2025年的7月11日，成都在进行系统性的梳理与高度浓缩后，提出了一个新的城市文旅消费品牌——"公 园城市·幸福成都"。 当天，《中共成都市委关于推进文商旅体深度融合发展、加快建设世界文化旅游名城和国际消费中心城 市的决定》（以下简称《决定》）也获审议通过，这无疑向外界释放了一个明确的信号：成都要在文商 旅体的融合发展方面"大展宏图"。 塑造"公园城市·幸福成都"品牌 有分析指出，在这一《决定》发布的背后，成都对其城市竞争力有过精密的计算。 在文化端，成都不仅有"江山之雄、文物之盛"的美誉，且文创产业发展迅速，《哪吒》系列电影更成为 成都文化代表；商业端，成都是国内七座万亿消费城市之一，首店引进数量持续排名中西部榜首，据21 世纪经济研究院的统计表明，成都的黑珍珠餐厅数量列全国第三，米其林餐厅数量列全国第五位，且两 项数据均列中西部首位；旅游端，今年上半年，成都市接待游客已超1.6亿人次，还举办各类营业性演 出1.4万余场，带动"演艺票根"综合消费31.5亿元；体育端，即将举办的世界运动会将成为世界大学生运 动后，成都举办的另一项国际性的综合运动会，今年上半年的体育消费总规模就达410亿元，体育产业 总规模达 ...

Trump's copper tariffs will make it harder for him to achieve his goal of restoring America's manufacturing economy, says @mattyglesias (via @opinion) https://t.co/RXpJuiRhMR ...

医药生物 证券分析师 张静含 A0230522080004 zhangjh@swsresearch.com 李敏杰 A0230523070006 limj2@swsresearch.com 联系人 2025 年 07 月 13 日 本周医药上涨 1.8%，中方限制采 购欧盟医疗器械，默沙东百亿美元 获取 COPD 新药 看好 ——医药行业周报（2025/7/7-2025/7/11） 本期投资提示： 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 《本周医药上涨 3.6%，创新药及高端器械 再迎支持政策，医保目录谈判正式启动， AZ/Summit 或达成超 150 亿美元交易 — —医药行业周报（2025/6/30- 2025/7/4）》 2025/07/06 《本周医药上涨 1.6%，医保目录调整将首 度纳入商保创新药目录，荣昌泰它西普完 成超 40 亿美元授权——医药行业周报 （2025/6/23-2025/6/27）》 2025/06/29 李敏杰 (8621)23297818× limj2@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 ...

随着全球数字化进程的不断加速，数字货币的应用逐渐成为国际支付和跨境贸易结算中的一项重要趋 势。作为中国央行推出的数字货币，数字人民币（e-CNY）不仅仅是人民币的数字化形式，更代表了中 国在全球经济体系中深化改革、提升竞争力的一项战略举措。通过智能合约技术，数字人民币有望在跨 境贸易结算中发挥重要作用。 我们需要了解智能合约的基本概念。智能合约是一种基于区块链技术的自动化执行协议，能够根据预设 的规则自动执行合约条款。在跨境贸易结算中，数字人民币的智能合约能够在不依赖第三方中介的情况 下，自动完成支付、结算及货物交付等一系列环节。利用区块链的去中心化特性，数字人民币不仅能提 高结算的效率和透明度，还能大幅度降低交易成本和操作风险。 在跨境贸易中，传统的支付体系通常依赖于中介机构，如银行和支付清算机构，这使得跨境结算流程较 为繁琐且时间较长。而数字人民币的智能合约则通过去中心化的机制，解决了这一痛点。数字人民币智 能合约能够在跨境交易双方达成共识后，自动触发支付，确保交易的安全性和时效性。例如，当买方在 交易平台上选择使用数字人民币支付时，智能合约会自动验证交易双方的信息，确保合约条件被满足 后，立即完成资金划 ...

Group 1: Palantir Technologies - Palantir Technologies has seen a significant stock increase of 69% since April 2, attributed to the recognition of its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) [4][5] - The company reported a 39% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 2025, with net income rising by 105% to over $214 million [6] - Despite strong financial performance, Palantir's trailing P/E ratio exceeds 600, and the forward P/E ratio is over 230, raising concerns about its valuation [7][8] Group 2: Reddit - Reddit's stock has surged nearly 50% since April 2 and over 300% since its IPO on March 21, 2024 [10] - The platform reported 108 million daily average users, a 31% increase year-over-year, and $392 million in revenue for Q1, up 61% year-over-year [12] - Reddit's content generation positions it as a valuable asset for AI developers, with potential for lucrative licensing deals, including an existing agreement with Alphabet [14][15] Group 3: Netflix - Netflix's stock has risen by over 104,000% since 2022, with a 36% increase since the "Liberation Day" announcement [16][18] - The company has transitioned to a digital platform and invested heavily in original content, leading to improved profit margins [17][18] - Netflix's paid subscriber count grew by over 15% year-over-year in Q4 2024, reaching more than 301 million, with analysts projecting an average earnings growth of almost 22% annually over the next three to five years [20][21]

Core Insights - Aehr Test Systems experienced significant stock volatility in 2025, with a 22.2% decline in the first half, following a 56% drop in the first quarter and a subsequent 77.4% rise in the last quarter of the half-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company's financial year ends on May 30, and for the fiscal year 2024, the silicon carbide (SiC) wafer-level burn-in (WLBI) market accounted for 90% of its sales [2]. - In fiscal year 2025, SiC WLBI revenue dropped to less than 40% of total revenue, indicating a significant shift in the company's revenue sources [4]. Market Dynamics - ON Semiconductor, a key customer, has faced a sales slowdown, reflecting a broader downturn in the SiC market, particularly in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, influenced by high interest rates and a correction from previous EV spending booms [3]. - The weakening EV market negatively impacted Aehr's growth prospects in the SiC WLBI market during the first three months of fiscal 2025 [4]. Strategic Developments - A turnaround in Aehr's stock occurred after the third-quarter earnings report in April, where management announced plans to expand into new markets, projecting that 35% of revenue would come from the artificial intelligence (AI) processor burn-in market [5]. - The company has secured four customers contributing over 10% of revenue, with three of these being in new markets, including gallium nitride (GaN) semiconductor supply for the automotive sector [5]. Customer Base and Future Outlook - Aehr has identified a major hyperscaler as a first production AI customer in the packaged part burn-in (PPBI) market, with notable customers including Microsoft, Google, Nvidia, ON Semiconductor, and Infineon [7]. - Management believes that AI end markets could be 3 to 5 times larger than traditional SiC markets, which is driving optimism and strength in the current stock price [8].

Core Viewpoint - The AI industry is expected to be the primary driver of technology growth in the upcoming years, with the First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF (ROBT) positioned to capitalize on this trend [1]. Group 1: Industry Insights - The AI sector is anticipated to lead technological advancements and growth, indicating a significant investment opportunity for stakeholders [1]. Group 2: Company Positioning - The First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF (ROBT) is strategically positioned to benefit from the growth of the AI industry, suggesting a focus on investments in this area [1].

Group 1: AI Market Overview - The AI landscape is dominated by companies involved in infrastructure, software, and consumer applications, indicating that AI is a permanent fixture in the business world [1] - Investments in AI infrastructure are rapidly increasing, with expectations that AI will significantly impact global jobs and generate trillions in economic growth [2] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Price declines in leading AI companies should be viewed as buying opportunities for long-term investors [3] Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - **Palantir Technologies**: Specializes in custom AI software for government and corporate clients, with revenue growth accelerating since the launch of its AI Platform. Currently has 622 commercial customers out of over 20,000 potential large companies in the U.S. [5][6] - **Arm Holdings**: Designs chip architectures and earns revenue from licensing. Has shipped over 310 billion Arm-based chips and is expected to grow earnings by 22% annually, but has a high P/E ratio of 85 [7][9] - **Apple**: Has a vast AI opportunity with over 2.3 billion active users but is currently facing challenges with its AI initiatives. Expected to achieve double-digit earnings growth, but should be bought at a lower valuation than its current P/E of 30 [10][11] - **Meta Platforms**: Utilizing AI to enhance its advertising business and has developed the Llama AI model. Anticipates mid-teens annualized earnings growth, making it a strong buy on pullbacks [12][13] - **Broadcom**: Experiencing growth from AI networking chips, with a 46% year-over-year revenue increase in AI-related semiconductors. Expected to grow earnings by 25% annually and has a strong dividend history [14][15]

期指日增仓 7.6 万手，衍生品市场释放回暖信号 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 7 月 12 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_FirstAuthor] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 证券研究报告 金工研究 [T金工ableReportType] 点评报告 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com [Table_Summary] ➢ 本周点评： 期指增仓贴水收窄，衍生品市场释放回暖信号：本周期指市场量能显著 放大，周五单日四大期指增仓 7.6 万手，资金入场意愿强劲。基差延续 加速收敛态势，IC 与 IM 期指贴水收窄尤为显著，释放情绪修复信号。 期权市场同步回暖，全品种 VIX 温和上升但仍处安全区间，SKEW 普遍 下调，与指数偏强走势形成技术 ...

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands and Altria are both considered stable blue chip stocks, but Altria has outperformed Constellation significantly over the past three years, raising questions about future investment potential [1][2]. Constellation Brands - Constellation Brands generates most of its revenue from its beer business, with popular brands like Modelo and Corona, and a smaller portion from wine and spirits [4]. - The company faces three major challenges: declining beer consumption among younger consumers, decreasing sales of lower-end wines, and increased costs due to tariffs on imported Mexican beers [5][6]. - Analysts expect Constellation's revenue to decline from $10.2 billion in 2024 to $9.9 billion in 2027, while its earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% [8]. - Despite a low valuation at 14 times forward earnings and a forward yield of 2.5%, the lack of near-term catalysts makes it an unappealing investment [9]. Altria - Altria primarily generates revenue from its Marlboro cigarettes and has a strong domestic focus, which protects it from tariffs and foreign-exchange issues [10][11]. - The company has been countering declining smoking rates by raising cigarette prices, cutting costs, and expanding its smokeless product portfolio through investments and acquisitions [12]. - Following a setback with its investment in Juul, Altria acquired Njoy for $2.8 billion in 2023, which is expected to boost EPS starting in 2026 [13]. - Analysts predict Altria's revenue will dip slightly from $20.4 billion in 2024 to $20.2 billion in 2027, but its EPS is expected to grow at a steady CAGR of 5% from 2025 to 2027 [14][15]. - Altria's stock is considered cheap at 12 times forward earnings, with a substantial forward yield of nearly 7%, making it a more stable investment compared to Constellation [15]. Investment Recommendation - Altria is viewed as the better investment option due to its more stable business model, larger dividend, and lower valuation multiple compared to Constellation Brands [16].