Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of flexible trading strategies, particularly in short to medium-term trading, with a focus on quick decision-making and risk management [1] Group 1: Trading Strategies - Mark Minervini advocates for a trading approach where stocks that are expected to rise should quickly show profits; if not, investors should exit immediately regardless of minor losses [1] - A key recommendation is to start selling when the stock reaches a profit of 14% to 21%, based on a stop-loss threshold of 7% [1] - Advanced techniques for selling are discussed, including strong sell and weak sell strategies, along with methods like momentum divergence and TR holding line [1] Group 2: Market Statistics - The article presents statistics showing that only 2.3% of stocks doubled in value after April 8, while 8.4% achieved a 60% increase, and 32.5% reached a 30% increase [2] - It highlights that achieving a 20% profit is already a significant accomplishment, as most stocks tend to yield lower returns, emphasizing the rarity of stocks with substantial gains [2] - The concept of wave profit-taking space is introduced, suggesting that understanding these statistics can help maintain a calm mindset during trading [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market sentiment and the importance of waiting for a significant market bottom before making investment decisions [1] Group 1 - The market is currently experiencing a phase of emotional resistance, similar to previous instances marked by red circles [1] - Caution is advised as the market may be approaching a new wave of declines when sentiment falls into a cold zone [1] - The focus is on identifying stocks that show resilience during market pullbacks, as they are likely to experience substantial gains in the future [1]

自从相对强度评级RSR指标发布以后，有些朋友很快就找到了不做扩展数据评估强度的方法。给这些朋 友点赞，他们是一些学习能力很强的人，能够做到在理解原理的基础上举一反三。 不做扩展数据的好处是省事儿，且手机上也能用；缺点是不够严谨，严格意义上讲，相对强弱就是需要 横向比较的。缠论开创人说三大维度：技术分析、比价、基本面，其中的比价就是相对强弱，足见很多 大师在强弱这件事上，都认为要比较之后才能见底色。 当然比价这个事也包含两个层面：和自己的过去比，和周边的同类比。 RSR的两个基础公式：RSV和SSV，完成了和自己的过去比，而扩展数据完成了和周边比。 N:=200;{时间周期参数} RS:=CLOSE/"880003$CLOSE"; VWRS:=SUM(RS*AMO,N)/SUM(AMO,N); STDD:=SQRT(SUM(POW((RS-VWRS),2),N)/(N-1)); RSL:(RS-VWRS)/STDD*100; ZRO:0,DOTLINE; 这样，用RSV和SSV评估股票自身的相对强度，用RSline评估股票与市场之间的相对强度，就构成了一 个强度评估的解决方案，而这个方案最大的好处是不用做扩展数 ...

嘲笑技术分析的人和嘲笑价值投资的人一样狭隘，没有什么区别，都是思维僵化、认知封闭的毛病。而 同在技术分析范畴的裸K分析派和指标分析派之间又相互瞧不起，文人相轻何其怪哉，殊不知量化的收 割机已经在你头顶隆隆作响。 流行俗语往往蕴含尖刻洞见，比如有云：指标是股价走出来的结果，股价是因指标是果，不是指标推动 了股价，而是股价带着指标走。这话有没有道理？当然有道理，而且十分正确。这就有了裸K派。 工具是什么，工具是连接主客观的纽带，是人类认知世界和改造世界的纽带，人类正是因为懂得使用工 具才进化成为人类。这好像是高中时候哲学课的知识。 你用裸K分析和用其它指标分析，就好比中医用手搭脉，西医用心电图的差别。但有一点相同：多少得 用点工具或者手段。指标的作用是测量，通过测量认知现状，通过认知现状触发主观能动性，再与客体 互动，仅此而已。 又有一句俗语说：市场永远是对的。这句话有没有道理，当然有道理，深不深刻，当然深刻。但是，再 往里想想，市场是一个绝对的客观真理吗？显然，这也不能，为什么，因为市场也无非是众多主观的总 和。 所以，主客本是一体，万物皆有心，工具是纽带。 接着坐在金字塔尖的神秘资金笑了，说：什么昨日流进今日 ...

Core Viewpoint - Value investing is often misunderstood, yet it remains effective in the A-share market, with a focus on unique identification of investment targets [1] Group 1: Value Investing Principles - The four essential components of traditional value investing are dividend yield, free cash flow, economic moat, and margin of safety [1] - Misinterpretation of value investing often leads to incorrect applications, such as equating long-term holding with value investing [1] Group 2: Timing Challenges in Value Investing - The RSR indicator can provide valuable timing references for value investing, particularly in identifying early-stage investment opportunities [4][7] - Bank stocks have shown significant performance, with the RSR value turning positive since the new leadership, indicating a broad market rally in this sector [1] Group 3: Case Studies of Value Stocks - Agricultural Bank of China serves as an example of a high-dividend stock that aligns with traditional value investing principles [2] - China Shenhua, a coal monopoly, is highlighted for its strong market position and value investment characteristics [4] - Huaneng Water Power and Yangtze Power are noted as key players in the electric power industry, fitting the value investment model [5] - Gree Electric Appliances is identified as a nearly perfect value investment target, with the RSR indicator clearly signaling optimal profit segments [6] - Yutong Bus is recognized as a high-dividend stock, though it exhibits stronger cyclicality, impacting its value investment appeal [8] - China Pacific Insurance shows a clear directional signal from the RSR during bearish market conditions, indicating potential for future growth [9] Group 4: Challenges of Value Investing - Value stocks often experience prolonged periods of stagnation, making it difficult for investors to endure the waiting period for significant trends [10] - The necessity of using appropriate indicators to assist in timing decisions is emphasized to improve investment efficiency [10]

本周最后的答案是向下破位缩量，走了第三条路，将开始持续阴跌，期间弱小反弹忽略，等待情绪三线 进入冰点以后再说。 60分钟级别VAD动量负反馈加速，15分钟级别抵抗无效。大A果然是能不乐观尽量不乐观哈。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market sentiment and the potential impact of new IPOs on the stock market, particularly focusing on the technology sector and chip stocks [1]. Group 1: Market Sentiment - The market sentiment is currently at a critical juncture, with indices close to a gap that could lead to a significant downturn if negative trends continue [1]. - There is a concern that the introduction of new IPOs may not bring substantial innovation, as the market has been characterized by companies that primarily focus on short-term gains rather than long-term growth [1]. Group 2: Technology Sector - The technology sector, particularly chip stocks, is showing signs of recovery, with notable increases in stock prices for leading companies like Junxin Technology [1]. - Chip stocks are characterized by a tendency to experience a decline after significant gains, suggesting that investors should consider a strategy of buying on dips [1]. - The overall trend for high-growth stocks in the SOC segment remains strong, indicating potential investment opportunities in this area [1].

Group 1 - The article indicates that the sentiment three-line has dropped and is consolidating, with signs of a potential bottoming out in the market [1] - The rebound is expected to be limited, likely not exceeding the upper boundary of the current oscillation structure, suggesting a second type of structure is developing [1] - The possibility of a 3T VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) is highlighted, indicating a small top formation followed by a pullback before a potential breakout [1] Group 2 - There is a noted potential for further downside tomorrow, as the 15-minute VAD (Volume Accumulation Distribution) divergence is not very clear, although MACD divergence is present but still weak [1] - Stock performance is expected to show significant divergence, with a strategy of low buying to capture rebounds being recommended [1] - It is advised to maintain a lighter position, with larger opportunities likely arising only when the sentiment three-line drops to an extreme low, which may take time [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that the current market sentiment indicates a potential rebound opportunity, with a focus on the gradual decline in trading volume supporting this outlook [1]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Trends - The sentiment indicator has shown a decline and is expected to create a high-probability rebound opportunity in the near future [1]. - The market is currently exhibiting a pattern that aligns with a previously anticipated gradual decline, as the slope of trading volume changes does not support a sharp daily drop [1]. - The article discusses two potential structural evolutions for the market, leaning towards the second scenario outlined in a previous analysis [1]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The article notes a slight convergence in the RS divergence value, which has since expanded, indicating positive momentum accumulation that may require additional time to fully charge [1]. - A recent bullish candlestick was met with resistance at the 50-day moving average, a common reversal point, suggesting a continuation of the downward trend [1]. - The article references a specific technical analysis concept, indicating that the market is likely to continue its decline until a momentum divergence aligns with sentiment indicators [1]. Group 3: Sector Insights - The article highlights three sectors: innovative pharmaceuticals, gold, and collectibles (specifically Pop Mart), suggesting that these areas are likely to face significant downturns as media hype peaks [1].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategies of chasing high and buying low in trading, emphasizing that both approaches can be complementary and effective depending on market conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Breakthrough Trading Strategies - Buying breakthroughs should occur at key positions, particularly during significant structural breakouts, which can lead to substantial gains [2][7]. - The concept of "strong in seeking low" refers to identifying opportunities during minor pullbacks in a strong upward trend, characterized by low volume and volatility [3][7]. - Successful breakthrough trading relies on three fundamental conditions: structure, trading volume, and strength value, which are essential for understanding breakthrough buying methods [2]. Group 2: Market Analysis and Examples - Recent examples from the gaming sector illustrate successful breakthroughs, with companies like JiBit achieving significant volume increases and breaking through long-term resistance levels [1][2]. - The article highlights the importance of selecting the right sectors and stocks, noting that even in a weak overall market, strong sectors can still perform well [7]. - The rarity of good breakout points necessitates quick action when they appear, while low-buy opportunities are more frequent, requiring a strategic approach to avoid losses in a prolonged downtrend [7].