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就业下行通胀上行,鲍威尔给美国经济敲警钟
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 14:20
Economic Overview - The Federal Reserve Chairman Powell highlighted the current economic challenges, noting short-term inflation risks and employment downturn risks [2] - The U.S. economy is experiencing a slowdown, with GDP growth at approximately 1.5% in the first half of the year, down from 2.5% the previous year [2] - Employment growth is slowing, with the unemployment rate rising slightly, indicating increased risks in the labor market [2] Employment Data - In August, the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 22,000, significantly below the expected 75,000, marking a concerning trend in job growth [3] - The unemployment rate in August was 4.3%, unchanged from the previous month, while June's job numbers were revised from an increase of 27,000 to a decrease of 13,000, marking the first negative growth since 2020 [3] - The average monthly job growth over the past three months was only 29,000, indicating a weak labor market [3] Inflation Insights - Powell noted that inflation has decreased from its 2022 highs but remains above the long-term target of 2%, with the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index showing a 2.7% increase over the past year [4] - Core PCE, excluding food and energy, rose by 2.9%, indicating persistent inflationary pressures [4] - Changes in trade, immigration, fiscal, and regulatory policies may have significant but uncertain impacts on the economy [4] Monetary Policy Considerations - Powell expressed caution regarding the potential for inflation to rise if monetary policy is loosened too aggressively, suggesting that adjustments may be needed to achieve the 2% inflation target [4] - The current monetary policy stance is described as moderately restrictive, allowing for better adaptation to economic changes [4] Market Valuation Concerns - Powell acknowledged the high valuations in the stock market, with the S&P 500's price-to-sales ratio reaching a historical high of 3.23 and the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio at 35, surpassing levels seen during previous market bubbles [5] - The market's high valuations are seen as misaligned with the future outlook of the U.S. economy, which could impact the overall trajectory of international financial markets [6]
“反内卷”的风终于刮到了集采市场,低价中标事件还会再现吗
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 12:34
Core Insights - The recent release of the "National Drug Centralized Procurement Document" by the National Organization for Drug Procurement has sparked significant attention and discussion within the pharmaceutical industry, particularly due to multiple adjustments in the procurement rules [1] - The principle of "no new drugs in centralized procurement" has been reiterated, indicating that innovative drugs will not be included in the procurement process, which has led to a temporary surge in the capital market [1] - The adjustments signal a strong shift in China's pharmaceutical industry from "generic low prices" to "innovation-driven" development [1] Group 1: Changes in Procurement Rules - The latest procurement rules emphasize rational pricing rather than solely focusing on low prices, addressing previous concerns about extreme low pricing practices that could harm quality [2][3] - The introduction of a new price control mechanism based on "50% of the average bid" rather than the lowest bid aims to prevent companies from underbidding to win contracts, thus promoting a more balanced competition [2][3] - A requirement for companies to submit a "Price Reasonableness Declaration" if their bids are below the established price point is intended to ensure that pricing reflects actual costs and quality considerations [3] Group 2: Impact on Market Dynamics - The introduction of the "brand-based reporting" mechanism allows medical institutions to report expected usage by specific brands, aligning procurement more closely with clinical needs and reducing discrepancies between reported and actual demand [4][5] - This change is expected to influence companies' pricing strategies and market predictions significantly, as it will better match supply with actual clinical usage [4][5] - The new rules also raise the qualification thresholds for bidders, requiring at least two years of production experience and compliance with GMP standards, thereby enhancing the overall quality of products in the market [6] Group 3: Regulatory Enhancements - The regulatory framework has been strengthened with comprehensive checks and product sampling to ensure the quality of selected drugs, with a 100% pass rate reported for recent inspections [6] - The introduction of a "first report leniency" mechanism encourages companies to report any irregularities in bidding practices, promoting transparency and accountability within the procurement process [6] - The evolution of these procurement rules is viewed as a significant indicator of the government's commitment to building a stable, efficient, and sustainable pharmaceutical supply system, moving from aggressive price reductions to long-term stability [6]
不到一小时“怼遍全球”!特朗普在联合国宣称:我结束了7场战争 但联合国无所作为
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 11:40
Core Points - Trump's speech at the UN General Assembly criticized various topics including the UN, NATO, and climate change, labeling climate change as a "hoax" and claiming immigration and green energy policies are "destroying" Europe [1][2][4] Group 1: Criticism of International Organizations - Trump accused NATO countries of being "hypocritical" for purchasing oil and gas from Russia while opposing it [2] - He criticized the UN for creating new problems instead of solving existing ones, describing it as outdated and ineffective [4] Group 2: Climate Change and Global Issues - Macron countered Trump's views by emphasizing the importance of the UN and the need to address climate change [6] - Trump's speech included a range of global issues such as the Iran nuclear deal, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and illegal immigration, while he claimed to have ended seven wars [12] Group 3: Speech Duration and Reception - Trump's speech lasted approximately 57 minutes, setting a record for the longest speech by a U.S. president at the UN [13] - Media reports indicated that Trump's speech was filled with false and misleading statements, resembling a domestic political address rather than a UN speech [8][12]
左手英特尔锁定供给,右手OpenAI刺激需求:英伟达大手笔投资背后的生意经
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 11:11
至于这次的合作是否会涉及参股,《华夏时报》记者采访了英伟达方面,截至发稿,对方未做出回复。 华夏时报记者 石飞月 北京报道 财大气粗的英伟达又准备掏腰包了。9月23日,英伟达宣布计划向OpenAI投资高达1000亿美元,为 OpenAI的下一代AI基础设施部署至少10吉瓦的NVIDIA系统。受此消息影响,英伟达当日盘中股价几乎 直线拉升,最终涨3.93%,不过在当地时间9月23日,该公司股价下跌2.82%,总市值为4.34万亿美元。 值得一提的是,上周英伟达才刚刚宣布以50亿美元入股英特尔并达成战略合作,短短几天,该公司又准 备向OpenAI投入上千亿美元。这两笔看似方向迥异的投资背后,究竟蕴含着英伟达怎样的战略逻辑? 目前看来,该公司正同时锁定AI时代的"供给"与"需求",希望构建一个无人能撼动的闭环。 巨额投资 在全球半导体史上,1000亿美元也算一笔巨额投资了。 据英伟达官方消息,这笔巨额投资主要为助力OpenAI构建和部署至少10吉瓦(gigawatt)的AI数据中 心,这些数据中心将采用NVIDIA系统,包含数百万块英伟达GPU,为OpenAI的下一代AI基础设施提供 支持,用于训练和运行其下一代模 ...
化债周年倒计时:精准释放地方债资金效能,助力财政政策更加积极
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 11:11
Core Viewpoint - Local government debt is a crucial tool for macroeconomic stability in China, with significant growth and expansion in its scope over the past five years, increasing from approximately 25 trillion yuan at the end of 2020 to nearly 50 trillion yuan by the end of 2024 [3][4] Group 1: Local Government Debt Growth - The scale of local government debt has doubled, with annual new debt limits reaching record highs, effectively bridging local fiscal gaps [3] - The areas of investment for special bonds have expanded from seven key sectors in 2020 to a comprehensive negative list management approach, providing flexible support for local development [3] Group 2: Debt Risk Management - The government is increasing support for resolving local government debt risks, with new policies being the most significant measures in recent years [4] - A resolution was passed to approve the increase of local government debt limits to replace hidden debts, marking the official start of debt resolution efforts [4] Group 3: Economic Transition and Debt Management - The transition from debt-driven investment to technology and consumption-driven growth is ongoing, with recommendations to optimize debt resolution methods and increase debt limits [4][6] - The relationship between debt growth and economic growth must be dynamically managed to ensure sustainable development [6] Group 4: Fiscal Policy and Local Debt - Local debt plays a vital role in making fiscal policy more proactive, especially in the current economic climate [5] - There is a need for a balanced approach to ensure that debt scales align with economic growth and fiscal capacity, avoiding disorderly expansion [7] Group 5: Performance Evaluation and Efficiency - A dual-dimensional performance evaluation system should be established to assess both economic and social benefits of debt-funded projects [8] - Ensuring the effective and efficient use of debt funds is crucial for improving investment returns [8] Group 6: Central Government's Role - The central government has room to increase leverage to alleviate local government debt pressure and enhance debt sustainability [9] - Special bonds should be managed through a negative list approach, with exploration of positive encouragement lists to broaden investment areas [9] Group 7: Future Fiscal Strategy - The fiscal policy for the upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" should be more proactive, with suggestions to increase the deficit rate to around 5% and a broad deficit scale of 16 trillion yuan [11] - Local debt should align with national strategic goals to support high-quality economic development, focusing on key projects and emerging industries [12]
江苏银行独家呈现南京DNA音乐节:门票免费送!邀您见证林俊杰×张艺兴同台炸场名场面
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 10:25
惊喜不止这些!江苏大剧院匠心巨制舞剧《红楼梦》即将上映,价值680元的观剧票免费送!还有苏超 主题盲盒公仔持续在线,13款萌趣造型等你收集,更有神秘隐藏款惊喜掉落! 即刻登录江苏银行App,在首页顶部点击【跟着苏超去狂欢】或足球联赛专区底部点击【千万消费券等 您来抽】进入活动,解锁博物馆精美文创、苏超主题盲盒、吃喝玩乐全场景福利消费券,还有一大波奖 品无需抽奖,领券专区直接送!让"苏超"热情与消费活力继续给你的生活添彩!(资讯) 编辑:林森 第十一期"跟着苏超去狂欢"带你去见林俊杰、张艺兴啦!由江苏银行独家呈现的南京DNA音乐节门票 免费送!还有苏超主题盲盒、文博专场持续热力放送!9月22日晚19点起,锁定江苏银行App,开启你 的欢乐之旅! 林俊杰、张艺兴、林宥嘉、颜人中、R.E.D、GALI……由江苏银行独家呈现的南京DNA音乐节阵容豪 华,精彩纷呈。 10月2日,南京DNA音乐节在鼓楼幕燕滨江上元门音乐草坪火热开唱!流行、嘻哈与电子音乐无缝衔 接,豪华阵容接力登台。大麦上抢不到的南京DNA音乐节门票,江苏银行App免费送! ...
高端化、智能化、绿色化!工博会为世界提供工业转型升级的中国方案|聚焦2025工博会
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 10:18
9月23日,国家会展中心(上海)入口人头攒动,第25届中国国际工业博览会(下称"工博会")在这里 隆重举行。以"工业新质,智造无界"为主题,本届工博会紧紧围绕"高端化、智能化、绿色化"主线,不 仅是对全球工业发展趋势的精准预判,更旨在搭建一个开放协同的智能产业生态,让来自世界各地的企 业在此共享技术成果、共探发展路径。 从规模来看,本届工博会创下历史新高——展览面积达30万平方米,相当于42个标准足球场,现场将集 中发布数千项新产品、新技术,涵盖从基础零部件到高端智能装备、从绿色能源解决方案到未来工业创 新应用的全产业链,全方位展现中国工业的创新活力与全球吸引力。 工业和信息化部党组书记、部长李乐成在开幕式上致辞表示,"十四五"以来,在以习近平同志为核心的 党中央坚强领导下,我国推进新型工业化取得历史性成就。工业是发展新质生产力的主战场、主阵地, 工业和信息化部将牢牢锚定实现新型工业化这个关键任务,加快建设以先进制造业为骨干的现代化产业 体系,提升产业科技创新体系整体效能,加力推进传统产业焕新升级,培育壮大新兴和未来产业,全面 构建互利共赢产业生态,不断筑牢中国式现代化的物质技术基础。 三大特展亮王牌,工业创 ...
新药搅动抗失眠药百亿赛道,先声药业斥3000万元用于开放课题研究
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 10:13
Core Insights - The insomnia medication market in China is experiencing a resurgence with new products being approved after a long hiatus, indicating increasing competition among both new and existing drugs [2][4][5] - The market size for insomnia medications in China was 12.28 billion yuan in 2021, projected to reach 15.12 billion yuan by 2025 and 21.19 billion yuan by 2030, highlighting significant growth potential [3][7] Company Developments - Xiansheng Pharmaceutical plans to invest 30 million yuan over the next three years in an open research initiative for new insomnia drugs, inviting external participants to collaborate on research projects [2][6] - The newly approved drug Dali Leisheng by Xiansheng Pharmaceutical is a dual orexin receptor antagonist, marking a significant advancement in insomnia treatment options [5][6] Industry Trends - The prevalence of insomnia in China is high, with an estimated 38.2% of adults affected, leading to increased focus on sleep health and the demand for effective treatments [3][7] - The insomnia drug market has evolved through four generations, with the latest generation focusing on orexin receptor antagonists, which offer a novel mechanism of action compared to traditional sedatives [3][4] Competitive Landscape - The approval of new insomnia medications, such as Dali Leisheng and Jiyin Pharmaceutical's innovative drug, is intensifying competition in the market, with companies actively promoting their products [5][7] - The market is currently dominated by second-generation drugs like Midazolam, while newer fourth-generation drugs are still in the early stages of commercialization [5][6]
孚能科技:提升资源利用效率| 2025华夏ESG实践环境友好案例
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 09:46
Company Overview - Fudi Technology (stock code: 688567) is a soft-pack power battery company focused on the R&D, production, and sales of power battery systems and energy storage systems for new energy vehicles, with a core market layout centered on green travel and smart energy [1] Carbon Management Practices - Fudi Technology has established a carbon emission management system, creating a governance structure centered around "General Manager - ESG Committee - Sustainable Development Department," aligning with international standards [2] - The company has implemented a comprehensive carbon emission accounting system covering Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions, utilizing a five-step sustainable carbon management approach: carbon accounting, carbon planning, carbon reduction, carbon offsetting, and carbon disclosure [2] - In 2024, the company reported a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions: Scope 1 emissions decreased by 15.0%, Scope 2 by 22.3%, and Scope 3 by 14.8% compared to 2023 [2] Resource Efficiency and Recognition - Fudi Technology has improved resource utilization efficiency, with total water consumption decreasing by 4.55% year-on-year, and the total recycled water amount reaching 4.841 million tons [2] - The Zhenjiang base achieved an 18% reduction in energy consumption through technologies such as thermal energy cascading and intelligent water storage [2] - The Ganzhou base has been recognized as a "National Green Factory" for its sustainable practices [2] Packaging and Supply Chain Sustainability - The company prioritizes recyclable packaging solutions, achieving a 99.69% recycling rate for packaging at the Ganzhou new energy base [3] - All domestic transportation of battery packs uses steel frames, achieving a 100% recycling rate, while non-express packaging for battery modules utilizes recyclable plastic boxes with a 100% recycling rate [3] - Fudi Technology plans to issue a "Supply Chain Energy Saving and Carbon Reduction Initiative" to suppliers by 2025, promoting green development and carbon reduction efforts throughout the value chain [3] Expert Commentary - Experts highlight Fudi Technology's significant achievements in environmental sustainability, establishing a comprehensive carbon emission accounting system and achieving carbon neutrality for specific products for four consecutive years, setting a benchmark for green development in the new energy industry [3]
阳光电源:承诺2028年实现运营层面碳中和| 2025华夏ESG实践低碳领先案例
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 09:43
文/华夏ESG观察联盟 企业介绍 减排措施: 阳光电源股份有限公司是一家专注于太阳能、风能、储能、氢能、电动汽车及充电等新能源电源设备研 发、生产、销售和服务的国家重点高新技术企业。主要产品有光伏逆变器、风电变流及传动产品、储能 系统、水面光伏系统、新能源汽车电控及电源系统、充电设备、可再生能源制氢系统、智慧能源运维服 务等。公司核心产品光伏逆变器先后通过TÜV、CSA、SGS等多家国际权威认证机构的认证与测试,已 批量销往全球180多个国家和地区。截至2024年12月底,公司在全球市场已累计实现电力电子转换设备 装机超740GW。 实践案例 阳光电源将应对气候变化融入公司整体战略,设定气候目标:承诺2028年实现运营层面碳中和(范围 1+2),2038年实现供应链碳中和(范围1+2+3),2048年实现供应链净零排放(范围1+2+3)。 1.范围一 (生产制造直接排放):电动汽车逐渐取代燃油车,不再新增燃油车;电动叉车取代燃油叉 车;推进食堂气改电方案,新建食堂均为用电类型;公司配电系统不再新增含SF6的环网柜。 2.范围二(能源使用间接排放):提高可再生电力使用比例;实施节能改造,降低单位产品能耗。为持 ...