上 市 公 司 基础化工 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 06 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 11.78 | | 资产负债率% | 14.34 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 610/610 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 10-14 11-14 12-14 01-14 02-14 03-14 04-14 05-14 06-14 07-14 08-14 09-14 -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 三美股份 沪深300指数 (收益率) 相关研究 证券分析师 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 2025 年 10 月 14 日 三美股份 (603379) ——25Q3 业绩符合预期，制冷剂四季度景气继续向上 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 增持（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 10 月 13 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 60.38 | ...

Group 1: Company Overview - The company held its 2025 semi-annual performance briefing on September 19, 2025, via an online interactive format [2] - Key executives including the Chairman, General Manager, and Financial Director participated in the briefing to address investor inquiries [2] Group 2: Product Development and Market Position - The company focuses on the research and market expansion of electronic specialty gases, leveraging over 50 years of technological accumulation [3] - The company has a total production capacity of specialty gases in the tens of thousands of tons, with some products holding a domestic market share of up to 60% [3] - The company has developed and commercialized eight types of products, including electronic-grade hexafluorobutylene and bromine, achieving significant technological advancements [4] Group 3: Production Capacity and Future Plans - The company has a production capacity of 1,200 tons/year for hexafluorobutylene, 5,000 tons/year for trifluorine, and 1,500 tons/year for hexafluorine, with plans to expand hexafluorine capacity to 6,000 tons/year [4] - A new 6,000 tons/year trifluorine facility is under construction, with the first phase of 3,000 tons expected to be operational within the year [4] Group 4: Market Trends and Regulatory Environment - The company anticipates a sustained demand for refrigerants due to strong growth in downstream sectors like automotive and air conditioning, despite high prices for fluorocarbon chemicals [7] - The company has developed over 40 ODS alternatives and holds a leading position in HFC production quotas, with several products ranking among the top globally [7] Group 5: Research and Development - The company is actively pursuing the development of fourth-generation refrigerants and has established collaborative relationships with refrigerant users for system development [8] - The company is also focusing on the production of environmentally friendly insulating gases, such as perfluoroisobutylene, which is seen as a promising alternative to hexafluorine [9] Group 6: Financial Performance and Challenges - The company's subsidiary, Shuguang Institute, has reported losses due to increased costs and ongoing trials for its aviation tire products, which are still in the validation phase [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by rising prices of refrigerants and improved industry dynamics [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved total revenue of 2.828 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.58% - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 999.5 million yuan, up 159.22% - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 986 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 163.61% - In 2Q25, total revenue was 1.616 billion yuan, a 49.36% increase year-on-year - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2Q25 was 594 million yuan, up 158.98% - The net profit excluding non-recurring items for 2Q25 was 590 million yuan, a rise of 168.64% [1]. Product Pricing and Market Dynamics - The average selling price of refrigerants in 1H25 was 39,000 yuan/ton, a 56.5% increase year-on-year, while external sales volume was 62,000 tons, down 6.3% - In 2Q25, the average selling price was 40,300 yuan/ton, a 55.1% increase year-on-year, with external sales volume at 34,900 tons, up 3.1% [1]. - The refrigerant market is experiencing upward price trends due to supply constraints from production quotas and increased domestic and international demand driven by policies and urbanization [2]. Industry Outlook - The refrigerant industry is expected to continue its upward trend in pricing through 2025, supported by improved supply-demand dynamics and industry competition [2]. - The company is actively enhancing its integrated supply chain, with ongoing projects in lithium hexafluorophosphate and various fluorinated compounds [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading player in the refrigerant market, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 of 2.147 billion, 2.655 billion, and 3.185 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 175.83%, 23.65%, and 19.93% respectively [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong performance relative to the market [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in its 2025 half-year results, with revenue of 7.12 billion yuan (up 18% year-on-year) and a net profit of 613 million yuan (up 171% year-on-year) [7]. - The profitability of refrigerants continues to improve, supported by a global franchise model, with significant price increases observed in Q3 [7]. - The company is advancing its integrated liquid cooling solutions and has launched its first humanoid robot, indicating diversification into new technology sectors [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 12.199 billion yuan - 2025E: 13.854 billion yuan - 2026E: 15.405 billion yuan - 2027E: 16.965 billion yuan - Net profit forecasts are: - 2025E: 1.415 billion yuan - 2026E: 1.782 billion yuan - 2027E: 2.137 billion yuan - The company’s EPS is projected to grow from 0.47 yuan in 2025 to 0.71 yuan in 2027 [3][9]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 21.1% in 2025 to 23.6% in 2027, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency [3]. Market Data - As of August 15, 2025, the company's closing price was 17.03 yuan, with a market capitalization of 51.117 billion yuan [4]. - The company has a price-to-earnings ratio projected to decrease from 36 in 2025 to 24 in 2027, indicating potential for value appreciation [3][4]. Company Developments - The company has established a joint venture with Zhongji Xuchuang to develop integrated liquid cooling solutions, enhancing its market position in this growing sector [7]. - The humanoid robot "Photon" was launched, with initial orders already secured, marking the company's entry into the robotics market [7]. - The company is expanding its production capabilities in laminated foil and capacitor sectors, which are expected to benefit from the growing demand in data centers and energy storage industries [7].