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新晋诺得主警告:别做梦了,AI难有「经济奇点」
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-15 07:18
Group 1 - The 2024 Nobel Prize in Physics was awarded to Geoffrey Hinton, while the Chemistry Prize went to Demis Hassabis and John Jumper for their work on AlphaFold2, marking a significant year for AI in the Nobel context [1][2] - Michel Devoret received the Nobel Prize in Physics for his contributions to quantum hardware, which is less related to AI [3][2] - The 2023 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their insights on how innovation drives sustainable development [2][7] Group 2 - Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt's work on "creative destruction" highlights the dual nature of innovation, which can lead to both the creation of new products and the obsolescence of older ones [10][11] - Their research emphasizes the need to maintain the mechanisms of creative destruction to avoid economic stagnation [16][10] - The Nobel laureates' definitions of AI touch on its potential impact on economic growth and the challenges it poses to traditional labor roles [18][19] Group 3 - Aghion and Howitt argue that AI represents the latest form of automation, which has historically been a key driver of economic growth [20][22] - They discuss the "Baumol's cost disease," which suggests that productivity gains in certain sectors do not necessarily translate to overall economic growth due to rising costs in labor-intensive industries [23][26] - The potential for AI to enhance productivity is tempered by the limitations posed by sectors that are difficult to automate, which could hinder overall economic progress [27][29] Group 4 - The discussion on post-AGI economics suggests that even with advanced AI, economic growth may still be constrained by the slow progress in certain critical tasks [31][32] - Contrasting views suggest that AI-augmented R&D could significantly boost economic growth rates, potentially doubling them if AI technologies are widely adopted [33][34] - The notion that AI could permanently enhance productivity across various fields indicates a transformative potential for future economic growth [35]
谷歌连续收获诺贝尔奖!AI拿下去年化学奖,量子计算拿下今年物理学奖
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-10-08 11:58
Core Insights - Alphabet's scientists have won the Nobel Prize for two consecutive years, highlighting the company's strong capabilities in cutting-edge research areas like artificial intelligence and quantum computing, which are expected to disrupt future business and market landscapes [1][2] - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics was awarded to three physicists, including Google Quantum AI Lab's current hardware chief scientist Michel Devoret, recognizing their groundbreaking contributions to quantum mechanics [1][3] - Google CEO Sundar Pichai emphasized that the awardees' research lays the foundation for the company's latest breakthroughs in quantum computing, signaling that long-term investments in fundamental science are translating into core competitive advantages in key technology areas [1][5] Quantum Breakthrough Focus - The Nobel Prize in Physics was awarded to Michel Devoret, John Martinis, and John Clarke for their discoveries in macroscopic quantum tunneling and energy quantization in circuits, demonstrating the peculiar properties of the quantum world in tangible systems [3] - Devoret's role as hardware chief scientist at Google Quantum AI Lab is crucial in building scalable, fault-tolerant quantum computers, while Martinis previously led the team that achieved "quantum supremacy" in 2019 [3] AI Nobel Moment - The recent Physics award follows last year's Nobel Prize in Chemistry awarded to DeepMind's CEO Sir Demis Hassabis and senior research scientist John Jumper for their contributions to protein structure prediction through the AI model AlphaFold2, which has significant applications in pharmaceuticals and materials science [4] R&D Strength of Tech Giants - Winning Nobel Prizes in consecutive years illustrates Google's R&D prowess and its long-term commercial moat, with AI and quantum computing being critical variables in future market competition [5] - Sundar Pichai expressed pride in working at a company with five Nobel laureates, highlighting Google's culture of attracting and retaining top scientific talent, which is seen as a driver of continuous innovation [5] - For investors, these awards serve as important indicators of the company's innovative capacity and future potential, suggesting that Google's sustained investment in fundamental science is positioning it favorably for the next technological revolution [5]
“iFold”,苹果AI新成果
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-25 13:02
起猛了,苹果怎么搞起跨界AI模型了?? 发布了一个基于流匹配的蛋白质折叠模型SimpleFold,被网友戏称为"iFold"。 SimpleFold没有花里胡哨的专属模块设计,就靠通用的Transformer模块,搭配流匹配生成范式,3B参数版本追平了该领域顶流模型谷歌AlphaFold2的性 能。 苹果这波跨界看来玩的是化繁为简。 MacBook Pro跑起来不费力 首先来说说蛋白质折叠是怎么一回事。 核心是将"一串"氨基酸折成特定的3D形状,这样蛋白质才能发挥作用。 而蛋白质折叠模型就是从氨基酸的一级序列预测它的三维空间构象。 之前最厉害的模型,比如谷歌的AlphaFold2,虽然实现了突破,但用了很多复杂的专属设计。 比如要分析大量相似蛋白质的序列,依赖多序列对比(MSA)构建进化信息、靠三角注意力优化空间约束、推理时需调用超算级算力,普通实验室不太 能用得起。 但这款"iFold"用通用AI框架解决了这个问题。 不同于扩散模型的逐步去噪,流匹配通过学习从随机噪声分布到蛋白质构象分布的光滑映射,实现一步式生成原子坐标。 在训练阶段,团队构建了包含900万条数据的混合数据集,训练出了100M到3B参数的多 ...
“iFold”,苹果AI新成果
量子位· 2025-09-25 11:42
Core Viewpoint - Apple has launched a cross-domain AI model named SimpleFold for protein folding prediction, which has been informally referred to as "iFold" by users [1]. Group 1: Model Overview - SimpleFold utilizes a straightforward design based on general Transformer modules, achieving performance comparable to Google's AlphaFold2 with a 3 billion parameter version [2][8]. - The model simplifies the complex processes involved in protein folding prediction, making it more accessible for ordinary laboratories [3][7]. Group 2: Technical Details - The core of protein folding involves predicting the three-dimensional structure of a protein from its amino acid sequence [5][6]. - SimpleFold employs a multi-layer Transformer encoder as its backbone, adapting protein sequence features through adaptive layer normalization [10]. - The key innovation lies in the introduction of flow matching generation technology, which allows for smooth mapping from random noise distribution to protein conformation distribution, enabling one-step generation of atomic coordinates [11][12]. Group 3: Performance Metrics - The training dataset for SimpleFold consisted of 9 million entries, resulting in multi-scale models ranging from 100 million to 3 billion parameters. The 3 billion parameter model achieved 95% of AlphaFold2's performance on the CAMEO22 benchmark [14]. - In the CASP14 high-difficulty test set, SimpleFold outperformed similar flow matching models like ESMFold [15]. Group 4: Efficiency - On a MacBook Pro equipped with the M2 Max chip, SimpleFold can process a sequence of 512 residues in just two to three minutes, significantly faster than traditional models that require hours [18]. Group 5: Research Team - The lead author of the research, Yuyang Wang, has a strong academic background with degrees from Tongji University and Carnegie Mellon University, focusing on mechanical engineering and machine learning [18]. - The corresponding author, Jiarui Lu, also has a solid educational foundation from Tsinghua University and Carnegie Mellon University, and has contributed to Apple's open-source project ToolSandbox [21][22].
苹果发布轻量AI模型SimpleFold,大幅降低蛋白质预测计算成本
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2025-09-25 02:49
Core Viewpoint - Apple has released a lightweight protein folding prediction AI model called SimpleFold, which utilizes flow matching methods to reduce computational costs while maintaining predictive performance, potentially advancing drug development and new material exploration [1][4]. Group 1: Technology and Innovation - SimpleFold replaces traditional complex modules like multiple sequence alignment with flow matching methods, significantly lowering computational costs and making protein-related research more accessible to various research teams [1][4]. - The flow matching technique, derived from diffusion models, allows for direct generation of protein structures from random noise, bypassing multiple denoising steps, thus enhancing generation speed and reducing computational load [4]. Group 2: Performance Evaluation - Multiple model versions of SimpleFold, ranging from 100 million to 3 billion parameters, were evaluated against the CAMEO22 and CASP14 benchmarks, focusing on generalization, robustness, and atomic-level accuracy [4]. - SimpleFold outperformed similar flow matching models like ESMFold and demonstrated performance comparable to leading protein folding prediction models [4][5]. Group 3: Comparative Performance Metrics - In the CAMEO22 test, SimpleFold achieved approximately 95% of the performance of AlphaFold2 and RoseTTAFold2, while the smaller SimpleFold-100M version exceeded 90% of ESMFold's performance, validating its competitive edge in the protein prediction field [5].
Nature:蛋白质设计新革命!AI一次性设计出高效结合蛋白,免费开源、人人可用
生物世界· 2025-08-29 04:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the breakthrough technology BindCraft, which allows for the one-shot design of functional protein binders with a success rate of 10%-100%, significantly improving the efficiency of protein design compared to traditional methods [2][3][5]. Summary by Sections BindCraft Technology - BindCraft is an open-source, automated platform for de novo design of protein binders, achieving high-affinity binders without the need for high-throughput screening or experimental optimization [3][5]. - The technology leverages AlphaFold2's weights to generate protein binders with nanomolar affinity, even in the absence of known binding sites [3][5]. Applications and Results - The research team successfully designed binders targeting challenging targets such as cell surface receptors, common allergens, de novo proteins, and multi-domain nucleases like CRISPR-Cas9 [3][7]. - Specific applications include: 1. Designing antibody drugs targeting therapeutic cell surface receptors like PD-1 and PD-L1, achieving nanomolar affinity without extensive design and screening [7]. 2. Blocking allergens, with a designed binder for birch pollen allergen Bet v1 showing a 50% reduction in IgE binding in patient serum tests [7][8]. 3. Regulating CRISPR gene editing by designing a new inhibitory protein that significantly reduces Cas9's gene editing activity in HEK293 cells [8]. 4. Neutralizing deadly bacterial toxins, with a designed protein completely eliminating cell death caused by the toxin from Clostridium perfringens [8]. 5. Modifying AAV for targeted gene delivery by integrating mini-binders that specifically target HER2 and PD-L1 expressing cancer cells [8]. Impact and Future Potential - BindCraft addresses long-standing success rate bottlenecks in protein design and offers direct solutions for allergy treatment, gene editing safety, toxin neutralization, and targeted gene therapy [9]. - The open-source nature of the technology allows ordinary laboratories to design custom proteins, potentially reshaping drug development, disease diagnosis, and biotechnology [9].
让人人都能从头设计蛋白!AlphaFold2幕后功臣创业,推出AI新模型,无需代码,一键快速设计蛋白
生物世界· 2025-07-29 10:15
Core Viewpoint - Latent Labs has developed a groundbreaking generative AI model, Latent-X, which enables the design of functional protein binders with atomic-level precision, significantly improving the drug discovery process [6][7][26]. Group 1: Company Background - Simon Kohl, a former researcher at DeepMind, founded Latent Labs after leaving the company in late 2022, focusing on advanced protein design models to aid biopharmaceutical companies [2]. - Latent Labs secured $50 million in funding in February 2025 to further its mission in drug development [2]. Group 2: Technology and Innovation - Latent-X can design functional protein binders, including macrocyclic peptides and small protein binders, with unprecedented efficiency and accuracy [6][7]. - The model generates reliable protein binders by solving geometric challenges at the atomic level, producing high-affinity and specificity binders [7][20]. - Latent-X demonstrated a significant improvement in efficiency, requiring only 30-100 candidates per target to achieve results that typically need millions of candidates [7][18]. Group 3: Performance Validation - The research team tested Latent-X on seven benchmark target proteins related to viral infections, tumor regulation, and neurodegeneration [11][12]. - Latent-X achieved a hit rate of 91%-100% for macrocyclic peptides and 10%-64% for small protein binders across the target proteins [18]. - The best-designed macrocyclic peptides reached micromolar affinity, while small protein binders achieved picomolar affinity, surpassing other design models [19]. Group 4: Features and Usability - Latent-X allows users to generate both protein sequences and structures simultaneously, outperforming previous methods that generated them sequentially [23]. - The platform is user-friendly, requiring no coding skills, and provides a complete workflow for laboratory validation [21][29]. - Latent-X is scalable and has successfully generated various therapeutic binders, with plans for further expansion [22]. Group 5: Competitive Advantage - Latent-X excels in generating binders for previously unseen targets, achieving higher simulation hit rates with fewer samples compared to other models [24][28]. - The model adheres to atomic-level biochemical rules, creating structures that are chemically viable and suitable for drug development [28].
论道AI:从AGI破界到机器人新纪元丨《两说》
第一财经· 2025-07-03 03:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the imminent transformation brought by artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics, emphasizing that 8 billion people are already involved in this change, with predictions that robots will outnumber humans in the next decade [1][10]. Group 1: AGI Development - Predictions suggest that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) could be achieved within five years, requiring the integration of three intelligence waves: generative AI, robotics, and AI for Science [5]. - Current focus remains on information intelligence, with advancements in generative AI like ChatGPT demonstrating conversational capabilities, while natural image and video generation still require 4-5 years of development [5]. Group 2: Challenges in AGI - AGI development faces challenges such as "boundary cognition loss" in large language models, leading to the generation of "hallucinations" or fabricated information [6]. - While the hallucination rate has decreased, new model issues have emerged, necessitating context-specific responses in applications like art creation and information retrieval [6]. Group 3: AI for Science - AI for Science is viewed as a transformative force in research, with initiatives like the Tsinghua University Intelligent Industry Research Institute focusing on creating cross-disciplinary foundational models to enhance drug discovery and molecular screening [8]. - AI can significantly narrow down drug candidate searches from billions to millions, improving efficiency in addressing the over 90% of diseases lacking effective treatments [8]. Group 4: Robotics and Future Predictions - Human-like robots are identified as a breakthrough in AI physical intelligence, with predictions that their numbers will surpass humans in ten years [10]. - China is expected to lead the global humanoid robot industry, leveraging its complete supply chain, a young engineering talent pool, and a large unified market to replicate the success of the mobile internet era [10].
获得诺奖后,DeepMind推出DNA模型——AlphaGenome,全面理解人类基因组,尤其是非编码基因
生物世界· 2025-06-26 08:06
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the introduction of AlphaGenome, a new AI tool by DeepMind that predicts the effects of single nucleotide mutations in human DNA sequences, enhancing the understanding of gene regulation and disease biology [2][3]. Group 1: AlphaGenome Overview - AlphaGenome is a DNA sequence model that can process up to 1 million base pairs and predict various molecular characteristics related to gene regulation [2][9]. - The model builds on previous DeepMind models like Enformer and complements AlphaMissense, focusing on the 98% of the genome that is non-coding and crucial for gene regulation [10][12]. Group 2: Unique Features of AlphaGenome - AlphaGenome offers high-resolution predictions in the context of long DNA sequences, allowing for detailed biological insights without compromising on sequence length or resolution [12]. - It provides comprehensive multi-modal predictions, enabling scientists to gain a deeper understanding of complex gene regulation processes [13]. - The model can efficiently score mutations, assessing their impact on various molecular characteristics in just one second [14]. - AlphaGenome can directly model splicing sites, which is significant for understanding rare genetic diseases [15]. - It achieves state-of-the-art performance across various genomic prediction benchmarks, outperforming or matching existing models in multiple evaluations [16][18]. Group 3: Applications and Research Directions - AlphaGenome can aid in disease understanding by accurately predicting the effects of gene disruptions, potentially identifying new therapeutic targets [23]. - Its predictions can guide the design of synthetic DNA with specific regulatory functions [24]. - The model accelerates basic research by helping to map key functional elements of the genome [25]. - DeepMind researchers have utilized AlphaGenome to explore mechanisms related to cancer mutations, demonstrating its capability to link non-coding mutations to disease genes [26][27]. Group 4: Limitations and Future Directions - Despite its advancements, AlphaGenome faces challenges in capturing the effects of regulatory elements that are far apart in the genome [32]. - The model has not been specifically designed or validated for individual genome predictions, limiting its application in complex traits or diseases influenced by broader biological processes [32]. - DeepMind is continuously improving the model and collecting feedback to address these limitations [32]. - Currently, the API is open for non-commercial use, focusing on scientific research rather than direct clinical applications [32].
南开大学郑伟等开发蛋白结构预测新模型:AI+物理模拟,超越AlphaFold2/3
生物世界· 2025-05-26 08:38
Core Viewpoint - The emergence of D-I-TASSER, a new protein structure prediction tool, demonstrates significant advancements in protein folding prediction, outperforming existing models like AlphaFold2 and AlphaFold3 in accuracy and coverage [3][8]. Group 1: D-I-TASSER Development and Performance - D-I-TASSER was developed by a collaborative research team and has shown superior performance in the CASP15 competition, excelling in both single-domain and multi-domain protein structure predictions [3][8]. - The tool successfully predicted structures for 19,512 proteins from the human proteome, achieving 81% domain coverage and 73% full-length sequence coverage, which is a notable improvement over AlphaFold2 [3][12][14]. - D-I-TASSER integrates deep learning with physical simulations, utilizing multiple sources of information to enhance prediction accuracy [8][14]. Group 2: Technical Innovations - The core innovation of D-I-TASSER lies in its hybrid approach, combining deep learning with physical modeling to refine protein structure predictions [8][17]. - The tool employs an upgraded DeepMSA2 for multi-sequence alignment, increasing information retrieval from metagenomic databases by 6.75 times [11]. - D-I-TASSER's modeling process includes a unique workflow of automatic domain cutting, independent prediction, and dynamic assembly, resulting in improved accuracy and reduced orientation errors [8][11]. Group 3: Challenges and Future Directions - Despite its impressive performance, D-I-TASSER faces challenges such as reduced prediction accuracy for orphan proteins and higher computational time compared to pure deep learning models [20]. - The research indicates that the ultimate solution to protein folding may lie in the deep synergy between data-driven methods and physical simulations [17][20]. - The D-I-TASSER model and its human protein structure prediction database have been made open-source, promoting further research and collaboration in the field [17].