【中信电子】2026年1月存储行业简报——主流、利基存储涨幅全面超预期 1月价格回顾（Bloomberg，CFM闪存市场，TrendForce） 1）DRAM：1月主流颗粒现货价环比涨幅16%~33%；合约价进入26年加速追赶，1月DDR5-8Gb/DDR4-8Gb合约价 环比涨幅达119%/63%。 2）NANDFlash：1月主流颗粒现货价环比涨幅24%~34%，合约价环比涨幅37%~6 【中信电子】2026年1月存储行业简报——主流、利基存储涨幅全面超预期 1月价格回顾（Bloomberg，CFM闪存市场，TrendForce） 1）DRAM：1月主流颗粒现货价环比涨幅16%~33%；合约价进入26年加速追赶，1月DDR5-8Gb/DDR4-8Gb合约价 环比涨幅达119%/63%。 2）NANDFlash：1月主流颗粒现货价环比涨幅24%~34%，合约价环比涨幅37%~67%。 –SK海力士：公司预计2026年DRAM需求位元量同比增速20%以上，NAND需求位元量同比增速15%~20%，核心受 AI 服务器、数据中心需求驱动； –三星电子：AI服务器需求保持强劲，手机和PC出货受存储供给和价格影响走 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation (力积电), reported its Q4 financial results and discussed the sale of its Cuozhuo plant to Micron, citing heavy depreciation burdens as the reason for the sale. This transaction is expected to improve gross margins and establish a partnership with Micron for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) production. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q4, the company's revenue reached NT$12.5 billion, benefiting from an increase in average selling prices of DRAM and the appreciation of the US dollar, with a gross margin turning positive at 6%. Excluding the Cuozhuo plant, the gross margin would have been 17%, indicating that low capacity utilization and depreciation costs from the Cuozhuo plant were significant operational burdens [1]. - The company reported a net loss of NT$650 million for the quarter, a significant improvement from a loss of NT$2.73 billion in Q3 of the previous year [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The memory market is experiencing structural supply-demand imbalances, with expectations that supply shortages will persist until the second half of 2026. This has led to rising wafer foundry prices [1]. - High-end AI servers are occupying the production capacity of major memory manufacturers for high-end DRAM, which is pushing up market prices for niche DRAM products, including DDR3 and DDR4 [1]. - The contract and spot prices for SLC NAND have also seen significant increases due to reduced supply from major Korean manufacturers [1]. Group 3: Strategic Moves - Following the sale of the Cuozhuo plant to Micron, the company plans to raise 12-inch foundry prices starting in January and will also increase 8-inch wafer foundry prices from March due to strong demand from AI servers and edge computing [2]. - The company aims to maintain its workforce and operational continuity while transitioning back to its Hsinchu facility. Micron has pre-paid for HBM backend wafer manufacturing capacity, integrating the company into its advanced packaging supply chain [2]. - The company has accumulated US$143 million in technical service fees without any delays and is progressing well in its collaboration with Tata Electronics for overseas factory projects, which will not be affected by the Cuozhuo plant sale [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that niche storage, particularly in the context of AI demand, is expected to open up new growth opportunities beyond the existing market, with price adjustments for products like MCU and NOR Flash ranging from 15% to 50% [1] - AI demand is anticipated to drive incremental growth in niche storage, with increasing requirements for NOR Flash capacity due to the growth of AI terminal BIOS programs and code volume [1] - The supply of niche storage products is being significantly reduced as major international suppliers focus on mainstream storage products, leading to a tightening market for products like MLC NAND Flash, which is projected to see a 41.7% reduction in global capacity by 2026 [2] Group 2 - Domestic manufacturers are positioned strongly in the niche storage market, with companies like Zhaoyi Innovation and Puran achieving significant market shares in NOR Flash and SLC NAND, indicating a competitive advantage as global suppliers exit the niche storage sector [3] - The market share of domestic firms in niche storage is expected to benefit from the ongoing supply constraints caused by the withdrawal of overseas manufacturers, enhancing their competitive position [3] - Investment opportunities are identified in various domestic storage chip design firms and semiconductor equipment companies, highlighting a broad range of potential beneficiaries from the niche storage market dynamics [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electronic industry [5] Core Insights - The ongoing shortage of niche storage is expected to continue, with AI demand opening up incremental growth opportunities [2][8] - AI demand is anticipated to drive the need for niche storage, particularly in applications such as automotive, industrial, and security [7] - Domestic manufacturers are positioned competitively in the niche storage market and are likely to benefit from the supply constraints caused by international suppliers exiting this segment [7] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Key investment targets include domestic storage chip design companies such as Zhaoyi Innovation, Puran, Jucheng, Dongxin, Beijing Junzheng, and Hengshuo [3][8] - Other relevant companies include domestic storage module manufacturers like Jiangbolong, Demingli, and Baiwei Storage, as well as semiconductor equipment firms such as Zhongwei, Jingzhida, and Beifang Huachuang [3][8] - Companies benefiting from storage technology iterations include Lanke Technology, Lianyun Technology, and Aojie Technology [3][8] Market Dynamics - The supply of niche storage products is being significantly reduced as major international suppliers focus on mainstream storage products, leading to a substantial contraction in supply [7] - For instance, the global MLC NAND Flash capacity is projected to decrease by 41.7% in 2026 due to supply shrinkage, which is expected to drive prices significantly higher [7] - Domestic firms are gaining market share in niche storage, with Zhaoyi Innovation holding approximately 18.5% of the NOR Flash market in 2024, ranking second globally [7]

Summary of GigaDevice Semiconductor Beijing Inc Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: GigaDevice Semiconductor Beijing Inc - **Industry**: Technology Semiconductors - **Market Cap**: Rmb201,221 million - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Price Target**: Rmb288.00 - **Current Price**: Rmb301.47 (as of January 22, 2026) - **52-Week Range**: Rmb314.80 - 98.87 Key Financial Metrics - **4Q25 Revenue**: Rmb2.4 billion, down 12% Q/Q, up 39% Y/Y, 30% below estimate, and 12% below consensus [6] - **4Q25 Net Profit**: Rmb527 million, up 4% Q/Q, up 95% Y/Y, 29% below estimate, and 1% above consensus [6] - **2025 Actual Expenses**: Rmb1,182 million, in line with budget of Rmb1,161 million [6] - **1H26 Budget**: Rmb1,547 million, 31% higher than full-year 2025 budget due to higher DRAM wafer costs [6] - **EPS Forecast**: - 2025: Rmb2.65 - 2026: Rmb6.69 - 2027: Rmb8.69 [4] Margin Expansion - **1H26 Margin Outlook**: Expected to improve due to lower cost hikes compared to DDR4 pricing increases (50% to 100%) [6] - **Key Drivers**: Continued price hikes in DDR4/3, NOR Flash, and SLC NAND, along with a strong MCU business aiming to gain market share in China [6] Valuation and Risks - **Valuation Methodology**: Price target derived from a residual income model with key assumptions including a cost of equity of 8.9% and a medium-term growth rate of 18.5% [7] - **Risks to Upside**: - NOR up-cycle driven by stronger demand - Superior chip design leading to increased exposure to low-density NOR - Faster-than-expected DRAM development [9] - **Risks to Downside**: - NOR down-cycle driven by weaker demand - Inferior chip design leading to increased exposure to mid/high-density NOR - Slower-than-expected DRAM development [9] Analyst Sentiment - **Overall Sentiment**: Analysts remain optimistic about GigaDevice's potential to benefit from industry trends and its strong market position [2] - **Industry View**: Attractive, indicating positive expectations for the semiconductor sector in Greater China [4] Additional Insights - **Related Party Transactions**: Mentioned in the context of earnings miss, indicating potential complexities in financial reporting [1] - **Long-term Potential**: Emphasis on customized DRAM as a growth area, suggesting strategic focus on innovation and market needs [6] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting GigaDevice's financial performance, market outlook, and strategic positioning within the semiconductor industry.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 9.203 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 25%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.61 billion yuan, a 46% increase year-on-year [1][3]. - The growth in performance is primarily driven by the accelerated demand for AI computing power, benefiting the company’s products in PC, server, and automotive electronics sectors. The storage industry cycle is steadily improving, leading to a rise in both price and volume of products [1][3]. - The company has a significant advantage in the customized storage sector, with ongoing projects expected to yield results starting in 2026 [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.203 billion yuan in 2025, 12.424 billion yuan in 2026, and 15.530 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.1%, 35%, and 25% respectively [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.611 billion yuan in 2025, 3.145 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.914 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 46.1%, 95.2%, and 24.4% respectively [3]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 130 for 2025, 67 for 2026, and 54 for 2027 [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit significantly from price increases across its three major product lines, leading to a projected revenue of 9.203 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25% [1][3] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by accelerated demand from AI computing infrastructure, with the company seeing deep benefits in sectors such as PC, servers, and automotive electronics [1][3] - The company has a strong position in the customized storage solutions market, particularly for inference applications, with expected project advancements starting in 2026 [3] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.203 billion yuan, 12.424 billion yuan, and 15.530 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.1%, 35%, and 25% [3] - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.611 billion yuan, 3.145 billion yuan, and 3.914 billion yuan for the same years, reflecting growth rates of 46.1%, 95.2%, and 24.4% [3] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 2.31 yuan, 4.51 yuan, and 5.62 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]

Company and Industry Summary Company: Zhaoyi Innovation (兆易创新) Key Financial Performance - In 2025, the company achieved revenue of 9.203 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.11% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.61 billion yuan, up 46.03% year-on-year [1] - For Q4 2025, the company expects to realize revenue of 2.371 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 38.97% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.56%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 527 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 94.79% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.75%. The net profit margin is expected to be 22.2%, up 3.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The company anticipates a significant increase in DRAM revenue in 2026, with expected related transactions with Changxin Technology amounting to 1.547 billion yuan in the first half of 2026, surpassing the total related transaction amount of 1.182 billion yuan for the entire year of 2025 [1] Industry: DRAM and Storage Solutions Price Trends and Market Position - The niche DRAM market is benefiting from the exit of major manufacturers, leading to a sustained upward price trend. The company's DRAM product line is expected to see both volume and price increases in 2026, resulting in further revenue explosions [2] - The company anticipates that the prices of NOR Flash and SLC NAND will continue to rise, contributing to a comprehensive performance explosion in 2026 [2] Custom Storage Solutions - The company is progressing well with its customized storage projects for cloud and edge applications, which are expected to begin generating initial revenue in 2026, with significant revenue realization anticipated in 2027 [2]

January 15, 2026 10:30 PM GMT Greater China Semiconductors | Asia Pacific Old Memory: No Reason to Turn Negative Even tighter into 2026: We believe the old memory supercycle from 2Q25 (report in June) will continue to surprise to the upside into 2026 (report in December). Although old memory stocks have shown strong YTD performance in Jan 2026 (Winbond/Nanya/Macronix/PSMC/Gigadevice +26%/+28%/+54%/+28%/+18% vs. TAIEX/SHCOMP +6.5%/+4.5%), we see no reason to turn negative. We are expecting ROE expansion to l ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that Winbond Electronics has shown a positive trend in its financial performance, with significant revenue growth in December 2025 compared to previous months and the same period last year [1][3] - The consolidated revenue for December 2025 reached NT$26.32 billion, marking a 7.7% increase from NT$24.44 billion in November and a substantial 44.9% increase year-over-year [1] - The total consolidated revenue for the fourth quarter was NT$77.33 billion, reflecting a decline of over 5% from the third quarter and a slight decrease compared to the same period in 2024 [1] Group 2 - For the full year of 2025, the consolidated revenue amounted to NT$288.8 billion, representing an 11.6% year-on-year growth [1] - Inventory levels decreased to approximately NT$101 billion in the third quarter, down from NT$121 billion in the second quarter, indicating ongoing inventory reduction which may support future gross margin recovery [1] - The operational outlook for Winbond is optimistic due to the exit of major international competitors from the market and a rebound in demand from the automotive and industrial control sectors [3] Group 3 - NOR Flash prices are expected to continue rising in the first half of the year, providing Winbond with an opportunity to achieve profitability [3] - The transition of SLC NAND production from 36nm to 19nm is anticipated to lower unit costs [3] - The exit of international manufacturers from the MLC NAND market is expected to enhance Winbond's shipping opportunities in eMMC and related applications [3]