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地平线之下:车企智驾的“灵魂”与“备胎”纠结
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-23 11:54
Core Viewpoint - Horizon has achieved significant revenue growth and market performance, but faces increasing operational and net losses, raising questions about its valuation and sustainability in the competitive autonomous driving market [1][2][9]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Horizon's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 1.567 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 67.6%, while operational losses and net losses expanded to 1.592 billion RMB and 1.333 billion RMB, respectively [1][4]. - The company's automotive products and solutions revenue surged from 220 million RMB in the same period last year to 778 million RMB, marking a growth of over 250% [1]. Group 2: Market Position and Competition - The autonomous driving market is becoming increasingly competitive, with companies like NIO, Geely, and XPeng developing their own chips, which may threaten Horizon's position as a supplier [6][9]. - Horizon's reliance on major clients is growing, with the top five clients contributing 71.8% of its revenue in 2024, raising concerns about customer concentration risk [4]. Group 3: Strategic Partnerships - Horizon has formed strategic partnerships with several automakers, including GAC Capital, Chery, Great Wall, BYD, and FAW Group, to alleviate concerns about losing control over the "soul" of the vehicles [2][4]. - The establishment of joint ventures with companies like Volkswagen and Changan has allowed Horizon to integrate into the supply chains of these automakers [2]. Group 4: Product Strategy and Pricing - The shift towards lower-tier autonomous driving solutions has led to a decrease in average selling prices, impacting profit margins; for instance, the average price of the Horizon Mono solution dropped from 185 RMB in 2021 to 142 RMB in 2024 [12][15]. - The company's gross margin has declined from 80.5% in 2024 to 67.1% in the first half of 2025, primarily due to the lower margins associated with product solutions compared to its software business [14]. Group 5: R&D Investment and Future Outlook - Horizon's R&D expenses reached 2.3 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a 62% increase year-on-year, as the company invests heavily to maintain its competitive edge in high-tier autonomous driving technology [17][22]. - The company is also exploring new markets, such as Robotaxi and robotics, but these ventures require substantial ongoing investment and carry significant uncertainty [22][23].
2025凤凰之星最佳IPO公司:地平线
Core Viewpoint - The "2025 Phoenix Star Listed Company Awards" ceremony highlighted the performance of companies in various key areas, with Horizon Robotics winning the "Best IPO Company" award for its significant market achievements and innovations in the intelligent driving sector [1][2]. Group 1: Award Overview - The awards, supported by the China Listed Companies Association, included nine categories focusing on innovation, returns, responsibility, growth, brand influence, and globalization [1]. - The "Best IPO Company" award evaluated companies based on their performance before and after IPO, market value management, and compliance during the listing process [2]. Group 2: Horizon Robotics Achievements - Horizon Robotics successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in October 2024, with its market value increasing by over 200% within a year [4]. - The company has achieved significant breakthroughs in both hardware and software, with over 10 million units of its computing solutions shipped and the mass production of its urban auxiliary driving system [4]. - Horizon Robotics holds over 40% market share in China's OEM advanced auxiliary driving market and ranks second among independent high-level autonomous driving solution providers [6]. Group 3: Industry Impact - The successful IPO of Horizon Robotics has reignited market confidence in the technology innovation sector, positioning the company as a leader in the domestic intelligent driving chip industry [4]. - The company aims to expand its market presence and technological value over the next three to five years, focusing on the deployment of millions of units and the development of Robotaxi services [4][6]. - Horizon Robotics is recognized as a key player in reshaping the global competitive landscape of the intelligent driving industry, promoting a diversified and balanced market environment [6].
深度*公司*地平线机器人-W(09660.HK):高阶智驾HSD量产在即 海外拓展初见成效
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-18 07:37
Core Viewpoint - Horizon Robotics is experiencing rapid revenue growth in H1 2025, with a revenue of 1.567 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 68%, despite a strategic loss of 5.233 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profitability - H1 2025 revenue reached 1.567 billion yuan, up 68% YoY, with gross profit at 1.024 billion yuan, a 39% increase YoY, while net loss expanded to 5.233 billion yuan [1] - R&D expenditure for H1 2025 was 2.3 billion yuan, reflecting a 62% increase YoY, indicating a strategic focus on enhancing cloud services [1] Group 2: Automotive Product Solutions - Revenue from automotive product solutions surged to 778 million yuan, a 250% YoY increase, with a gross margin of 45.6%, up 3.9 percentage points [2] - The shipment of vehicle-grade processing hardware reached 1.98 million units, doubling YoY, with 980,000 units supporting highway-assisted driving, marking a sixfold increase from the previous year [2] - The company holds the top market share in basic and overall assisted driving solutions in China, at 45.8% and 32.4% respectively, with over 400 new model designations [2] Group 3: International Expansion - The company has established partnerships with global players, leading to the development of the Horizon Mono solution, with expected shipments exceeding 7.5 million units [3] - Nine joint venture automakers in China have designated 30 models for the company's solutions, with some set to begin production by the end of 2025 [3] Group 4: Licensing and Service Business - Revenue from automotive licensing and service business was 738 million yuan, a 7% YoY increase, with a gross margin of 89.7%, down 3.3 percentage points [3] - The company is providing algorithms and software to over 30 automotive manufacturers, helping to reduce product development cycles and costs [3] Group 5: Valuation and Future Projections - The company anticipates an increase in average selling price (ASP) for automotive product solutions in H2 2025, driven by the upcoming mass production of high-level driving solutions [3] - Revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 3.697 billion yuan and 5.771 billion yuan respectively, with a projected revenue of 8.115 billion yuan for 2027 [3] - As of September 15, 2025, the company's market capitalization was approximately 141.2 billion HKD, translating to price-to-sales ratios of 34.9, 22.3, and 15.9 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]
中银国际:维持地平线机器人-W(09660)“买入”评级 海外拓展客户初见成效
智通财经网· 2025-09-17 06:38
报告指,公司和全球合作伙伴紧密合作,依托基于征程6B处理器硬件打造新一代基础辅助驾驶解决方 案Horizon Mono,并已获得两家日本车企在中国以外市场的车型定点。公司预计该合作将带来全生命周 期超过750万套的出货量。此外,海外汽车商于中国的合资车企正在升级其现有车型的辅助驾驶功能。 包括大众汽车、日本最大的汽车集团在内,国内共有9家合资车企的30款车型定点了公司的解决方案, 其中部分车型将从2025年底开始量产。这表明继与大众集团的合作之后,公司进一步成功拓展了产品的 国际化布局,并提升了全球品牌影响力。 该行表示,2025H1地平线机器人汽车产品解决方案业务营收7.78亿元,YoY+250%;毛利率45.6%, YoY+3.9pcts。2025H1公司车载级征程系列处理硬件出货量达198万套,同比实现翻倍增长;其中支持高 速公路辅助驾驶功能的处理硬件出货量达98万套,占总出货量49.5%,是去年同期的六倍。新一代征程 6系列产品出货量的增长也带动平均售价上升。根据地平线机器人2025年中期业绩公告数据,公司在中 国基础辅助驾驶和整体辅助驾驶解决方案的市场份额均位列第一,分别达到45.8%和32.4%。 ...
地平线机器人-W(9660.HK):客户持续扩展 产品量价齐升
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-13 07:34
Core Viewpoints - The company achieved a sales revenue of 1.567 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 67.06%, while the net profit was -5.233 billion yuan, compared to -5.089 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] - The market share for basic and overall assisted driving solutions among Chinese car manufacturers reached 45.8% and 32.4% respectively, maintaining the leading position [1] - The company’s processor shipments doubled to 1.98 million units, with hardware supporting highway assisted driving reaching 980,000 units, a sixfold increase from the previous year [1] Financial Performance - The sales gross margin and net margin for the first half of 2025 were 65.36% and -334.00% respectively, down from 79.04% and -543.59% in the same period last year [1] - Research and development expenses increased by 62% year-on-year, primarily due to rising cloud service costs and increased salaries for R&D personnel [1] Market Expansion - As of June 2025, the company has secured nearly 400 new model designations, with over 100 models featuring highway assisted driving capabilities [2] - The company is actively developing the HSD solution to address more complex driving scenarios, which has already received designations from multiple vehicle manufacturers [2] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 3.524 billion yuan, 5.254 billion yuan, and 7.898 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to be -1.836 billion yuan, -1.019 billion yuan, and 0.211 billion yuan [3] - The company is viewed positively as a key supplier of domestic intelligent driving chips and algorithms, benefiting from the trend of automotive intelligence [3]
地平线机器人-W(09660):2025年中报点评:客户持续扩展,产品量价齐升
Yong Xing Zheng Quan· 2025-09-11 11:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its position as a key supplier in the domestic smart driving chip and algorithm market, benefiting from the trend of automotive intelligence [4]. Core Insights - The company achieved a sales revenue of 1.567 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 67.06%, while the net profit was -5.233 billion yuan, slightly worse than the previous year's -5.089 billion yuan [1]. - The market share for basic and overall assisted driving solutions among Chinese automakers reached 45.8% and 32.4%, respectively, maintaining the leading position [1]. - The shipment of the company's Journey series processors doubled to 1.98 million units, with hardware supporting highway assisted driving reaching 980,000 units, a sixfold increase compared to the same period last year [1]. - The sales gross margin decreased to 65.36% from 79.04% year-on-year, primarily due to changes in revenue composition, with a significant increase in automotive product solutions [2]. - The company has secured nearly 400 new model designations, with over 100 models featuring highway assisted driving capabilities, and is actively expanding its overseas customer base [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.524 billion yuan, 5.254 billion yuan, and 7.898 billion yuan, respectively, with expected net profits of -1.836 billion yuan, -1.019 billion yuan, and 211 million yuan [4][6]. - The company is expected to benefit from the automotive intelligence trend, with a projected annual revenue growth rate of 48% in 2026 and 49% in 2027 [6][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to improve from -0.13 yuan in 2026 to 0.02 yuan in 2027 [6].
地平线机器人_ 智驾和端侧AI渗透率快速提升的主要受益者,首次覆盖并给与“买入”
2025-08-31 16:21
Summary of Horizon Robotics Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Horizon Robotics - **Industry**: Automotive and AI Semiconductor Solutions - **Market Position**: Leading provider of intelligent driving SoC and solutions in China [doc id='13'][doc id='11'] Key Points and Arguments Revenue Growth Projections - **Revenue Growth Rate**: Expected to maintain approximately 50% revenue growth over the next five years [doc id='2'][doc id='28'] - **Driving Factors**: 1. Rapid increase in L2+/L3 autonomous driving penetration, expanding market reach within China [doc id='11'] 2. Accelerated domestic semiconductor replacement in the automotive and AI sectors [doc id='11'] 3. Growing demand for edge AI, contributing to AIoT and robotics SoC business growth [doc id='11'] Financial Performance Expectations - **EBIT Margin**: Anticipated to turn positive by 2027 and reach over 20% by 2029, aligning with industry peers [doc id='4'][doc id='60'] - **2024 Financials**: Projected EBIT loss of 2.36 billion RMB due to high R&D expenses (31.6 billion RMB, 132% of revenue) [doc id='4'][doc id='62'] - **Revenue Forecast**: Expected to reach 20.77 billion RMB by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 65% from 2024 to 2027 [doc id='6'][doc id='3'] Market Valuation - **Target Price**: Set at HK$10.50, based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation with a WACC of 9.5% [doc id='5'] - **Current Valuation**: The stock is currently trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 16 times for 2026, slightly above competitors, but with a significantly higher revenue growth forecast [doc id='88'][doc id='95] Market Dynamics - **Automotive Market Size**: The ADAS/AD SoC market for major Chinese OEMs is projected to grow from US$783 million in 2024 to US$7.34 billion by 2029 [doc id='17'] - **Domestic Semiconductor Market**: Domestic suppliers are expected to capture a larger share of the automotive SoC market, with significant growth anticipated from 2025 onwards [doc id='17'] Non-Automotive Business Growth - **Non-Automotive Revenue**: Expected to grow at a CAGR of 125% from 2024 to 2028, reaching 1.5 billion RMB by 2028 [doc id='32'][doc id='33'] - **Key Drivers**: Increased demand for consumer AIoT products, drones, and humanoid robots [doc id='32'] R&D and Cost Structure - **R&D Investment**: High R&D costs are a significant factor in current losses, but expected to normalize as revenue scales [doc id='76'] - **Cost Efficiency**: Anticipated reduction in R&D expense ratio from 132% in 2024 to 29% by 2029, aligning with industry averages [doc id='76'] Competitive Advantages - **Technological Edge**: Horizon Robotics holds a competitive advantage in integrated hardware and software capabilities, positioning it favorably against domestic peers [doc id='21'] - **Client Base**: The company has established partnerships with major domestic and multinational automotive manufacturers [doc id='22'] Additional Important Insights - **Market Sentiment**: The stock has seen a 7% decline since February 2023, attributed to market concerns over the short-term trends in autonomous driving technology and regulatory challenges [doc id='87] - **Long-term Outlook**: Despite current challenges, the long-term outlook remains positive due to structural growth factors in the automotive and AI sectors [doc id='11'] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's growth potential, financial expectations, and market dynamics within the automotive and AI semiconductor industry.
地平线机器人 | 2025H1:营收超预期 产品解决方案量价双升【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-29 15:39
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant revenue growth in H1 2025, driven by the rapid increase in hardware shipments and the automotive product solutions business, despite a negative net profit [2][3]. Revenue Growth - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.567 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 67.64%, primarily due to the rapid growth in shipments of the Zhengcheng 6 processing hardware, which drove a 250% increase in automotive product solutions revenue [3]. - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 65.36%, a decrease of 13.68 percentage points year-on-year, with the automotive product solutions business gross margin at 45.6%, an increase of 3.9 percentage points [3]. Profitability - The net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 was -5.233 billion RMB, a decline of 1.35 billion RMB year-on-year, while the Non-GAAP net profit was -1.333 billion RMB, a decrease of 5.29 billion RMB year-on-year [3]. - The company experienced a decrease in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios, while the financial expense ratio increased due to reduced interest income from bank deposits [3]. Product Solutions and Market Position - The company’s high-speed NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) has become a core growth driver, with the shipment of onboard processors reaching 1.98 million units in H1 2025, doubling year-on-year [4]. - The company has secured nearly 400 new model designations, with over 100 models featuring highway-assisted driving capabilities [4]. International Expansion - The company has made initial progress in overseas expansion, securing model designations from two Japanese automakers for markets outside China, expected to yield over 7.5 million units in lifetime shipments [5]. - The company is collaborating with nine joint venture automakers in China, with 30 models adopting its solutions, some of which are set to begin mass production by the end of this year [5]. Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in domestic intelligent driving solutions, with a comprehensive technology stack covering L2 to L4 level intelligent driving chip solutions [6]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3.89 billion, 5.87 billion, and 8.35 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding price-to-sales ratios of 30, 20, and 14 times [6].
地平线机器人-W(09660):地平线机器人(9660)系列点评一:2025H1营收超预期,产品解决方案量价双升
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-29 07:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.567 billion RMB for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 67.64%, primarily driven by a 250% increase in automotive product solution revenue due to rapid growth in the shipment of the Chengcheng 6 processing hardware [2][3]. - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 65.36%, a decrease of 13.68 percentage points year-on-year, with the automotive product solution business gross margin at 45.6%, an increase of 3.9 percentage points [2]. - The company has achieved significant growth in its high-speed NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) solutions, with a record number of model designations, and has shipped 1.98 million sets of processing hardware, doubling year-on-year [3][4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to generate revenues of 3.891 billion RMB in 2025, 5.865 billion RMB in 2026, and 8.352 billion RMB in 2027, with growth rates of 63.2%, 50.7%, and 42.4% respectively [6]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is -1.9 billion RMB, improving to -940 million RMB in 2026, and turning positive at 70 million RMB in 2027 [6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leader in domestic intelligent driving solutions, with a comprehensive stack technology capability covering L2 to L4 level intelligent driving chip solutions [5]. - The company has made significant strides in international expansion, securing model designations with two Japanese automakers for markets outside China, which is expected to yield over 7.5 million units in lifetime shipments [4].
地平线机器人:上半年收入同比大增 67.6%,成为国内首家达成千万级出货量的智驾公司
Core Insights - Horizon Robotics (09660.HK) reported a revenue of 1.567 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 67.6% [1] - The company's gross profit reached 1.024 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 65.4%, reflecting a 38.6% increase year-on-year [1] - Cash reserves are robust, amounting to 16.1 billion RMB, providing a solid financial foundation for future growth [1] Business Performance - Revenue from automotive products and solutions surged to 778 million RMB, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 250.0%, with a shipment volume of 1.98 million units, doubling from the previous year [1][2] - The shipment of hardware supporting highway-assisted driving reached 980,000 units, a sixfold increase compared to the same period last year, contributing 80% of the revenue from products and solutions [1] Software and Services - Horizon Robotics generated 739 million RMB from software and service business, a 6.9% increase year-on-year, supported by the significant rise in product and solution revenue [2] - The dual-core business model of products and solutions alongside software and services is expected to sustain the company's growth momentum [2] Market Position and Partnerships - As of August 2025, the cumulative shipment of the Journey series processing hardware surpassed 10 million units, making Horizon the first smart driving technology company in China to achieve this milestone [2] - The company secured nearly 400 new model designations, with over 100 models featuring highway-assisted driving capabilities [2][3] International Expansion - Horizon is actively expanding its international presence, collaborating with major global automotive brands, including Volkswagen and Japan's largest automotive group [3] - The new generation basic assisted driving solution, Horizon Mono, is expected to deliver 7.5 million units over its lifecycle, enhancing the company's sales potential [3] Research and Development - R&D expenditure reached 2.3 billion RMB, a 62% increase year-on-year, primarily focused on urban driving system solutions [4] - The Horizon Super Drive (HSD) system has undergone significant iterations, offering advanced capabilities for complex urban driving tasks [4] - HSD has already secured multiple model designations, with the first model, the Xingtu E05, set to enter mass production soon [4]