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兆易创新:存储周期更趋乐观 利基型DRAM市场将持续供不应求
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-24 09:44
受益于旺季备货需求与存储周期进一步改善,A股Nor Flash存储龙头兆易创新(603986)今年第三季度盈 利同比增长约六成。 11月24日,公司高管在第三季度业绩说明会上表示,利基型DRAM市场呈现明显的供不应求现象,初步 预计涨价趋势在未来的两个季度有望得以延续,并在明年后续几个季度维持相对较高的价格水平。另 外,公司将结合实际经营需求与DRAM核心供应商积极协商,争取得到产能支持。 今年第三季度,兆易创新营业收入同比增长31.4%至26.8亿元,归母净利润同比增长61.1%至5.08亿元, 环比增长49%。得益于存储产品涨价的拉动,第三季度单季毛利率环比提升3.7个百分点至40.72%。 据介绍,在主要产品线方面,公司利基型DRAM产品今年一季度末价格回暖,下半年利基型DRAM收入 有明显增长,有望超越MCU业务成为公司第二大产品线;Flash同样受益于存储周期的改善,NOR Flash 处于温和涨价周期中,SLC NAND产品开始涨价;MCU收入环比持平略增,依然保持了较好的水平; 模拟、传感业务等方面,公司与赛芯的整合顺利推进;定制化存储解决方案进展顺利,进入年末,陆续 有部分项目进入客户送样、小 ...
兆易创新:目前并无3D NAND产品规划
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 08:49
11月24日,兆易创新高管在2025年第三季度业绩说明会上表示,公司NAND Flash产品属于SLC NAND,在消费电子、工业、汽车电子、通讯等领域已经实现了全品类的产品覆盖。目前部分海外大厂 正在将经营重心转向3D NAND、淡出2D NAND,相应造成了2D NAND供给短缺的局面,未来公司将 在2D NAND领域研发更高存储密度的产品,但公司并无3D NAND的产品规划。另外,利基型DRAM市 场呈现明显的供不应求现象,初步预计涨价趋势在未来的两个季度有望得以延续,并在明年后续几个季 度维持相对较高的价格水平。 ...
兆易创新(603986):周期上行存储产品量价齐升,多元布局打开增量空间
Caixin Securities· 2025-11-19 03:03
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% compared to the CSI 300 index [12]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth, with a 20.92% year-over-year increase in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 6.832 billion yuan. The third quarter alone saw a 31.4% year-over-year growth, marking a record high for quarterly revenue [7][9]. - The company's profitability has also improved, with a net profit of 1.083 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 30.18% year-over-year increase. The gross margin for the third quarter rose to 40.72%, a 3.7 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [7][9]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on customized storage solutions and MCU (Microcontroller Unit) products, which are expected to drive future growth in sectors such as AI, automotive electronics, and industrial applications [9][8]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 5,760.82 million yuan - 2024: 7,355.98 million yuan - 2025: 9,378.87 million yuan - 2026: 11,464.73 million yuan - 2027: 13,824.17 million yuan [2]. - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 161.14 million yuan - 2024: 1,102.54 million yuan - 2025: 1,541.28 million yuan - 2026: 2,009.27 million yuan - 2027: 2,504.44 million yuan [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2023: 0.24 yuan - 2024: 1.65 yuan - 2025: 2.31 yuan - 2026: 3.01 yuan - 2027: 3.75 yuan [2]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is positioned as a leading player in the niche storage market, benefiting from the exit of major overseas competitors and the rising demand driven by AI applications [9][8]. - The report emphasizes the company's ongoing development of customized storage solutions, which are expected to meet the growing needs of edge AI applications, enhancing its competitive edge in the semiconductor industry [9][8].
涨破10万元/吨,002759,透露产业大消息
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-11-02 01:10
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant interest from institutional investors in various stocks, particularly focusing on兆易创新, which has seen substantial growth in revenue and profit due to rising storage product prices [1][2]. Company Performance - 兆易创新 had 276 institutional research engagements, including 50 fund companies and 51 securities firms [1]. - The company's Q3 revenue increased by 31.4% year-on-year to 2.68 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 19.6% [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 61.1% year-on-year to 508 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 49% [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 improved by 3.7 percentage points to 40.72% [1]. Industry Trends - The company aims to maintain a market share-focused strategy and capitalize on the upward cycle of the storage industry, while also embracing AI for customized storage solutions [1]. - There is a supply shortage of niche DRAM, primarily driven by high demand from mainstream applications like data centers and AI, leading to production cuts by major manufacturers [1]. - Price increases for niche DRAM are expected to continue into Q4 of this year and remain relatively high throughout next year [1]. Market Sentiment - The average stock price of companies under institutional research rose by 1.6% in the past week, with some stocks like 瑞尔特 and 天际股份 seeing gains of over 20% [5]. - 天际股份 reported that the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has reached 110,000 yuan per ton, with expectations of continued price increases into the end of the year [5].
事关存储、电力设备、机器人......这些公司被机构“踏破门槛”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-01 06:33
Group 1 - In the third quarter earnings season, nearly 448 A-share companies were investigated by institutions, with notable attention on their Q3 performance and future business outlooks [1] - Zhaoyi Innovation, a leading storage chip company, expects its niche DRAM business revenue to exceed the initial target of a 50% year-on-year growth by 2025, with significant growth in the second half of this year [1] - Zhaoyi Innovation's new DDR4 8Gb product has quickly gained market share, and the company plans to mass-produce its self-developed LPDDR4 series next year [1] Group 2 - Jinpan Technology has successfully developed a prototype of a solid-state transformer suitable for HVDC 800V power supply architecture, with plans for testing and certification [2] - The company reported a significant increase in sales revenue in the AIDC and IDC sectors, achieving 974 million yuan in the first nine months of 2025, a year-on-year growth of 337.47% [2] - Lansi Technology has successfully entered the North American and domestic top robot supply chains, with expected humanoid robot shipments in the thousands and quadruped robot shipments in the tens of thousands this year [2] Group 3 - Lansi Technology has completed the development of its foldable phone project and is set to supply key components for a major client's new foldable model next year [3] - The company anticipates strong demand for its products following the successful launch of a new model by a major client, leading to an optimistic outlook for Q4 performance [3]
兆易创新:公司预期未来2年左右利基型DRAM市场供应相对紧张 今年第四季度价格有望进一步上行
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 04:01
Core Viewpoint - The company is optimistic about the storage cycle, expecting a relatively tight supply in the niche DRAM market over the next two years, with prices likely to rise further in Q4 of this year and maintain a good level next year [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The company has a more positive outlook on the storage cycle compared to the first half of this year, driven by positive changes in demand [1] - The growth in computing power driven by overseas tech giants is significantly increasing the demand for storage [1] - The announced capacity needs from tech giants exceed the actual planned increases from major storage manufacturers [1] Group 2: Price Expectations - The company anticipates that the niche DRAM market will remain in a relatively tight supply environment for about two years [1] - Prices are expected to rise further in Q4 of this year [1] - A relatively good price level is expected to be maintained next year [1]
兆易创新:预期利基型DRAM市场价格有望进一步上行
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-10-31 03:17
Core Viewpoint - The company is optimistic about the storage cycle compared to the first half of the year, driven by positive changes in demand, particularly from overseas tech giants pushing AI infrastructure, which significantly increases the demand for storage [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The company anticipates that the niche DRAM market will remain in a relatively tight supply environment for the next two years [1] - Prices are expected to rise further in the fourth quarter of this year and maintain a relatively good level in the following year [1] Group 2: Demand Drivers - The growth in computing power driven by major tech companies is a key factor contributing to the increased demand for storage [1] - The announced capacity requirements from tech giants exceed the actual planned increases from major storage manufacturers [1]
兆易创新(603986):三季度业绩亮眼,存储龙头乘风AI新周期
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-10-30 12:34
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved impressive performance in the third quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching 6.832 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.92%, and a net profit of 1.083 billion yuan, up 30.18% year-on-year [7] - The strong performance is attributed to price increases in storage products, driven by tight supply in the DRAM sector and rising AI demand, leading to a favorable "price and volume increase" situation [7] - The company is focusing on expanding its core business and accelerating its layout in emerging markets, particularly in automotive and AI server power supply sectors [7] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 9.322 billion yuan, 11.463 billion yuan, and 13.457 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 1.495 billion yuan, 2.092 billion yuan, and 2.700 billion yuan [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts indicate a recovery trajectory, with revenue growth rates projected at 27.7% for 2024 and 26.7% for 2025, following a decline of 29.1% in 2023 [6] - The company's gross margin improved significantly to 40.72% in Q3 2025, reflecting strong demand and pricing power in its product lines [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.24 yuan in 2023 to 2.24 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio projected to decrease from 385.0 in 2023 to 107.6 in 2025 [6][8] Market Position and Strategy - The company is strategically positioned to benefit from the AI-driven demand for storage solutions, with its DRAM and Flash products experiencing price increases due to supply constraints and heightened market demand [7] - The company is also advancing its 3D DRAM projects, with some products entering small-scale trial production, indicating a strong pipeline for future growth [7] - The establishment of a dedicated automotive division aims to capture growth in the automotive sector, with new product developments expected to launch in the coming years [7]
兆易创新2025前三季盈利10.83亿 存储芯片涨价潮持续业绩增长提速
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-10-30 00:04
Core Viewpoint - The company, Gigadevice Semiconductor, reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, driven by improvements in the DRAM industry and increased demand across various sectors [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Gigadevice achieved revenue of 6.832 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.92%, and a net profit of 1.083 billion yuan, up 30.18% [1][2]. - In Q3 2025 alone, the company recorded revenue of 2.681 billion yuan, representing a 31.4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 508 million yuan, which is a 61.13% increase [1][2]. Market Position and Product Development - Gigadevice focuses on storage chip R&D, holding leading global market shares in NOR Flash, SLC NAND Flash, and niche DRAM [1][4]. - The company is the only integrated circuit design firm globally ranked in the top ten for NOR Flash, SLC NAND Flash, niche DRAM, and MCU based on 2024 sales [4][5]. - In 2024, Gigadevice's product shipment reached a record high of 4.362 billion units, a 39.72% increase year-on-year [4]. Industry Trends - The DRAM industry is experiencing a favorable supply-demand balance, leading to price and volume increases, with demand growth in consumer, industrial, and automotive sectors [1][2]. - The company anticipates continued demand growth in 2025, particularly in niche DRAM, which is expected to remain in short supply until the end of the year [1][5]. Shareholder Activity - Notably, major shareholder Ge Weidong has been increasing his stake in Gigadevice since 2018, although he recently reduced his holdings after the stock price reached new highs [3].
兆易创新(603986)2025年三季报点评:存储价格持续改善 定制化存储先发优势显著
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 12:32
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth in Q3 2025, driven by increased demand and improved supply conditions in the DRAM market [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.681 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 31.40% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 19.64% [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 508 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 61.13% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 48.97% [1][2]. - The non-GAAP net profit was 498 million yuan, with a year-over-year increase of 63.71% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 55.25% [1][2]. Market Dynamics - The demand growth, coupled with an improving supply landscape in the DRAM industry, has led to a favorable "price and volume increase" scenario [2]. - The company is diversifying its product offerings, with growth in consumer, industrial, and automotive sectors contributing to revenue growth [2]. DRAM Market Position - The exit of major overseas manufacturers from the niche DRAM market has created opportunities for the company, leading to increased market share and improved margins [3]. - The company is advancing its next-generation process technology, which is expected to enhance production capacity and market share in the niche DRAM segment [3]. NOR Flash Segment - The demand for NOR Flash is steadily increasing, with supply constraints persisting, leading to a moderate price increase [4]. - The company is ramping up production of its 45nm NOR Flash products, which are expected to achieve mass production by 2026, enhancing competitiveness through reduced chip area and improved quality [4]. Investment Outlook - The exit of major players from the niche DRAM market and the expected growth in NOR Flash prices and production are anticipated to drive stable earnings growth for the company [5]. - The company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upward to 1.701 billion, 2.322 billion, and 3.029 billion yuan, respectively [5]. - A target price of 278.36 yuan has been set, based on a 80x PE ratio for 2026, maintaining a "strong buy" rating [5].