: Copper Tariffs and Market Impact - The U.S. President Trump announced a 50% tariff on copper imports, significantly exceeding market expectations of around 25%, leading to a surge in U.S. copper futures prices [3][4] - Following the announcement, COMEX copper prices rose by 9.63% on July 8, 2023, before experiencing a 2.75% decline the next day, while LME copper futures fell by 1.94% [3] - Analysts suggest that the U.S. aims to increase domestic copper production through higher prices, but establishing a self-sufficient copper industry is challenging due to the slow nature of copper mining [3][4] Group 2: Future Copper Price Predictions - Goldman Sachs raised its LME copper price forecast for the second half of 2025 from $9,140 per ton to $9,890 per ton, predicting a peak of $10,050 per ton in August 2023 [5] - Analysts expect copper prices to experience a pattern of initial decline followed by recovery in the latter half of the year, although breaking previous highs may be difficult without additional stimulus [5] Group 3: Semiconductor Industry Risks - The global semiconductor industry faces a supply chain crisis related to copper, with a report predicting that climate change could disrupt copper supply, affecting 32% of global semiconductor capacity by 2035 [6][7] - Chile, the largest copper producer, is already dealing with water scarcity issues that impact production, and many countries supplying copper for the semiconductor industry will face similar risks [7] Group 4: Domestic Companies and Strategies - Companies like Chujiang New Materials are actively managing copper supply risks through hedging strategies, maintaining normal copper supply despite price fluctuations [7][8] - Domestic firms such as Kangqiang Electronics and Jiangfeng Electronics are involved in semiconductor packaging materials and advanced materials, respectively, with a focus on optimizing supply chains and mitigating raw material price volatility [8]

Core Viewpoint - Chujiang New Materials (002171) is focusing on the development and manufacturing of advanced materials, particularly in copper-based materials and military carbon materials, aiming to become a competitive platform in the industry [4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Chujiang New Materials specializes in the research and manufacturing of advanced materials, with a dual development strategy focusing on advanced copper-based materials and military carbon materials [4]. - The company's main products include precision copper strips, copper conductor materials, copper alloy wires, precision special steel, carbon fiber composite materials, and special thermal equipment [4]. Group 2: Product Applications - The copper-based materials are utilized in various sectors such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaic energy, power equipment, information technology, consumer electronics, advanced rail transportation, intelligent manufacturing, and national defense [2]. - Specific applications of precision copper strips include automotive connectors, photovoltaic components, LED brackets, cable packaging, and electronic connectors [2]. - High-end copper conductors are used in automotive wiring harnesses, charging station connection lines, robot wiring harnesses, rail transportation cables, and photovoltaic busbars [2]. - The company's products are also applied in the semiconductor integrated circuit manufacturing field, serving downstream electronic components and precision instruments [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a main revenue of 13.146 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.77%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 132 million yuan, up 28.45% year-on-year [5]. - The company's net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 128 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 73.13% [5]. - The debt ratio stands at 59.48%, with investment income reported at -18.48 million yuan and financial expenses at 55.26 million yuan, while the gross profit margin is 3.4% [5]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Over the past 90 days, four institutions have rated the stock, with three giving a buy rating and one an increase rating, and the average target price set at 13.29 yuan [6]. - Detailed profit forecasts indicate expected net profits of 712 million yuan for 2025, 921 million yuan for 2026, and 1.09 billion yuan for 2027 from various institutions [8].