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波动中把握结构性机遇!多家外资机构展望三季度投资
天天基金网· 2025-06-09 05:20
Core Viewpoint - The global investment market in Q3 is characterized by uncertainty, influenced by geopolitical factors and trade policies, presenting both challenges and opportunities for investors [1] Group 1: HSBC Insights - HSBC emphasizes the importance of structural growth in Asia, particularly in China, India, and Singapore, which are expected to mitigate some impacts of the US-China trade war [2] - The bank maintains a diversified investment strategy, adjusting its outlook for US stocks to positive, anticipating a slowdown in economic growth to 1.6% by 2025, while still facing uncertainties [2][3] - HSBC suggests a focus on quality bonds and low-correlation assets, such as gold, to enhance portfolio diversification amid ongoing geopolitical risks [3] Group 2: Standard Chartered Insights - Standard Chartered upgrades its global stock outlook to overweight, citing improved market technical indicators and resilience in economic activity and corporate earnings as key factors [4] - The bank also increases its allocation to US stocks slightly, while emphasizing the importance of diversification across major regions, particularly favoring Chinese stocks due to stimulus measures [4] - Standard Chartered lowers its stance on gold to a core holding, anticipating a period of consolidation, while still finding high-quality bonds attractive in the current yield environment [4] Group 3: OCBC Insights - OCBC highlights that the current weakness of the US dollar is influenced by trade policies, geopolitical factors, and global capital flows, rather than solely by interest rate cuts [5] - The bank advocates for a dynamic asset allocation strategy that increases exposure to safe-haven assets like gold and yen, while also focusing on currencies and equities driven by internal demand in Asia [5] - OCBC notes that some companies are shifting production to ASEAN countries, indicating a transition from simple exports to building local supply and industrial chains [5]
见证历史!突破33万亿
天天基金网· 2025-06-09 05:20
Core Viewpoint - The total scale of public funds in China has surpassed 33 trillion yuan, reflecting a significant growth driven by policy benefits, product innovation, and increasing demand for wealth management among residents [2][4][10]. Group 1: Growth of Public Fund Scale - As of April 2024, the total scale of public funds reached 33.12 trillion yuan, marking a historic high and the seventh increase since the beginning of 2024 [2][4]. - The growth in public fund scale is attributed to multiple factors, including the deepening of capital market reforms and the high-quality development of the industry, which has enhanced investor confidence [4][5]. - The increase in public fund scale indicates a shift in investor behavior towards diversified asset allocation, with public funds becoming a key tool for wealth management [4][8]. Group 2: Factors Driving Growth - The public fund scale has increased by 5 trillion yuan in 2024, showcasing its advantages over other asset management forms like bank wealth management and insurance [8][9]. - Key drivers of this growth include the release of policy dividends, product innovation, and changes in investor behavior, suggesting a sustainable growth trend [8][9]. - The demand for asset preservation and appreciation has intensified, with public funds offering a transparent and professionally managed investment option [4][6]. Group 3: Types of Funds and Investor Behavior - The growth of public funds is characterized by a rare simultaneous increase in money market funds, bond funds, and equity funds, indicating a diversification in investor asset allocation [14][16]. - In April, money market funds grew by 664.8 billion yuan, bond funds by 140.2 billion yuan, and equity funds by 112 billion yuan, with equity funds reaching a record high of 4.58 trillion yuan [14][17]. - The simultaneous growth of these fund types reflects enhanced market confidence and a shift in investor preferences towards balanced risk and return [14][19]. Group 4: Future Development and Market Trends - The public fund market in China has significant growth potential, driven by increasing resident wealth, the entry of long-term funds like pensions, and ongoing product innovation [11][12]. - The industry is expected to transition from a focus on scale expansion to quality-driven growth, with an emphasis on structural growth and globalization [12][20]. - Future trends indicate a diversification in fund types, with a focus on low-volatility products and asset allocation strategies supported by regulatory initiatives [27][29].
看好A股!外资机构发声
天天基金网· 2025-06-09 05:19
Core Viewpoint - Multiple foreign institutions express optimism about the value of asset allocation in China, citing improved corporate earnings prospects and relatively low asset valuations as factors enhancing the long-term attractiveness of Chinese assets to global investors [1]. Group 1: Stock Market Outlook - Morgan Stanley has raised its target index level for Chinese stocks due to structural improvements driven by shareholder returns and recent earnings [3]. - The reasons for increasing China's weight in portfolios remain valid, including a rebound in equity return rates and an upward shift in valuation ranges, particularly in offshore stock markets [4]. - Goldman Sachs maintains an "overweight" stance on Chinese stocks, attributing this to the strengthening of the RMB against the USD, which is expected to enhance the preference for RMB-denominated assets and improve corporate earnings prospects [5]. Group 2: Sector Performance - Non-essential consumer goods, real estate, and diversified financial stocks (brokerages) typically outperform the market during periods of RMB appreciation, while defensive stocks tend to lag [6]. Group 3: Market Opening and Regulatory Environment - The Chinese capital market continues to open steadily, creating a favorable ecosystem for investment through institutional reforms [8]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aims to enhance the transparency and predictability of regulations, improve communication mechanisms with international investors, and optimize arrangements for qualified foreign investors [9]. - The CSRC will focus on systemic openness, strengthening the coordination of stock, bond, and futures market openings, and increasing the supply of internationalized futures and options products [10]. - Enhanced bilateral and multilateral cross-border regulatory cooperation is also a priority, with a commitment to participating in the formulation of international standards and rules [11].
创新药火了!最新研判
天天基金网· 2025-06-09 05:19
上天天基金APP搜索【777】注册即可 领98元券包 , 优选创新药基金10元起投!限量发放! 先到先得! 今年以来,国产创新药行业出现重大价值重估。数据显示,截至6月6日,年内万得创新药指 数大涨逾20%,港股创新药指数更是涨超50%。 国产创新药是否迎来了"DeepSeek时刻"?国产创新药目前处于什么阶段,黄金投资周期来了 吗?创新药行业的竞争格局如何?未来还将面临哪些挑战?对此, 中国基金报记者采访了景 顺长城医疗产业基金经理乔海英、广发证券医药生物首席分析师罗佳荣、富国医药创新基金 经理赵伟、平安基金医药精选基金经理周思聪、财通资管创新医药混合基金经理易小金、开 源证券医药首席分析师余汝意 ,共同把脉国产创新药行业市场的投资机会和挑战。 周思聪: 2025年是中国创新药行业的"三个元年"——收入放量元年、盈利跨越元年和估值抬 升元年,行业有望迎来系统性投资机会。短期来看,2025年有望成为创新药企业收入集体放 量的起点。中期来看,2025年至2028年,中国创新药企业或成批步入盈利周期,2025年行 业有望开始集体跨越盈利的鸿沟。长期来看,2025年或成为中国创新药估值系统性提升的起 点。商业保险的 ...
A股后市如何?机构建议这样布局
天天基金网· 2025-06-09 03:28
Core Viewpoints - The article emphasizes the importance of focusing on fundamental investment logic from June to August, suggesting that investors should pay attention to traditional capacity clearance, the rise of new consumption, and sectors with high industry prosperity [1][4][5]. Investment Insights - A-shares experienced a volatile upward trend in early June, with institutions recommending a focus on sectors such as automotive, non-ferrous metals, retail, beauty care, and chemical pharmaceuticals [1][5]. - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for seven consecutive months, indicating a strategic move to bolster foreign exchange reserves, which stood at $32,853 billion as of May 2025 [1]. Market Trends - The Shanghai Stock Exchange plans to enhance the dividend index product system to encourage companies to increase dividend payouts and improve investment value [2]. - Foreign institutions like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs express optimism about the asset allocation value in China, citing favorable economic growth expectations and relatively low asset valuations [3]. Sector Focus - Citic Securities suggests a focus on fundamental investment logic, particularly in the computing power supply chain, including AI servers and related technologies [4]. - Dongwu Securities anticipates continued short-term theme rotation, with attention on new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and AI-related sectors [6][7]. - Huatai-PB Fund notes an improvement in A-share company performance and potential recovery in foreign trade and economic expectations, leading to increased focus on consumption and cyclical sectors [8]. - Huitianfu Fund indicates that the timing for investing in technology growth is approaching, especially in the AI industry chain [9]. -招商基金 highlights that Hong Kong stocks may have recovery potential in the medium to long term, driven by policy support and improved liquidity [10].
刚刚,重磅数据发布!
天天基金网· 2025-06-09 03:28
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), highlighting a slight decline in CPI and a continued low level of PPI, while noting improvements in certain sectors due to policy measures aimed at boosting consumption [1][5]. CPI Analysis - In May, the CPI decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.1% year-on-year, while the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose by 0.6%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [1][4]. - The decline in CPI was primarily driven by a 1.7% drop in energy prices, which accounted for approximately 70% of the total decrease [3]. - Food prices fell by 0.2%, with seasonal vegetable supply increasing, leading to a 5.9% drop in fresh vegetable prices [3][4]. - Accommodation and tourism prices rose by 4.6% and 0.8%, respectively, indicating a recovery in consumer demand [3]. PPI Analysis - The PPI decreased by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, with the year-on-year decline widening by 0.6 percentage points [1][5]. - The decline in PPI was influenced by international factors, including a 5.6% drop in prices in the oil and gas extraction industry, which contributed significantly to the overall decrease [6][7]. - Despite the overall decline, some sectors showed positive price movements, particularly in consumer goods, driven by effective consumption-boosting policies [7][8]. - High-end manufacturing and technology sectors experienced price increases, with integrated circuit packaging and aircraft manufacturing prices rising by 3.6% [8].
突传利好!开盘直线拉升
天天基金网· 2025-06-09 03:28
上天天基金APP搜索【777】注册即可 领98元券包 , 优选基金10元起投!限量发放!先到先 得! (图片来源:东方财富APP,统计截至2025/6/9,不作投资推荐) 韩国KOSPI指数开盘涨超1.8%,现报2856.6点。 (图片来源:东方财富APP,统计截至2025/6/9,不作投资推荐) 关税最新消息 此前,日美两国政府于美国当地时间6月6日下午(日本时间6月7日上午)在华盛顿举行了第 五轮部长级谈判。 美国和日本的关税谈判峰回路转。 据NHK,日本考虑在6月15日举行的G7峰会前与美国达成关税协议,报道未提及消息来源。 每日新闻报道称,日本贸易谈判代表赤泽亮正安排在本周访问美国时进行更多会谈。 今日早盘,日经225指数开盘后直线拉升,涨超1%。 在会后,日本首席贸易谈判代表、经济再生大臣赤泽亮正对媒体介绍称:"我们在达成协议方 面进一步取得进展。"但他也表示,还没有就协议达成一致。 赤泽亮正还提到,日本政府希望"尽快"达成协议,但在G7峰会召开时,日美可能还在继续谈 判。G7峰会定于6月15 日 至17日召开,日美正在协调届时举行首脑会谈,赤泽亮正重申了 力争在会谈时达成协议的想法。 不过,他就今 ...
中美,大消息!
天天基金网· 2025-06-09 03:28
上天天基金APP搜索【777】注册即可 领98元券包 , 优选基金10元起投!限量发放!先到先 得! 周末大事 何立峰将访问英国并举行中美经贸磋商机制首次会议 外交部发言人宣布:应英国政府邀请,中共中央政治局委员、国务院副总理何立峰将于6月8 日至13日访问英国。其间,将与美方举行中美经贸磋商机制首次会议。 商务部:对稀土实施出口管制符合国际通行做法 已依法批准一定数量的合规申请 商务部新闻发言人就中重稀土出口管制措施答记者问表示,稀土相关物项具有军民两用属 性,对其实施出口管制符合国际通行做法。随着机器人、新能源汽车等行业发展,各国对中 重稀土在民用领域的需求量正持续增长。中国作为负责任的大国,充分考虑各国在民用领域 的合理需求与关切,依法依规对稀土相关物项出口许可申请进行审查,已依法批准一定数量 的合规申请,并将持续加强合规申请的审批工作。中方愿就此进一步加强与相关国家的出口 管制沟通对话,促进便利合规贸易。 商务部:目前中欧双方电动汽车案价格承诺磋商进入最后阶段 但仍需双方努力 商务部新闻发言人就王文涛部长赴法国期间与欧盟委员会贸易和经济安全委员谢夫乔维奇会 谈答记者问。 问:电动汽车反补贴案的价格承诺 ...