长线投资
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香港积金局:去年强积金整体净回报16.5% 连续三年正回报
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 03:23
香港积金局公布,根据最新官方临时数据,2025年全年的强积金整体净回报为16.5%,是连续三年取得 正回报,2024年为8.6%,而2023年为3.4%。各类强积金基金,包括股票基金、混合资产基金、债券基 金、保证基金、强积金保守基金及货币市场基金(不包括强积金保守基金),过去一年全部录得正回报。 香港积金局指,受惠于理想投资表现,截至去年底,强积金总资产升至约15,500亿港元,再度突破历史 新高。 至于俗称"懒人基金"的"预设投资策略"(DIS)旗下的核心累积基金,自2017年推出以来的平均年率化净 回报为6.9%,同样跑赢期内的年率化通胀率1.8%;"懒人基金"旗下的65岁后基金,自2017年以来平均年 率化净回报为2.5%。 香港积金局提醒强积金计划成员,强积金是跨越超过40年的长线投资,不应以短线投资的角度看待强积 金,更不应尝试捕捉市场。 自强积金制度实施以来,占强积金总资产合共8成的股票基金和混合资产基金的平均年率化净回报分别 为5.0%和4.5%,跑赢同期1.8%的年率化通胀率;债券基金、保证基金、强积金保守基金及货币市场基 金,平均年率化净回报分别为1.9%、1.1%、1.0%和1.0%。 ...
董少鹏:“牛市情绪”再次受冲击,发生了什么?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 14:27
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 来源:鹏友来开会 12月16日,上证综指下跌1.11%,深证成指下跌1.51%,创业板指下跌2.1%,沪深300下跌1.2%,人们 的"牛市情绪"再次受到冲击。到底发生了什么? 翻看各路分析人员的解释,大体包括:日本央行将于近日开会讨论加息,并且将于明年1月抛售ETF; 韩元兑美元汇率大跌,有关方面紧急维稳;泰国央行采取措施干预泰铢汇率;华尔街一大空头称人工智 能热潮将在2026年消退,科技公司将拖累美股下跌。还有机构说,四季度中国市场动能减弱,在明年初 重要会议开启之前,更多受全球风险偏好左右。 那么,这些信息能把中国股市打趴下吗?按说不能,因为中国经济基本面没有发生什么异变,恰恰相 反,1至11月,经济稳步向好趋势继续显现:社会消费品零售总额同比增长4%,固定资产投资(不含农 户)扣除房地产开发投资后的项目投资增长0.8%,规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.0%,规模以上高技 术制造业增加值同比增长9.2%,智能消费设备制造业增加值增长7.6%。当然,我们不讳言投资增长缓 慢、消费者物价指数增幅较低的情况,并且要进一步采取提振措施,但总 ...
坚守长线 捕捉牛市机遇
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-11 00:59
在期货市场的浪潮中,总有一些独特的参与者以差异化的投资哲学脱颖而出。近日,期货日报记者采访 了一位来自浙江温州的交易者"水到渠成"——他既是实体餐饮企业的经营者,又是期货市场中深耕多年 的交易者。这位化繁为简、专注长线的选手,在第三届"期货寻星"赛中展现了高超的交易水平。 "我做餐饮生意之余进行交易,时间相对自由。""水到渠成"坦言,自己并非全职交易员,2010年之前便 涉足期货领域,早期专注商品期货交易。虽经历过间断性离场,但始终未完全脱离市场。2024年10月 起,他将主战场转向期指市场,形成了以长线持仓为主的稳定模式。 问及为何转向期指交易,他给出了明确判断:"国家层面的政策导向催生了难得的牛市机遇,期指市场 的周期性机会更具确定性。"针对商品市场的取舍,他解释道:"前些年商品市场的趋势性行情带来丰厚 利润,但近年波动加剧,适合短线博弈,我的交易体系更适合期指的长线特征。" 谈及核心策略,"水到渠成"将其概括为"估值锚定+均线跟随"组合拳。"主要依据长周期均线系统,特别 是60日均线作为方向指标,辅以MACD等常见指标验证进场时机。"他特别强调,当前策略聚焦期指多 头布局,通过不同阶段切换品种实现风险收 ...
国际金价一度暴跌6%!饰品黄金降几十元每克,大涨大落应如何投资
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 08:41
Core Viewpoint - The recent 6% drop in gold prices has caught many investors off guard, especially those who entered the market at high prices, highlighting the risks of treating gold as a short-term speculative asset rather than a long-term investment [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The volatility in gold prices has been increasing, with recent surges attracting speculative capital, which can lead to sharp corrections when profits are realized [3]. - The recent price drop is attributed to short-term profit-taking by speculators rather than a fundamental shift in the long-term outlook for gold, which remains supported by ongoing central bank purchases and geopolitical uncertainties [3][5]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to maintain a long-term investment mindset, focusing on gold's core value as a hedge and store of value rather than seeking short-term gains [5][7]. - A recommended strategy is to limit gold holdings to 5%-10% of total assets, allowing for opportunistic buying during price corrections without overexposing oneself to risk [5][7]. - It is emphasized that no one can accurately predict gold price movements, and both bullish and bearish assumptions can lead to market misjudgments [5][7].
香港货币及金融研究中心:人口高龄化令长线投资成当务之急
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-09-23 03:40
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the urgency of long-term investment in Hong Kong due to the ongoing trend of population aging [1][3] - It highlights that while Hong Kong residents possess a good foundation in financial literacy, there is a need for deeper understanding of specific financial products related to long-term investment and financial planning [1][3] Group 1: Market Analysis - The research indicates that there are already diverse and globally competitive wealth accumulation products available in the Hong Kong market [3] - However, 67% of surveyed institutions believe that the market requires more products with wealth extraction features to meet clients' long-term financial planning needs [3] Group 2: Industry Development - The report discusses how the industry can promote the healthy development of Hong Kong's long-term investment ecosystem [3] - It identifies the adoption of cutting-edge technology as a key driver for innovation in products and services, improving cost efficiency, and optimizing product distribution to enhance long-term investment and financial planning [3] Group 3: Strategic Recommendations - The findings of the research are intended to provide valuable references for market participants to address existing challenges and seize opportunities [3] - The goal is to advance Hong Kong's long-term investment ecosystem towards a more comprehensive and healthier direction [3]
香港金融学院报告:采用前沿技术提升长线投资和财务规划
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 14:13
Core Insights - The report titled "Long-term Investment in Hong Kong: Development and Opportunities under the Digital Economy" emphasizes the importance of adopting cutting-edge technologies to drive innovation in products and services, enhance cost efficiency, and optimize product distribution for long-term investment and financial planning [1][2] Group 1: Investment Landscape - The research indicates that while Hong Kong residents possess a solid foundation in financial literacy, there is a need for deeper understanding of specific financial products, particularly those related to long-term investment and financial planning [1] - Currently, the market offers a variety of diversified and globally competitive wealth accumulation products, yet 67% of surveyed institutions believe there is a need for more products with wealth extraction features to meet client demands for long-term financial planning [1] Group 2: Digital Adoption - The findings reflect a growing trend in digital adoption among respondents, with 72% of residents indicating they used digital financial services in the past year [1] - Approximately 70% of market participants reported that they are currently or planning to distribute long-term financial products through mobile and online platforms [1] Group 3: Industry Challenges and Opportunities - The report discusses how the industry can promote a healthy development of Hong Kong's long-term investment ecosystem, highlighting that the aging population trend makes long-term investment a pressing issue [2] - The research outcomes are intended to provide valuable references for market participants to address existing challenges and seize opportunities, thereby advancing the long-term investment ecosystem in Hong Kong towards a more comprehensive and healthier direction [2]
股票买完多久能卖?持有时间与卖出时机全解析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 02:09
Group 1 - The core trading rule for A-shares is the T + 1 system, meaning stocks cannot be sold on the same day they are purchased, and the earliest they can be sold is the next trading day [3] - The actual holding period for stocks depends on the investor's strategy and market conditions, with common extremes being either selling too early or holding too long without a clear exit strategy [4][10] Group 2 - Short-term trading typically involves holding stocks for a few days to a couple of weeks, focusing on capturing short-term price fluctuations and news events [6] - Medium-term investing usually spans several weeks to months, relying on industry trends and company fundamentals, with the challenge being to accurately identify trend reversals [7] - Long-term investing emphasizes the company's long-term value, with holding periods often exceeding six months or even years, and selling decisions based on fundamental deterioration or changes in industry logic [9]
医药投资中重要的几件事
青侨阳光投资交流· 2025-08-18 00:59
Core Viewpoint - The most important aspects of investing in the pharmaceutical industry are passion, focus, and honesty, which serve as foundational elements for building a robust investment framework [1][10]. Group 1: Importance of Passion - Passion provides an intrinsic motivation that sustains long-term engagement in investment, as opposed to external goals like profit [2][3]. - The transition from individual to institutional investor can enhance the sense of purpose and value recognition in pharmaceutical investments [2]. - A strong desire for a better future drives continuous learning and exploration, leading to meaningful changes in investment strategies [3]. Group 2: Focus and Comparative Advantage - The evolution of society towards greater specialization emphasizes the need for individuals to focus on their strengths to enhance efficiency and value [6]. - Accumulating comparative advantages requires a clear understanding of personal strengths and market dynamics [6]. - The optimal investment strategy involves identifying undervalued assets that the market currently overlooks but will recognize in the future [6][7]. Group 3: Industry Research and Trends - A reliable industry research framework is essential for predicting the future of companies within the pharmaceutical sector [7]. - The Chinese healthcare reform since 2015 mirrors the U.S. reforms of the 1980s, creating opportunities for innovative pharmaceutical products while pressuring traditional models [8]. - Understanding technological trends, such as advancements in antibody products and gene editing, is crucial for identifying investment opportunities [8]. Group 4: Valuation and Investment Strategy - A robust valuation framework is necessary to identify truly undervalued assets rather than simply reacting to price declines [9]. - The investment focus may shift from a heavy emphasis on research frameworks to developing a more efficient investment allocation strategy [9]. - The investment strategy will prioritize long-term, value-driven investments while remaining adaptable to market changes [9]. Group 5: Continuous Improvement through Honesty - Acknowledging personal limitations and errors is vital for maintaining a realistic perspective on market risks and opportunities [10][11]. - Building a solid foundational framework allows for the effective integration of external viewpoints and insights [10][11]. - The process of learning from past experiences, especially during market downturns, can lead to significant improvements in investment strategies [12]. Group 6: Market Dynamics and Cycles - Understanding macroeconomic trends is essential for navigating the cyclical nature of the pharmaceutical sector [13]. - Recognizing the impact of market sentiment and narrative shifts on stock prices can inform better investment decisions [14][15]. - The distinction between strategic and tactical holdings is crucial for managing investment portfolios effectively [14].