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江苏泰州冲出一家半导体材料IPO,为华润微供货,无实际控制人
格隆汇APP· 2025-12-12 11:35
Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Taizhou has launched an IPO in the semiconductor materials sector, supplying products to China Resources Microelectronics, and operates without a controlling shareholder [1] Group 1 - The company is positioned in the semiconductor materials industry, which is critical for the development of electronic components [1] - The IPO aims to raise capital to enhance production capacity and expand market reach [1] - The absence of a controlling shareholder may attract a broader range of investors, potentially increasing market interest [1]
85后博士带队冲击IPO,国盾量子、中安半导体均是客户,估值43亿
格隆汇APP· 2025-12-11 11:07
格隆汇新股 85后博士带队冲击IPO,国盾量子、中安半导体均是客户,估值43亿 原创 阅读全文 ...
调研海辰储能:技术领跑长时储能赛道,锚定全球增长确定性
格隆汇APP· 2025-12-11 11:07
这场"发电狂欢"与"消纳困境"的矛盾背后,指向一个核心命题:新能源的波动性需要长时储能来驯服。 作者 | 贝隆行业研究 "到2030年,全球可再生能源发电装机容量将翻番,增加4600GW。" 国际能源署(IEA)在《2025年可再生能源:到2030年的分析与预测》中描绘了一幅可再生能源高歌猛进的宏大图景,光伏、风能作为可再 生能源的主要组成部分,无疑是这场能源"狂欢"的主角。 但与此同时,风光占比的快速增长给电网系统带来了严峻挑战。国际能源署在报告中指出,到2030年,间歇性可再生能源将供应全球近30% 的电力,是当前水平的2倍。若缺乏有效的平抑手段,"弃风弃光"现象无疑会愈演愈烈。 "当前中国弃风弃光现象与电力紧缺矛盾并存,根源在于缺乏能够长时间平抑能量波动的储能技术。"中国科学院院士赵天寿的论断,道出了行 业共识。 业内普遍认为,当新能源发电占比超过20%时,4小时以上长时储能将成为刚需;占比突破50%后,8小时以上长时储能必不可少。 那么,企业究竟如何破局?带着这个问题,笔者对海辰储能进行了调研。笔者发现,这家被称为"锂电长时储能创领者"的企业,早已开始了相 关布局,为行业提供一个兼具技术可行性与商业落 ...
甲骨文的AI豪赌,是陷阱还是机会?
格隆汇APP· 2025-12-11 11:07
以下文章来源于格隆汇交易学苑 ,作者格隆汇小编 格隆汇交易学苑 . 以基本面为基础,专注于趋势交易 美股AI圈最近又上演"魔幻剧情"。 甲骨文手握5233亿美金RPO(在手订单),同比暴涨438%,云业务增速飙到34%,结果FY26Q2盘后股价狂跌11%! 一边是订单拿到手软、AI布局火力全开,一边是现金流亏出天际、利润率没达标,这波操作让投资者直接看懵:是市场反应 过度,还是甲骨文的AI豪赌藏着隐忧? 今天就来扒一扒这只"数据库老大哥"的Q2成绩单,聊聊它的甜蜜与烦恼。 先说说最刺激的"大跌名场面"—— 为啥手握5k亿订单还能跌这么狠? 更关键的是,新增订单不再只靠OpenAI,Meta、英伟达这些巨头都来签单,客户结构越来越多元,这意味着未来营收不 是"单点依赖",而是"多点开花",这订单储备简直是"富得流油"。 再看业务板块,云业务已经成了"顶梁柱"。 云收入(IaaS+SaaS)80亿美元,占总营收的50%,同比增长34%,比去年24%的增速快了一大截。 答案藏在两个核心痛点里:一是现金流"亮红灯",二是利润率"没达标"。 先看现金流,这简直是"暴击现场":本季自由现金流直接干到-100亿美元,比市场 ...
当一个海外品牌在中国长大:Swisse的十年、三次进化与未来支点
格隆汇APP· 2025-12-10 12:20
12月8日,Swisse斯维诗"聚力共赢,稳健增长"十周年合作伙伴大会如期举行。这个进入中国市场整整十年的澳洲品牌,用一场大会来回顾其 在中国市场的跨越式发展。 过去十年,中国大健康市场的变革速度远超预期:跨境电商从零爆发、一般贸易持续开放、口服美容品类迅速崛起,消费需求分层加速,渠道 走向抖音等多极并立。 作者 | 古尔波什 前言: 从跨境电商的试水者到中国市场第一,Swisse的中国十年是一部国际品牌本土化的教科书。 在这场永不停歇的竞赛中,Swisse不仅成功穿越周期,更完成了从"代购宠儿"到行业巨头的跃迁。Swisse自2019年起即稳居中国内地线上 VHMS 市场第一,并成为健合集团成人营养业务(ANC)的核心驱动力。 站在十年的节点上回望,中国市场成就了Swisse,而Swisse也已成为中国营养健康行业结构变迁的一部分。 中国十年: 01 与市场共振的三次战略跃迁 Swisse的中国征程始于2015年健合集团的战略性收购,其十年发展可清晰划分为三个关键阶段。 1.0时代(2016-2018年)是市场新军的精准卡位期 。 Swisse凭借代购兴起与跨境电商发展的双重机遇快速切入市场。在保健品市场仍 ...
聊一个周期反转的机会
格隆汇APP· 2025-12-10 12:20
Core Viewpoint - The dry bulk shipping market is entering a new cycle driven by supply constraints, demand growth, and geopolitical factors, with structural opportunities emerging in the industry [4][7][8]. Supply Side - The dry bulk fleet is experiencing significant supply tightness, with the order book for 2025 representing only 11% of total capacity, the lowest in 25 years [9]. - The scrapping of old ships is intensifying, with the expected scrapping volume increasing from 4.7 million deadweight tons in 2024 to 6.6 million in 2025, and projected to reach 9.7 million in 2026 [9]. - New ship orders have plummeted by 89.5%, leading to a low growth rate in overall industry capacity [9]. Demand Side - The West African Simandou iron ore project is a key demand driver, with potential production of 120 million tons of iron ore, significantly increasing transportation distances and demand for dry bulk shipping [10]. - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are expected to boost commodity trade, lowering costs for companies to stockpile and expand, which in turn is likely to increase dry bulk shipping demand [10]. - Geopolitical tensions are reshaping trade routes, indirectly increasing shipping demand by lengthening transport distances for certain commodities [11]. Shipping Cycle Forecast - Short-term (H1 2026): The market will be in a "game period" with Cape-sized vessels benefiting the most from the new demand, while traditional cargo types may struggle [13]. - Mid-term (H2 2026 - 2027): The market is expected to enter a main upward wave as the Simandou project ramps up production and interest rate cuts continue to support demand [14]. - Long-term (Post-2028): The market will shift towards a "cycle dividend + transformation premium" phase, with a focus on green transformation and diversified cargo types [15]. Investment Opportunities - Cape-sized vessel operators are positioned to benefit directly from the increased shipments from the Simandou project, making them core targets during the upward cycle [18]. - Companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation are significant players in the dry bulk market, with large fleets that can capitalize on rising freight rates [19]. - Companies involved in green ship conversion and operation are expected to gain valuation premiums due to stricter environmental policies [20]. Market Dynamics - The current dry bulk cycle differs from previous cycles (2008 and 2016) due to structural demand increases and institutional supply constraints, leading to a more differentiated and sustainable market [21]. - To capitalize on this opportunity, a focus on specific segments and precise understanding of industry logic and vessel supply-demand dynamics is essential [22].
又一CPO龙头“大爆发”,机构狂买
格隆汇APP· 2025-12-09 10:24
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the explosive growth of the AI computing power sector, particularly focusing on the CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) industry chain, which has seen significant stock price increases due to various positive developments in both domestic and international markets [3][6][22]. Market Performance - On December 9, the A-share market saw the Shanghai Composite Index decline by 0.37% and the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.39%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 0.61%. The total market turnover was 1.92 trillion yuan, with over 4,000 stocks declining. However, the CPO industry chain and electronic components performed exceptionally well, with key players like Industrial Fulian and Zhongji Xuchuang experiencing significant gains [3][4]. CPO Industry Surge - The CPO sector experienced a 1.64% increase on the day, with a year-to-date rise of 91.25% and a net inflow of 2.55 billion yuan. Notable stocks in this sector, such as Dekeli and Shaanxi Huada, saw strong trading activity, with Dekeli achieving a 20% limit-up [4][12][16]. Positive Developments in AI Computing - Recent advancements in AI computing, including the release of Deep Seek V3.2 and the collaboration between ByteDance's Doubao team and ZTE, have generated market interest. Additionally, OpenAI's upcoming release of GPT-5.2, which boasts an 18% improvement in reasoning efficiency and a 23% increase in multi-modal response speed, is expected to drive demand for AI chips and related hardware [6][7][8]. U.S. Policy Changes - A significant development occurred when former U.S. President Trump announced that NVIDIA would be allowed to sell its H200 AI chips to China, albeit with a 25% revenue share. This news positively impacted U.S. chip giants like NVIDIA and AMD, leading to a surge in related A-share stocks [9][11]. Market Insights - According to Guosheng Securities, the adjustment in U.S. chip export policies is a major boon for domestic capital expenditure in related fields, potentially increasing overall spending on computing power [11]. Trend Force's report indicates a projected 2.6-fold increase in the shipment of 800G optical transceiver modules by 2026, highlighting the growing demand in this sector [11]. CPO Market Leaders - Companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication have been recognized as leaders in the CPO industry due to their technological advantages and market share. The market potential for CPO is vast, with significant orders flowing to both leading and smaller players in the industry [14][15][22]. Future Investment Opportunities - The article suggests that the explosive growth of the computing power industry is just beginning, with ongoing advancements in AI technology and expanding application scenarios. Investors are encouraged to focus on companies with core technologies, sustainable profitability, and long-term growth potential to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the computing power sector [28].
券商,还有没有救?
格隆汇APP· 2025-12-09 10:24
格隆汇交易学苑 . 以基本面为基础,专注于趋势交易 今天白酒又新低了,但要说今年最苦的投资人,我觉得不是白酒为代表的老消费投资人。为什么呢? 以下文章来源于格隆汇交易学苑 ,作者格隆汇小编 因为白酒会不行,是可以预期到的,但凡不要一根筋坚持所谓的价投,仔细想下当下环境,再看下茅台的批价走 势,就可以知道白酒的基本面后面几个季度还要大幅下滑,考虑中期因素,这种下滑不是短暂下滑,后面利润即 使能回来,也是很多年以后的事了(现在看着10几倍估值,但利润砍半,就变成3、40倍了)。所以白酒今年行 情好才是意外,行情差是情理之中。 今年最苦的投资人是A股券商投资人,今年的成交额也过得去,券商的业绩也过得去,又是牛市氛围,结果券商, 就这?每次发颗糖,还没来得及细品它的甜,一巴掌就打过来了。 这不,这周又是如此。周末村长讲了许多,结果周一券商还是大幅回落了,今天券商再次集体下跌,平均跌幅1个 多点。券商投资人再次后悔没有听祖训——券商高开就要跑,这已经不记得是第多少次了。 每次都上当,当当都一样,这是最苦的。 01 从村长的讲话谈起 周末那个致辞,最重要的信息是证监会将着力强化分类监管,扶优限劣,体现在对优质机构适当"松 ...