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审时度势朱颜花
猛兽派选股· 2025-12-14 03:02
Group 1 - The article discusses the evaluation of pivot points when RSR (strength) is high but RUN (smoothness) is low, indicating a higher risk in the current market conditions [1] - It emphasizes that RUN is more suitable for assessing the initial climbing phase, and a low RUN suggests poor trend quality and increased risk [1] - The article provides examples of stocks, such as TBEA, which have shown significant prior gains but are currently experiencing a pullback, highlighting the importance of assessing the stability of these stocks [1] Group 2 - The article compares three sets of pivot points, concluding that the first set is the most promising and safest, while the third set, despite showing some growth, is less certain [2] - It analyzes two typical stocks from the battery sector, noting that the stock with a higher RUN (Molybdenum) demonstrated greater potential compared to another stock (Tianqi Materials) with a declining RUN [3] - The essence of the analysis is to evaluate pullbacks in continuous trends using the maximum TR over a 20-day period, where more breaches indicate instability and lower potential [4] Group 3 - The article mentions that certain stocks in the optical connection sector are active but have low and declining RUN, suggesting that while they can be traded, they carry higher risks [4][6] - It highlights the importance of comparing RUN levels across different sectors to identify which stocks to choose, with a focus on those with higher RUN values [6] - The article concludes that stocks with a strong base are less favorable than those in the initial phase of a major upward trend, as profit-taking can lead to frequent TR breaches and increased risk [7]
解决一下全天成交额估算的问题
猛兽派选股· 2025-12-13 02:40
所以,只需要在原来计算公式基础上增加一个指数修正项即可,完整代码如下: TOTAL:=IF(PERIOD=1,5,IF(PERIOD=2,15,IF(PERIOD=3,30,IF(PERIOD=4,60,IF(PERIOD=5,TOTALFZNUM,1)))));MTIME:=MOD(FROMOPEN,TOTAL);CTIME:=IF(MTIME<0. 指数修正项关键是在下面两句: 通达信自带的虚拟成交量(金额)估算误差非常大, 所以现在很多人吹捧"开盘啦"APP的估算值。通达信自带的指标公式调用如下图: 要解决这个问题,其实也不难,通达信主要是没在这个细节上下功夫,采用了简单的线性推算方程,但实际上日内分时图的成交量变化是长尾形态,接近指 数曲线: 以上语句中有3个参数,第一个0.02是指数项,第二个10是常数项,第三个100是系数项,都是可以修改调节的,你如果觉得计算得到的全天成交额估算值不 够精确,那么调整这三个参数去逼近你认为的精确值。 我实测了几天,效果应该不会比开盘啦APP差。 把以上完整代码复制以后,覆盖本ID以前分享的VOL_金指标的第一部分即可。 M8+VOL_金,主图指标升级 Versio ...
又得了个名:双R引擎
猛兽派选股· 2025-12-12 02:15
带着思考、印证的态度学习,不进步都难。虽然TA可能不会编程,但不妨碍TA突飞猛进,准确命中趋势牛股。应该鼓励思考、研究、动手、相互启发、 推陈出新,学习而不迷信权威,尊重数理逻辑和第一性原理。 类似的思考还有这位新关注不久的同学: 这个思路是从RSLINE的角度去观察,取逆势走强的频度,本源上还是识别强度。从TA观察的这几个票,都是回撤很小的趋势牛股,如果结合润度的高标 准,当时可以进一步选出最优的标的和择时位置。 看这位同学的留言,TA马上把新指标放进了选股器,能举一反三,指标好不好用,马上动手去回测。 我是这样想,无论想看成功案例还是失败案例,最好是自己动手。确实,没有人能发明交易圣杯,任何人也不该有这样的期待,若因为曾经有过这样的期 待而最终失望,也不该沉沦于消极、怠惰、敌意、仇视或傲慢。 RUN指标(润)的诞生,起因就是某位同学的留言,TA在我的持股线指标中得到启发,然后询问我,自己还写了很长一串代码给我看,我觉得TA做得很 好,这种思考和动手能力是使自己变得强大的前提: 润指标发布以后,下面这位同学用TA的聪慧和勤奋很快就得到润指标的使用体验,肺腑之言,而且文采极好: 行情不好,就这样闲聊几句,另外 ...
两件事
猛兽派选股· 2025-12-11 01:52
第一件事,有关主图公式的差异,这件事其实以前声明过,我个人用的版本和分享的版本不同,主要是因为我自己的版本经常调试,编写方法和信号点自 然会出现差异,大家不必大惊小怪。我的版本中有黄圈信号,这个确实是口袋支点,我的支点公式当然和市面流行的不同,信号质量肯定优于其它,但不 管怎样,从我实践的历史经验总结,我认为口袋支点并不是务实的操盘点,驾驭难度偏大,这是我不愿公开的主要原因,当然还有其它原因。 我的口袋支点公式的编写框架和枢轴点是一样的,只不过在转折点条件上有些差异,个人认为枢轴点更加实用,这就是为什么我首先向大家推荐枢轴点公 式,我随便举两个例子: 第二件事,是想咨询一下大家。有很多券商的销售人员加了本号,向我推荐他们的低费率开户资源,有些甚至还提供迅投量化平台(包含数据接口),我 不知道大家怎么看这个,有没有这个需要,如果有需要,请在下方投票器投上一票,如果需求数量大,就一起商量一下引入一两家,如果没有需要,也请 券商朋友不要再骚扰我了: 所以,我劝大家一句,不要一山望着那山高,而忽略你已经拥有的东西。公式这个东西,只是一个工具,关键还是取决于使用工具者的那颗脑袋。 如上图,蓝圈是枢轴点,黄圈是口袋支点, ...
在股市,频繁试错是个伪命题
猛兽派选股· 2025-12-10 03:30
如上图,网友的买入位置,RSR大于99高红,润度值达到顶格100(统计周期如果是20天的话,润度值应该是95),小平台倍量突破,突破之前有一个紧 致结构收敛,通过RS_D指标能够清晰见到扩张——收敛——再开始扩张的演绎逻辑,区段量柱呈现节奏明确的红肥绿瘦。这个就是极品的起涨图形。 关于图形审美,很多人理解为经验和艺术性,我不以为然,图形审美一样可以用指标从几个角度交叉描述。 强调频繁试错最大的危害是增加交易的随意性,乱了眼光,使审美平庸,貌似在训练,其实战术素养得不到提升。就是说不要以试错为目的,为试错而试 错,觉得反正可以试错就放松对选股的严格要求。打个比方,你觉得霍去病和岳飞是通过不断吃败仗来提高自己的战术素养的吗? 昨天有位网友发来他最近的一次操作,一周获利超60%,大赞润度指标的精妙: 我们来看一下这只票买入位置的技术状态: 大家在学习股魔的战术技巧时,有许多误解。马克在2021年波动市场再次夺冠,访谈时谈到小赔率快速试错,然后就很多人对此印象很深,实战中也乐此 不疲,但多数都承受不起摩擦成本。 原因在于不理解马克的前提和战术素养的累积。其实马克更强调的是战术条件确定性,他的书里反复强调过确定性以及等 ...
你还相信光吗?
猛兽派选股· 2025-12-09 04:35
Group 1 - The strongest branch of computing power has formed a VCP structure with optical connections and PCBs, and optical connections have made breakthroughs [1] - If the market index continues to rise, the leading sectors will likely be computing power equipment followed by power equipment, with power equipment experiencing a later and less sufficient pullback [3] - The average stock price index has recently confirmed a situation where the lower limit of the pullback space has been identified, but it is uncertain if the adjustment structure has ended, with the possibility of the box continuing to expand to the right [5] Group 2 - The trading volume has recently broken through the 21-day average volume, initially satisfying the conditions for a momentum reversal, but the price box may not break through immediately [5] - The reliance on small-cap junk stocks for market rallies is unlikely, and attention should be on hard technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, as well as the support levels of insurance and banking sectors [5] - The performance of brokerage firms has been weak, indicating that they may struggle to achieve significant results, despite being favored by retail investors, as institutions show little interest [5]
润度和强度的完美共振
猛兽派选股· 2025-12-08 02:46
商业航天我是完美错过的,因为我的体系排斥纯概念炒作,这个题材中我找不到业绩突出的领涨股,而领涨的都是长期亏损。 商业航天概念板块有321只股票(为啥这么多?全市接近十分之一的公司都在搞商业航天?),大致翻了一下,涨得比较好的应该是航天发展和航天动力 吧,而这两只票在启动阶段润度和强度共振也最为完美,尤其是航天动力: 新易盛和中际旭创当时启动阶段也是这样: 润度主要应用在一个长期的底部向上爬升阶段,对启动点潜力评估有指导意义。 有位同学在留言区讲了把它加入选股器条件的体会。 ...
高市有些早苗
猛兽派选股· 2025-12-07 05:20
Group 1 - The article emphasizes avoiding stocks with high turnover rates (30-50%) to prevent losses from high-frequency trading [1] - It suggests that quantitative strategies can be beneficial when they align with growth trends, acting as a support rather than a hindrance [1] - The management's cautious approach towards quantitative trading is seen as a positive consideration, promoting value, growth, and dividends [1] Group 2 - Financial data for various companies is presented, including metrics such as WMA, VWA, and financial performance indicators [3][4][5] - The article highlights the importance of sectors like power equipment, non-ferrous metals, and chemicals, indicating a potential for growth in these areas [5] - Positive developments in the insurance and brokerage sectors are noted, with a potential for significant market shifts if trading volumes increase [6]
言之凿凿的主力或者合力
猛兽派选股· 2025-12-06 02:11
Group 1 - The concept of "main force" and "combined force" is a metaphorical description of market momentum, which cannot be visually represented but seems to exist [1] - Different interpretations of market events exist, as seen in the reactions to a recent article, where some viewed it as a bullish signal while others saw it as bearish [1] - The increase in selected stocks at a pivotal point indicates positive information, although the overall market trading volume has not surpassed the 20-day average, leaving the end of the correction unconfirmed [1] Group 2 - Current focus is on the overall reverse or anti-dip direction within a 20-day cycle, reflecting a personal observation of market momentum [2]
不信邪的孤勇或者鲁莽
猛兽派选股· 2025-12-05 03:13
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the psychological traps in behavioral finance, emphasizing the importance of understanding both the visible and invisible aspects of market dynamics, as well as the mental state of investors in navigating market challenges [1]. Group 1: Psychological Traps - Behavioral finance identifies various psychological traps such as loss aversion, overconfidence, herd behavior, anchoring effect, endowment effect, confirmation bias, mental accounting, representativeness heuristic, availability heuristic, and regret aversion [1]. - These psychological factors can significantly influence investment decisions and market behavior, highlighting the need for investors to be aware of their emotional responses [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The article differentiates between "shape" and "momentum," where "shape" refers to observable market data and "momentum" represents the underlying psychological state of investors [1]. - Understanding the interplay between shape and momentum is crucial for making informed investment decisions, as it reflects both the tangible and intangible elements of market movements [1]. Group 3: Strategic Insights - The insights drawn from "The Art of War" suggest that successful trading requires a deep understanding of both visible market conditions and the psychological state of the investor [1]. - The concept of "momentum" as an abstract representation of market conditions emphasizes the importance of mental preparedness and strategic thinking in trading [1].