2025 年 03 月 20 日 发布激励计划，彰显发展信心 买入(维持) 事件 | 基本数据 | 2025-03-20 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 16.32 | | 总市值（亿元） | 93 | | 总股本（百万股） | 569 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 569 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 13.09-18.56 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 61.21 | 市场表现 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 广州酒家 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 | 分析师：孙山山 | S1050521110005 | | --- | --- | | sunss@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：张倩 | S1050124070037 | | zhangqian@cfsc.com.cn | | 1、《广州酒家（603043）：营收增 速稳健，餐饮业务势能延续》2024- 09-08 2、《广州酒家（603043）：营收规 模稳健增长，餐饮业务贡献增量》 2024-04-26 3、《广州酒家（603043）：月饼平 稳放量，餐饮 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth in 2024, with a projected operating income of 135.85 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 67.60% [4] - The company has successfully reduced gold mining costs, with the average cost per gram dropping to 145.40 yuan in 2024 from 176.42 yuan in 2023 [6] - The company is expanding its operations internationally, having acquired 100% of Osino Resources Corp. for 1.90 CAD per share, which includes the Twin Hills gold project in Namibia [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 15.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.81% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 2024 was 4.46 billion yuan, up 45.69% year-on-year [5] Cost Management - The company produced 8.04 tons of gold in 2024, with a forecast of at least 8 tons for 2025 [6] - The average gold price in Shanghai for 2024 was 556 yuan per gram, a 23.87% increase from 2023 [6] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 108.99 billion yuan, 122.10 billion yuan, and 135.64 billion yuan, respectively [10] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 31.00 billion yuan, 37.33 billion yuan, and 43.67 billion yuan for the same years [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company has launched a new stock option and restricted stock incentive plan, reflecting its confidence in future development [5] - The company aims for a revenue growth rate of no less than 16%/28%/40.85% from 2025 to 2027, with a target return on equity (ROE) of at least 12.58%/12.91%/13.17% during the same period [5] - The mooncake business is expected to benefit from both internal and external drivers, while the restaurant segment is projected to maintain steady growth through store expansion [6] - The company is leveraging its first-mover advantage in Guangdong to strengthen its market share in mooncakes and frozen products, with a focus on expanding into markets outside the province [7] Financial Forecasts - The company's main revenue is projected to grow from 4,901 million yuan in 2023 to 6,227 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 19.2% in 2023 and 8.9% in 2026 [11] - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) are adjusted to 0.91, 1.04, and 1.15 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 16, and 14 times [9][11] - The company anticipates a net profit of 626 million yuan in 2025, up from 550 million yuan in 2023, indicating a growth rate of 14.0% [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth in 2024, with a projected operating income of 13.585 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 67.6% [4][12] - The company has successfully reduced gold mining costs, with the average cost per gram dropping from 176.42 yuan in 2023 to 145.40 yuan in 2024 [6] - The company has initiated overseas gold mine acquisitions, specifically acquiring 100% of Osino Resources Corp. for 1.90 CAD per share, which includes the Twin Hills gold project in Namibia [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.514 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.81% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 2024 was 446 million yuan, up 45.69% year-on-year [5] Cost Management - The company produced 8.04 tons of gold in 2024, with a sales volume of 8.05 tons, and expects to maintain production levels above 8 tons in 2025 [6] - The average gold price in 2024 was 556 yuan per gram, reflecting a 23.87% increase from 2023 [6] Profit Forecast - The forecast for operating income from 2025 to 2027 is 108.99 billion yuan, 122.10 billion yuan, and 135.64 billion yuan respectively [10] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is 31.00 billion yuan, 37.33 billion yuan, and 43.67 billion yuan respectively [10]

2025 年 03 月 20 日 Genio 720 和 Genio 520 联合发布，视频生成模 型 Open-Sora 2.0 发布 —计算机行业周报 推荐(维持) 投资要点 分析师：宝幼琛 S1050521110002 baoyc@cfsc.com.cn 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 计算机(申万) -0.2 8.9 27.8 沪深 300 2.1 2.1 11.8 市场表现 相关研究 1、《计算机行业点评报告：阿里云 QwQ-32B 开源模型全球首发，引领超 低密度智能与端侧生态范式革命》 2025-03-11 2、《计算机行业点评报告：智能体 Manus 震撼发布，开启自主执行与跨 领域协同新纪元》2025-03-11 3、《计算机行业周报：全球首个混 合 推 理 模 型 Claude3.7Sonnet 发 布，高情商模型 GPT-4.5 问世》 2025-03-04 ▌算力：算力租赁价格平稳，Genio 720 和 Genio 520 联合发布 2025 年 3 月 12 日， 在国际嵌入式展（EMBEDDED WORLD） 上，联发科技（MediaTek）发布高性能边缘 AI 物联网芯 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.182 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 22%, primarily driven by the launch of new products [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 157 million yuan, up 35% year-on-year, with a significant increase in the fourth quarter [5] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from channel expansion and product innovation, particularly in the bone-free duck feet segment [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.182 billion yuan, a 22% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 157 million yuan, reflecting a 35% growth [5] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 296 million yuan, up 43% year-on-year, and a net profit of 36 million yuan, which is a 258% increase [5] - The gross margin improved to 25.69% in Q4 2024, with expectations for continued optimization in 2025 due to falling raw material prices [5] Product Performance - Revenue from the main products, including bubble chicken feet, skin jelly, and chicken wings, was 785 million yuan, 93 million yuan, and 48 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 9%, 6%, and 24% [6] - The company plans to focus on bone-free products and enhance existing flavors, anticipating sustained growth in product lines [6] Channel Development - Online and offline channel revenues in Q4 2024 were 24 million yuan and 267 million yuan, respectively, with online sales growing by 133% [7] - The company is leveraging the Sam's Club channel and e-commerce platforms to drive sales growth, while traditional supermarket channels face challenges [9] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to maintain strong growth, with projected EPS of 0.43 yuan, 0.50 yuan, and 0.58 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 22, 19, and 17 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.182 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 22%, primarily driven by the launch of new products [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 157 million yuan, up 35% year-on-year, with a significant increase in the fourth quarter [5] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from channel expansion and product innovation, particularly in the bone-free duck feet segment [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.182 billion yuan, a 22% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 157 million yuan, a 35% increase [5] - The fourth quarter saw a revenue of 296 million yuan, up 43% year-on-year, and a net profit of 36 million yuan, up 258% [5] - The gross margin improved to 25.69% in Q4 2024, with expectations for continued optimization in 2025 [5] Product Performance - Revenue from main products such as bubble chicken feet, skin jelly, and chicken wings was 785 million yuan, 93 million yuan, and 48 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 9%, 6%, and 24% [6] - The company plans to focus on bone-free products and enhance existing flavors, anticipating sustained growth in product lines [6] Channel Development - Online and offline channel revenues in Q4 2024 were 24 million yuan and 267 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 133% and 36% respectively [7] - The company is leveraging platforms like Douyin for product promotion and expects continued growth in e-commerce channels [7] Regional Performance - Revenue growth varied by region, with significant increases in Southwest and East China, while some regions experienced declines [9] - The company aims to strengthen its brand presence in its core markets [9] Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve EPS of 0.43 yuan, 0.50 yuan, and 0.58 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 22, 19, and 17 [10]

2025 年 03 月 20 日 计算机(申万) -0.2 8.9 27.8 沪深 300 2.1 2.1 11.8 市场表现 相关研究 1、《计算机行业点评报告：阿里云 QwQ-32B 开源模型全球首发，引领超 低密度智能与端侧生态范式革命》 2025-03-11 2、《计算机行业点评报告：智能体 Manus 震撼发布，开启自主执行与跨 领域协同新纪元》2025-03-11 3、《计算机行业周报：全球首个混 合 推 理 模 型 Claude3.7Sonnet 发 布，高情商模型 GPT-4.5 问世》 2025-03-04 Genio 720 和 Genio 520 联合发布，视频生成模 型 Open-Sora 2.0 发布 —计算机行业周报 推荐(维持) 投资要点 分析师：宝幼琛 S1050521110002 baoyc@cfsc.com.cn 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M ▌算力：算力租赁价格平稳，Genio 720 和 Genio 520 联合发布 2025 年 3 月 12 日， 在国际嵌入式展（EMBEDDED WORLD） 上，联发科技（MediaTek）发布高性能边缘 AI 物联网芯 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate and projected two rate cuts for the year, with inflation expectations slightly raised to 2.7% for PCE and 2.8% for core PCE, while GDP growth was downgraded to 1.7% and unemployment rate increased to 4.4% [2][3] - The Fed views the current inflation rise as temporary, attributing it to short-term sentiment rather than long-term trends, and sees no significant upward pressure on inflation expectations over the next five years [3][4] - The Fed's monetary policy is in a wait-and-see mode, with no immediate need for tightening, as current economic conditions do not warrant proactive measures [3][5] Group 2 - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a broad rally, with improved liquidity expected to boost major indices, while the bond market is also positively influenced by the Fed's stance on interest rates [6] - Gold prices have risen above $3050, supported by declining U.S. Treasury yields, while the U.S. dollar index has rebounded, reflecting stronger economic and inflation expectations compared to Europe [6] - The macro outlook suggests a potential technical recession in Q1 2025, but a deep recession is unlikely due to the Fed's current support measures [7] Group 3 - Investment strategies focus on sectors likely to benefit from rate cuts, including small-cap stocks, healthcare, real estate, and financials, as well as growth sectors like quantum technology and aerospace [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring upcoming policy changes, such as tariffs and geopolitical negotiations, which could impact market sentiment [7][8] - The bond market strategy suggests a short-term bearish outlook but a long-term bullish stance, capitalizing on liquidity recovery and upcoming bond issuances [9]

2025 年 03 月 20 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（中性） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 58 分，市场情绪处于"中性"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1。 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：算力、机器人、深海经济 1、算力主题：据媒体报道，我国全面启动"东数西算" 工程已满 3 年，三大运营商、数据中心服务商以及相关产业 链企业积极跟进，多领域发力，各地新型数字基础设施加速 建设，全国一体化算力体系加快形成。据 2024 中国算力大会 数据，我国在用算力中心机架总规模超 830 万标准机架，算 力总规模达 246EFLOPS，位居全球第二。据统计，2024 年我 国数字经济增加值占 GDP 比重已超过 45%，其中算力相关产 业 贡 献 了 约 三 分 之 一 的 增 量 。 相 关 标 的 ： 众 合 科 技 (000925)、首都在线(300846) 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：58 分（中性） 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 1 ...