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人在自然状态有些固有的心理缺陷
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-02 08:53
Group 1 - The market sentiment is currently at a boiling point, indicating a potential for short-term pullbacks, but the mid-term structure remains strong [1] - The average stock price index is in a narrow consolidation range, suggesting a stable strong continuation pattern, with expectations for at least three trading sessions of this behavior [1] - The Shenzhen Composite Index and Shanghai Composite Index have broken through a two-trading session consolidation, currently confirming the validity of this breakout [1] Group 2 - Finding operationally strong stocks is challenging, as growth stocks have already been driven up, while traditional speculative trading is prevalent in weaker stocks [2] - The market is approaching a mid-point, with historical patterns suggesting a significant turning point may occur this month [2] - A strong low-buy strategy remains the most prudent approach until a clear main upward trend is established [2]
毒孤三式变例
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-01 04:29
Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes that advanced martial arts, like the techniques taught by Feng Qingyang and Zhang Sanfeng, ultimately lead to a state of "no moves surpassing moves," highlighting the importance of understanding the underlying principles rather than rigidly adhering to specific techniques [1] - The article suggests that the essence of price action analysis lies in simplification and adaptability, which is challenging and requires exceptional talent to master [1] - Key points of adaptability include understanding principles such as maintaining a gradual pullback and executing quick, precise volume reductions [1] Group 2 - The "Silk Thread Pulling the Cow" technique is mentioned in relation to recent trends in Jibite, indicating a slight adaptation while still aligning well with the overall principles [1] - The "Ladder Cloud Ascending" technique is referenced concerning recent trends in Baihehua, showcasing a similar adaptability while retaining its core essence [1] - The "Poisonous Solitary Three Styles" are noted for providing ample low-buying opportunities and being relatively easy to identify, combining volume and price effectively [1] Group 3 - The article informs users that the second version of the momentum divergence value (RS_D) indicator has been released, featuring updated calculation methods and standardization for better comparability [1] - The inclusion of industry index momentum comparisons is recognized as a valuable approach, emphasizing that technology is dynamic and should not be blindly trusted [1]
量价独孤三式
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-29 06:52
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of price action analysis as a foundational method in technical analysis, suggesting that price contains all necessary information for trading decisions [1]. Group 1: Price Action Analysis - Price action analysis, also known as price behavior analysis, does not consider trading volume and focuses solely on price changes [1]. - The article discusses the evolution of price action analysis to include volume, leading to a more comprehensive approach known as volume-price analysis [1]. - The O'Mahony system incorporates volume-price analysis but also adds elements of momentum and anchoring, which helps narrow down stock selection [1]. Group 2: Stock Selection Techniques - The article introduces specific extreme patterns for stock selection that are more stringent than those found in traditional literature [2]. - The first pattern, "Silk Thread Pulling the Cow," describes a scenario of rapid price increase followed by shallow pullbacks, characterized by shrinking volume [2]. - The second pattern, "Ladder Cloud Ascending," involves significant volume breakthroughs and shallow pullbacks, ensuring that certain price levels are not breached [5]. - The third pattern, "Floating Steps," is described as an ultimate form of VCP, requiring specific conditions regarding price fluctuations and volume [6].
做井底突破的四个要素
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-27 04:37
Group 1 - The concept of "well bottom breakthrough" refers to a significant turning point after a prolonged decline and subsequent consolidation, marked by a breakout to a new yearly high [1] - A recent practical case was highlighted where a stock broke out on June 18 with significant volume, indicating strong buying interest despite the overall market downtrend [1] - The stock's RSline showed a clear upward trend, outperforming the market, while the RSR also rose against the market, meeting the criteria for a strong signal [1] Group 2 - The stock belongs to the optical connector sub-sector, which has been active recently, with notable performances from companies like Nanchang New Yisheng and Shijia Photonics [1] - The four essential elements for the "well bottom breakthrough" were identified as volume, price, momentum, and anchoring, leading to the stock being included in the operational plan [1] - On the following day, a pullback occurred but did not breach half of the previous long bullish candle, indicating potential for a rebound and entry point for building positions [2]
下一阶段的领军主线可能出乎你意料
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-26 08:57
Group 1 - The article discusses the current market sentiment, indicating that despite recent gains, there is a sense of caution as many stocks are showing signs of weakness after a small decline [1] - It highlights the volatility in individual stocks, particularly those that have recently surged, suggesting that the market may not have enough momentum for sustained growth [1] - The banking sector is noted as a potential area of strength, with the possibility of bank stocks returning to a price-to-book ratio of 1, contrasting with the challenges faced by brokerage firms [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that long-term market growth relies on two key anchors: actual performance growth and reliable dividends and cash flow [2] - It points out that having performance growth or high dividends does not guarantee stock price increases, as timing the market is influenced by human behavior and fate [2]
理性看待行情发展
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-26 01:00
Group 1 - The current market is assumed to be breaking out of a consolidation phase, indicating the start of a major upward trend, with sentiment indicators returning from a low to a warmer zone [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index has already achieved a breakout and is in an attacking posture [1] - The Shenzhen Composite Index has also achieved a breakout and is in an attacking posture [2] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board Index has just reached the upper boundary of its consolidation structure, indicating an attacking posture [3] - However, a divergence in momentum has been observed on a 5-minute scale, suggesting that short-term gains may be limited [4] Group 3 - The overall market situation aligns with previous analyses, indicating that the pullback will not be too deep and that the market is at the end of the first phase of a bull market, which typically lasts 8 to 10 months [6] - It is noted that before entering a major upward phase, the sentiment indicators may drop into a cold zone but not necessarily to freezing levels, as seen in previous bull markets in 2014 and 2019 [6][7] Group 4 - A common characteristic before a major upward trend is a narrow, rhythmic, and self-disciplined fluctuation or consolidation structure, typically requiring at least three touches (3T) [8] - Currently, the market is only at 2T in its consolidation structure, suggesting a potential short-term pullback for confirmation before a breakout [8] Group 5 - There is caution against excessive excitement in the media regarding the market, as recent gains in brokerage stocks are limited to a few mid-cap firms, indicating a possible high-level distribution rather than a broad-based rally [8] - The real surge is observed in financial software stocks, driven by policy announcements, which typically attract speculative trading [8] - The proportion of stocks with gains exceeding 5% is not high, indicating a long-tail effect where only a small number of stocks are performing exceptionally well [8]
这图太眼熟了
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-25 05:39
无论如何我要给大家分享一下这个图,太眼熟了。前几天一根倍量突破供应柱出现时,我突然觉得这张 图好像在哪里见过,于是我翻开《股票魔法师》,果然几乎一样的图就在书上: 股魔第一册和第二册都有这个Dicks体育品公司的例图,第一册在第十章,有关洗盘和供应进入迹象的 两节,讲的很详细。 ...
波段买入以及止盈的空间概念
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-24 06:16
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of flexible trading strategies, particularly in short to medium-term trading, with a focus on quick decision-making and risk management [1] Group 1: Trading Strategies - Mark Minervini advocates for a trading approach where stocks that are expected to rise should quickly show profits; if not, investors should exit immediately regardless of minor losses [1] - A key recommendation is to start selling when the stock reaches a profit of 14% to 21%, based on a stop-loss threshold of 7% [1] - Advanced techniques for selling are discussed, including strong sell and weak sell strategies, along with methods like momentum divergence and TR holding line [1] Group 2: Market Statistics - The article presents statistics showing that only 2.3% of stocks doubled in value after April 8, while 8.4% achieved a 60% increase, and 32.5% reached a 30% increase [2] - It highlights that achieving a 20% profit is already a significant accomplishment, as most stocks tend to yield lower returns, emphasizing the rarity of stocks with substantial gains [2] - The concept of wave profit-taking space is introduced, suggesting that understanding these statistics can help maintain a calm mindset during trading [2]
等待一个30分钟级别的底背离
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-23 08:39
今天一根阳线,是不是心里又痒痒了? 当然,有抵抗总是好的。 如上图,红圈的三个位置,所处的情绪阶段是相似的。当情绪落入寒冷区,所有的抵抗都要小心,迎接 你的可能是新一波令人窒息的下跌。 此时,我更愿意等待冰点的到来,以及一个30分钟级别的动量底背离: 现在又是观察RSline逆向推高+RSR高红的阶段了,大盘回撤阶段抗跌或者走强的个股,以后最可能有 较大的波段涨幅。 ...
不做扩展数据,如何使用强度指标
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-23 03:18
自从相对强度评级RSR指标发布以后,有些朋友很快就找到了不做扩展数据评估强度的方法。给这些朋 友点赞,他们是一些学习能力很强的人,能够做到在理解原理的基础上举一反三。 不做扩展数据的好处是省事儿,且手机上也能用;缺点是不够严谨,严格意义上讲,相对强弱就是需要 横向比较的。缠论开创人说三大维度:技术分析、比价、基本面,其中的比价就是相对强弱,足见很多 大师在强弱这件事上,都认为要比较之后才能见底色。 当然比价这个事也包含两个层面:和自己的过去比,和周边的同类比。 RSR的两个基础公式:RSV和SSV,完成了和自己的过去比,而扩展数据完成了和周边比。 N:=200;{时间周期参数} RS:=CLOSE/"880003$CLOSE"; VWRS:=SUM(RS*AMO,N)/SUM(AMO,N); STDD:=SQRT(SUM(POW((RS-VWRS),2),N)/(N-1)); RSL:(RS-VWRS)/STDD*100; ZRO:0,DOTLINE; 这样,用RSV和SSV评估股票自身的相对强度,用RSline评估股票与市场之间的相对强度,就构成了一 个强度评估的解决方案,而这个方案最大的好处是不用做扩展数 ...